BINOMIAL
PROBABILITY
DISTRIBUTION
BASICS & TERMINOLOGY:
 Outcome:- The end result of an experiment.
 Random experiment:- Experiments whose outcomes are not
predictable.
 Random Event:- A random event is an outcome or set of
outcomes of a random experiment that share a common attribute.
 Sample space:- The sample space is an exhaustive list of all
the possible outcomes of an experiment, which is usually denoted
by S.
 Random Variables.
 Discrete Random Variable .
 Continuous Random Variable.
 Bernoulli Trial:
A trial having only two possible outcomes is called
Bernoulli trials.
example:
 success or failure
 head or tail
 Binomial Distribution:-
The Binomial Distribution describes discrete , not
continuous, data, resulting from an experiment known
as Bernoulli process.
A binomial experiment is one that
possesses the following properties:
 The experiment consists of n repeated trials;
 Each trial results in an outcome that may be classified as a success
or a failure (hence the name, binomial);
 The probability of a success, denoted by p, remains constant from trial
to trial and repeated trials are independent.
 The number of successes X in n trials of a binomial experiment is
called a binomial random variable.
 The probability distribution of the random variable X is called a
binomial distribution, and is given by the formula:
P(X) = Cn
xpxqn−x
EXAMPLE 1
A die is tossed 3 times. What is the probability of
(a) No fives turning up?
(b) 1 five?
(c) 3 fives?
EXAMPLE 2:
Hospital records show that of patients suffering from
a certain disease, 75% die of it. What is the
probability that of 6 randomly selected patients, 4 will
recover?
EXAMPLE 3:
In the old days, there was a probability of 0.8 of
success in any attempt to make a telephone call.
(This often depended on the importance of the person
making the call, or the operator's curiosity!)
Calculate the probability of having 7 successes in 10
attempts.
EXAMPLE 4:
The ratio of boys to girls at birth in Singapore is quite high at
1.09:1.
What proportion of Singapore families with exactly 6
children will have at least 3 boys?
(Ignore the probability of multiple births.)
[Interesting and disturbing trivia: In most countries the
ratio of boys to girls is about 1.04:1, but in China it is
1.15:1.]
EXAMPLE 5:
A manufacturer of metal pistons finds that on the average, 12% of his
pistons are rejected because they are either oversize or undersize.
What is the probability that a batch of 10 pistons will contain
(a) no more than 2 rejects?
(b) (b) at least 2 rejects?
BINOMIAL FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION
 If the binomial probability distribution is multiplied by
the number of experiment N then the distribution is
called binomial frequency distribution.
f(X=x)= N P(X=x)=N
𝑛
𝑥
qn
_x px
MEAN & VARIANCE:
Mean, µ = n*p
Std. Dev. s =
Variance, s 2 =n*p*q
Where
n = number of fixed trials
p = probability of success in one of the n trials
q = probability of failure in one of the n trials
 Binomial distributions describe the possible number of times that
a particular event will occur in a sequence of observations.
 They are used when we want to know about the occurrence of
an event, not its magnitude.
Example:
 In a clinical trial, a patient’s condition may improve or not. We
study the number of patients who improved, not how much better
they feel.
 Is a person ambitious or not? The binomial distribution describes
the number of ambitious persons, not how ambitious they are.
 In quality control we assess the number of defective items in a lot
of goods, irrespective of the type of defect.
Binomial probability distribution

Binomial probability distribution

  • 1.
  • 2.
    BASICS & TERMINOLOGY: Outcome:- The end result of an experiment.  Random experiment:- Experiments whose outcomes are not predictable.  Random Event:- A random event is an outcome or set of outcomes of a random experiment that share a common attribute.  Sample space:- The sample space is an exhaustive list of all the possible outcomes of an experiment, which is usually denoted by S.
  • 3.
     Random Variables. Discrete Random Variable .  Continuous Random Variable.  Bernoulli Trial: A trial having only two possible outcomes is called Bernoulli trials. example:  success or failure  head or tail
  • 4.
     Binomial Distribution:- TheBinomial Distribution describes discrete , not continuous, data, resulting from an experiment known as Bernoulli process.
  • 5.
    A binomial experimentis one that possesses the following properties:  The experiment consists of n repeated trials;  Each trial results in an outcome that may be classified as a success or a failure (hence the name, binomial);  The probability of a success, denoted by p, remains constant from trial to trial and repeated trials are independent.  The number of successes X in n trials of a binomial experiment is called a binomial random variable.  The probability distribution of the random variable X is called a binomial distribution, and is given by the formula: P(X) = Cn xpxqn−x
  • 6.
    EXAMPLE 1 A dieis tossed 3 times. What is the probability of (a) No fives turning up? (b) 1 five? (c) 3 fives?
  • 8.
    EXAMPLE 2: Hospital recordsshow that of patients suffering from a certain disease, 75% die of it. What is the probability that of 6 randomly selected patients, 4 will recover?
  • 10.
    EXAMPLE 3: In theold days, there was a probability of 0.8 of success in any attempt to make a telephone call. (This often depended on the importance of the person making the call, or the operator's curiosity!) Calculate the probability of having 7 successes in 10 attempts.
  • 12.
    EXAMPLE 4: The ratioof boys to girls at birth in Singapore is quite high at 1.09:1. What proportion of Singapore families with exactly 6 children will have at least 3 boys? (Ignore the probability of multiple births.) [Interesting and disturbing trivia: In most countries the ratio of boys to girls is about 1.04:1, but in China it is 1.15:1.]
  • 14.
    EXAMPLE 5: A manufacturerof metal pistons finds that on the average, 12% of his pistons are rejected because they are either oversize or undersize. What is the probability that a batch of 10 pistons will contain (a) no more than 2 rejects? (b) (b) at least 2 rejects?
  • 17.
    BINOMIAL FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION If the binomial probability distribution is multiplied by the number of experiment N then the distribution is called binomial frequency distribution. f(X=x)= N P(X=x)=N 𝑛 𝑥 qn _x px
  • 18.
    MEAN & VARIANCE: Mean,µ = n*p Std. Dev. s = Variance, s 2 =n*p*q Where n = number of fixed trials p = probability of success in one of the n trials q = probability of failure in one of the n trials
  • 19.
     Binomial distributionsdescribe the possible number of times that a particular event will occur in a sequence of observations.  They are used when we want to know about the occurrence of an event, not its magnitude. Example:  In a clinical trial, a patient’s condition may improve or not. We study the number of patients who improved, not how much better they feel.  Is a person ambitious or not? The binomial distribution describes the number of ambitious persons, not how ambitious they are.  In quality control we assess the number of defective items in a lot of goods, irrespective of the type of defect.