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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                   6th March 2013

                     Gold            Silver           Crude       MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) –
 05-Mar-13
 Expiry             5-Apr-13         4-May-13         19-Mar-13   Gold opened lower at 29649. It managed to move higher and
 Open                 29,649           54,905             4,955   touched an intra-day high of 29753. However, it failed to sustain
                                                                  higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29556. It
 High                 29,753           55,435             4,990
                                                                  ended the day with modest losses to close at 29569.
 Low                  29,556           54,665             4,955
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                29,569           54,713             4,977   averages, which would lead to buying support. The –DI line and
                                                                  ADX line are placed above the +DI line and above the 30 level,
 Prev. Close          29,668           54,820             4,951
                                                                  indicating sellers have an upper hand but it has also come off its
 % Change             -0.33%           -0.20%            0.53%    recent highs, indicating sellers are also covering their shorts
Source – MCX                                                      regularly. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30000, 30150, 30475, and
                                                                  30916 while the support levels are placed at 29500, 29142 and
                    Volume (In 000's)                             28765.

                    5-Mar-13         4-Mar-13           % Chg.    MCX SILVER (4 MAY 13) –
 Gold (gms)         39,094.0          27,980.0          39.72%    Silver opened higher at 54905 and moved further higher to touch
 Silver (kgs)         1,807.7          1,356.5          33.25%    an intra-day high of 55435. However, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                                  moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54665. It ended the day
 Crude (bbl)        13,906.8          19,035.6         -26.94%
                                                                  with modest losses to close at 54713.
Source – MCX
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                  averages, which would lead to buying support. . The –DI line and
                   Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                  ADX line are placed above the +DI line and above the 31 level,
                    5-Mar-13         4-Mar-13           % Chg.    indicating sellers have an upper hand but it has also come off its
                                                                  recent highs, indicating sellers are also covering their shorts
Gold              1,159,056.9        830,344.2          39.59%    regularly. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55952, 56372, and
Silver             995,257.9         743,887.7          33.79%    56613 while the supports are placed at 53621, 52622, 51660,
                                                                  51201 and 50218 levels.
Crude              691,570.4         948,145.8         -27.06%

Source – MCX                                                      MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 13) –

                Global Market (Nymex - $)                         Crude opened higher at 4955 Incidentally, this was the lowest price
                                                                  recorded for the day. However, it managed to move higher and
                       04/03/2013     02/02/2013         % Chg.   touched an intra-day high of 4990. It ended the day with moderate
                                                                  gains to close the day at 4977.
Gold (oz)                1,577.90        1,574.90         0.19%

Silver (oz)                  28.76            28.61       0.52%   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                  averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI line and
WTI Crude (bbl)              91.07            90.82       0.28%
                                                                  ADX line are placed above the +DI line and above the 32 level,
Brent Crude (bbl)           111.98        111.59          0.35%   indicating sellers have an upper hand but it has also come off its
Dollar Index                 81.95            82.07      -0.15%
                                                                  recent highs, indicating sellers are also covering their shorts
                                                                  regularly. MCX Crude faces resistance at 4989, 5065, 5085, 5122
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                         and 5157, while the supports are placed at 4834 and 4776, 4652
                                                                  and 4593.

                                                                  Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research)
                                                                  Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
                                                                  NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                  Basis


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Oil soars to $111 as China growth hope spurs buying
Oil rose towards $111 per barrel on Tuesday, bucking a five-day losing streak after China's vow to deliver strong
economic growth sparked fresh buying. Gains were limited, however, as investors eyed a raft of medium-term
concerns, including rising supplies, a fiscal crisis in the US and the deepening downturn in the euro zone. Brent crude
futures rose 66 cents to $110.75 per barrel at 1022 GMT, while US crude added 31 cents to $90.43.
Gold snaps 4-day decline on expectations of easy money
Gold firmed on Tuesday to snap four sessions of decline, with investors expecting major central banks to stick to loose
monetary policy at meetings later this week, supporting bullion's appeal as a hedge against inflation.
Copper futures rise on global cues, spot demand
Buoyed by a firm global trend and increased domestic demand, copper prices rose marginally by 0.10% to Rs 435.35
per kg in futures trade today.
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

  Countries /               Wednesday                          Thursday                           Friday

    Regions                    06/13                             07/13                            08/13

     India           M3 Money Supply (Mar 3)                                          Bank Loan Growth (Feb 17)

                                                                                       FX Reserves, USD (Feb 24)




      US            Factory Orders (MoM) (Jan)          Bank Stress Test Info          Unemployment Rate (Feb)

                            ADP Employment                                              Average Hourly Earnings
                                                        Unit Labor Costs (Q4)
                           Change (Feb)                                                       (YoY) (Feb)
                                                      Consumer Credit Change
                                                              (Jan)



