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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                          5th July 2011

        Indices               Close      % Chg.       Mirroring the positive set of global market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                  18814.48      0.28       markets witnessed a firm opening. The markets moved higher
 S&P CNX NIFTY               5650.50       0.41       but faltered around the 5700 level on back of profit taking and
 NIFTY JULY FUT.             5665.85       0.48       selling pressure. Buying support was witnessed at lower
 India VIX                    18.17        -0.21
                                                      levels. However, the market trend remained range bound and
                                                      lackluster as volume remained tepid. The markets remained
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                range bound for the rest of the day. The markets ended the
                   Level 1   Level 2      Level 3
                                                      day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day.
                                                      The top gainers for the day were DLF, Rel. Infra, Kotak bank,
Support             5600      5500         5364
                                                      PNB, IDFC, GAIL, Axis Bank, Rel. Capital and Dr. Reddys.
Resistance          5750      5885         5911
                                                      Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst
             Volume (Lacs Shares)                     lower volumes. The global market set of cues are mix.
                  04/07/11   01/07/11     % Chg.      The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening.
BSE                3260       2767         17.82      The Nifty remains placed above the 5600 positive, which
NSE                5683       6356        -10.59      augurs well for the markets. The positive divergence
Total              8943       9123         -1.98      pattern continues to hold good and is providing the
Source – BSE & NSE                                    necessary impetus for the currently rally. The MACD, RSI
                                                      and KST are comfortably placed in the positive and
              Turnover ( ` Crores)
                                                      above their respective averages on the daily charts,
                  04/07/11   01/07/11     % Chg.
                                                      which would lead to regular bouts of buying support. The
BSE               3004.05    2756.53       8.98       +DI line remains placed above the 30 level indicating
NSE               9965.78    11133.06     -10.48      buyers have an upper hand but the ADX and the –DI line
NSE F&O           65447.26   74840.87     -12.55      remain sideways. However, a few technical negatives
Total             78417.09   88730.46     -11.62      continue to hold good. The Stochastic has breached its
Source – BSE & NSE                                    average and is placed in the over bought zone on the
             Market Breadth (NSE)
                                                      daily charts, which would lead to regular bouts of profit
                                                      taking and selling pressure. The 50-day SMA remains
Advances                       972
                                                      placed below the 100-day SMA, which is a short-term
Declines                       473
                                                      negative sign. In all likelihood the Nifty is likely to test its
Same                            67                    200-day SMA, which is placed around the 5750 level. If
Total                         1512                    the markets manage to move and sustain above it then
A/D Ratio                    2.05 : 1                 the current rally would get extended and Nifty could test
Source – NSE                                          5900 levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take
      Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   cues from the news flow on monsoon, crude prices and
50 Day SMA                   5514.82
                                                      the global markets. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
                                        ◄Negative     5600, 5500, 5364, 5262 and 5175. The Nifty faces resistance
100 Day SMA                  5549.91
                                                      at the 5750, 5885 and 5911 levels.
200 Day SMA                  5748.02    ◄Negative

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices              Close        Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                     18814                18846       18911      19007          19167         18750        18686         18525
S&P CNX NIFTY                   5651                 5654        5676        5701          5748          5629          5608         5561
NIFTY JULY FUT.                 5666                 5666        5690        5714          5761          5642          5618         5571

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)


                                                                                     Stop
                                                     Initiation        Stop          Loss                   Target
    Stock               CMP           Action           Price          Loss *          (%)      Target        (%)             Remarks
APIL                     537.85    Buy Above                546             532        2.56         577          5.68
Bajaj Hind.               74.30    Buy Above                  76              71       6.58           85        11.84
Educomp                  406.95    Buy Above                411             393        4.38         450          9.49
* Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis.




                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               th
              4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                               www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report 050711

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 5th July 2011 Indices Close % Chg. Mirroring the positive set of global market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 18814.48 0.28 markets witnessed a firm opening. The markets moved higher S&P CNX NIFTY 5650.50 0.41 but faltered around the 5700 level on back of profit taking and NIFTY JULY FUT. 5665.85 0.48 selling pressure. Buying support was witnessed at lower India VIX 18.17 -0.21 levels. However, the market trend remained range bound and lackluster as volume remained tepid. The markets remained S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels range bound for the rest of the day. The markets ended the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were DLF, Rel. Infra, Kotak bank, Support 5600 5500 5364 PNB, IDFC, GAIL, Axis Bank, Rel. Capital and Dr. Reddys. Resistance 5750 5885 5911 Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst Volume (Lacs Shares) lower volumes. The global market set of cues are mix. 04/07/11 01/07/11 % Chg. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. BSE 3260 2767 17.82 The Nifty remains placed above the 5600 positive, which NSE 5683 6356 -10.59 augurs well for the markets. The positive divergence Total 8943 9123 -1.98 pattern continues to hold good and is providing the Source – BSE & NSE necessary impetus for the currently rally. The MACD, RSI and KST are comfortably placed in the positive and Turnover ( ` Crores) above their respective averages on the daily charts, 04/07/11 01/07/11 % Chg. which would lead to regular bouts of buying support. The BSE 3004.05 2756.53 8.98 +DI line remains placed above the 30 level indicating NSE 9965.78 11133.06 -10.48 buyers have an upper hand but the ADX and the –DI line NSE F&O 65447.26 74840.87 -12.55 remain sideways. However, a few technical negatives Total 78417.09 88730.46 -11.62 continue to hold good. The Stochastic has breached its Source – BSE & NSE average and is placed in the over bought zone on the Market Breadth (NSE) daily charts, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. The 50-day SMA remains Advances 972 placed below the 100-day SMA, which is a short-term Declines 473 negative sign. In all likelihood the Nifty is likely to test its Same 67 200-day SMA, which is placed around the 5750 level. If Total 1512 the markets manage to move and sustain above it then A/D Ratio 2.05 : 1 the current rally would get extended and Nifty could test Source – NSE 5900 levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY cues from the news flow on monsoon, crude prices and 50 Day SMA 5514.82 the global markets. The support levels for Nifty are placed at ◄Negative 5600, 5500, 5364, 5262 and 5175. The Nifty faces resistance 100 Day SMA 5549.91 at the 5750, 5885 and 5911 levels. 200 Day SMA 5748.02 ◄Negative Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18814 18846 18911 19007 19167 18750 18686 18525 S&P CNX NIFTY 5651 5654 5676 5701 5748 5629 5608 5561 NIFTY JULY FUT. 5666 5666 5690 5714 5761 5642 5618 5571 Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock CMP Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks APIL 537.85 Buy Above 546 532 2.56 577 5.68 Bajaj Hind. 74.30 Buy Above 76 71 6.58 85 11.84 Educomp 406.95 Buy Above 411 393 4.38 450 9.49 * Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com