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Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) 1QFY11 % chg (qoq)
Net sales 884.6 781.1 13.2 995.4 (11.1)
Operating profit 113.3 88.1 28.6 125.8 (9.9)
Net profit 12.1 5.5 120.1 28.3 (57.1)
Source: Company, Angel Research
For 2QFY2011, HCC’s results were higher than our estimates primarily because
of the better-than-expected top-line and EBITDA margin growth leading to higher
bottom-line. We believe HCC’s stock performance depends on the Lavasa IPO,
which is expected to hit the markets in December this year, and is more of a real-
estate play rather a construction story. This is also visible from the performance of
its parent, which has been registering flattish performance since the last 3-4
years. Further, we believe that management is too optimistic in its valuation for
Lavasa. Hence, we remain Neutral on the stock.
Results better than estimates: HCC’s top line grew 13.2% to `884.6cr v/s our
estimate of `823cr. OPM stood at 12.8% (11.3%). Bottom-line grew 120.1% yoy
to `12.1cr. The robust bottom-line growth was mainly driven by better top-line
growth and margins, and aided by a low base.
Outlook and valuation: Lavasa has filed the DRHP to raise `2,000cr towards the
year end (diluting 10% stake), implying valuation of `20,000cr, which we believe
is too optimistic. Moreover, Lavasa has still to receive the environment clearance
along with land acquisition problems. Lavasa is in poor comparison to its other
large real estate pan-India peers, which are trading at a discount to their NAVs
and market caps, and are only factoring in near-term earnings. Also, with too
much paper supply (there are at least five large real estate companies, which
have filed their DRHP), we believe that investor interest in the sector would wane.
We have valued HCC on SOTP basis and assigned 14x FY2012E earnings
(standalone). The real estate venture has been valued on NAV basis and the BOT
assets on P/BV basis. We have arrived at a Fair Value of `63, which provides
limited upside from current levels. Hence, we maintain our Neutral view on the
stock.
Key Financials (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net sales 3,314 3,629 4,146 4,900
% chg 7.5 9.5 14.2 18.2
Adj. net profit 76 81 96 111
% chg 3.9 7.2 17.7 16.0
EBITDA (%) 13.0 11.8 12.7 12.9
FDEPS (`) 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.8
P/E (x) 48.7 45.4 38.6 33.3
P/BV (x) 1.6 1.2 2.4 2.3
RoE (%) 7.6 6.5 6.2 7.0
RoCE (%) 9.9 8.2 9.1 10.7
EV/Sales (x) 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.3
EV/EBITDA (x) 13.6 14.1 11.9 10.5
Source: Company, Angel Research
NEUTRAL
CMP `61
Target Price -
Investment Period -
Stock Info
Sector
Bloomberg Code
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Promoters 39.9
MF / Banks / Indian Fls 18.3
FII / NRIs / OCBs 27.0
Indian Public / Others 14.8
Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
Sensex 11.3 24.8 0.3
HCC (5.3) (2.0) 13.8
1
20,032
6,017
HCNS.BO
HCC@IN
3,700
1.42
81.1/49.8
576,485
Infrastructure
Avg. Daily Volume
Market Cap (` cr)
Beta
52 Week High / Low
Face Value (`)
BSE Sensex
Nifty
Reuters Code
Shailesh Kanani
022-40403800 Ext:321
shailesh.kanani@angelbroking.com
Nitin Arora
022-40403800 Ext:314
nitin.arora@angelbroking.com
HCC
Performance Highlights
2QFY2011 Result Update | Infrastructure
October 29, 2010
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 2
Exhibit 1: 2QFY2011 performance (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 1HFY11 1HFY10 % chg (yoy)
Income from Operations 884.6 781.1 13.2 995.4 (11.1) 1,880 1,657.1 13.4
Total Expenditure 771.3 693.0 11.3 869.6 (11.3) 1,641 1,443.7 13.7
Operating Profit 113.3 88.1 28.6 125.8 (9.9) 239.0 213.4 12.0
OPM (%) 12.8 11.3 150bp 12.6 20bp 12.7 12.9 (20)bp
Interest 67.1 49.9 34.4 57.7 16.2 125 111.2 12.2
Depreciation 35.9 31.5 13.9 34.7 3.4 71 61.6 14.6
Non Operating Income 6.1 2.8 116.5 3.1 98.1 9 4.7 95.2
Nonrecurring items - - - - - - (10.3) -
Profit Before tax 16.5 9.5 73.2 36.4 (54.8) 52.9 35.1 50.8
Tax 4.3 4.0 8.4 8.1 12 11.4 9.4
PAT 12.1 5.5 120.1 28.3 (57.1) 40.5 23.7 70.6
PAT (%) 1.4 0.7 70bp 2.8 (140)bp 2.2 1.4 80bp
FDEPS (`) 0.2 0.1 120.1 0.93 (78.5) 0.7 0.4 70.6
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2QFY2011 Actual v/s Angel estimates
Estimates Actual Variation (%)
Revenues (` cr) 823.0 884.6 7.5
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.1 12.8 70bp
PAT (` cr) 10.5 12.1 15.6
Source: Company, Angel Research
Top-line and bottom-line marginally higher than our estimates
HCC’s reported top-line yoy growth of 13.2% to `884.6cr marginally above our
estimate of `823cr. The lower revenue realisation was primarily due to the loss
incurred in the Delhi Metro project. We expect the company to post a better
performance in 2HFY2011 due to revenue inflow from the Delhi-Faridabad
expressway (expected to be operational from November 2010) and EPC revenues
from the NH-34 project, which has achieved financial closure.
