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Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 2QFY10 % chg (yoy)
Net Sales 429.3 334.1 28.5 268.6 59.8
EBITDA 64.0 44.2 44.7 46.4 38.0
EBITDA margin (%) 14.9 13.2 - 17.3 -
PAT 45.9 30.1 52.4 32.4 41.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
For 2QFY2011, Lakshmi Machine Works (LMW) posted strong top-line growth of
59.8% yoy to `429cr. This was slightly below our estimate of `450cr. OPM
increased by a strong 14.9%, which was slightly below our estimate. The company
reported high other income of `29cr. Consequently, PAT came in at `46cr, 2%
below our estimate of `47cr. We remain positive on the company’s business
outlook given its strong order book position of `3,600cr and the robust demand
in the textile industry. Hence, we maintain an Accumulate on the stock.
Strong top-line growth; order inflow increases: LMW reported strong sales growth
of 59.8% yoy and 28.5% qoq, as demand from the textile industry players surged
during the quarter. This was also reflected in the company’s strong order book of
`3,600cr. Order inflow for the quarter stood at over `800cr.
Outlook and Valuation: We are positive on the company’s business prospects
given its strong outstanding order book of `3,600cr and increased activity in its
user industry of textiles. The textile players are currently operating at high
utilisation levels of around 90-95%, as the industry is witnessing high growth. The
strong order book further supports our positive outlook. The stock is currently
trading at 21.1x and 14.5x FY2011 and FY2012 EPS. Owing to strong order
book position, improved business outlook and increased liquidity with the textile
spinners due to TUFS fund release, we upgrade our target P/E multiple to 16.0x
from 15.0x and increase our Target Price to `2,977 (`2,819). We maintain an
Accumulate on the stock.
Key Financials (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 1,338 1,131 1,883 2,487
% chg (39.3) (15.5) 66.5 32.1
Net Profit 107 100 158 230
% chg (55.9) (6.6) 58.3 45.5
EBITDA (%) 13.8 14.2 14.3 14.8
EPS (`) 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1
P/E (x) 31.2 33.4 21.1 14.5
P/BV (x) 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.8
RoE (%) 13.4 11.3 16.2 20.5
RoCE (%) 8.0 7.0 17.0 23.2
EV/Sales (x) 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.9
EV/EBITDA (x) 14.6 16.2 9.4 6.2
Source: Company, Angel Research
ACCUMULATE
CMP `2,699
Target Price `2,977
Investment Period 12 Months
S tock Info
S ector
Bloomberg Code LMW@IN
S hareholding P attern (% )
P romoters 25.8
MF /Banks /Indian Fls 36.4
FII /NR Is /OCBs 14.4
Indian P ublic /Others 23.4
Abs . (% ) 3m 1yr 3yr
S ens ex 12.2 20.8 5.1
Laks hmi Machine 29.0 107.4 (14.9)
10
20,221
6,082
LKMC.BO
3,338
0.6
2901/1215
10730
Capital Goods
Avg. Daily Volume
Market Cap (` cr)
Beta
52 Week High /Low
Face Value (`)
BS E S ens ex
Nifty
R euters Code
Jai Sharda
+91 22 4040 3800 Ext: 305
jai.sharda@angelbroking.com
Lakshmi Machine Works
Performance Highlights
2QFY2011 Result Update | Capital Goods
October 26, 2010
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 2
Exhibit 1: 2QFY2011 Performance
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY2011 1QFY2011 % chg (qoq) 2QFY2010 % chg (yoy) FY2010 FY2009 % chg
Net Sales 429.3 334.1 28.5 268.6 59.8 1,136.9 1,338.0 (15.0)
Consumption of RM 249.7 198.4 25.8 151.4 64.9 662.0 781.6 (15.3)
(% of Sales) 58.2 59.4 56.4 58.2 58.4
Staff Costs 38.1 36.8 3.7 29.8 27.9 116.8 119.8 (2.5)
(% of Sales) 8.9 11.0 11.1 10.3 9.0
Other Expenses 77.5 54.6 41.9 41.0 88.8 193.9 255.5 (24.1)
(% of Sales) 18.0 16.3 15.3 17.1 19.1
Total Expenditure 365.3 289.8 26.0 222.2 64.4 972.7 1,156.8 (15.9)
Operating Profit 64.0 44.2 44.7 46.4 38.0 164.2 181.2 (9.3)
OPM (%) 14.9 13.2 17.3 14.4 13.5
Interest - - - - -
Depreciation 25.1 24.3 3.6 21.8 15.1 95.8 117.6 (18.5)
Other Income 28.9 25.2 14.4 24.1 19.7 82.1 90.6 (9.4)
PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 67.7 45.2 49.8 48.7 39.2 150.6 154.2 (2.3)
Extr. Income/(Expense) - - - - -
PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 67.7 45.2 49.8 48.7 39.2 150.6 154.2 -
(% of Sales) 15.8 13.5 18.1 13.2 11.5
Provision for Taxation 21.9 15.1 44.7 16.3 34.2 45.9 47.2 (2.8)
(% of PBT) 32.3 33.4 33.5 30.5 30.6
Reported PAT 45.9 30.1 52.4 32.4 41.7 104.7 107.0 -
PATM (%) 10.7 9.0 12.1 9.2 8.0
Equity shares (cr) 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
EPS (Rs) 37.1 24.3 52.4 26.2 41.7 84.6 86.5 -
Adjusted PAT 45.9 30.1 52.4 32.4 41.7 104.7 107.0 (2.1)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Segment-wise performance
The company’s textile machinery division sales grew 61.4% yoy during the quarter
to `385cr (`238cr). The division reported EBIT margin of 13.5% during the quarter
compared to 15.3% in 2QFY2010. The other divisions recorded sales growth of
45.4% yoy to `60cr (`41cr). EBIT of the other divisions stood at `3.1cr.
