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AERO: a wind erosion modeling framework with
applications to monitoring data
Brandon L. Edwards, Nicholas P. Webb, Sarah E. McCord
USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range, Las Cruces, NM,USA
Rangeland Research Programs http://winderosionnetwork.org
What is AERO?
• The Aeolian Erosion Model (AERO) is an aeolian transport and dust
emission modeling environment
• Developed to provide a decision-support tool for land managers in
addition to a platform for basic research on aeolian processes
• Simulates size-resolved horizontal and vertical mass flux on the plot
scale from user inputs of meteorological, soil and vegetation data
• AERO addresses the need for a generalizable wind erosion model that
can be applied across different land cover settings
Motivation for development
• Non-standardized methods restrict analyses across US land
use and management systems
• Field monitoring and research often use sampling designs
that lack statistical rigor (frequently n = 1) and provide
insufficient coverage for broad scale assessments
• Models not tested across land use and land cover types –
model uncertainty unknown
• Clear need for a generalizable model with sufficient accuracy
or precision that can leverage current monitoring data
Q
(g/m/s)
F
(g/m2/s)
Soil texture and moisture
Incident wind
Vegetation structure
Conceptual diagram of AERO model structure. AERO uses inputs of
wind, soil and vegetation conditions to calculate horizontal and
vertical mass flux.
Design considerations
• Generalizable - mechanistic
• Readily available/easily
measured inputs
• Results applicable/meaningful on
scales relevant to current
management frameworks
Q
F
Model design
Physically based models of aeolian
transport inherently describe grain-scale
processes
AERO calculates threshold friction
velocity, horizontal flux and vertical flux at
this scale over a distribution of grain sizes
Defaults/best methods:
Threshold: Iverson and White 1982
Horizontal flux: Gillette and Passi 1988
Vertical emission scheme: Shao 2011
Scaling up to the plot
level?
AERO uses the Okin 2008 drag
partitioning scheme based on
vegetation structure to create
a distribution of friction
velocity values and associated
probabilities for a plot
When plot-level probabilities
of friction velocity are
combined with grain-scale
threshold and flux
probabilities, transport
predictions are scaled
upwards to plot-level
March 2017, Jornada experimental range Wind Erosion Network site
National Wind Erosion Research Network sites
Central Valley
Lordsburg
Playa
Fort Collins
Network Objectives:
Support research underpinning
monitoring, models, and management
Improve availability of decision-support
tools for managers/agencies
Facilitate collaboration to increase impact
of science, planning and policy
Network standard methods protocol
Standardization of methods and data
analysis is important for cross-site
assessments of wind erosion controls and
processes
100 m
TS
T
M
S10 m meteorological tower
MWAC sampler mast
Saltation particle counter
100m
R
R Rain gauge
Dust deposition traps
D
D
D
D
Vegetation transects
A1
A2
A3
B1
C1
D1
E1
F1
G1
H1
I1
B3
B2
C2
C3
D3 D2
E3
E2
F2
F3
G3
G2
H2
H3
I2
I3
Sample Group 1 Sample Group 2 Sample Group 3
JER
HAFB
Model software structure: open source,
customizable, flexible
• Coded in Python as a framework with separate modules for
calculation methods
• Simulations can be run for a single set of conditions, time series of
conditions, conditions over space, or a time series of conditions over
space
• Selects available calculation methods depending on user selected
order and suitability of inputs
• Key variables can be input as scalars, defined by descriptive statistics,
supplied as probability distributions, or remote sensing-derived
inputs and atmospheric data from the Weather Research and
Forecasting (WRF) weather prediction model
Model inputs: core methods
• AERO was developed for
compatibility with US Bureau of
Land Management Assessment,
Inventory and Monitoring (AIM) and
National Resources Conservation
Service National Resources
Inventory (NRI) monitoring data
collected using core methods
• Since 2003, the two programs have
sampled at >50,000 locations using
standardized methods consisting of
4 core indicators
Soil pits provide
soil structure and
surface soil
texture
information.
Line-point
intercept
provides
fractional
cover
estimates
Vegetation height
measurements
provide mean
vegetation height
for use in drag
partitioning
scheme
Canopy gap
measurements
describe the
distribution of
vegetation/
bare ground
across plots
Model inputs: meteorological conditions
• Observations
• Compare specific plot-level scenarios across conditions
• Time series of observations
• Event-based investigations
• PDF based on location
• Regional assessments
• Spatial or WRF input
• Regional scenarios with variable conditions, e.g. surface moisture
Model with user interface
NRI, LMF,
AIM Data
(DIMA,
TerrADat)
Soil geodatabase providing
parameters
Call atmospheric data by location
Provide user with estimates of sediment mass fluxes
AERO implementation with NRI, LMF and AIM data
Horizontal Flux
(g/m/s)
Dust Flux (g/m2/s)
Colorado Colorado
New Mexico New Mexico
Understanding differences
in potential fluxes relative
to management boundaries
is important for identifying
land use and management
actions that could
exacerbate dust emissions.
