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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                          30th April 2012
                                                               MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 29056.
                    Gold          Silver         Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)   (5 May-12)    (21 May-12)      Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher
                                                               to touch an intra-day high of 29117 level. It ended the day with
 Open                 29,056         55,908          5,504     marginal gains to close at 29109.
 High                 29,117         55,950          5,517
                                                               The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Low                  29,056         55,831          5,504
                                                               averages, which would lead to buying support. However, both are
 Close                29,109         55,871          5,516     also placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to regular
                                                               bouts of profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX line and
 Prev. Close          29,083         55,983          5,507
                                                               the -DI line are moving sideways, but the +DI line has moved
 % Change              0.09%        -0.20%          0.16%      higher and is placed at 34.88 level indicating buyers gaining
Source – MCX                                                   strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212 and 29433, while
                                                               the supports are placed at 28960, 28084, 27557, 26517 and
                                                               26347 levels.
                    Volume (In 000's)

                    28/4/2012     27/4/2012        % Chg.      MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55908. It
                                                               moved lower to touch an intra day low of 55831 but managed to
 Gold (gms)           1,337.0      22,399.0       -94.03%
                                                               bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-
 Silver (kgs)            53.1       1,135.3       -95.32%      day high of 55950 level. However, it came off the highs for the day
                                                               to end with modest losses. It closed the day at 55871.
 Crude (bbl)            383.2       9,172.8       -95.82%

Source – MCX                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                               averages. These conditions would lead to buying support.
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                          However, the Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone,
                                                               which would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The
                    28/4/2012     27/4/2012        % Chg.      ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a
Gold                 38,908.4     650,794.0       -94.02%      range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 56157, 57737,
                                                               61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 55551, 51029
Silver               29,689.8     634,796.4       -95.32%      and 50252 levels.
Crude                21,121.9     503,997.8       -95.81%
                                                               MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5504 level.
Source – MCX                                                   Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher
                                                               to touch an intra-day high of 5517 level. It ended the day with
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                      modest gains to close at 5516.
                    30/4/2012     28/4/2012        % Chg.
                                                               The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
Gold (oz)            1,664.70      1,664.80        -0.01%      averages. These conditions would lead to buying support.
Silver (oz)             31.29         31.35        -0.20%
                                                               However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which
                                                               would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX
Crude (bbl)           104.72         104.93        -0.20%      line, –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
Dollar Index            79.14         79.35        -0.27%      bound trend. It faces resistance at 5550 and 5635 while the
                                                               supports are placed at 5512, 5498, 5403, 5335 and 5305 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
         Commodities            Close          Pivot Point            R1           R2            R3           S1              S2       S3

CRUDE MAY 12                     5516                 5512          5521         5525         5538          5508         5499         5486

GOLD JUN 12                     29109                29094        29132         29155        29216        29071         29033        28972

SILVER MAY 12                   55871                55884        55937         56003        56122        55818         55765        55646


                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Monday                     Tuesday                   Wednesday                     Thursday                         Friday
      Apr. 30                     May 01                    May 02                        May 03                          May 04
Personal Income and      ISM Mfg Index                Factory Orders              Jobless Claims               Monster Employment
Outlays                                                                                                        Index
Chicago PMI Data         Motor Vehicle Sales          ADP Employment              Productivity and Costs       Employment Situation
                                                      Report
Dallas Fed Mfg           Construction                 EIA Petroleum Status        ISM Non-Mfg Index            Treasury STRIPS
Survey                   Spending                     Report




                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                 The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com
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to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
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completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 300412

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 30th April 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 29056. Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 May-12) (21 May-12) Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 29117 level. It ended the day with Open 29,056 55,908 5,504 marginal gains to close at 29109. High 29,117 55,950 5,517 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Low 29,056 55,831 5,504 averages, which would lead to buying support. However, both are Close 29,109 55,871 5,516 also placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX line and Prev. Close 29,083 55,983 5,507 the -DI line are moving sideways, but the +DI line has moved % Change 0.09% -0.20% 0.16% higher and is placed at 34.88 level indicating buyers gaining Source – MCX strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28084, 27557, 26517 and 26347 levels. Volume (In 000's) 28/4/2012 27/4/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55908. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 55831 but managed to Gold (gms) 1,337.0 22,399.0 -94.03% bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra- Silver (kgs) 53.1 1,135.3 -95.32% day high of 55950 level. However, it came off the highs for the day to end with modest losses. It closed the day at 55871. Crude (bbl) 383.2 9,172.8 -95.82% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages. These conditions would lead to buying support. Turnover (In Lacs) However, the Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The 28/4/2012 27/4/2012 % Chg. ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a Gold 38,908.4 650,794.0 -94.02% range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 55551, 51029 Silver 29,689.8 634,796.4 -95.32% and 50252 levels. Crude 21,121.9 503,997.8 -95.81% MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5504 level. Source – MCX Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5517 level. It ended the day with Global Market (Nymex - $) modest gains to close at 5516. 30/4/2012 28/4/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Gold (oz) 1,664.70 1,664.80 -0.01% averages. These conditions would lead to buying support. Silver (oz) 31.29 31.35 -0.20% However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX Crude (bbl) 104.72 104.93 -0.20% line, –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range Dollar Index 79.14 79.35 -0.27% bound trend. It faces resistance at 5550 and 5635 while the supports are placed at 5512, 5498, 5403, 5335 and 5305 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5516 5512 5521 5525 5538 5508 5499 5486 GOLD JUN 12 29109 29094 29132 29155 29216 29071 29033 28972 SILVER MAY 12 55871 55884 55937 56003 56122 55818 55765 55646 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Apr. 30 May 01 May 02 May 03 May 04 Personal Income and ISM Mfg Index Factory Orders Jobless Claims Monster Employment Outlays Index Chicago PMI Data Motor Vehicle Sales ADP Employment Productivity and Costs Employment Situation Report Dallas Fed Mfg Construction EIA Petroleum Status ISM Non-Mfg Index Treasury STRIPS Survey Spending Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com