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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              1st June 2012
                                                               MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 29120. It moved
                    Gold          Silver         Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)    (5 Jul-12)    (19 Jun-12)     lower to touch an intra-day low of 29005. However, it managed a
                                                               bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 29198.
 Open                 29,120         54,377          4,961     It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 29148.
 High                 29,198         54,465          4,984
                                                               The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above its average. These
 Low                  29,005         53,820          4,874
                                                               positive conditions would lead to further buying support. The ADX
 Close                29,148         54,110          4,919     line, the –DI line and the +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a
 Prev. Close          29,117         54,483          4,962     range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212, 29433
                                                               and 30000 while the supports are placed at 28960, 28084, 27855,
 % Change              0.11%        -0.68%         -0.87%      27557 and 26517 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                               MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54377. It
                    Volume (In 000's)                          moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 53820. However, it
                                                               managed a bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day
                    31/5/2012     30/5/2012        % Chg.
                                                               high of 54565. However, it still ended the day with moderate losses
 Gold (gms)          22,810.0      38,733.0       -41.11%      to close at 54110.
 Silver (kgs)         2,166.8       2,619.7       -17.29%
                                                               The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
 Crude (bbl)         25,682.6      22,916.0        12.07%      support. However, the Stochastic remains placed below its
Source – MCX                                                   average, which would lead to selling pressure especially at higher
                                                               levels. The ADX line, the +DI line and the –DI line are moving
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                          sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces
                                                               resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the
                    31/5/2012     30/5/2012        % Chg.      supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels.
Gold                663,777.2   1,119,918.9       -40.73%
                                                               MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 4961 level. It
Silver            1,173,925.4   1,413,314.6       -16.94%      moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4984. However, it failed
Crude             1,267,454.4   1,151,144.3        10.10%
                                                               to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
                                                               4874. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 4919.
Source – MCX
                                                               The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                               averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, both are
                     1/6/2012     31/5/2012        % Chg.      placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at
                                                               lower levels. The ADX line and –DI line are trending up and are
Gold (oz)            1,555.80      1,562.60        -0.44%
                                                               placed above the 30 level indicating sellers have an upper hand.
Silver (oz)             27.61         27.76        -0.55%      While the +DI line is moving lower. It faces resistance at 5000,
Crude (bbl)             86.26         86.53        -0.31%      5058, 5160 and 5264 while the supports are placed at 4905, 4855
                                                               and 4710 levels.
Dollar Index            83.20         83.04         0.19%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
Commodities                      Close        Pivot Point
                                                                    R1            R2            R3           S1               S2        S3

CRUDE JUN 12                       4919             4926          4977          5036         5146          4867          4816         4706

GOLD JUN 12                      29148             29117         29229        29310         29503         29036        28924         28731

SILVER JUL 12                    54110             54132         54443        54777         55422         53798        53487         52842


                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                   Monday                      Tuesday                    Wednesday                     Thursday
       Jun 01                   Jun 04                       Jun 05                     Jun 06                        Jun 07
Employment Situation    Factory Orders               ISM Non-Mfg Index           Productivity and Costs       Jobless Claims
                                                                                 Data
Personal Income and     4-Week Bill                  ICSC-Goldman Store          EIA Petroleum Status         EIA Natural Gas
Outlays                 Announcement                 Sales                       Report                       Report
Construction            6-Month Bill Auction         4-Week Bill Auction         MBA Purchase                 Bloomberg Consumer
Spending                                                                         Applications                 Comfort Index




                                                      Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com
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would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 010612

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 1st June 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 29120. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 29005. However, it managed a bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 29198. Open 29,120 54,377 4,961 It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 29148. High 29,198 54,465 4,984 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above its average. These Low 29,005 53,820 4,874 positive conditions would lead to further buying support. The ADX Close 29,148 54,110 4,919 line, the –DI line and the +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a Prev. Close 29,117 54,483 4,962 range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212, 29433 and 30000 while the supports are placed at 28960, 28084, 27855, % Change 0.11% -0.68% -0.87% 27557 and 26517 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54377. It Volume (In 000's) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 53820. However, it managed a bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day 31/5/2012 30/5/2012 % Chg. high of 54565. However, it still ended the day with moderate losses Gold (gms) 22,810.0 38,733.0 -41.11% to close at 54110. Silver (kgs) 2,166.8 2,619.7 -17.29% The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Crude (bbl) 25,682.6 22,916.0 12.07% support. However, the Stochastic remains placed below its Source – MCX average, which would lead to selling pressure especially at higher levels. The ADX line, the +DI line and the –DI line are moving Turnover (In Lacs) sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the 31/5/2012 30/5/2012 % Chg. supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels. Gold 663,777.2 1,119,918.9 -40.73% MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 4961 level. It Silver 1,173,925.4 1,413,314.6 -16.94% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4984. However, it failed Crude 1,267,454.4 1,151,144.3 10.10% to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4874. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 4919. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Global Market (Nymex - $) averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, both are 1/6/2012 31/5/2012 % Chg. placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at lower levels. The ADX line and –DI line are trending up and are Gold (oz) 1,555.80 1,562.60 -0.44% placed above the 30 level indicating sellers have an upper hand. Silver (oz) 27.61 27.76 -0.55% While the +DI line is moving lower. It faces resistance at 5000, Crude (bbl) 86.26 86.53 -0.31% 5058, 5160 and 5264 while the supports are placed at 4905, 4855 and 4710 levels. Dollar Index 83.20 83.04 0.19% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUN 12 4919 4926 4977 5036 5146 4867 4816 4706 GOLD JUN 12 29148 29117 29229 29310 29503 29036 28924 28731 SILVER JUL 12 54110 54132 54443 54777 55422 53798 53487 52842 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Jun 01 Jun 04 Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07 Employment Situation Factory Orders ISM Non-Mfg Index Productivity and Costs Jobless Claims Data Personal Income and 4-Week Bill ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status EIA Natural Gas Outlays Announcement Sales Report Report Construction 6-Month Bill Auction 4-Week Bill Auction MBA Purchase Bloomberg Consumer Spending Applications Comfort Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com