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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                28th February 2013

                     Gold           Silver             Crude       MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) –
 27-Feb-13
 Expiry             5-Apr-13        5-Mar-13           19-Mar-13   Gold opened lower at 30030. Incidentally, this was the highest
 Open                 30,030             54,500            5,019   price recorded for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low
                                                                   of 29716. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 29743.
 High                 30,030             54,500            5,035
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Low                  29,716             53,680            4,986
                                                                   averages, which would lead to buying support. Though the –DI line
 Close                29,743             53,786            5,007   and ADX line are placed above the +DI line and are also placed
                                                                   above the 29 level, these are falling and have come off their recent
 Prev. Close          30,092             54,582            5,028
                                                                   highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts regularly. MCX Gold
 % Change             -1.16%             -1.46%          -0.42%    faces resistance at 30000, 30150, 30475, and 30916 while the
Source – MCX                                                       support levels are placed at 29500, 29142 and 28765.

                                                                   MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) –
                    Volume (In 000's)

                   27-Feb-13       26-Feb-13             % Chg.    Silver opened lower at 54500 Incidentally, this was the highest
                                                                   price recorded for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low
 Gold (gms)          38,917.0           56,840.0        -31.53%    of 53680. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 53786.
 Silver (kgs)         1,644.8            2,456.2        -33.03%
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Crude (bbl)         19,714.2           22,687.4        -13.11%    averages, which would lead to buying support. Though the –DI line
                                                                   and ADX line are placed above the +DI line and are also placed
Source – MCX
                                                                   above the 30 level, these are falling and have come off their recent
                                                                   highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts regularly. MCX Silver
                   Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                   faces resistance at 55952, 56372, and 56613 while the supports
                   27-Feb-13       26-Feb-13             % Chg.    are placed at 53621, 52622 and 51660 levels.

Gold              1,162,454.2     1,695,381.1           -31.43%    MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 13) –
Silver              888,884.5     1,326,949.2           -33.01%
                                                                   Crude opened lower at 5019 and moved further lower to touch an
Crude               987,782.2     1,141,064.3           -13.43%    intra-day low of 4986. However, it managed to bounce back from
Source – MCX                                                       lows for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of
                                                                   5035. It still ended the day with modest losses to close the day at
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                          5007.
                          27/02/201        26/02/201         %     The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
                                  3                3       Chg.
                                                                   pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and
Gold (oz)                   1,598.60        1,595.70      0.18%    in the over sold zone along with RSI, which would lead to short
Silver (oz)                     29.10          28.98      0.41%    covering and buying support at lower levels. Though the –DI line
                                                                   and ADX line are placed above the +DI line. The –DI line is placed
WTI Crude (bbl)                 93.09          92.76      0.36%
                                                                   above the 37 level, indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX
Brent Crude (bbl)            112.28           111.87      0.37%    Crude faces resistance at 5065, 5085, 5122, 5157 and 5250, while
Dollar Index                    81.52          81.58     -0.07%    the supports are placed at 4989, 4834 and 4776.
Source – www.cmegroup.com
                                                                   Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research)
                                                                   Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
                                                                   NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                   Basis




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Gold rallies on heavy demand, silver recovers
Gold prices rallied further at the bullion market here today on heavy demand from stockists and investors supported by
higher global cues. Silver also recovered smartly on good speculative offtake amidst renewed industrial buying.
WTI oil rebounds from 2013 low
West Texas Intermediate rose on Wednesday from its lowest level this year. Futures gained as much as 0.5%. Iranian
nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili said negotiations with the US and its partners will resume next month in Istanbul as
discussions in Almaty, Kazakhstan, concluded. Americans and others made no offer to ease oil or financial sanctions
on Iran, said a US official, asking not to be identified.
Crude inventories climbed by 9,04,000 barrels last week to 373.4 million, the highest level since December, the
American Petroleum Institute (API) said on Tuesday.
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

  Countries /                 Thursday                           Friday                          Monday

    Regions                    28/13                             01/13                            04/13

                      Gross Domestic Product
     India                                            FX Reserves, USD (Feb 17)
                        Quarterly (YoY) (Q4)
                    Infrastructure Output (YoY)
                               (Jan)e
                               Federal Fiscal
                          Deficit, INR (Jan)



                     Gross Domestic Product           Markit Manufacturing PMI
      US
                        Annualized (Q4)                        (Feb)
                             Core Personal
                                                       Personal Income (MoM)
                    Consumption Expenditures
                                                                (Jan)
                           (QoQ) (Q4)
                     Initial Jobless Claims (Feb
                                  24)