                    European Monetary Union          European Monetary Union
    Global           Gross Domestic Product          ECB Interest Rate Decision        China Trade Balance (Feb)
                     s.a. (YoY) (Q4)Preliminar                (Mar 7)
                                                     European Monetary Union
                                                                                          Germany Industrial
                             UK BoE's Governor         ECB Monetary policy
                                                                                      Production s.a. w.d.a. (YoY)
                            King Speech                statement and press
                                                                                                 (Jan)
                                                            conference
                                                                                         Japan Bank of Japan
                                                                                       Monthly Economic Survey




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 060313

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 6th March 2013 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) – 05-Mar-13 Expiry 5-Apr-13 4-May-13 19-Mar-13 Gold opened lower at 29649. It managed to move higher and Open 29,649 54,905 4,955 touched an intra-day high of 29753. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29556. It High 29,753 55,435 4,990 ended the day with modest losses to close at 29569. Low 29,556 54,665 4,955 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 29,569 54,713 4,977 averages, which would lead to buying support. The –DI line and ADX line are placed above the +DI line and above the 30 level, Prev. Close 29,668 54,820 4,951 indicating sellers have an upper hand but it has also come off its % Change -0.33% -0.20% 0.53% recent highs, indicating sellers are also covering their shorts Source – MCX regularly. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30000, 30150, 30475, and 30916 while the support levels are placed at 29500, 29142 and Volume (In 000's) 28765. 5-Mar-13 4-Mar-13 % Chg. MCX SILVER (4 MAY 13) – Gold (gms) 39,094.0 27,980.0 39.72% Silver opened higher at 54905 and moved further higher to touch Silver (kgs) 1,807.7 1,356.5 33.25% an intra-day high of 55435. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54665. It ended the day Crude (bbl) 13,906.8 19,035.6 -26.94% with modest losses to close at 54713. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support. . The –DI line and Turnover (In Lacs) ADX line are placed above the +DI line and above the 31 level, 5-Mar-13 4-Mar-13 % Chg. indicating sellers have an upper hand but it has also come off its recent highs, indicating sellers are also covering their shorts Gold 1,159,056.9 830,344.2 39.59% regularly. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55952, 56372, and Silver 995,257.9 743,887.7 33.79% 56613 while the supports are placed at 53621, 52622, 51660, 51201 and 50218 levels. Crude 691,570.4 948,145.8 -27.06% Source – MCX MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 13) – Global Market (Nymex - $) Crude opened higher at 4955 Incidentally, this was the lowest price recorded for the day. However, it managed to move higher and 04/03/2013 02/02/2013 % Chg. touched an intra-day high of 4990. It ended the day with moderate gains to close the day at 4977. Gold (oz) 1,577.90 1,574.90 0.19% Silver (oz) 28.76 28.61 0.52% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI line and WTI Crude (bbl) 91.07 90.82 0.28% ADX line are placed above the +DI line and above the 32 level, Brent Crude (bbl) 111.98 111.59 0.35% indicating sellers have an upper hand but it has also come off its Dollar Index 81.95 82.07 -0.15% recent highs, indicating sellers are also covering their shorts regularly. MCX Crude faces resistance at 4989, 5065, 5085, 5122 Source – www.cmegroup.com and 5157, while the supports are placed at 4834 and 4776, 4652 and 4593. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research) Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Oil soars to $111 as China growth hope spurs buying Oil rose towards $111 per barrel on Tuesday, bucking a five-day losing streak after China's vow to deliver strong economic growth sparked fresh buying. Gains were limited, however, as investors eyed a raft of medium-term concerns, including rising supplies, a fiscal crisis in the US and the deepening downturn in the euro zone. Brent crude futures rose 66 cents to $110.75 per barrel at 1022 GMT, while US crude added 31 cents to $90.43. Gold snaps 4-day decline on expectations of easy money Gold firmed on Tuesday to snap four sessions of decline, with investors expecting major central banks to stick to loose monetary policy at meetings later this week, supporting bullion's appeal as a hedge against inflation. Copper futures rise on global cues, spot demand Buoyed by a firm global trend and increased domestic demand, copper prices rose marginally by 0.10% to Rs 435.35 per kg in futures trade today. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Wednesday Thursday Friday Regions 06/13 07/13 08/13 India M3 Money Supply (Mar 3) Bank Loan Growth (Feb 17) FX Reserves, USD (Feb 24) US Factory Orders (MoM) (Jan) Bank Stress Test Info Unemployment Rate (Feb) ADP Employment Average Hourly Earnings Unit Labor Costs (Q4) Change (Feb) (YoY) (Feb) Consumer Credit Change (Jan) European Monetary Union European Monetary Union Global Gross Domestic Product ECB Interest Rate Decision China Trade Balance (Feb) s.a. (YoY) (Q4)Preliminar (Mar 7) European Monetary Union Germany Industrial UK BoE's Governor ECB Monetary policy Production s.a. w.d.a. (YoY) King Speech statement and press (Jan) conference Japan Bank of Japan Monthly Economic Survey Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com