Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           12th January 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27595. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (19 Jan-12)
                                                                 lower to touch an intra-day low of 27585. However, it managed to
                                                                 pull back in the evening session. It moved higher to touch an intra-
 Open                    27,595        52,663         5,316      day high of 27736. It ended the day with modest gains to close at
 High                    27,736        52,968         5,316      27657.

 Low                     27,585        52,230         5,234
                                                                 The RSI has moved above its average, which would result in buying
 Close                   27,657        52,607         5,285      support. However, the Stochastic is still placed below its average
 Prev. Close             27,537        52,566         5,318
                                                                 but in the over sold zone and would lead to intermediate bouts of
                                                                 short covering at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI line are
 % Change                 0.44%        0.08%         -0.62%      moving sideways, while the -DI line is placed at 35.90 level
Source – MCX                                                     indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resistance
                                                                 at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed
                       Volume (In 000's)                         at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.

                       11/1/2012    10/1/2012       % Chg.       MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52633. It moved
 Gold (gms)             37,308.0     49,303.0       -24.33%      higher to touch an intra-day high of 52968. However, it failed to
                                                                 sustain and moved lower on back of selling pressure and touched
 Silver (kgs)            1,819.3       2,339.8      -22.25%      an intra-day low of 52230. It ended the day with modest flat to close
 Crude (bbl)            18,245.0     16,836.7         8.36%      at 52607.
Source – MCX
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                 averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support.
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                 The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating
                       11/1/2012    10/1/2012       % Chg.       a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184,
                                                                 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477
Gold                 1,031,604.0   1,358,335.6      -24.05%      and 45824 levels.
Silver                 957,987.2   1,227,811.1      -21.98%
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened lower at 5316 level.
Crude                  962,381.6    898,722.0         7.08%
                                                                 Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It failed to sustain
Source – MCX                                                     and moved lower on back of selling pressure. It touched an intra-
                                                                 day low of 5234. It ended the day with modest losses to close the
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                     day at 5285.

                       12/1/2012    11/1/2012       % Chg.
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Gold (oz)               1,644.70     1,639.60         0.31%      averages, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling
                                                                 pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways,
Silver (oz)                30.04        29.89         0.49%
                                                                 indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5380, 5464,
Crude (bbl)              101.45        100.87         0.57%      5475 and 5500 levels, while the supports are placed at 5200, 5174
Dollar Index               81.24        81.26        -0.02%      and 5115 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                             Intra-day Resistance                       Intra-day Support
 Commodities                       Close          Pivot Point             R1             R2         R3            S1            S2          S3

 CRUDE JAN 12                          5285                    5278         5323          5360        5442          5241         5196        5114

 GOLD FEB 12                          27657                 27659         27734          27810       27961        27583         27508       27357

 SILVER MAR 12                        52607                 52602         52973          53340       54078        52235         51864       51126


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                               www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Thursday                      Friday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday                     Thursday
       Jan. 12                      Jan. 13                       Jan. 17                     Jan. 18                       Jan. 19
Jobless Claims             International Trade           Empire State Mfg             Producer Price Index          Consumer Price Index
                                                         Survey
Retail Sales               Consumer Sentiment            10-Yr Note Settlement        Industrial Production         Housing Starts

Business Inventories       Import and Export             6-Month Bill Auction         Housing Market Index          Jobless Claims
                           Prices




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

Keynote commodity daily report 120112

  • 1.
    Daily Commodity Report 12th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27595. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 27585. However, it managed to pull back in the evening session. It moved higher to touch an intra- Open 27,595 52,663 5,316 day high of 27736. It ended the day with modest gains to close at High 27,736 52,968 5,316 27657. Low 27,585 52,230 5,234 The RSI has moved above its average, which would result in buying Close 27,657 52,607 5,285 support. However, the Stochastic is still placed below its average Prev. Close 27,537 52,566 5,318 but in the over sold zone and would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI line are % Change 0.44% 0.08% -0.62% moving sideways, while the -DI line is placed at 35.90 level Source – MCX indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed Volume (In 000's) at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. 11/1/2012 10/1/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52633. It moved Gold (gms) 37,308.0 49,303.0 -24.33% higher to touch an intra-day high of 52968. However, it failed to sustain and moved lower on back of selling pressure and touched Silver (kgs) 1,819.3 2,339.8 -22.25% an intra-day low of 52230. It ended the day with modest flat to close Crude (bbl) 18,245.0 16,836.7 8.36% at 52607. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. Turnover (In Lacs) The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating 11/1/2012 10/1/2012 % Chg. a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184, 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 Gold 1,031,604.0 1,358,335.6 -24.05% and 45824 levels. Silver 957,987.2 1,227,811.1 -21.98% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened lower at 5316 level. Crude 962,381.6 898,722.0 7.08% Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It failed to sustain Source – MCX and moved lower on back of selling pressure. It touched an intra- day low of 5234. It ended the day with modest losses to close the Global Market (Nymex - $) day at 5285. 12/1/2012 11/1/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,644.70 1,639.60 0.31% averages, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, Silver (oz) 30.04 29.89 0.49% indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5380, 5464, Crude (bbl) 101.45 100.87 0.57% 5475 and 5500 levels, while the supports are placed at 5200, 5174 Dollar Index 81.24 81.26 -0.02% and 5115 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5285 5278 5323 5360 5442 5241 5196 5114 GOLD FEB 12 27657 27659 27734 27810 27961 27583 27508 27357 SILVER MAR 12 52607 52602 52973 53340 54078 52235 51864 51126 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2.
    US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Jan. 12 Jan. 13 Jan. 17 Jan. 18 Jan. 19 Jobless Claims International Trade Empire State Mfg Producer Price Index Consumer Price Index Survey Retail Sales Consumer Sentiment 10-Yr Note Settlement Industrial Production Housing Starts Business Inventories Import and Export 6-Month Bill Auction Housing Market Index Jobless Claims Prices Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3.
    Disclaimer This document isnot for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com