                      Japan Capital Spending          European Monetary Union         European Monetary Union
    Global
                              (Q4)                    Unemployment Rate (Jan)            Eurogroup meeting
                                                                                      European Monetary Union
                         UK Gfk Consumer                 Great Britain Markit
                                                                                      Sentix Investor Confidence
                         Confidence (Feb)              Manufacturing PMI (Feb)
                                                                                                 (Mar)




                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 280213

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 28th February 2013 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) – 27-Feb-13 Expiry 5-Apr-13 5-Mar-13 19-Mar-13 Gold opened lower at 30030. Incidentally, this was the highest Open 30,030 54,500 5,019 price recorded for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29716. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 29743. High 30,030 54,500 5,035 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Low 29,716 53,680 4,986 averages, which would lead to buying support. Though the –DI line Close 29,743 53,786 5,007 and ADX line are placed above the +DI line and are also placed above the 29 level, these are falling and have come off their recent Prev. Close 30,092 54,582 5,028 highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts regularly. MCX Gold % Change -1.16% -1.46% -0.42% faces resistance at 30000, 30150, 30475, and 30916 while the Source – MCX support levels are placed at 29500, 29142 and 28765. MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) – Volume (In 000's) 27-Feb-13 26-Feb-13 % Chg. Silver opened lower at 54500 Incidentally, this was the highest price recorded for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low Gold (gms) 38,917.0 56,840.0 -31.53% of 53680. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 53786. Silver (kgs) 1,644.8 2,456.2 -33.03% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Crude (bbl) 19,714.2 22,687.4 -13.11% averages, which would lead to buying support. Though the –DI line and ADX line are placed above the +DI line and are also placed Source – MCX above the 30 level, these are falling and have come off their recent highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts regularly. MCX Silver Turnover (In Lacs) faces resistance at 55952, 56372, and 56613 while the supports 27-Feb-13 26-Feb-13 % Chg. are placed at 53621, 52622 and 51660 levels. Gold 1,162,454.2 1,695,381.1 -31.43% MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 13) – Silver 888,884.5 1,326,949.2 -33.01% Crude opened lower at 5019 and moved further lower to touch an Crude 987,782.2 1,141,064.3 -13.43% intra-day low of 4986. However, it managed to bounce back from Source – MCX lows for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5035. It still ended the day with modest losses to close the day at Global Market (Nymex - $) 5007. 27/02/201 26/02/201 % The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling 3 3 Chg. pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and Gold (oz) 1,598.60 1,595.70 0.18% in the over sold zone along with RSI, which would lead to short Silver (oz) 29.10 28.98 0.41% covering and buying support at lower levels. Though the –DI line and ADX line are placed above the +DI line. The –DI line is placed WTI Crude (bbl) 93.09 92.76 0.36% above the 37 level, indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX Brent Crude (bbl) 112.28 111.87 0.37% Crude faces resistance at 5065, 5085, 5122, 5157 and 5250, while Dollar Index 81.52 81.58 -0.07% the supports are placed at 4989, 4834 and 4776. Source – www.cmegroup.com Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research) Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Gold rallies on heavy demand, silver recovers Gold prices rallied further at the bullion market here today on heavy demand from stockists and investors supported by higher global cues. Silver also recovered smartly on good speculative offtake amidst renewed industrial buying. WTI oil rebounds from 2013 low West Texas Intermediate rose on Wednesday from its lowest level this year. Futures gained as much as 0.5%. Iranian nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili said negotiations with the US and its partners will resume next month in Istanbul as discussions in Almaty, Kazakhstan, concluded. Americans and others made no offer to ease oil or financial sanctions on Iran, said a US official, asking not to be identified. Crude inventories climbed by 9,04,000 barrels last week to 373.4 million, the highest level since December, the American Petroleum Institute (API) said on Tuesday. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Regions 28/13 01/13 04/13 Gross Domestic Product India FX Reserves, USD (Feb 17) Quarterly (YoY) (Q4) Infrastructure Output (YoY) (Jan)e Federal Fiscal Deficit, INR (Jan) Gross Domestic Product Markit Manufacturing PMI US Annualized (Q4) (Feb) Core Personal Personal Income (MoM) Consumption Expenditures (Jan) (QoQ) (Q4) Initial Jobless Claims (Feb 24) Japan Capital Spending European Monetary Union European Monetary Union Global (Q4) Unemployment Rate (Jan) Eurogroup meeting European Monetary Union UK Gfk Consumer Great Britain Markit Sentix Investor Confidence Confidence (Feb) Manufacturing PMI (Feb) (Mar) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com