Exhibit 2: Segment-wise performance
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY2011 1QFY2011 2QFY2010 % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy)
Total Revenue
A) Textile Machinery 385 303 238 27.0 61.4
B) Others 60 45 41 33.5 45.4
Total 444 348 279 27.8 59.1
Less: Inter-Segmental Rev. 1 1 1 76.5 27.5
Net Sales 443 347 278 27.7 59.2
EBIT Margin (%)
A) Textile Machinery 13.5 10.3 15.3 318bp (180bp)
B) Others 5.2 6.3 2.3 (107bp) 295bp
Source: Company, Angel Research
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 3
Top-line continues increasing trend
For 2QFY2011, LMW continued its increasing trend in top-line growth, after
having taken a hit during the economic crisis. Quarterly sales increased from
`181cr in 4QFY2009 to `429cr in 2QFY2011, as the company has been
witnessing a steady improvement in its business. We expect this trend to continue
going ahead as well, as demand from the textile players continues to remain
strong.
Exhibit 3: Sales trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
Margins remain strong at 14.9%
The company reported strong OPM of 14.9% for the quarter, 167bp above
1QFY2011. The company has been reporting robust margins over recent quarters
owing to improvement in business.
Exhibit 4: OPM trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
(80.0)
(60.0)
(40.0)
(20.0)
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
(%)
(`cr) Sales (LHS) yoy Growth (RHS)
(5.0)
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
(10)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
(%)
(`cr)
EBITDA (LHS) OPM (RHS)
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 4
PAT increases to Rs46cr
PAT increased 41.7% yoy in the quarter to `46cr after remaining steady at nearly
`30cr in earlier few quarters. Going ahead, we expect profit to further increase, as
the underlying business scenario continues to improve.
Exhibit 5: Profit trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
Management call – Key takeaways
Order book at the end of the quarter rose to `3,600cr from `3,200cr at the
end of 1QFY2011.
1HFY2011 witnessed order inflow of `1,240cr.
The company is currently quoting a delivery period of 10-12 months,
indicating consistent and strong growth in demand.
Management expects to maintain current margin levels.
The liquidity situation in the textile industry is good owing to funds released
under the TUFS scheme. This would translate into higher off-take of LMW’s
products. This is further backed by bumper profit being booked by the textile
manufacturers.
The progress in the Chinese subsidiary is steady. There is no dearth of orders,
but it will take time for execution to improve.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
(`cr)
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 5
Investment Arguments
Ability to defend market share: LMW is one of the largest players in the world and
one of only three players globally that manufacture the entire range of spinning
machinery. In India, it has high market share of around 70% in yarn spinning and
preparatory machines. It has been able to sustain this market share on the back of
strong after-sales service coupled with providing world’s best technology to
customers at the cheapest rates. LMW has service centres at all the textile hubs
across the country, which gives it a strong advantage over its European peers, who
at the most have service centres in only 3-4 cities. LMW also enjoys an edge over
competition as it caters to a huge 1,300 domestic textile players out of the total
universe of around 1,600. The company has been innovating on technology for
the past 15 years. In terms of prices, LMW’s products are at least 10% cheaper
than its European peers who have manufacturing base in India.