Exhibit 3: Quarterly revenue trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
(10.0)
(5.0)
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
Sales (Rs cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %, RHS)
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 3
Operating margin improved 12.8% during the quarter as against our estimate of
12.1% mainly because of reduction in other expenses, as a percentage of sales.
Bottom-line surged 120.1% yoy to `12.1cr (`5.5) mainly driven by better top-line
growth and margins, and aided by a low base.
Exhibit 4: Quarterly EBITDA trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Quarterly PAT trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
Order book analysis
HCC’s order book, as of 2QFY2011, stood at `17,795cr (4.8x FY2011E revenue)
(excluding the disputed order) with the company bagging orders worth `1,178cr
this quarter. The company’s order book comprises the hydro power (43%), water
solutions (20%), transportation (24%) and nuclear and special projects (13%). The
company is L1 for contracts worth `1,537cr. Going ahead, the company has given
guidance of adding `3,000-4,000cr of road BOT projects every year and also
indicated to enter the new segments of metal and mining, which should further
ramp up its order book.
Exhibit 6: Order booking and order book trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 7: Segmental order book break-up (%)
Source: Company, Angel Research
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
EBITDA (Rs cr, LHS) EBITDAM (%, RHS)
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
PAT (Rs cr, LHS) PATM (%, RHS)
12.2
34.5
42.4
32.1
26.3
13.0
16.7
29.2
30.8
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
Order Book (Rs cr, LHS) Order Inflow (Rs cr, LHS)
L1 Status (Rs cr, LHS) Order Book growth (%, RHS)
43
20
24
13
Hydro Power Water Soln. Transportation Nuclear and Sp.Projects
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 4
Outlook and Valuation
Lavasa has filed the DRHP to raise `2,000cr towards the year end (diluting 10%
stake), implying valuation of `20,000cr, which we believe is too optimistic.
Moreover, Lavasa has still to receive the environment clearance along with land
acquisition problems. Lavasa is in poor comparison to its other large real estate
pan-India peers, which are trading at a discount to their NAVs and market caps,
and are only factoring in near-term earnings. Also, with too much paper supply
(there are at least five large real estate companies, which have filed their DRHP),
we believe that investor interest in the sector would wane.
We have valued HCC on SOTP basis and assigned 14x FY2012E earnings
(standalone). The real estate venture has been valued on NAV basis and the BOT
assets on P/BV basis. We have arrived at a Fair Value of `63, which provides
limited upside from current levels. Hence, we maintain our Neutral view on the
stock.
Exhibit 8: SOTP valuation summary
Business Segment Methodology Remarks `/share
Construction P/E 14.0x FY2012E earnings 25.7
Value of Real Estate NAV Basis NAV Basis 29.3
Road BOT P/BV 1.5x P/BV 8.1
Total 63.1
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 9: Key assumptions
` cr FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Order Inflow 1,998 3,929 7,616 7,979 11,402 10,114
Revenues 2,358 3,083 3,314 3,629 4,146 4,900
Order Backlog (Y/E) 9,312 10,158 14,460 18,810 26,066 31,279
Order Book to Sales ratio (x) 3.9 3.3 4.4 5.2 6.3 6.4
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 10: Angel EPS forecast v/s consensus
Angel Forecast Bloomberg Consensus Variation (%)
FY2011E 1.6 1.8 16.4
FY2012E 1.8 2.4 33.1
(
Source: Company, Angel Research
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 5
Investment Argument
Fairly valued
HCC registered modest top-line growth of 13.2% for 2QFY2011, despite high
order book-to-sales ratio, primarily because of its relatively long-gestation
projects’ skewed order book (hydro power and transportation segments). On
the valuation front, we believe that at current levels of 33.3x PE and 2.3x P/BV
on FY2012E basis, the stock price factors in all upsides from its construction
arm and real estate venture. Hence, we remain Neutral on the stock.
