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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                    23rd July 2012

                                                               MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened lower at 29278 and
                    Gold         Silver         Crude
                   (4 Aug-12)   (5 Sep-12)    (20 Aug-12)
                                                               managed to move up further to touch an intra-day high of 29295.
                                                               However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an
 Open                 29,278        52,864         5,086       intra-day low of 29133. It ended the day on a flat note to close the
 High                 29,295        52,864         5,098       day at 29277.

 Low                  29,272        52,797         5,081       The RSI and the stochastic have moved above their respective
 Close                29,277        52,842         5,093       averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX line, +DI
                                                               line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
 Prev. Close          29,287        52,872         5,091
                                                               trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29668, 30179, 30340, 30428
 % Change             -0.03%        -0.06%         0.04%       and 31000, while the supports are placed at 28859, 28765 and
                                                               27962 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                               MCX SILVER (5 SEPT 12) - Silver opened higher at 52864.
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                               Incidentally, this is the highest price recorded for the day. However,
                    21/7/2012    20/7/2012        % Chg.       it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low
                                                               of 52797. It ended the day flat to close at 52842.
 Gold (gms)           1,225.0     32,068.0       -96.18%

 Silver (kgs)            31.5       1,657.1      -98.10%       The RSI and the stochastic have moved above their respective
                                                               averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX line, +DI
 Crude (bbl)            505.7     23,161.7       -97.82%
                                                               line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
Source – MCX                                                   trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53675, 54570, 55551, 56157
                                                               and 57737 while the supports are placed at 51559, 51029, and
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                          50252 levels.

                    21/7/2012    20/7/2012        % Chg.       MCX CRUDE (20 August 12) - Crude opened lower at 5086 level
Gold                 35,867.2    937,307.2       -96.17%
                                                               and moved further lower to touch an intra-day low of 5081.
                                                               However, it managed to move higher to touch an intra-day high of
Silver               16,640.7    872,637.5       -98.09%       5098. It ended the day flat to close at 5093.
Crude                25,728.2   1,177,059.9      -97.81%
                                                               The Stochastic has slipped below its average. Moreover the
Source – MCX                                                   Stochastic and RSI both are placed in the over bought zone. These
                                                               conditions would lead to selling pressure and profit taking at regular
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                      intervals. However, the RSI is still placed above its average, which
                    23/7/2012    21/7/2012        % Chg.       would lead to buying support. The +DI line and ADX line are moving
                                                               higher, while the –DI line is moving lower. The +DI line remains
Gold (oz)            1,578.40     1,582.80        -0.28%
                                                               placed above the 36 level and has come off its recent highs,
Silver (oz)             27.06        27.28        -0.82%       indicating buyers are booking profits at regular intervals. It faces
Crude (bbl)             90.51        91.83        -1.44%       resistance at 5184, 5217 and 5290 while the supports are placed at
                                                               4777, 4737 and 4681.
Dollar Index            83.68        83.48         0.25%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                       Intra-day Resistance                  Intra-day Support
          Commodities             Close         Pivot Point            R1          R2           R3        S1          S2           S3

 CRUDE AUG 12                      5093                 5091         5100        5108         5125      5083        5074         5057

 GOLD AUG 12                      29277               29281         29291       29304         29327    29268       29258         29235

 SILVER SEP 12                    52842               52834         52872       52901         52968    52805       52767         52700

                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                        The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028.. Tel: 3026 6000
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

       Monday                      Tuesday                 Wednesday                 Thursday                   Friday
        Jul 23                      Jul 24                   Jul 25                   Jul 26                    Jul 27
Chicago Fed National        Richmond Fed             New Home Sales            Jobless Claims           GDP Data
Activity Index              Manufacturing Index
4-Week Bill                 PMI Manufacturing        EIA Petroleum Status      Durable Goods Orders     Consumer Sentiment
Announcement                Index Flash              Report
3-Month Bill Auction        ICSC-Goldman Store       MBA Purchase              Pending Home Sales
                            Sales                    Applications              Index




                                                     Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                       The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028.. Tel: 3026 6000
                                                     www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                       The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028.. Tel: 3026 6000
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Keynote commodity daily report 230712

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 23rd July 2012 MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened lower at 29278 and Gold Silver Crude (4 Aug-12) (5 Sep-12) (20 Aug-12) managed to move up further to touch an intra-day high of 29295. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an Open 29,278 52,864 5,086 intra-day low of 29133. It ended the day on a flat note to close the High 29,295 52,864 5,098 day at 29277. Low 29,272 52,797 5,081 The RSI and the stochastic have moved above their respective Close 29,277 52,842 5,093 averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Prev. Close 29,287 52,872 5,091 trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29668, 30179, 30340, 30428 % Change -0.03% -0.06% 0.04% and 31000, while the supports are placed at 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (5 SEPT 12) - Silver opened higher at 52864. Volume (In 000's) Incidentally, this is the highest price recorded for the day. However, 21/7/2012 20/7/2012 % Chg. it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 52797. It ended the day flat to close at 52842. Gold (gms) 1,225.0 32,068.0 -96.18% Silver (kgs) 31.5 1,657.1 -98.10% The RSI and the stochastic have moved above their respective averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX line, +DI Crude (bbl) 505.7 23,161.7 -97.82% line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Source – MCX trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53675, 54570, 55551, 56157 and 57737 while the supports are placed at 51559, 51029, and Turnover (In Lacs) 50252 levels. 21/7/2012 20/7/2012 % Chg. MCX CRUDE (20 August 12) - Crude opened lower at 5086 level Gold 35,867.2 937,307.2 -96.17% and moved further lower to touch an intra-day low of 5081. However, it managed to move higher to touch an intra-day high of Silver 16,640.7 872,637.5 -98.09% 5098. It ended the day flat to close at 5093. Crude 25,728.2 1,177,059.9 -97.81% The Stochastic has slipped below its average. Moreover the Source – MCX Stochastic and RSI both are placed in the over bought zone. These conditions would lead to selling pressure and profit taking at regular Global Market (Nymex - $) intervals. However, the RSI is still placed above its average, which 23/7/2012 21/7/2012 % Chg. would lead to buying support. The +DI line and ADX line are moving higher, while the –DI line is moving lower. The +DI line remains Gold (oz) 1,578.40 1,582.80 -0.28% placed above the 36 level and has come off its recent highs, Silver (oz) 27.06 27.28 -0.82% indicating buyers are booking profits at regular intervals. It faces Crude (bbl) 90.51 91.83 -1.44% resistance at 5184, 5217 and 5290 while the supports are placed at 4777, 4737 and 4681. Dollar Index 83.68 83.48 0.25% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE AUG 12 5093 5091 5100 5108 5125 5083 5074 5057 GOLD AUG 12 29277 29281 29291 29304 29327 29268 29258 29235 SILVER SEP 12 52842 52834 52872 52901 52968 52805 52767 52700 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028.. Tel: 3026 6000 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Jul 23 Jul 24 Jul 25 Jul 26 Jul 27 Chicago Fed National Richmond Fed New Home Sales Jobless Claims GDP Data Activity Index Manufacturing Index 4-Week Bill PMI Manufacturing EIA Petroleum Status Durable Goods Orders Consumer Sentiment Announcement Index Flash Report 3-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store MBA Purchase Pending Home Sales Sales Applications Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028.. Tel: 3026 6000 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028.. Tel: 3026 6000 www.keynotecapitals.com