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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                  14th June 2012
                                                                MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 29974. It
                    Gold         Silver          Crude
                   (4 Aug-12)   (5 Jul-12)     (19 Jun-12)      moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29915. However, it
                                                                managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It
 Open                 29,974        54,952          4,636       touched an intra-day high of 30168. It ended the day with modest
 High                 30,168        55,369          4,670       gains to close at 30036.
 Low                  29,915        54,836          4,584
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                30,036        55,015          4,637       averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals.
                                                                However, the Stochastic is also place in the over bought zone,
 Prev. Close          29,968        55,076          4,638
                                                                which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and
 % Change              0.23%        -0.11%         -0.02%       -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line has moved above the 30
Source – MCX                                                    level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces
                                                                resistance at 30156, 30295 and 30500 while the supports are
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                placed at 29668, 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels.

                   13/06/2012   12/06/2012         % Chg.       MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54952. It
                                                                moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54836. However, it
 Gold (gms)          42,299.0     46,165.0         -8.37%
                                                                managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It
 Silver (kgs)         1,633.2       1,781.8        -8.34%       touched an intra-day high of 55369. It ended the day with marginal
                                                                losses to close at 55015.
 Crude (bbl)         24,382.4     23,599.9          3.32%
Source – MCX                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals.
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                           The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways,
                                                                indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at
                   13/06/2012   12/06/2012         % Chg.
                                                                55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are
Gold              1,270,807.1   1,378,238.9        -7.79%       placed at 53818, 51029, and 50252 levels.
Silver              899,882.3    977,706.7         -7.96%       MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 4636 level. It
Crude             1,129,485.8   1,089,612.8         3.66%       moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4584. However, it
                                                                managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It
Source – MCX                                                    touched an intra-day high of 4670. It ended the day flat to close at
                                                                4637.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)

                   14/06/2012   13/06/2012         % Chg.       The Stochastic is placed below its average and would lead to
                                                                selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average and
Gold (oz)            1,617.30     1,618.50         -0.07%
                                                                is still placed around the over sold zone, which would lead to short
Silver (oz)             28.90        28.94         -0.14%       covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX line and –DI
Crude (bbl)             82.78        82.62          0.19%
                                                                line are placed above the 39 level but both have started coming
                                                                down indicating shorts are getting covered at regular intervals. It
Dollar Index            82.13        82.06          0.09%       faces resistance at 4720, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                       are placed at 4624, 4421, 4259 and 3723.

                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                  Intra-day Support
Commodities                      Close        Pivot Point
                                                                    R1          R2           R3         S1         S2           S3

CRUDE JUN 12                      4637              4630           4677       4716          4802      4591       4544          4458

GOLD AUG 12                      30036             30040          30164      30293         30546     29911      29787         29534

SILVER JUL 12                    55015             55073          55311      55606         56139     54778      54540         54007


                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                    www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

     Thursday                  Friday                 Monday                   Tuesday               Wednesday
      Jun 14                   Jun 15                 Jun 18                    Jun 19                Jun 20
Consumer Price Index   Industrial Production    Housing Market Index    Housing Starts           FOMC Meeting
                                                                                                 Announcement
Jobless Claims         Consumer Sentiment       4-Week Bill             FOMC Meeting             FOMC Forecasts
                                                Announcement            Begins
Bloomberg Consumer     Empire State Mfg         3-Month Bill Auction    ICSC-Goldman Store       EIA Petroleum Status
Comfort Index          Survey                                           Sales                    Report




                                                Keynote Capitals Ltd.
         The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                               www.keynotecapitals.com
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would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 140612

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 14th June 2012 MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 29974. It Gold Silver Crude (4 Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29915. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It Open 29,974 54,952 4,636 touched an intra-day high of 30168. It ended the day with modest High 30,168 55,369 4,670 gains to close at 30036. Low 29,915 54,836 4,584 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 30,036 55,015 4,637 averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. However, the Stochastic is also place in the over bought zone, Prev. Close 29,968 55,076 4,638 which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and % Change 0.23% -0.11% -0.02% -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line has moved above the 30 Source – MCX level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 30156, 30295 and 30500 while the supports are Volume (In 000's) placed at 29668, 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels. 13/06/2012 12/06/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54952. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54836. However, it Gold (gms) 42,299.0 46,165.0 -8.37% managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It Silver (kgs) 1,633.2 1,781.8 -8.34% touched an intra-day high of 55369. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 55015. Crude (bbl) 24,382.4 23,599.9 3.32% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. Turnover (In Lacs) The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 13/06/2012 12/06/2012 % Chg. 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are Gold 1,270,807.1 1,378,238.9 -7.79% placed at 53818, 51029, and 50252 levels. Silver 899,882.3 977,706.7 -7.96% MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 4636 level. It Crude 1,129,485.8 1,089,612.8 3.66% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4584. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It Source – MCX touched an intra-day high of 4670. It ended the day flat to close at 4637. Global Market (Nymex - $) 14/06/2012 13/06/2012 % Chg. The Stochastic is placed below its average and would lead to selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average and Gold (oz) 1,617.30 1,618.50 -0.07% is still placed around the over sold zone, which would lead to short Silver (oz) 28.90 28.94 -0.14% covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX line and –DI Crude (bbl) 82.78 82.62 0.19% line are placed above the 39 level but both have started coming down indicating shorts are getting covered at regular intervals. It Dollar Index 82.13 82.06 0.09% faces resistance at 4720, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports Source – www.cmegroup.com are placed at 4624, 4421, 4259 and 3723. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUN 12 4637 4630 4677 4716 4802 4591 4544 4458 GOLD AUG 12 30036 30040 30164 30293 30546 29911 29787 29534 SILVER JUL 12 55015 55073 55311 55606 56139 54778 54540 54007 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 Consumer Price Index Industrial Production Housing Market Index Housing Starts FOMC Meeting Announcement Jobless Claims Consumer Sentiment 4-Week Bill FOMC Meeting FOMC Forecasts Announcement Begins Bloomberg Consumer Empire State Mfg 3-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Comfort Index Survey Sales Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com