Exhibit 11: Recommendation summary
Company CMP TP Rating Top-line (` cr) EPS (`) *Adj. P/E OB/
FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR (%) FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR (%) FY10 FY11E FY12E Sales(x)
CCCL 78 - Neutral 1,976 2,397 2,891 21.0 5.0 5.0 6.7 16.2 15.6 15.6 11.6 2.1
Gammon India 204 - Neutral 4,489 5,575 6,607 21.3 8.4 10.0 12.1 20.0 11.9 10.0 8.2 2.9
HCC 61 - Neutral 3,629 4,146 4,900 16.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 19.0 17.5 14.9 12.4 5.2
IRB Infra 260 - Neutral 1,705 2,675 3,672 46.8 11.6 13.0 15.7 16.4 8.5 7.5 6.2 -
IVRCL 147 216 Buy 5,492 6,493 8,071 21.2 7.8 8.8 10.9 18.2 10.7 9.6 7.7 3.9
JP Assoc. 120 160 Buy 10,355 13,412 17,952 31.7 4.7 4.5 7.6 27.8 25.8 26.7 15.8 -
Punj Lloyd 118 156 Buy 10,448 9,756 12,402 9.0 (10.9) 5.6 11.2 - - 21.0 10.5 2.4
NCC 147 201 Buy 4,778 5,738 6,588 17.4 7.8 8.6 9.8 12.1 14.0 12.7 11.1 3.4
Sadbhav 1,446 1,702 Buy 1,257 1,621 1,986 25.7 43.0 77.4 89.8 44.4 14.1 7.8 6.7 5.3
Simplex In. 491 573 Buy 4,564 5,460 6,543 19.7 25.6 33.0 40.9 26.4 19.2 14.9 12.0 2.5
Patel Engg 364 565 Buy 3,191 3,693 4,297 16.0 28.4 30.8 32.7 7.3 9.0 8.3 7.8 2.5
Madhucon 147 173 Buy 1,388 1,737 2,164 24.9 6.2 7.3 9.1 21.6 11.2 9.5 7.6 2.9
L&T 2,022 - Neutral 37,035 44,047 55,519 22.4 47.4 54.9 68.7 20.4 32.5 28.1 22.4 2.8
ITNL 310 358 Accu. 2,403 3,480 6,071 59.0 17.7 21.8 25.9 20.8 17.5 14.2 12.0 6.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 12: SOTP break up
Company Core Const. Real Estate Road BOT Invst. In Subsidiaries Others Total
` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP `
CCCL 80 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80
Gammon India 121 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 104 46 225
HCC 26 41 29 46 8 13 0 0 0 0 63
IRB Infra 118 43 0 0 150 55 5 2 0 0 273
IVRCL 162 75 0 0 0 0 54 25 0 0 216
JP Assoc. 69 43 42 27 0 0 0 0 48 30 160
Punj Lloyd 156 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 156
NCC 138 69 7 3 32 16 0 0 24 12 201
Sadbhav 862 51 0 0 840 49 0 0 0 0 1702
Simplex In. 573 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 573
Patel Engg 458 81 56 10 16 3 0 0 36 6 565
Madhucon 92 53 4 2 52 30 0 0 25 15 173
L&T 1542 76 0 0 0 0 482 24 0 0 2024
ITNL 159 44 0 0 151 42 0 0 48 13 358
Source: Company, Angel Research
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 6
Profit & loss statement (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 2,358 3,083 3,314 3,629 4,146 4,900
Other operating income - - - - - -
Total operating income 2,358 3,083 3,314 3,629 4,146 4,900
% chg - 30.8 7.5 9.5 14.2 18.2
Total Expenditure 2,142 2,716 2,882 3,201 3,620 4,268
Net Raw Materials 741 971 1,236 1,060 1,435 1,656
Other Mfg costs 1,193 1,448 1,271 1,747 1,853 2,215
Personnel 209 297 375 394 332 397
Other - - - - - -
EBITDA 215 367 431 428 527 632
% chg - 70.3 17.7 (0.8) 23.1 20.1
(% of Net Sales) 9.1 11.9 13.0 11.8 12.7 12.9
Depreciation& Amortisation 80 96 115 114 139 144
EBIT 136 270 316 314 388 488
% chg - 99.5 16.9 (0.7) 23.5 26.0
(% of Net Sales) 5.8 8.8 9.5 8.7 9.4 10.0
Interest & other Charges 62 152 211 205 257 337
Other Income 11 2 9 13 13 15
(% of PBT) 11.3 1.9 8.2 10.7 8.7 8.9
Share in profit of Associates 9 (0) (0) (0) (0) -
Recurring PBT 93 120 115 122 143 166
% chg - 28.8 (4.3) 5.8 17.5 15.9
Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) (18) 36 49 - 0 -
PBT (reported) 75 157 165 122 143 166
Tax 39 47 39 40 47 55
(% of PBT) 41.3 39.2 34.0 33.2 33.0 33.0
PAT (reported) 37 110 125 81 96 111
Add: Share of asso. - - - - - -
Less: Minority interest (MI) - - - - - -
Prior period items - - - - - -
PAT after MI (reported) 37 110 125 81 96 111
ADJ. PAT 55 73 76 81 96 111
% chg - 33.3 3.9 7.2 17.7 16.0
(% of Net Sales) 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3
Basic EPS (`) 2.1 2.9 3.0 2.7 1.6 1.8
Fully Diluted EPS (`) 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.8
% chg - 33.3 3.9 7.2 17.7 16.0
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 7
Balance sheet (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital 25.6 25.6 25.6 30.3 60.7 60.7
Preference Capital - - - - - -
Reserves& Surplus 878 978 979 1,502 1,510 1,563