State and regional assessments
Management actions to benefit one resource may have negative
consequences for other biotic and abiotic processes. In New
Mexico, shrub removal treatments to benefit wildlife potentially
increase dust emissions which could negatively impact regional
air quality.
Assessing management trade-offs
Variability among ecoregions and MLRAs
• MLRA 24 (25) is one of the most fire-susceptible
MLRAs in the Great Basin.
• Heavy cheatgrass infestation following fire over
the last 20 years.
• AERO run on 3,137 AIM plots enables assessment
across Ecoregions and MLRAs, including fire
effects.
Drought, fire, and management effects
• In 2012 a 250,000 acre fire burnt in California
• Simultaneous severe drought
• BLM responded with drill and aerial seeding
treatments to facilitate recovery
• AIM data were collected to monitor fire and
treatment effects
Linking wind erosion to ecological sites
Benchmarks and management practices
% of plot with gaps > 100 cm
Frequency
Management objective
Where is development currently?
Progress:
Continuing to Build database of
meteorological, vegetation and
horizontal aeolian transport data
for model calibration and
refinement
Dust emission measurement
capabilities are currently being
added
Need:
Improve soil PSD database with
representative samples from
western US
Directions and goals
• Calibrate model using National Wind Erosion Network
(https://winderosionnetwork.org) data
• Produce multi-scale wind erosion assessments (plot to national level)
enabling regionalization of research and findings to support
management
• Leverage large-scale ecological datasets to evaluate responses to
management treatments and changes in land surface conditions
• Link model estimates to IMPROVE/AERONET data to interpret trends
• Incorporate wind erosion information into frameworks to support
systems-level analyses of management co-benefits and trade-offs
AERO application to dust mitigation
• Which landscapes are emitting dust, how much, and when?
• How will management activities impact dust emission?
• How is air quality impacted by land condition and management?
• What are the costs, co-benefits and trade-offs for management
practices and wind erosion mitigation options?

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Aero

  • 1. AERO: a wind erosion modeling framework with applications to monitoring data Brandon L. Edwards, Nicholas P. Webb, Sarah E. McCord USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range, Las Cruces, NM,USA Rangeland Research Programs http://winderosionnetwork.org
  • 2. What is AERO? • The Aeolian Erosion Model (AERO) is an aeolian transport and dust emission modeling environment • Developed to provide a decision-support tool for land managers in addition to a platform for basic research on aeolian processes • Simulates size-resolved horizontal and vertical mass flux on the plot scale from user inputs of meteorological, soil and vegetation data • AERO addresses the need for a generalizable wind erosion model that can be applied across different land cover settings
  • 3. Motivation for development • Non-standardized methods restrict analyses across US land use and management systems • Field monitoring and research often use sampling designs that lack statistical rigor (frequently n = 1) and provide insufficient coverage for broad scale assessments • Models not tested across land use and land cover types – model uncertainty unknown • Clear need for a generalizable model with sufficient accuracy or precision that can leverage current monitoring data
  • 4. Q (g/m/s) F (g/m2/s) Soil texture and moisture Incident wind Vegetation structure Conceptual diagram of AERO model structure. AERO uses inputs of wind, soil and vegetation conditions to calculate horizontal and vertical mass flux. Design considerations • Generalizable - mechanistic • Readily available/easily measured inputs • Results applicable/meaningful on scales relevant to current management frameworks
  • 5. Q F Model design Physically based models of aeolian transport inherently describe grain-scale processes AERO calculates threshold friction velocity, horizontal flux and vertical flux at this scale over a distribution of grain sizes Defaults/best methods: Threshold: Iverson and White 1982 Horizontal flux: Gillette and Passi 1988 Vertical emission scheme: Shao 2011
  • 6. Scaling up to the plot level? AERO uses the Okin 2008 drag partitioning scheme based on vegetation structure to create a distribution of friction velocity values and associated probabilities for a plot When plot-level probabilities of friction velocity are combined with grain-scale threshold and flux probabilities, transport predictions are scaled upwards to plot-level
  • 7. March 2017, Jornada experimental range Wind Erosion Network site
  • 8. National Wind Erosion Research Network sites Central Valley Lordsburg Playa Fort Collins Network Objectives: Support research underpinning monitoring, models, and management Improve availability of decision-support tools for managers/agencies Facilitate collaboration to increase impact of science, planning and policy
