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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                                  3rd April 2012

                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28504. It
                       Gold          Silver          Crude
                      (5 Jun-12)   (5 May-12)      (19 Apr-12)
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28430. However, it
                                                                   managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It
 Open                    28,504        56,899           5,271      touched an intra-day high of 28635 level. It ended the day with
 High                    28,635        57,737           5,353      marginal losses to close at 28557.

 Low                     28,430        56,686           5,216
                                                                   The Stochastic has moved above its average and is placed in the
 Close                   28,557        57,595           5,335      over sold zone. This would lead to short covering and buying
                                                                   support. However, the RSI is still placed below its average, which
 Prev. Close             28,518        56,790           5,274
                                                                   would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and the +DI
 % Change                 0.14%         1.42%           1.16%      line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX
Source – MCX                                                       GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the
                                                                   supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and 25500
                                                                   levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)

                        2/4/2012    31/3/2012          % Chg.      MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56899. It
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra day low of 56686. However, it
 Gold (gms)             22,755.0       4,052.0       461.57%
                                                                   managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It
 Silver (kgs)            1,468.1            61.9    2270.93%       touched an intra-day high of 57737 level. It ended the day with
 Crude (bbl)            14,750.8           685.7    2051.20%
                                                                   gains to close at 57595.

Source – MCX                                                       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                   averages, which would lead to buying support. The –DI line, +DI
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                           line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
                                                                   trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261
                        2/4/2012    31/3/2012          % Chg.
                                                                   while the supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels.
Gold                   649,014.2    113,739.0        470.62%
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5271 level.
Silver                 840,064.7      35,166.5      2288.82%
                                                                   It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5216. However, it
Crude                  777,588.4      36,130.8      2052.15%       managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It
Source – MCX
                                                                   touched an intra-day high of 5353 level. It ended the day with
                                                                   moderate gains to close at 5335.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                   The Stochastic has moved above its average but still placed in the
                        3/4/2012      2/4/2012         % Chg.      over sold zone. This would lead to short covering and buying
                                                                   support. However, the RSI is placed below its average, which
Gold (oz)               1,678.00      1,677.50          0.03%
                                                                   would lead to selling pressure, especially at higher levels. The +DI
Silver (oz)                33.03           33.08       -0.18%      line, –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a
                                                                   range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5498, 5550 and 5635
Crude (bbl)              104.95        105.23          -0.27%
                                                                   while the supports are placed at 5305, 5232, 5182 and 5150
Dollar Index               78.75           78.82       -0.09%      levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close           Pivot Point            R1              R2        R3            S1            S2            S3

CRUDE APR 12                        5335                 5301          5387          5438        5575          5250          5164            5027

GOLD JUN 12                        28557                28541         28651         28746       28951         28446         28336           28131

SILVER MAY 12                      57595                57339         57993         58390       59441         56942         56288           55237


                                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                    Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday                       Monday
       Apr. 03                    Apr. 04                        Apr. 05                       Apr. 06                      Apr. 09
FOMC Minutes               ADP Employment                Jobless Claims               Employment Situation          4-Week Bill
Announcement               Report                                                     Data                          Announcement
Factory Orders             ISM Non-Mfg Index             Money Supply Data            Consumer Credit               3-Month Bill Auction

Motor Vehicle Sales        EIA Petroleum Status          EIA Natural Gas Report       Monster Employment            6-Month Bill Auction
                           Report                                                     Index




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 030412

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 3rd April 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28504. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 May-12) (19 Apr-12) moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28430. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It Open 28,504 56,899 5,271 touched an intra-day high of 28635 level. It ended the day with High 28,635 57,737 5,353 marginal losses to close at 28557. Low 28,430 56,686 5,216 The Stochastic has moved above its average and is placed in the Close 28,557 57,595 5,335 over sold zone. This would lead to short covering and buying support. However, the RSI is still placed below its average, which Prev. Close 28,518 56,790 5,274 would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and the +DI % Change 0.14% 1.42% 1.16% line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Source – MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) 2/4/2012 31/3/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56899. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 56686. However, it Gold (gms) 22,755.0 4,052.0 461.57% managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It Silver (kgs) 1,468.1 61.9 2270.93% touched an intra-day high of 57737 level. It ended the day with Crude (bbl) 14,750.8 685.7 2051.20% gains to close at 57595. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support. The –DI line, +DI Turnover (In Lacs) line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 2/4/2012 31/3/2012 % Chg. while the supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. Gold 649,014.2 113,739.0 470.62% MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5271 level. Silver 840,064.7 35,166.5 2288.82% It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5216. However, it Crude 777,588.4 36,130.8 2052.15% managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It Source – MCX touched an intra-day high of 5353 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5335. Global Market (Nymex - $) The Stochastic has moved above its average but still placed in the 3/4/2012 2/4/2012 % Chg. over sold zone. This would lead to short covering and buying support. However, the RSI is placed below its average, which Gold (oz) 1,678.00 1,677.50 0.03% would lead to selling pressure, especially at higher levels. The +DI Silver (oz) 33.03 33.08 -0.18% line, –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5498, 5550 and 5635 Crude (bbl) 104.95 105.23 -0.27% while the supports are placed at 5305, 5232, 5182 and 5150 Dollar Index 78.75 78.82 -0.09% levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE APR 12 5335 5301 5387 5438 5575 5250 5164 5027 GOLD JUN 12 28557 28541 28651 28746 28951 28446 28336 28131 SILVER MAY 12 57595 57339 57993 58390 59441 56942 56288 55237 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Apr. 03 Apr. 04 Apr. 05 Apr. 06 Apr. 09 FOMC Minutes ADP Employment Jobless Claims Employment Situation 4-Week Bill Announcement Report Data Announcement Factory Orders ISM Non-Mfg Index Money Supply Data Consumer Credit 3-Month Bill Auction Motor Vehicle Sales EIA Petroleum Status EIA Natural Gas Report Monster Employment 6-Month Bill Auction Report Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com