Shareholder’s Funds 904 1,004 1,005 1,517 1,555 1,608
Minority Interest - - - - - -
Total Loans 1,551 1,845 2,322 2,515 2,677 3,009
Deferred Tax Liability 86 113 113 143 143 143
Total Liabilities 2,541 2,962 3,440 4,174 4,375 4,760
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Gross Block 1,101 1,410 1,683 1,814 1,994 2,179
Less: Acc. Depreciation 355 457 555 664 803 947
Net Block 746 953 1,128 1,150 1,191 1,232
Capital Work-in-Progress 151 68 46 35 62 59
Goodwill - - - - - -
Investments 229 296 366 409 446 468
Current Assets 2,306 2,710 3,467 4,624 4,860 5,403
Cash 208 264 154 188 126 94
Loans & Advances 348 295 528 863 622 588
Other 1,750 2,150 2,785 3,573 4,112 4,720
Current liabilities 892 1,064 1,568 2,043 2,184 2,402
Net Current Assets 1,415 1,646 1,900 2,581 2,676 3,000
Misc. Exp. not written off - - - - - -
Total Assets 2,541 2,962 3,440 4,174 4,375 4,760
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 8
Cash flow statement (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Profit before tax 75.3 156.8 164.5 121.8 143.2 165.9
Depreciation 79.7 96.2 115.2 113.9 138.9 143.8
Change in Working Capital 784.8 175.5 364.1 647.1 156.8 355.8
Less: Other income 10.6 2.3 9.5 13.0 12.5 14.8
Direct taxes paid 38.6 47.2 39.2 40.4 47.3 54.8
Cash Flow from Operations (679.0) 27.9 (133.0) (464.8) 65.5 (115.7)
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (372.2) (224.8) (252.0) (119.7) (207.4) (182.2)
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (102.2) (66.9) (70.0) (43.2) (37.5) (22.1)
Other income 10.6 2.3 9.5 13.0 12.5 14.8
Cash Flow from Investing (463.8) (289.4) (312.6) (149.9) (232.4) (189.5)
Issue of Equity - 459.3 - -
Inc./(Dec.) in loans 260.0 293.8 476.9 192.9 162.1 332.2
Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) (22.5) (24.0) (24.0) (28.4) (63.9) (63.9)
Others 107.6 48 (117.9) 25.3 6.2 5.4
Cash Flow from Financing 345.2 317.4 335.1 649.1 104.5 273.8
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash (797.6) 56.0 (110.5) 34.4 (62.4) (31.4)
Opening Cash balances 1,006.0 208.4 264.3 153.9 188.3 125.9
Closing Cash balances 208.4 264.3 153.9 188.3 125.9 94.5
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 9
Key Ratios
Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Valuation Ratio (x)
P/E (on FDEPS) 28.5 21.4 20.6 22.7 38.6 33.3
P/CEPS 11.6 9.2 8.2 9.5 15.8 14.5
P/BV 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.2 2.4 2.3
Dividend yield (%) 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4
EV/Sales 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.3
EV/EBITDA 23.4 14.4 13.6 14.1 11.9 10.5
EV / Total Assets 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.4
Order book to sales 3.9 3.3 4.4 5.2 6.3 6.4
Per Share Data (`)
EPS (Basic) 2.1 2.9 3.0 2.7 1.6 1.8
EPS (fully diluted) 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.8
Cash EPS 5.2 6.6 7.5 6.4 3.9 4.2
DPS 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9
Book Value 35.3 39.2 39.2 50.0 25.6 26.5
DuPont Analysis
EBIT margin 5.8 8.8 9.5 8.7 9.4 10.0
Tax retention ratio 58.7 60.8 66.0 66.8 67.0 67.0
Asset turnover (x) 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1
ROIC (Post-tax) 3.4 6.5 7.0 5.8 6.3 7.3
Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 2.3 5.5 6.7 5.7 6.6 7.9
Leverage (x) 1.5 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.7
Operating ROE 5.0 8.2 7.5 6.0 5.8 6.3
Returns (%)
ROCE (Pre-tax) 5.3 9.8 9.9 8.2 9.1 10.7
Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 6.2 11.2 10.8 8.7 9.5 11.1
ROE 6.1 7.7 7.6 6.5 6.2 7.0
Turnover ratios (x)
Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.1 2.5 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3
Inventory / Sales (days) 269 333 389 459 495 481
Receivables (days) 0 0 1 1 1 1
Payables (days) 144 182 218 265 287 263
W.cap cycle (ex-cash) (days) 143 153 172 208 218 203
Solvency ratios (x)
Net debt to equity 1.5 1.6 2.2 1.5 1.6 1.8
Net debt to EBITDA 6.2 4.3 5.0 5.4 4.8 4.6
Interest Coverage 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4
HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update
October 29, 2010 10
Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
the past.
Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please
refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and
its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement HCC
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No
3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)

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Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010

  • 1. Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1 Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) Net sales 884.6 781.1 13.2 995.4 (11.1) Operating profit 113.3 88.1 28.6 125.8 (9.9) Net profit 12.1 5.5 120.1 28.3 (57.1) Source: Company, Angel Research For 2QFY2011, HCC’s results were higher than our estimates primarily because of the better-than-expected top-line and EBITDA margin growth leading to higher bottom-line. We believe HCC’s stock performance depends on the Lavasa IPO, which is expected to hit the markets in December this year, and is more of a real- estate play rather a construction story. This is also visible from the performance of its parent, which has been registering flattish performance since the last 3-4 years. Further, we believe that management is too optimistic in its valuation for Lavasa. Hence, we remain Neutral on the stock. Results better than estimates: HCC’s top line grew 13.2% to `884.6cr v/s our estimate of `823cr. OPM stood at 12.8% (11.3%). Bottom-line grew 120.1% yoy to `12.1cr. The robust bottom-line growth was mainly driven by better top-line growth and margins, and aided by a low base. Outlook and valuation: Lavasa has filed the DRHP to raise `2,000cr towards the year end (diluting 10% stake), implying valuation of `20,000cr, which we believe is too optimistic. Moreover, Lavasa has still to receive the environment clearance along with land acquisition problems. Lavasa is in poor comparison to its other large real estate pan-India peers, which are trading at a discount to their NAVs and market caps, and are only factoring in near-term earnings. Also, with too much paper supply (there are at least five large real estate companies, which have filed their DRHP), we believe that investor interest in the sector would wane. We have valued HCC on SOTP basis and assigned 14x FY2012E earnings (standalone). The real estate venture has been valued on NAV basis and the BOT assets on P/BV basis. We have arrived at a Fair Value of `63, which provides limited upside from current levels. Hence, we maintain our Neutral view on the stock. Key Financials (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net sales 3,314 3,629 4,146 4,900 % chg 7.5 9.5 14.2 18.2 Adj. net profit 76 81 96 111 % chg 3.9 7.2 17.7 16.0 EBITDA (%) 13.0 11.8 12.7 12.9 FDEPS (`) 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.8 P/E (x) 48.7 45.4 38.6 33.3 P/BV (x) 1.6 1.2 2.4 2.3 RoE (%) 7.6 6.5 6.2 7.0 RoCE (%) 9.9 8.2 9.1 10.7 EV/Sales (x) 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.3 EV/EBITDA (x) 13.6 14.1 11.9 10.5 Source: Company, Angel Research NEUTRAL CMP `61 Target Price - Investment Period - Stock Info Sector Bloomberg Code Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters 39.9 MF / Banks / Indian Fls 18.3 FII / NRIs / OCBs 27.0 Indian Public / Others 14.8 Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr Sensex 11.3 24.8 0.3 HCC (5.3) (2.0) 13.8 1 20,032 6,017 HCNS.BO HCC@IN 3,700 1.42 81.1/49.8 576,485 Infrastructure Avg. Daily Volume Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Shailesh Kanani 022-40403800 Ext:321 shailesh.kanani@angelbroking.com Nitin Arora 022-40403800 Ext:314 nitin.arora@angelbroking.com HCC Performance Highlights 2QFY2011 Result Update | Infrastructure October 29, 2010
  • 2. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 2 Exhibit 1: 2QFY2011 performance (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 1HFY11 1HFY10 % chg (yoy) Income from Operations 884.6 781.1 13.2 995.4 (11.1) 1,880 1,657.1 13.4 Total Expenditure 771.3 693.0 11.3 869.6 (11.3) 1,641 1,443.7 13.7 Operating Profit 113.3 88.1 28.6 125.8 (9.9) 239.0 213.4 12.0 OPM (%) 12.8 11.3 150bp 12.6 20bp 12.7 12.9 (20)bp Interest 67.1 49.9 34.4 57.7 16.2 125 111.2 12.2 Depreciation 35.9 31.5 13.9 34.7 3.4 71 61.6 14.6 Non Operating Income 6.1 2.8 116.5 3.1 98.1 9 4.7 95.2 Nonrecurring items - - - - - - (10.3) - Profit Before tax 16.5 9.5 73.2 36.4 (54.8) 52.9 35.1 50.8 Tax 4.3 4.0 8.4 8.1 12 11.4 9.4 PAT 12.1 5.5 120.1 28.3 (57.1) 40.5 23.7 70.6 PAT (%) 1.4 0.7 70bp 2.8 (140)bp 2.2 1.4 80bp FDEPS (`) 0.2 0.1 120.1 0.93 (78.5) 0.7 0.4 70.6 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 2: 2QFY2011 Actual v/s Angel estimates Estimates Actual Variation (%) Revenues (` cr) 823.0 884.6 7.5 EBITDA Margin (%) 12.1 12.8 70bp PAT (` cr) 10.5 12.1 15.6 Source: Company, Angel Research Top-line and bottom-line marginally higher than our estimates HCC’s reported top-line yoy growth of 13.2% to `884.6cr marginally above our estimate of `823cr. The lower revenue realisation was primarily due to the loss incurred in the Delhi Metro project. We expect the company to post a better performance in 2HFY2011 due to revenue inflow from the Delhi-Faridabad expressway (expected to be operational from November 2010) and EPC revenues from the NH-34 project, which has achieved financial closure. Exhibit 3: Quarterly revenue trend Source: Company, Angel Research (10.0) (5.0) 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 Sales (Rs cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %, RHS)
  • 3. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 3 Operating margin improved 12.8% during the quarter as against our estimate of 12.1% mainly because of reduction in other expenses, as a percentage of sales. Bottom-line surged 120.1% yoy to `12.1cr (`5.5) mainly driven by better top-line growth and margins, and aided by a low base. Exhibit 4: Quarterly EBITDA trend Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 5: Quarterly PAT trend Source: Company, Angel Research Order book analysis HCC’s order book, as of 2QFY2011, stood at `17,795cr (4.8x FY2011E revenue) (excluding the disputed order) with the company bagging orders worth `1,178cr this quarter. The company’s order book comprises the hydro power (43%), water solutions (20%), transportation (24%) and nuclear and special projects (13%). The company is L1 for contracts worth `1,537cr. Going ahead, the company has given guidance of adding `3,000-4,000cr of road BOT projects every year and also indicated to enter the new segments of metal and mining, which should further ramp up its order book. Exhibit 6: Order booking and order book trend Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 7: Segmental order book break-up (%) Source: Company, Angel Research 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 EBITDA (Rs cr, LHS) EBITDAM (%, RHS) - 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 PAT (Rs cr, LHS) PATM (%, RHS) 12.2 34.5 42.4 32.1 26.3 13.0 16.7 29.2 30.8 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 Order Book (Rs cr, LHS) Order Inflow (Rs cr, LHS) L1 Status (Rs cr, LHS) Order Book growth (%, RHS) 43 20 24 13 Hydro Power Water Soln. Transportation Nuclear and Sp.Projects
  • 4. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 4 Outlook and Valuation Lavasa has filed the DRHP to raise `2,000cr towards the year end (diluting 10% stake), implying valuation of `20,000cr, which we believe is too optimistic. Moreover, Lavasa has still to receive the environment clearance along with land acquisition problems. Lavasa is in poor comparison to its other large real estate pan-India peers, which are trading at a discount to their NAVs and market caps, and are only factoring in near-term earnings. Also, with too much paper supply (there are at least five large real estate companies, which have filed their DRHP), we believe that investor interest in the sector would wane. We have valued HCC on SOTP basis and assigned 14x FY2012E earnings (standalone). The real estate venture has been valued on NAV basis and the BOT assets on P/BV basis. We have arrived at a Fair Value of `63, which provides limited upside from current levels. Hence, we maintain our Neutral view on the stock. Exhibit 8: SOTP valuation summary Business Segment Methodology Remarks `/share Construction P/E 14.0x FY2012E earnings 25.7 Value of Real Estate NAV Basis NAV Basis 29.3 Road BOT P/BV 1.5x P/BV 8.1 Total 63.1 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 9: Key assumptions ` cr FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Order Inflow 1,998 3,929 7,616 7,979 11,402 10,114 Revenues 2,358 3,083 3,314 3,629 4,146 4,900 Order Backlog (Y/E) 9,312 10,158 14,460 18,810 26,066 31,279 Order Book to Sales ratio (x) 3.9 3.3 4.4 5.2 6.3 6.4 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 10: Angel EPS forecast v/s consensus Angel Forecast Bloomberg Consensus Variation (%) FY2011E 1.6 1.8 16.4 FY2012E 1.8 2.4 33.1 ( Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 5. