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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                       10th February 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28197. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (20 Feb-12)     lower to touch an intra-day low of 28197. However, it managed a
                                                                 bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of
 Open                    28,197        56,836         4,882
                                                                 28511. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 28357.
 High                    28,511        57,724         4,953

 Low                     28,197        56,831         4,882      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                   28,357        57,177         4,942      averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support.
                                                                 The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating
 Prev. Close             28,176        56,821         4,875
                                                                 a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212
 % Change                 0.64%        0.63%          1.37%      and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and
Source – MCX                                                     25500 levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)                         MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 56836. It moved
                        9/2/2012     8/2/2012        % Chg.      lower to touch an intra-day low of 56831. However, it managed a
                                                                 bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of
 Gold (gms)             42,403.0     40,843.0         3.82%
                                                                 57724. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 57177.
 Silver (kgs)            2,231.3       2,320.6       -3.85%

 Crude (bbl)            14,726.1     16,065.8        -8.34%      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
Source – MCX                                                     averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support.
                                                                 The -DI line is moving sideways, however, the ADX line and +DI line
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                         are placed above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength
                                                                 MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708,
                        9/2/2012     8/2/2012        % Chg.      while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.
Gold                 1,202,809.5   1,157,071.3        3.95%

Silver               1,277,761.3   1,329,725.6       -3.91%      MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4882 level.
                                                                 Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to
Crude                  725,236.7    786,010.4        -7.73%      touch an intra-day high of 4953. It ended the day with moderate
Source – MCX                                                     gains to close at 4942.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                     The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                       10/2/2012     9/2/2012        % Chg.      averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering
                                                                 and buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over
Gold (oz)               1,733.50     1,739.00        -0.32%
                                                                 bought zone and would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The
Silver (oz)                33.90        33.88         0.05%      ADX line, +DI and –DI line are moving sideways. It faces resistance
Crude (bbl)                99.60        99.84        -0.24%      at 4877, 4903, 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the
                                                                 supports are placed at 4670, 4493 and 4421 levels.
Dollar Index               78.69        78.62         0.09%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point             R1            R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4942                    4926         4969          4997        5068          4898         4855        4784

 GOLD APR 12                          28357                 28355         28513          28669       28983        28199         28041       27727

 SILVER MAR 12                        57177                 57244         57657          58137       59030        56764         56351       55458


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                       Monday                        Tuesday                    Wednesday                      Thursday
       Feb. 10                      Feb. 13                       Feb. 14                     Feb. 15                        Feb. 16
International Trade         4-Week Bill                   Retail Sales Data            Industrial Production         Jobless Claims
Data                        Announcement
Consumer Sentiment          3-Month Bill Auction          Import and Export            FOMC Meeting                  Housing Starts
                                                          Prices                       Minutes
Treasury Budget             6-Month Bill Auction          Business Inventories         Housing Market Index          Producer Price Index




                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
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would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
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use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 100212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 10th February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28197. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 28197. However, it managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of Open 28,197 56,836 4,882 28511. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 28357. High 28,511 57,724 4,953 Low 28,197 56,831 4,882 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 28,357 57,177 4,942 averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating Prev. Close 28,176 56,821 4,875 a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 % Change 0.64% 0.63% 1.37% and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and Source – MCX 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 56836. It moved 9/2/2012 8/2/2012 % Chg. lower to touch an intra-day low of 56831. However, it managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of Gold (gms) 42,403.0 40,843.0 3.82% 57724. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 57177. Silver (kgs) 2,231.3 2,320.6 -3.85% Crude (bbl) 14,726.1 16,065.8 -8.34% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. The -DI line is moving sideways, however, the ADX line and +DI line Turnover (In Lacs) are placed above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, 9/2/2012 8/2/2012 % Chg. while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. Gold 1,202,809.5 1,157,071.3 3.95% Silver 1,277,761.3 1,329,725.6 -3.91% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4882 level. Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to Crude 725,236.7 786,010.4 -7.73% touch an intra-day high of 4953. It ended the day with moderate Source – MCX gains to close at 4942. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective 10/2/2012 9/2/2012 % Chg. averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over Gold (oz) 1,733.50 1,739.00 -0.32% bought zone and would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The Silver (oz) 33.90 33.88 0.05% ADX line, +DI and –DI line are moving sideways. It faces resistance Crude (bbl) 99.60 99.84 -0.24% at 4877, 4903, 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports are placed at 4670, 4493 and 4421 levels. Dollar Index 78.69 78.62 0.09% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4942 4926 4969 4997 5068 4898 4855 4784 GOLD APR 12 28357 28355 28513 28669 28983 28199 28041 27727 SILVER MAR 12 57177 57244 57657 58137 59030 56764 56351 55458 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Feb. 10 Feb. 13 Feb. 14 Feb. 15 Feb. 16 International Trade 4-Week Bill Retail Sales Data Industrial Production Jobless Claims Data Announcement Consumer Sentiment 3-Month Bill Auction Import and Export FOMC Meeting Housing Starts Prices Minutes Treasury Budget 6-Month Bill Auction Business Inventories Housing Market Index Producer Price Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com