Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              10th May 2012
                                                                MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28606. It moved
                    Gold          Silver          Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)    (5 Jul-12)     (21 May-12)     lower to touch an intra-day low of 28453. However, it managed to
                                                                bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra-day high of
 Open                 28,606         55,036          5,175      28728. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 28678.
 High                 28,728         55,290          5,224
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
 Low                  28,453         54,272          5,155      averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure.
 Close                28,678         55,159          5,213      However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which
                                                                would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX line and
 Prev. Close          28,651         55,135          5,175      the +DI line are moving sideways but the -DI line has moved above
 % Change              0.09%         0.04%           0.73%      the 30 level and is currently placed at 34.11 indicating sellers are
                                                                gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212
Source – MCX
                                                                and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557 and
                                                                26517 levels.
                    Volume (In 000's)

                     9/5/2012      8/5/2012         % Chg.
                                                                MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55036. It
                                                                moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54272. However, it
 Gold (gms)          45,200.0      50,070.0         -9.73%      managed to bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra-day
 Silver (kgs)         2,231.4       2,148.0          3.88%
                                                                high of 55290. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at
                                                                55159.
 Crude (bbl)         22,943.6      19,811.5         15.81%
Source – MCX
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their their respective
                                                                averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The
                                                                ADX line, –DI and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                   Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737,
                     9/5/2012      8/5/2012         % Chg.      61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252
                                                                and 48562 levels.
Gold              1,290,836.3   1,439,149.4        -10.31%
                                                                MCX CRUDE (21 May 12) - Crude opened unchanged at 5175
Silver            1,220,099.9   1,184,521.6          3.00%
                                                                level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54272. However,
Crude             1,190,893.2   1,023,333.0         16.37%      it managed to bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra-
Source – MCX
                                                                day high of 55290. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at
                                                                5213.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                       The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
                    10/5/2012      9/5/2012         % Chg.      pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and
                                                                is still placed in the over sold zone, while the RSI is on verge of
Gold (oz)            1,592.90      1,594.20         -0.08%      moving in the over sold territory. These conditions would lead to
Silver (oz)             29.14           29.20       -0.21%      short covering and buying at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI
                                                                line are moving sideways. The -DI line is placed at 38.85 level and
Crude (bbl)             96.69           96.81       -0.12%
                                                                has come off the highs indicating sellers have started covering their
Dollar Index            80.10           80.08        0.02%      shorts at higher levels. It faces resistance at 5264, 5392 and 5600,
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                       while the supports are placed at 5160, 5057 and 4905 levels.

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities            Close           Pivot Point           R1           R2           R3            S1              S2        S3

CRUDE MAY 12                     5213                 5197          5240         5266         5335         5171          5128         5059

GOLD JUN 12                     28678                28620         28786       28895         29170        28511         28345        28070

SILVER JUL 12                   55159                54907         55542       55925         56943        54524         53889        52871


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                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
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      Thursday                    Friday                      Monday                      Tuesday                   Wednesday
       May 10                     May 11                      May 14                       May 15                    May 16
Jobless Claims           Producer Price Index         4-Week Bill                 Consumer Price Index         Industrial Production
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Import and Export                                     6-Month Bill Auction        Housing Market Index         FOMC Minutes
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                 The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.


                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

Keynote commodity daily report 100512

  • 1.
    Daily Commodity Report 10th May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28606. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (21 May-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 28453. However, it managed to bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra-day high of Open 28,606 55,036 5,175 28728. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 28678. High 28,728 55,290 5,224 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Low 28,453 54,272 5,155 averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. Close 28,678 55,159 5,213 However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX line and Prev. Close 28,651 55,135 5,175 the +DI line are moving sideways but the -DI line has moved above % Change 0.09% 0.04% 0.73% the 30 level and is currently placed at 34.11 indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 Source – MCX and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557 and 26517 levels. Volume (In 000's) 9/5/2012 8/5/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55036. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54272. However, it Gold (gms) 45,200.0 50,070.0 -9.73% managed to bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra-day Silver (kgs) 2,231.4 2,148.0 3.88% high of 55290. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 55159. Crude (bbl) 22,943.6 19,811.5 15.81% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their their respective averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, –DI and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range Turnover (In Lacs) bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 9/5/2012 8/5/2012 % Chg. 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels. Gold 1,290,836.3 1,439,149.4 -10.31% MCX CRUDE (21 May 12) - Crude opened unchanged at 5175 Silver 1,220,099.9 1,184,521.6 3.00% level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54272. However, Crude 1,190,893.2 1,023,333.0 16.37% it managed to bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra- Source – MCX day high of 55290. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5213. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling 10/5/2012 9/5/2012 % Chg. pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and is still placed in the over sold zone, while the RSI is on verge of Gold (oz) 1,592.90 1,594.20 -0.08% moving in the over sold territory. These conditions would lead to Silver (oz) 29.14 29.20 -0.21% short covering and buying at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. The -DI line is placed at 38.85 level and Crude (bbl) 96.69 96.81 -0.12% has come off the highs indicating sellers have started covering their Dollar Index 80.10 80.08 0.02% shorts at higher levels. It faces resistance at 5264, 5392 and 5600, Source – www.cmegroup.com while the supports are placed at 5160, 5057 and 4905 levels. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5213 5197 5240 5266 5335 5171 5128 5059 GOLD JUN 12 28678 28620 28786 28895 29170 28511 28345 28070 SILVER JUL 12 55159 54907 55542 55925 56943 54524 53889 52871 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2.
    US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday May 10 May 11 May 14 May 15 May 16 Jobless Claims Producer Price Index 4-Week Bill Consumer Price Index Industrial Production Announcement International Trade Consumer Sentiment 3-Month Bill Auction Retail Sales Data Housing Starts Import and Export 6-Month Bill Auction Housing Market Index FOMC Minutes Prices Announcements Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3.
    Disclaimer This document isnot for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com