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 5 Investment Argument Fairly valued HCC registered modest top-line growth of 13.2% for 2QFY2011, despite high order book-to-sales ratio, primarily because of its relatively long-gestation projects’ skewed order book (hydro power and transportation segments). On the valuation front, we believe that at current levels of 33.3x PE and 2.3x P/BV on FY2012E basis, the stock price factors in all upsides from its construction arm and real estate venture. Hence, we remain Neutral on the stock. Exhibit 11: Recommendation summary Company CMP TP Rating Top-line (` cr) EPS (`) *Adj. P/E OB/ FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR (%) FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR (%) FY10 FY11E FY12E Sales(x) CCCL 78 - Neutral 1,976 2,397 2,891 21.0 5.0 5.0 6.7 16.2 15.6 15.6 11.6 2.1 Gammon India 204 - Neutral 4,489 5,575 6,607 21.3 8.4 10.0 12.1 20.0 11.9 10.0 8.2 2.9 HCC 61 - Neutral 3,629 4,146 4,900 16.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 19.0 17.5 14.9 12.4 5.2 IRB Infra 260 - Neutral 1,705 2,675 3,672 46.8 11.6 13.0 15.7 16.4 8.5 7.5 6.2 - IVRCL 147 216 Buy 5,492 6,493 8,071 21.2 7.8 8.8 10.9 18.2 10.7 9.6 7.7 3.9 JP Assoc. 120 160 Buy 10,355 13,412 17,952 31.7 4.7 4.5 7.6 27.8 25.8 26.7 15.8 - Punj Lloyd 118 156 Buy 10,448 9,756 12,402 9.0 (10.9) 5.6 11.2 - - 21.0 10.5 2.4 NCC 147 201 Buy 4,778 5,738 6,588 17.4 7.8 8.6 9.8 12.1 14.0 12.7 11.1 3.4 Sadbhav 1,446 1,702 Buy 1,257 1,621 1,986 25.7 43.0 77.4 89.8 44.4 14.1 7.8 6.7 5.3 Simplex In. 491 573 Buy 4,564 5,460 6,543 19.7 25.6 33.0 40.9 26.4 19.2 14.9 12.0 2.5 Patel Engg 364 565 Buy 3,191 3,693 4,297 16.0 28.4 30.8 32.7 7.3 9.0 8.3 7.8 2.5 Madhucon 147 173 Buy 1,388 1,737 2,164 24.9 6.2 7.3 9.1 21.6 11.2 9.5 7.6 2.9 L&T 2,022 - Neutral 37,035 44,047 55,519 22.4 47.4 54.9 68.7 20.4 32.5 28.1 22.4 2.8 ITNL 310 358 Accu. 2,403 3,480 6,071 59.0 17.7 21.8 25.9 20.8 17.5 14.2 12.0 6.7 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 12: SOTP break up Company Core Const. Real Estate Road BOT Invst. In Subsidiaries Others Total ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` CCCL 80 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 Gammon India 121 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 104 46 225 HCC 26 41 29 46 8 13 0 0 0 0 63 IRB Infra 118 43 0 0 150 55 5 2 0 0 273 IVRCL 162 75 0 0 0 0 54 25 0 0 216 JP Assoc. 69 43 42 27 0 0 0 0 48 30 160 Punj Lloyd 156 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 156 NCC 138 69 7 3 32 16 0 0 24 12 201 Sadbhav 862 51 0 0 840 49 0 0 0 0 1702 Simplex In. 573 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 573 Patel Engg 458 81 56 10 16 3 0 0 36 6 565 Madhucon 92 53 4 2 52 30 0 0 25 15 173 L&T 1542 76 0 0 0 0 482 24 0 0 2024 ITNL 159 44 0 0 151 42 0 0 48 13 358 Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 6. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 6 Profit & loss statement (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 2,358 3,083 3,314 3,629 4,146 4,900 Other operating income - - - - - - Total operating income 2,358 3,083 3,314 3,629 4,146 4,900 % chg - 30.8 7.5 9.5 14.2 18.2 Total Expenditure 2,142 2,716 2,882 3,201 3,620 4,268 Net Raw Materials 741 971 1,236 1,060 1,435 1,656 Other Mfg costs 1,193 1,448 1,271 1,747 1,853 2,215 Personnel 209 297 375 394 332 397 Other - - - - - - EBITDA 215 367 431 428 527 632 % chg - 70.3 17.7 (0.8) 23.1 20.1 (% of Net Sales) 9.1 11.9 13.0 11.8 12.7 12.9 Depreciation& Amortisation 80 96 115 114 139 144 EBIT 136 270 316 314 388 488 % chg - 99.5 16.9 (0.7) 23.5 26.0 (% of Net Sales) 5.8 8.8 9.5 8.7 9.4 10.0 Interest & other Charges 62 152 211 205 257 337 Other Income 11 2 9 13 13 15 (% of PBT) 11.3 1.9 8.2 10.7 8.7 8.9 Share in profit of Associates 9 (0) (0) (0) (0) - Recurring PBT 93 120 115 122 143 166 % chg - 28.8 (4.3) 5.8 17.5 15.9 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) (18) 36 49 - 0 - PBT (reported) 75 157 165 122 143 166 Tax 39 47 39 40 47 55 (% of PBT) 41.3 39.2 34.0 33.2 33.0 33.0 PAT (reported) 37 110 125 81 96 111 Add: Share of asso. - - - - - - Less: Minority interest (MI) - - - - - - Prior period items - - - - - - PAT after MI (reported) 37 110 125 81 96 111 ADJ. PAT 55 73 76 81 96 111 % chg - 33.3 3.9 7.2 17.7 16.0 (% of Net Sales) 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 Basic EPS (`) 2.1 2.9 3.0 2.7 1.6 1.8 Fully Diluted EPS (`) 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.8 % chg - 33.3 3.9 7.2 17.7 16.0
