Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              30th March 2012

                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28170. It
                       Gold          Silver          Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 May-12)      (19 Apr-12)
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28085. However, it
                                                                   managed a bounce back. It touched an intra-day high of 28236
 Open                    28,170        56,682           5,404      level. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 28202.
 High                    28,236        56,884           5,427

 Low                     28,085        56,401           5,271      The Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to
                                                                   selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average,
 Close                   28,202        56,771           5,293      which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line,
 Prev. Close             28,134        56,578           5,397      -DI line and the +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                                   bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and
 % Change                 0.24%         0.34%          -1.93%
                                                                   29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517,
Source – MCX                                                       26347 and 25500 levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)                           MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56682. It
                       29/3/2012    28/3/2012          % Chg.
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra day high of 56884. However, it
                                                                   failed to sustain higher and corrected. It touched an intra-day low
 Gold (gms)             21,047.0      23,380.0         -9.98%      of 56401 level. It ended the day with modest gains to close at
 Silver (kgs)            1,652.3       1,810.2         -8.72%      56771.

 Crude (bbl)            17,571.9      15,351.7         14.46%
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Source – MCX                                                       averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line
                                                                   and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                           trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261
                                                                   while the supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels.
                       29/3/2012    28/3/2012          % Chg.

Gold                   592,601.3    659,212.0         -10.10%      MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5404 level.
Silver                 935,951.9   1,031,467.5         -9.26%      It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5427 level. However,
                                                                   it failed to sustain higher on back of selling pressure. It moved
Crude                  943,400.6    831,460.6         13.46%       lower to touch an intra day low of 5271. It ended the day with high
Source – MCX                                                       losses to close at 5293.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below its average. These
                                                                   conditions would lead to profit taking at and selling pressure.
                       30/3/2012    29/3/2012          % Chg.
                                                                   However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and would
Gold (oz)               1,662.00      1,652.20          0.59%      lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The +DI line, –DI line
                                                                   and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
Silver (oz)                32.30           31.99        0.96%
                                                                   trend. It faces resistance at 5305, 5498, 5550 and 5635 while the
Crude (bbl)              103.53        102.78           0.73%      supports are placed at 5232, 5182 and 5150 levels.
Dollar Index               78.87           79.19       -0.40%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close           Pivot Point            R1              R2        R3            S1            S2            S3

CRUDE APR 12                        5293                 5330          5390          5486        5642          5234          5174            5018

GOLD APR 12                        28202                28174         28264         28325       28476         28113         28023           27872

SILVER MAY 12                      56771                56685         56970         57168       57651         56487         56202           55719


                                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                     Monday                        Tuesday                    Wednesday                      Thursday
       Mar. 30                    Apr. 02                        Apr. 03                    Apr. 04                        Apr. 05
Consumer Sentiment        ISM Mfg Index                 FOMC Minutes                 ADP Employment                Jobless Claims
                                                        Announcement                 Report
Personal Income and       Construction Spending         Factory Orders               ISM Non-Mfg Index             Money Supply Data
Outlays
Chicago PMI               4-Week Bill                   Motor Vehicle Sales          EIA Petroleum Status          EIA Natural Gas Report
                          Announcement                                               Report




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
         th
        4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

Keynote commodity daily report 300312

  • 1.
    Daily Commodity Report 30th March 2012 MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28170. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 May-12) (19 Apr-12) moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28085. However, it managed a bounce back. It touched an intra-day high of 28236 Open 28,170 56,682 5,404 level. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 28202. High 28,236 56,884 5,427 Low 28,085 56,401 5,271 The Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average, Close 28,202 56,771 5,293 which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, Prev. Close 28,134 56,578 5,397 -DI line and the +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and % Change 0.24% 0.34% -1.93% 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, Source – MCX 26347 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56682. It 29/3/2012 28/3/2012 % Chg. moved higher to touch an intra day high of 56884. However, it failed to sustain higher and corrected. It touched an intra-day low Gold (gms) 21,047.0 23,380.0 -9.98% of 56401 level. It ended the day with modest gains to close at Silver (kgs) 1,652.3 1,810.2 -8.72% 56771. Crude (bbl) 17,571.9 15,351.7 14.46% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Turnover (In Lacs) trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. 29/3/2012 28/3/2012 % Chg. Gold 592,601.3 659,212.0 -10.10% MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5404 level. Silver 935,951.9 1,031,467.5 -9.26% It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5427 level. However, it failed to sustain higher on back of selling pressure. It moved Crude 943,400.6 831,460.6 13.46% lower to touch an intra day low of 5271. It ended the day with high Source – MCX losses to close at 5293. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below its average. These conditions would lead to profit taking at and selling pressure. 30/3/2012 29/3/2012 % Chg. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and would Gold (oz) 1,662.00 1,652.20 0.59% lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The +DI line, –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Silver (oz) 32.30 31.99 0.96% trend. It faces resistance at 5305, 5498, 5550 and 5635 while the Crude (bbl) 103.53 102.78 0.73% supports are placed at 5232, 5182 and 5150 levels. Dollar Index 78.87 79.19 -0.40% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE APR 12 5293 5330 5390 5486 5642 5234 5174 5018 GOLD APR 12 28202 28174 28264 28325 28476 28113 28023 27872 SILVER MAY 12 56771 56685 56970 57168 57651 56487 56202 55719 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2.
    US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Mar. 30 Apr. 02 Apr. 03 Apr. 04 Apr. 05 Consumer Sentiment ISM Mfg Index FOMC Minutes ADP Employment Jobless Claims Announcement Report Personal Income and Construction Spending Factory Orders ISM Non-Mfg Index Money Supply Data Outlays Chicago PMI 4-Week Bill Motor Vehicle Sales EIA Petroleum Status EIA Natural Gas Report Announcement Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3.
    Disclaimer This document isnot for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com