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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              11th April 2012
                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28360. It
                       Gold         Silver           Crude
                      (5 Jun-12)   (5 May-12)      (19 Apr-12)     moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28320 but managed to
                                                                   bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-
 Open                    28,360        56,040           5,238      day high of 28678 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to
 High                    28,678        56,400           5,303      close at 28633.
 Low                     28,320        55,701           5,222
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                   28,633        56,267           5,231      averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
 Prev. Close             28,329        55,902           5,238      Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone. This would lead to
                                                                   profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI line lie are
 % Change                 1.07%        0.65%           -0.13%      moving sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 35.62 level
Source – MCX                                                       indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces
                                                                   resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are
                       Volume (In 000's)                           placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels.

                       10/4/2012     9/4/2012          % Chg.
                                                                   MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56040. It
 Gold (gms)             37,096.0     23,596.0          57.21%      moved lower to touch an intra day low of 55701 but managed to
                                                                   bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-
 Silver (kgs)            1,913.6      1,484.7          28.89%
                                                                   day high of 56400 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to
 Crude (bbl)            18,001.9     11,109.2          62.04%      close at 56267.
Source – MCX
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                   average, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, +DI
                                                                   line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
                       10/4/2012     9/4/2012          % Chg.      trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57480, 61708, 65159 and
                                                                   66261 while the supports are placed at 56157, 55551, 51029 and
Gold                 1,055,537.1    668,539.8          57.89%      50252 levels.
Silver               1,073,004.3    832,449.6          28.90%
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened unchanged at 5238
Crude                  945,931.7    580,641.1         62.91%
                                                                   level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5303. however,
Source – MCX                                                       it failed to sustain higher due to selling pressure and profit taking.
                                                                   It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5222. It ended the day
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                       with marginal losses to close at 5231.
                       11/4/2012    10/4/2012          % Chg.
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Gold (oz)               1,655.50     1,659.50          -0.24%      averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, –DI
                                                                   line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
Silver (oz)                31.54           31.68       -0.44%
                                                                   trend. It faces resistance at 5232, 5305, 5498 and 5550 while the
Crude (bbl)              101.28        101.02           0.26%      supports are placed at 5182, 5150 and 5095 levels.
Dollar Index               79.82           79.86       -0.06%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close           Pivot Point
                                                                          R1              R2        R3            S1            S2            S3

CRUDE APR 12                        5231                 5252          5282          5333        5414          5201          5171            5090

GOLD JUN 12                        28633                28544         28767         28902       29260         28409         28186           27828

SILVER MAY 12                      56267                56123         56544         56822       57521         55845         55424           54725


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

    Wednesday                    Thursday                        Friday                      Monday                        Tuesday
       Apr. 11                     Apr. 12                      Apr. 13                       Apr. 16                       Apr. 17

Import and Export         International Trade           Consumer Price Index         Retail Sales Data             Industrial Production
Prices

EIA Petroleum Status      Jobless Claims                Consumer Sentiment           Housing Market Index          Housing Starts
Report

Treasury Budget           Producer Price Index          Ben Bernanke                 Business Inventories          ICSC-Goldman Store
                                                        Speech                                                     Sales




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        4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 110412

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 11th April 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28360. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 May-12) (19 Apr-12) moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28320 but managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra- Open 28,360 56,040 5,238 day high of 28678 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to High 28,678 56,400 5,303 close at 28633. Low 28,320 55,701 5,222 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 28,633 56,267 5,231 averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Prev. Close 28,329 55,902 5,238 Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone. This would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI line lie are % Change 1.07% 0.65% -0.13% moving sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 35.62 level Source – MCX indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are Volume (In 000's) placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels. 10/4/2012 9/4/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56040. It Gold (gms) 37,096.0 23,596.0 57.21% moved lower to touch an intra day low of 55701 but managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra- Silver (kgs) 1,913.6 1,484.7 28.89% day high of 56400 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to Crude (bbl) 18,001.9 11,109.2 62.04% close at 56267. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Turnover (In Lacs) average, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound 10/4/2012 9/4/2012 % Chg. trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57480, 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157, 55551, 51029 and Gold 1,055,537.1 668,539.8 57.89% 50252 levels. Silver 1,073,004.3 832,449.6 28.90% MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened unchanged at 5238 Crude 945,931.7 580,641.1 62.91% level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5303. however, Source – MCX it failed to sustain higher due to selling pressure and profit taking. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5222. It ended the day Global Market (Nymex - $) with marginal losses to close at 5231. 11/4/2012 10/4/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,655.50 1,659.50 -0.24% averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Silver (oz) 31.54 31.68 -0.44% trend. It faces resistance at 5232, 5305, 5498 and 5550 while the Crude (bbl) 101.28 101.02 0.26% supports are placed at 5182, 5150 and 5095 levels. Dollar Index 79.82 79.86 -0.06% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE APR 12 5231 5252 5282 5333 5414 5201 5171 5090 GOLD JUN 12 28633 28544 28767 28902 29260 28409 28186 27828 SILVER MAY 12 56267 56123 56544 56822 57521 55845 55424 54725 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Apr. 11 Apr. 12 Apr. 13 Apr. 16 Apr. 17 Import and Export International Trade Consumer Price Index Retail Sales Data Industrial Production Prices EIA Petroleum Status Jobless Claims Consumer Sentiment Housing Market Index Housing Starts Report Treasury Budget Producer Price Index Ben Bernanke Business Inventories ICSC-Goldman Store Speech Sales Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com