  • 7. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 7 Balance sheet (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 25.6 25.6 25.6 30.3 60.7 60.7 Preference Capital - - - - - - Reserves& Surplus 878 978 979 1,502 1,510 1,563 Shareholder’s Funds 904 1,004 1,005 1,517 1,555 1,608 Minority Interest - - - - - - Total Loans 1,551 1,845 2,322 2,515 2,677 3,009 Deferred Tax Liability 86 113 113 143 143 143 Total Liabilities 2,541 2,962 3,440 4,174 4,375 4,760 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 1,101 1,410 1,683 1,814 1,994 2,179 Less: Acc. Depreciation 355 457 555 664 803 947 Net Block 746 953 1,128 1,150 1,191 1,232 Capital Work-in-Progress 151 68 46 35 62 59 Goodwill - - - - - - Investments 229 296 366 409 446 468 Current Assets 2,306 2,710 3,467 4,624 4,860 5,403 Cash 208 264 154 188 126 94 Loans & Advances 348 295 528 863 622 588 Other 1,750 2,150 2,785 3,573 4,112 4,720 Current liabilities 892 1,064 1,568 2,043 2,184 2,402 Net Current Assets 1,415 1,646 1,900 2,581 2,676 3,000 Misc. Exp. not written off - - - - - - Total Assets 2,541 2,962 3,440 4,174 4,375 4,760
  • 8. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 8 Cash flow statement (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 75.3 156.8 164.5 121.8 143.2 165.9 Depreciation 79.7 96.2 115.2 113.9 138.9 143.8 Change in Working Capital 784.8 175.5 364.1 647.1 156.8 355.8 Less: Other income 10.6 2.3 9.5 13.0 12.5 14.8 Direct taxes paid 38.6 47.2 39.2 40.4 47.3 54.8 Cash Flow from Operations (679.0) 27.9 (133.0) (464.8) 65.5 (115.7) (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (372.2) (224.8) (252.0) (119.7) (207.4) (182.2) (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (102.2) (66.9) (70.0) (43.2) (37.5) (22.1) Other income 10.6 2.3 9.5 13.0 12.5 14.8 Cash Flow from Investing (463.8) (289.4) (312.6) (149.9) (232.4) (189.5) Issue of Equity - 459.3 - - Inc./(Dec.) in loans 260.0 293.8 476.9 192.9 162.1 332.2 Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) (22.5) (24.0) (24.0) (28.4) (63.9) (63.9) Others 107.6 48 (117.9) 25.3 6.2 5.4 Cash Flow from Financing 345.2 317.4 335.1 649.1 104.5 273.8 Inc./(Dec.) in Cash (797.6) 56.0 (110.5) 34.4 (62.4) (31.4) Opening Cash balances 1,006.0 208.4 264.3 153.9 188.3 125.9 Closing Cash balances 208.4 264.3 153.9 188.3 125.9 94.5
  • 9. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 9 Key Ratios Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 28.5 21.4 20.6 22.7 38.6 33.3 P/CEPS 11.6 9.2 8.2 9.5 15.8 14.5 P/BV 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.2 2.4 2.3 Dividend yield (%) 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 EV/Sales 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.3 EV/EBITDA 23.4 14.4 13.6 14.1 11.9 10.5 EV / Total Assets 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.4 Order book to sales 3.9 3.3 4.4 5.2 6.3 6.4 Per Share Data (`) EPS (Basic) 2.1 2.9 3.0 2.7 1.6 1.8 EPS (fully diluted) 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.8 Cash EPS 5.2 6.6 7.5 6.4 3.9 4.2 DPS 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 Book Value 35.3 39.2 39.2 50.0 25.6 26.5 DuPont Analysis EBIT margin 5.8 8.8 9.5 8.7 9.4 10.0 Tax retention ratio 58.7 60.8 66.0 66.8 67.0 67.0 Asset turnover (x) 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 ROIC (Post-tax) 3.4 6.5 7.0 5.8 6.3 7.3 Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 2.3 5.5 6.7 5.7 6.6 7.9 Leverage (x) 1.5 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.7 Operating ROE 5.0 8.2 7.5 6.0 5.8 6.3 Returns (%) ROCE (Pre-tax) 5.3 9.8 9.9 8.2 9.1 10.7 Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 6.2 11.2 10.8 8.7 9.5 11.1 ROE 6.1 7.7 7.6 6.5 6.2 7.0 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.1 2.5 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 Inventory / Sales (days) 269 333 389 459 495 481 Receivables (days) 0 0 1 1 1 1 Payables (days) 144 182 218 265 287 263 W.cap cycle (ex-cash) (days) 143 153 172 208 218 203 Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity 1.5 1.6 2.2 1.5 1.6 1.8 Net debt to EBITDA 6.2 4.3 5.0 5.4 4.8 4.6 Interest Coverage 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4
  • 10. HCC |2QFY2011 Result Update October 29, 2010 10 Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement HCC 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)