Strong order book to translate into robust sales growth: LMW has a strong order
book of `3,600cr. The upturn in the spinning industry has lent a boost to the
company’s order inflow. The yarn prices have increased at 15.0% CAGR over the
last two years and most listed yarn manufacturers surveyed by us are operating at
utilisation rates of around 95%. This indicates that there is low probability of order
deferments and the company’s robust order book is expected to result in strong
growth.
Outlook and Valuation
We are positive on the company’s business prospects given the strong demand
from the user industry of textiles. A number of textile players are operating at high
utilisation levels of 90-95% and to increase production further would have to
increase capacity. This augurs well for LMW, as it is the largest textile machinery
player in India. Our view is backed by the company’s large order book to
`3,600cr. Thus, on the back of positive business outlook and strong order book
position, we expect sales to increase at a CAGR of 48.3% over FY2010-12 to
`2,487cr. We expect PAT to clock CAGR of 51.8% to `230cr over the period.
The stock is currently trading at 21.1x and 14.5x FY2011E and FY2012E EPS.
Owing to strong order book, robust business outlook and increased liquidity with
the textile spinning players, we have upgraded our target P/E multiple of the
company from 15.0x to 16.0x. We maintain an Accumulate on the stock, with a
revised Target Price of `2,977 (`2,819).
Exhibit 6: Result: Actual vs Estimated
Actual Estimated Difference (%)
Sales (` cr) 429 451 (4.8)
EBITDA (` cr) 64.0 72.1 (11.2)
OPM (%) 14.9% 16.0% (110 bps)
PAT (` cr) 45.9 47.5 (3.4)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 6
Exhibit 7: Key assumptions
FY2011E FY2012E Remarks
Sales in Chinese subsidiary (` cr) 80.0 120.0 Sales to increase as company gains foothold in China
Sales growth rate (%) 66.5 32.1 High growth due to improvement in business outlook
OPM (%) 14.3 14.8 OPM to increase on operating leverage
Tax Rate (%) 20.0 22.0 Higher production in Pune plant to result in higher tax
Source: Angel Research
Exhibit 8: Peer valuation
Company Mcap CMP EPS (`) P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%)
(` cr) (`) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E
LMW 3,338 2,699 21.1 14.5 127.9 186.1 3.2 2.8 16.2 20.5
Kirloskar Brothers 1,859 234 19.1 22.1 12.3 10.6 2.0 1.8 18.3 16.5
Cummins 14,836 749 30.1 37.5 24.9 20.0 7.9 6.6 33.1 32.9
Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 9: One year forward P/E
Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
Mar-00
Oct-00
Apr-01
Oct-01
Apr-02
Oct-02
Apr-03
Oct-03
Apr-04
Oct-04
Apr-05
Oct-05
Apr-06
Oct-06
Apr-07
Oct-07
Apr-08
Oct-08
Apr-09
Oct-09
Apr-10
Oct-10
SharePrice(`)
Price 8x 10x 13x 16x 20x
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 7
Profit and Loss (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E
Gross sales 2,127 2,533 1,502 1,224 2,040 2,693
Less: Excise duty 274 328 164 94 157 206
Net Sales 1,854 2,205 1,338 1,131 1,883 2,487
Total operating income 1,854 2,205 1,338 1,131 1,883 2,487
% chg 42.4 19.0 (39.3) (15.5) 66.5 32.1
Total Expenditure 1,561 1,802 1,153 970 1,614 2,120
Net Raw Materials 1,108 1,305 782 657 1,111 1,467
Other Mfg costs 190 213 156 112 178 235
Personnel 115 128 111 118 151 199
Other 148 157 104 83 174 219
EBITDA 293 403 185 161 269 367
% chg 43.1 37.5 (54.0) (13.1) 67.4 36.3
(% of Net Sales) 15.8 18.3 13.8 14.2 14.3 14.8
Depreciation & Amortisation 69 116 118 96 97 99
EBIT 224 287 68 65 172 268
% chg 50.6 28.0 (76.4) (4.3) 166.5 55.6
(% of Net Sales) 12.1 13.0 5.0 5.7 9.1 10.8
Interest & other Charges 4 3 4 1 4 5
Other Income 88 88 91 82 72 81
(% of PBT) 28.6 23.6 58.8 56.3 30.0 23.6
Recurring PBT 309 371 154 146 241 345
% chg 64.2 20.3 (58.5) (5.5) 65.3 43.1
PBT (reported) 309 371 154 146 241 345
Tax 102 129 47 46 83 114
