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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           22nd February 2012

                                                                MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28149. It moved
                       Gold         Silver        Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)   (19 Mar-12)
                                                                lower to touch an intra day low of 28137. However, it managed to
                                                                bounce back from the lows to touch an intra-day high of 28435. It
 Open                    28,149        56,348         5,209     ended the day with moderate gains to close at 28380.
 High                    28,435        57,300         5,240
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Low                     28,137        56,242         5,181
                                                                averages and would lead to buying support at regular intervals. The
 Close                   28,380        57,157         5,219     ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a
 Prev. Close             28,158        56,320         5,213
                                                                range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212
                                                                and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and
 % Change                 0.79%        1.49%          0.12%     25500 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 56348. It
                       Volume (In 000's)                        moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56242. However, it
                                                                managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day
                       21/2/2012    20/2/2012       % Chg.      high of 57300. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at
 Gold (gms)             38,016.0      6,193.0      513.85%      57157.

 Silver (kgs)            1,717.4        306.5      460.43%
                                                                The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying
 Crude (bbl)            11,619.1      4,143.0      180.45%      support. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and
Source – MCX                                                    would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line
                                                                and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend.
                                                                MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708,
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.
                       21/2/2012    20/2/2012       % Chg.
                                                                MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened lower at 5209 level. It
Gold                 1,076,165.7    174,328.8      517.32%
                                                                moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56242. However, it
Silver                 974,896.6    172,533.8      465.05%      managed a bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch
                                                                an intra-day high of 5240. It ended the day with marginal gains to
Crude                  604,649.8    216,224.1      179.64%
                                                                close at 5219.
Source – MCX
                                                                The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to regular
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                    bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below
                       22/2/2012    21/2/2012       % Chg.      its average. More so both RSI and Stochastic are placed around the
                                                                over bought zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking.
Gold (oz)               1,754.60     1,757.10        -0.14%     The ADX line, and –DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line is
Silver (oz)                34.22        34.43        -0.62%     placed at 35.07 indicating buyers are gaining strength. It faces
                                                                resistance at, 5318, 5366 and 5462, while the supports are placed
Crude (bbl)              105.88        103.24         2.56%
                                                                at 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels.
Dollar Index               79.14        79.11         0.04%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                  Intra-day Resistance                  Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point            R1            R2            R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE MAR 12                          5219                   5213         5246          5272         5331          5187         5154        5095

 GOLD APR 12                         28380                  28317        28498          28615        28913        28200         28019       27721

 SILVER MAR 12                       57157                  56900        57557          57958        59016        56499         55842       54784


                                                                Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

     Wednesday                     Thursday                      Friday                        Monday                       Tuesday
      Feb. 22                       Feb. 23                      Feb. 24                       Feb. 27                      Feb. 28
Existing Home Sales        Jobless Claims                New Home Sales               Pending Home Sales            Durable Goods Orders
                                                                                      Index
Bank Reserve               EIA Petroleum Status          Consumer Sentiment           Dallas Fed Mfg Survey         Consumer Confidence
Settlement                 Report
ICSC-Goldman Store         Money Supply Data                                          4-Week Bill                   S&P Case-Shiller HPI
Sales                                                                                 Announcement




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 220212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 22nd February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28149. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Mar-12) lower to touch an intra day low of 28137. However, it managed to bounce back from the lows to touch an intra-day high of 28435. It Open 28,149 56,348 5,209 ended the day with moderate gains to close at 28380. High 28,435 57,300 5,240 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Low 28,137 56,242 5,181 averages and would lead to buying support at regular intervals. The Close 28,380 57,157 5,219 ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a Prev. Close 28,158 56,320 5,213 range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and % Change 0.79% 1.49% 0.12% 25500 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 56348. It Volume (In 000's) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56242. However, it managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day 21/2/2012 20/2/2012 % Chg. high of 57300. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at Gold (gms) 38,016.0 6,193.0 513.85% 57157. Silver (kgs) 1,717.4 306.5 460.43% The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying Crude (bbl) 11,619.1 4,143.0 180.45% support. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and Source – MCX would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, Turnover (In Lacs) while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. 21/2/2012 20/2/2012 % Chg. MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened lower at 5209 level. It Gold 1,076,165.7 174,328.8 517.32% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56242. However, it Silver 974,896.6 172,533.8 465.05% managed a bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5240. It ended the day with marginal gains to Crude 604,649.8 216,224.1 179.64% close at 5219. Source – MCX The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to regular Global Market (Nymex - $) bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below 22/2/2012 21/2/2012 % Chg. its average. More so both RSI and Stochastic are placed around the over bought zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. Gold (oz) 1,754.60 1,757.10 -0.14% The ADX line, and –DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line is Silver (oz) 34.22 34.43 -0.62% placed at 35.07 indicating buyers are gaining strength. It faces resistance at, 5318, 5366 and 5462, while the supports are placed Crude (bbl) 105.88 103.24 2.56% at 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels. Dollar Index 79.14 79.11 0.04% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5219 5213 5246 5272 5331 5187 5154 5095 GOLD APR 12 28380 28317 28498 28615 28913 28200 28019 27721 SILVER MAR 12 57157 56900 57557 57958 59016 56499 55842 54784 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Feb. 22 Feb. 23 Feb. 24 Feb. 27 Feb. 28 Existing Home Sales Jobless Claims New Home Sales Pending Home Sales Durable Goods Orders Index Bank Reserve EIA Petroleum Status Consumer Sentiment Dallas Fed Mfg Survey Consumer Confidence Settlement Report ICSC-Goldman Store Money Supply Data 4-Week Bill S&P Case-Shiller HPI Sales Announcement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com