Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              30th May 2012
                                                               MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28994. It moved
                    Gold          Silver         Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)    (5 Jul-12)    (19 Jun-12)     higher to touch an intra-day high of 29135. However, it failed to
                                                               sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 28819.
 Open                 28,994         54,448          5,075     It ended the day with modest losses to close at 28859.
 High                 29,135         54,885          5,132

 Low                  28,819         53,790          5,075     The RSI has slipped below its average, which would result in selling
                                                               pressure. However, The Stochastic has moved above its average,
 Close                28,859         53,964          5,097     which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line,
 Prev. Close          28,965         54,351          5,071     the –DI line and the +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a
                                                               range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212,
 % Change             -0.37%        -0.71%          0.51%
                                                               29433 and 30000 while the supports are placed at 28084, 27855,
Source – MCX                                                   27557 and 26517 levels.

                    Volume (In 000's)                          MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54448. It
                    29/5/2012     28/5/2012        % Chg.      moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54885. However, it failed
                                                               to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
 Gold (gms)          39,300.0      17,158.0      129.05%       53790. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 53964.
 Silver (kgs)         2,473.4       1,007.0      145.63%

 Crude (bbl)         19,189.5       7,821.6      145.34%       The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective
                                                               averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, the
Source – MCX                                                   +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                               bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737,
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                          61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252
                    29/5/2012     28/5/2012        % Chg.
                                                               and 48562 levels.

Gold              1,140,303.5     497,154.7      129.37%
                                                               MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened higher at 5075 level.
Silver            1,345,900.8     549,565.0      144.90%       Incidentally this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to
                                                               touch an intra-day high of 5132. It ended the day with moderate
Crude               978,948.0     397,653.8      146.18%
                                                               gains to close at 5097.
Source – MCX
                                                               The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
                Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                               support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average but is
                    30/5/2012     29/5/2012        % Chg.      placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering.
                                                               Though, the ADX line is trending the +DI line and the -DI line are
Gold (oz)            1,547.20      1,548.70        -0.10%
                                                               moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces
Silver (oz)             27.65         27.79        -0.53%      resistance at 5160, 5264 and 5392, while the supports are placed
Crude (bbl)             90.32         90.76        -0.48%      at 5058, 5000, 4905 and 4722 levels.
Dollar Index            82.60         82.48         0.14%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                           Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
Commodities                      Close        Pivot Point
                                                                    R1            R2            R3           S1               S2        S3

CRUDE JUN 12                       5097             5101          5128          5158         5215          5071          5044         4987

GOLD JUN 12                      28859             28938         29056        29254         29570         28740        28622         28306

SILVER JUL 12                    53964             54213         54636        55308         56403         53541        53118         52023


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                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

    Wednesday                  Thursday                      Friday                      Monday                      Tuesday
     May 30                     May 31                       Jun 01                      Jun 04                       Jun 05
Pending Home Sales      GDP Data                     Employment Situation        Factory Orders               ISM Non-Mfg Index
Index
MBA Purchase            Jobless Claims               Personal Income and         4-Week Bill                  ICSC-Goldman Store
Applications                                         Outlays                     Announcement                 Sales
ICSC-Goldman Store      ADP Employment               Construction                6-Month Bill Auction         4-Week Bill Auction
Sales                   Report                       Spending




                                                      Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.



                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

Keynote commodity daily report 300512

  • 1.
    Daily Commodity Report 30th May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28994. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 29135. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 28819. Open 28,994 54,448 5,075 It ended the day with modest losses to close at 28859. High 29,135 54,885 5,132 Low 28,819 53,790 5,075 The RSI has slipped below its average, which would result in selling pressure. However, The Stochastic has moved above its average, Close 28,859 53,964 5,097 which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, Prev. Close 28,965 54,351 5,071 the –DI line and the +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212, % Change -0.37% -0.71% 0.51% 29433 and 30000 while the supports are placed at 28084, 27855, Source – MCX 27557 and 26517 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54448. It 29/5/2012 28/5/2012 % Chg. moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54885. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Gold (gms) 39,300.0 17,158.0 129.05% 53790. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 53964. Silver (kgs) 2,473.4 1,007.0 145.63% Crude (bbl) 19,189.5 7,821.6 145.34% The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, the Source – MCX +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, Turnover (In Lacs) 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 29/5/2012 28/5/2012 % Chg. and 48562 levels. Gold 1,140,303.5 497,154.7 129.37% MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened higher at 5075 level. Silver 1,345,900.8 549,565.0 144.90% Incidentally this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5132. It ended the day with moderate Crude 978,948.0 397,653.8 146.18% gains to close at 5097. Source – MCX The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Global Market (Nymex - $) support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average but is 30/5/2012 29/5/2012 % Chg. placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering. Though, the ADX line is trending the +DI line and the -DI line are Gold (oz) 1,547.20 1,548.70 -0.10% moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces Silver (oz) 27.65 27.79 -0.53% resistance at 5160, 5264 and 5392, while the supports are placed Crude (bbl) 90.32 90.76 -0.48% at 5058, 5000, 4905 and 4722 levels. Dollar Index 82.60 82.48 0.14% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUN 12 5097 5101 5128 5158 5215 5071 5044 4987 GOLD JUN 12 28859 28938 29056 29254 29570 28740 28622 28306 SILVER JUL 12 53964 54213 54636 55308 56403 53541 53118 52023 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2.
    US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday May 30 May 31 Jun 01 Jun 04 Jun 05 Pending Home Sales GDP Data Employment Situation Factory Orders ISM Non-Mfg Index Index MBA Purchase Jobless Claims Personal Income and 4-Week Bill ICSC-Goldman Store Applications Outlays Announcement Sales ICSC-Goldman Store ADP Employment Construction 6-Month Bill Auction 4-Week Bill Auction Sales Report Spending Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3.
    Disclaimer This document isnot for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com