Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              7th May 2012
                                                                 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 29185. It moved
                    Gold           Silver          Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)     (5 Jul-12)     (21 May-12)     higher to touch an intra-day high of 29209 level. However, it failed
                                                                 to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
 Open                 29,185          55,330          5,260      29169. It ended the day flat to close at 29185.
 High                 29,209          55,565          5,275
                                                                 The Stochastic is placed below its average and is still placed in
 Low                  29,169          55,202          5,257
                                                                 the over bought zone. More so the RSI is also placed in the over
 Close                29,185          55,222          5,263      bought zone. These conditions would lead to regular bouts of
 Prev. Close          29,190          55,282          5,249
                                                                 profit taking and selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed
                                                                 above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower
 % Change             -0.02%         -0.11%           0.27%      levels. The ADX line, +DI line and the -DI line are moving
Source – MCX                                                     sideways indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces
                                                                 resistance at 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at
                    Volume (In 000's)                            28960, 28084, 27557, 26517 and 26347 levels.

                     5/5/2012       4/5/2012         % Chg.      MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56638. It
 Gold (gms)             911.0       41,326.0        -97.80%
                                                                 moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 56647 level. However,
                                                                 it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low
 Silver (kgs)              3.6       1,901.4        -99.81%      of 56562. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 56576.
 Crude (bbl)            551.4       29,029.4        -98.10%
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Source – MCX
                                                                 averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure.
                                                                 However, the Stochastic has moved in the over sold zone, which
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                            would lead to short covering at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI
                     5/5/2012       4/5/2012         % Chg.
                                                                 line are moving sideways, but –DI line is placed above the 30
                                                                 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces
Gold                 26,594.6    1,205,226.8        -97.79%      resistance at 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are
                                                                 placed at 56157, 55551, 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels.
Silver                1,990.8    1,071,997.3        -99.81%

Crude                29,030.8    1,555,698.4        -98.13%      MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5260 level. It
Source – MCX                                                     moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5275 level. However, it
                                                                 failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low
                                                                 of 5257. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 5263.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)

                     7/5/2012       5/5/2012         % Chg.      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                 averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure.
Gold (oz)            1,638.40       1,645.20         -0.41%
                                                                 The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways. The -DI
Silver (oz)             30.21            30.38       -0.58%      line has moved above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining
Crude (bbl)             96.62            98.49       -1.90%      strength. It faces resistance at 5264, 5392 and 5600, while the
                                                                 supports are placed at 5160, 5057 and 4905 levels.
Dollar Index            79.94            79.50        0.56%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                             Intra-day Resistance               Intra-day Support
         Commodities             Close           Pivot Point           R1          R2           R3            S1              S2       S3

CRUDE MAY 12                      5263                 5265          5273        5283         5301         5255          5247        5229

GOLD JUN 12                      29185                29188         29206       29228        29268        29166         29148       29108

SILVER JUL 12                    56576                56595         56628       56680        56765        56543         56510       56425


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                               www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Monday                      Tuesday                   Wednesday                     Thursday                         Friday
       May 7                       May 08                    May 09                        May 10                          May 11
Consumer Credit           NFIB Small Business          EIA Petroleum Status        Jobless Claims               Producer Price Index
                          Optimism Index               Report
3-Month Bill Auction      ICSC-Goldman Store           Wholesale Trade Data        International Trade          Consumer Sentiment
                          Sales
6-Month Bill Auction      3-Yr Note Auction            EIA Petroleum Status        Import and Export
                                                       Report                      Prices




                                                        Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                  The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.


                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

Keynote commodity daily report 070512

  • 1.
    Daily Commodity Report 7th May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 29185. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (21 May-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 29209 level. However, it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Open 29,185 55,330 5,260 29169. It ended the day flat to close at 29185. High 29,209 55,565 5,275 The Stochastic is placed below its average and is still placed in Low 29,169 55,202 5,257 the over bought zone. More so the RSI is also placed in the over Close 29,185 55,222 5,263 bought zone. These conditions would lead to regular bouts of Prev. Close 29,190 55,282 5,249 profit taking and selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower % Change -0.02% -0.11% 0.27% levels. The ADX line, +DI line and the -DI line are moving Source – MCX sideways indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at Volume (In 000's) 28960, 28084, 27557, 26517 and 26347 levels. 5/5/2012 4/5/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56638. It Gold (gms) 911.0 41,326.0 -97.80% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 56647 level. However, it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low Silver (kgs) 3.6 1,901.4 -99.81% of 56562. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 56576. Crude (bbl) 551.4 29,029.4 -98.10% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved in the over sold zone, which Turnover (In Lacs) would lead to short covering at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI 5/5/2012 4/5/2012 % Chg. line are moving sideways, but –DI line is placed above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces Gold 26,594.6 1,205,226.8 -97.79% resistance at 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 56157, 55551, 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels. Silver 1,990.8 1,071,997.3 -99.81% Crude 29,030.8 1,555,698.4 -98.13% MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5260 level. It Source – MCX moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5275 level. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5257. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 5263. Global Market (Nymex - $) 7/5/2012 5/5/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. Gold (oz) 1,638.40 1,645.20 -0.41% The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways. The -DI Silver (oz) 30.21 30.38 -0.58% line has moved above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining Crude (bbl) 96.62 98.49 -1.90% strength. It faces resistance at 5264, 5392 and 5600, while the supports are placed at 5160, 5057 and 4905 levels. Dollar Index 79.94 79.50 0.56% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5263 5265 5273 5283 5301 5255 5247 5229 GOLD JUN 12 29185 29188 29206 29228 29268 29166 29148 29108 SILVER JUL 12 56576 56595 56628 56680 56765 56543 56510 56425 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2.
    US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday May 7 May 08 May 09 May 10 May 11 Consumer Credit NFIB Small Business EIA Petroleum Status Jobless Claims Producer Price Index Optimism Index Report 3-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Wholesale Trade Data International Trade Consumer Sentiment Sales 6-Month Bill Auction 3-Yr Note Auction EIA Petroleum Status Import and Export Report Prices Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3.
    Disclaimer This document isnot for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com