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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              15th March 2012

                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 27801.
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 May-12)    (19 Mar-12)       Incidentally, this was also the highest price recorded for the day. It
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra day low of 27402. It ended the day
 Open                    27,801        58,200         5,337
                                                                   with moderate losses to close at 27443.
 High                    27,801        58,200         5,359

 Low                     27,402        57,027         5,306
                                                                   The Stochastic and the RSI are placed below their respective
 Close                   27,443        57,236         5,341        averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure.
 Prev. Close             27,832        58,259         5,341        The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. However, the –DI
                                                                   line is placed at 40.96 indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX
 % Change                -1.40%        -1.76%         0.00%
                                                                   GOLD faces resistance at 27557, 28960, 29212 and 29433, while
Source – MCX                                                       the supports are placed at 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                   MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 58200.
                       14/3/2012    13/3/2012        % Chg.
                                                                   Incidentally, this was also the highest price recorded for the day. It
 Gold (gms)             60,569.0     36,844.0        64.39%        moved lower to touch an intra day low of 57027. It ended the day
 Silver (kgs)            2,379.1       2,040.5       16.59%
                                                                   with moderate losses to close at 57236.

 Crude (bbl)            13,691.1     12,034.2        13.77%
Source – MCX                                                       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                   averages. This would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                           ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend.
                                                                   MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the
                       14/3/2012    13/3/2012        % Chg.        supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels.
Gold                 1,669,271.2   1,026,416.9       62.63%

Silver               1,374,397.4   1,188,610.4       15.63%        MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened lower at 5337 level.
                                                                   It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5359. However, it
Crude                  730,097.0    641,657.9        13.78%
                                                                   failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of
Source – MCX                                                       5306. It ended the day unchanged to close at 5341.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                       15/3/2012    14/3/2012        % Chg.
                                                                   averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, –DI
Gold (oz)               1,644.40     1,642.90         0.09%        line and ADX line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
Silver (oz)                32.13        32.15        -0.05%
                                                                   trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports
                                                                   are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels.
Crude (bbl)              105.66        105.43         0.22%

Dollar Index               80.60        80.64        -0.04%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                Intra-day Resistance                  Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close           Pivot Point             R1             R2          R3           S1            S2           S3

CRUDE MAR 12                         5341                   5335         5365            5388       5441         5312          5282          5229

GOLD APR 12                         27443                  27549        27695           27948      28347        27296         27150         26751

SILVER MAY 12                       57236                  57488        57948           58661      59834        56775         56315         55142


                                                                Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                               www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Thursday                      Friday                       Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday
       Mar. 15                      Mar. 16                      Mar. 19                      Mar. 20                      Mar. 21
Jobless Claims             Consumer Price Index          Housing Market Index         Housing Starts                Existing Home Sales

Producer Price Index       Industrial Production         4-Week Bill                  Ben Bernanke Speech           EIA Petroleum Status
                                                         Announcement                                               Report
Producer Price Index       Consumer Sentiment            6-Month Bill Auction         ICSC-Goldman Store            Bank Reserve
                                                                                      Sales                         Settlement




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 150312

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 15th March 2012 MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 27801. Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 May-12) (19 Mar-12) Incidentally, this was also the highest price recorded for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 27402. It ended the day Open 27,801 58,200 5,337 with moderate losses to close at 27443. High 27,801 58,200 5,359 Low 27,402 57,027 5,306 The Stochastic and the RSI are placed below their respective Close 27,443 57,236 5,341 averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. Prev. Close 27,832 58,259 5,341 The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. However, the –DI line is placed at 40.96 indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX % Change -1.40% -1.76% 0.00% GOLD faces resistance at 27557, 28960, 29212 and 29433, while Source – MCX the supports are placed at 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 58200. 14/3/2012 13/3/2012 % Chg. Incidentally, this was also the highest price recorded for the day. It Gold (gms) 60,569.0 36,844.0 64.39% moved lower to touch an intra day low of 57027. It ended the day Silver (kgs) 2,379.1 2,040.5 16.59% with moderate losses to close at 57236. Crude (bbl) 13,691.1 12,034.2 13.77% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages. This would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and Turnover (In Lacs) ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the 14/3/2012 13/3/2012 % Chg. supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. Gold 1,669,271.2 1,026,416.9 62.63% Silver 1,374,397.4 1,188,610.4 15.63% MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened lower at 5337 level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5359. However, it Crude 730,097.0 641,657.9 13.78% failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of Source – MCX 5306. It ended the day unchanged to close at 5341. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective 15/3/2012 14/3/2012 % Chg. averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, –DI Gold (oz) 1,644.40 1,642.90 0.09% line and ADX line are moving sideways indicating a range bound Silver (oz) 32.13 32.15 -0.05% trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels. Crude (bbl) 105.66 105.43 0.22% Dollar Index 80.60 80.64 -0.04% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5341 5335 5365 5388 5441 5312 5282 5229 GOLD APR 12 27443 27549 27695 27948 28347 27296 27150 26751 SILVER MAY 12 57236 57488 57948 58661 59834 56775 56315 55142 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Mar. 15 Mar. 16 Mar. 19 Mar. 20 Mar. 21 Jobless Claims Consumer Price Index Housing Market Index Housing Starts Existing Home Sales Producer Price Index Industrial Production 4-Week Bill Ben Bernanke Speech EIA Petroleum Status Announcement Report Producer Price Index Consumer Sentiment 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Bank Reserve Sales Settlement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com