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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              11th May 2012
                                                                MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28640. It moved
                    Gold          Silver          Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)    (5 Jul-12)     (21 May-12)     lower to touch an intra-day low of 28300. However, it managed to
                                                                bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra-day high of
 Open                 28,640         55,000          5,206      28640. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 28446.
 High                 28,640         55,000          5,209
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
 Low                  28,300         54,370          5,135
                                                                averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the
 Close                28,446         54,568          5,182      Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to
                                                                short covering at regular intervals. The ADX line and the +DI line
 Prev. Close          28,678         55,159          5,213
                                                                are moving sideways but the -DI line is currently placed at 34.88
 % Change             -0.81%        -1.07%          -0.59%      indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces
Source – MCX                                                    resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are
                                                                placed at 28084, 27557 and 26517 levels.
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55000.
                    10/5/2012      9/5/2012         % Chg.      Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower
                                                                to touch an intra-day low of 54370. It ended the day with moderate
 Gold (gms)          33,980.0      45,200.0        -24.82%
                                                                losses to close at 54568.
 Silver (kgs)         1,379.7       2,231.4        -38.17%
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
 Crude (bbl)         15,101.1      22,943.6        -34.18%
                                                                averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The
Source – MCX                                                    ADX line, –DI and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                                bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737,
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                           61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252
                                                                and 48562 levels.
                    10/5/2012      9/5/2012         % Chg.

Gold                966,425.6   1,290,836.3        -25.13%      MCX CRUDE (21 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5206 level. It
                                                                moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5135. However, it
Silver              753,904.4   1,220,099.9        -38.21%      managed to bounce back and moved higher. It touched an intra-
Crude               781,508.6   1,190,893.2        -34.38%      day high of 5209. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at
                                                                5182.
Source – MCX
                                                                The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                       pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average but
                    11/5/2012     10/5/2012         % Chg.      is still placed in the over sold zone, while the RSI is on verge of
                                                                moving in the over sold territory. These conditions would lead to
Gold (oz)            1,587.00      1,595.10         -0.51%      short covering and buying at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI
Silver (oz)             28.87           29.15       -0.98%      line are moving sideways. The -DI line is placed at 37.96 level and
                                                                has come off the highs indicating sellers have started covering their
Crude (bbl)             96.00           97.08       -1.11%
                                                                shorts at regular intervals. It faces resistance at 5264, 5392 and
Dollar Index            80.25           80.11        0.17%      5600, while the supports are placed at 5160, 5057 and 4905 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities            Close           Pivot Point           R1           R2           R3            S1              S2        S3

CRUDE MAY 12                     5182                 5175          5216         5249         5323         5142          5101         5027

GOLD JUN 12                     28446                28462         28624       28802         29142        28284         28122        27782

SILVER JUL 12                   54568                54646         54922       55276         55906        54292         54016        53386


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                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                   Monday                      Tuesday                    Wednesday                     Thursday
       May 11                   May 14                       May 15                     May 16                        May 17
Producer Price Index    4-Week Bill                  Consumer Price Index        Industrial Production        Jobless Claims
                        Announcement
Consumer Sentiment      3-Month Bill Auction         Retail Sales Data           Housing Starts               Bloomberg Consumer
                                                                                                              Comfort Index
                        6-Month Bill Auction         Housing Market Index        FOMC Minutes                 E-Commerce Retail
                                                                                 Announcements                Sales




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                The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com
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would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 110512

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 11th May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28640. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (21 May-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 28300. However, it managed to bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra-day high of Open 28,640 55,000 5,206 28640. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 28446. High 28,640 55,000 5,209 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Low 28,300 54,370 5,135 averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Close 28,446 54,568 5,182 Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX line and the +DI line Prev. Close 28,678 55,159 5,213 are moving sideways but the -DI line is currently placed at 34.88 % Change -0.81% -1.07% -0.59% indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces Source – MCX resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557 and 26517 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55000. 10/5/2012 9/5/2012 % Chg. Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54370. It ended the day with moderate Gold (gms) 33,980.0 45,200.0 -24.82% losses to close at 54568. Silver (kgs) 1,379.7 2,231.4 -38.17% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Crude (bbl) 15,101.1 22,943.6 -34.18% averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The Source – MCX ADX line, –DI and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, Turnover (In Lacs) 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels. 10/5/2012 9/5/2012 % Chg. Gold 966,425.6 1,290,836.3 -25.13% MCX CRUDE (21 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5206 level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5135. However, it Silver 753,904.4 1,220,099.9 -38.21% managed to bounce back and moved higher. It touched an intra- Crude 781,508.6 1,190,893.2 -34.38% day high of 5209. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5182. Source – MCX The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling Global Market (Nymex - $) pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average but 11/5/2012 10/5/2012 % Chg. is still placed in the over sold zone, while the RSI is on verge of moving in the over sold territory. These conditions would lead to Gold (oz) 1,587.00 1,595.10 -0.51% short covering and buying at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI Silver (oz) 28.87 29.15 -0.98% line are moving sideways. The -DI line is placed at 37.96 level and has come off the highs indicating sellers have started covering their Crude (bbl) 96.00 97.08 -1.11% shorts at regular intervals. It faces resistance at 5264, 5392 and Dollar Index 80.25 80.11 0.17% 5600, while the supports are placed at 5160, 5057 and 4905 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5182 5175 5216 5249 5323 5142 5101 5027 GOLD JUN 12 28446 28462 28624 28802 29142 28284 28122 27782 SILVER JUL 12 54568 54646 54922 55276 55906 54292 54016 53386 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday May 11 May 14 May 15 May 16 May 17 Producer Price Index 4-Week Bill Consumer Price Index Industrial Production Jobless Claims Announcement Consumer Sentiment 3-Month Bill Auction Retail Sales Data Housing Starts Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index 6-Month Bill Auction Housing Market Index FOMC Minutes E-Commerce Retail Announcements Sales Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com