  • 9. Network standard methods protocol Standardization of methods and data analysis is important for cross-site assessments of wind erosion controls and processes 100 m TS T M S10 m meteorological tower MWAC sampler mast Saltation particle counter 100m R R Rain gauge Dust deposition traps D D D D Vegetation transects A1 A2 A3 B1 C1 D1 E1 F1 G1 H1 I1 B3 B2 C2 C3 D3 D2 E3 E2 F2 F3 G3 G2 H2 H3 I2 I3 Sample Group 1 Sample Group 2 Sample Group 3 JER HAFB
  • 10. Model software structure: open source, customizable, flexible • Coded in Python as a framework with separate modules for calculation methods • Simulations can be run for a single set of conditions, time series of conditions, conditions over space, or a time series of conditions over space • Selects available calculation methods depending on user selected order and suitability of inputs • Key variables can be input as scalars, defined by descriptive statistics, supplied as probability distributions, or remote sensing-derived inputs and atmospheric data from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) weather prediction model
  • 11. Model inputs: core methods • AERO was developed for compatibility with US Bureau of Land Management Assessment, Inventory and Monitoring (AIM) and National Resources Conservation Service National Resources Inventory (NRI) monitoring data collected using core methods • Since 2003, the two programs have sampled at >50,000 locations using standardized methods consisting of 4 core indicators
  • 12. Soil pits provide soil structure and surface soil texture information. Line-point intercept provides fractional cover estimates Vegetation height measurements provide mean vegetation height for use in drag partitioning scheme Canopy gap measurements describe the distribution of vegetation/ bare ground across plots
  • 13. Model inputs: meteorological conditions • Observations • Compare specific plot-level scenarios across conditions • Time series of observations • Event-based investigations • PDF based on location • Regional assessments • Spatial or WRF input • Regional scenarios with variable conditions, e.g. surface moisture
  • 14. Model with user interface NRI, LMF, AIM Data (DIMA, TerrADat) Soil geodatabase providing parameters Call atmospheric data by location Provide user with estimates of sediment mass fluxes AERO implementation with NRI, LMF and AIM data Horizontal Flux (g/m/s) Dust Flux (g/m2/s)
  • 15. Colorado Colorado New Mexico New Mexico Understanding differences in potential fluxes relative to management boundaries is important for identifying land use and management actions that could exacerbate dust emissions. State and regional assessments
  • 16. Management actions to benefit one resource may have negative consequences for other biotic and abiotic processes. In New Mexico, shrub removal treatments to benefit wildlife potentially increase dust emissions which could negatively impact regional air quality. Assessing management trade-offs
  • 17. Variability among ecoregions and MLRAs • MLRA 24 (25) is one of the most fire-susceptible MLRAs in the Great Basin. • Heavy cheatgrass infestation following fire over the last 20 years. • AERO run on 3,137 AIM plots enables assessment across Ecoregions and MLRAs, including fire effects.
  • 18. Drought, fire, and management effects • In 2012 a 250,000 acre fire burnt in California • Simultaneous severe drought • BLM responded with drill and aerial seeding treatments to facilitate recovery • AIM data were collected to monitor fire and treatment effects
  • 19. Linking wind erosion to ecological sites
  • 20. Benchmarks and management practices % of plot with gaps > 100 cm Frequency Management objective
  • 21. Where is development currently? Progress: Continuing to Build database of meteorological, vegetation and horizontal aeolian transport data for model calibration and refinement Dust emission measurement capabilities are currently being added Need: Improve soil PSD database with representative samples from western US
  • 22. Directions and goals • Calibrate model using National Wind Erosion Network (https://winderosionnetwork.org) data • Produce multi-scale wind erosion assessments (plot to national level) enabling regionalization of research and findings to support management • Leverage large-scale ecological datasets to evaluate responses to management treatments and changes in land surface conditions • Link model estimates to IMPROVE/AERONET data to interpret trends • Incorporate wind erosion information into frameworks to support systems-level analyses of management co-benefits and trade-offs
  • 23. AERO application to dust mitigation • Which landscapes are emitting dust, how much, and when? • How will management activities impact dust emission? • How is air quality impacted by land condition and management? • What are the costs, co-benefits and trade-offs for management practices and wind erosion mitigation options?