(% of PBT) 33.2 34.7 30.6 31.5 34.3 33.2
PAT (reported) 206 242 107 100 158 230
Prior period items 17 0 0 3 - -
PAT after MI (reported) 206 242 107 100 158 230
ADJ. PAT 189 242 107 97 158 230
% chg 42.4 28.0 (55.9) (9.3) 63.2 45.5
(% of Net Sales) 10.2 11.0 8.0 8.6 8.4 9.3
Basic EPS (`) 166.7 195.9 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1
Fully Diluted EPS (`) 166.7 195.9 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1
% chg 42.4 17.5 (55.9) (6.6) 58.3 45.5
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 8
Balance Sheet (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital 12 12 12 12 12 12
Reserves& Surplus 568 745 831 908 1,023 1,195
Shareholders Funds 580 757 843 920 1,035 1,208
Total Loans - - - - - -
Deferred Tax Liability (Net) 31 47 47 33 33 33
Total Liabilities 611 805 890 954 1,068 1,241
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Gross Block 1,002 1,274 1,344 1,371 1,396 1,426
Less: Acc. Depreciation 617 716 826 922 1,018 1,116
Net Block 385 557 519 449 378 310
Capital Work-in-Progress 1 1 10 3 6 8
Investments 102 103 104 104 104 104
Current Assets 1,133 1,161 1,026 1,037 1,350 1,840
Cash 613 568 627 732 815 1,076
Loans & Advances 278 335 242 104 221 367
Inventories 163 136 82 119 177 230
Debtors 41 88 52 58 90 108
Other 38 34 22 24 46 59
Current liabilities 1,010 1,017 768 640 769 1,021
Net Current Assets 122 144 257 397 581 819
Total Assets 611 805 890 954 1,068 1,241
Cash flow statement (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E
Profit before tax 309 371 154 146 241 345
Depreciation 69 116 118 96 97 99
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Working Capital 347 (9) (147) (173) 17 168
Less: Other income 88 88 91 82 72 81
Direct taxes paid 102 129 47 46 83 114
Cash Flow from Operations 533 261 (13) (59) 200 416
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (202) (271) (80) (19) (28) (32)
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (1) (1) (1) (0) (0) -
(Inc.)/ Dec. in loans and advances (141) (57) 92 138 (117) (146)
Other income 88 88 91 82 72 81
Cash Flow from Investing (255) (241) 102 201 (73) (97)
Issue of Equity - - - - - -
Inc./(Dec.) in loans - - - - - -
Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 56 65 22 22 43 58
Others (1) 1 (8) (15) (1) (1)
Cash Flow from Financing (57) (65) (30) (37) (44) (59)
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 221 (44) 59 105 83 260
Opening Cash balances 391 613 568 627 732 815
Closing Cash balances 613 568 627 732 815 1,076
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 9
Key Ratios
Y/E March FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E
Valuation Ratio (x)
P/E (on FDEPS) 16.2 13.8 31.2 33.4 21.1 14.5
P/E (on basic, reported EPS) 16.2 13.8 31.2 33.4 21.1 14.5
P/CEPS 12.1 9.3 14.9 17.0 13.1 10.1
P/BV 5.8 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.8
Dividend yield (%) 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.5
Market cap. / Sales 1.8 1.5 2.5 3.0 1.8 1.3
EV/Sales 1.5 1.3 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.9
EV/EBITDA 9.3 6.9 14.6 16.2 9.4 6.2
EV / Total Assets 4.5 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.4 1.8
Per Share Data (Rs)
EPS (Basic) 166.7 195.9 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1
EPS (fully diluted) 166.7 195.9 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1
Cash EPS 222.3 289.6 181.5 158.5 206.3 266.2
DPS 40.0 45.0 15.0 15.0 30.0 40.0
Book Value 469.1 612.4 681.8 744.2 837.0 976.3
ROE Decomposition (%)
EBIT margin 12.1 13.0 5.0 5.7 9.1 10.8
Tax retention ratio 66.8 65.3 69.4 68.5 65.7 66.8
Asset turnover (x) 3.9 3.6 2.1 2.0 3.2 3.9
ROCE (Post Tax) 31.4 31.0 7.2 7.7 19.4 28.0
Cost of Debt (Post Tax) - - - - - -
Leverage (x) - - - - - -
Operating ROE 31.4 31.0 7.2 7.7 19.4 28.0
Returns (%)
ROCE (Pre-tax) 42.0 40.5 8.0 7.0 17.0 23.2
Angel ROIC 31.4 31.0 7.3 7.8 19.5 28.3
ROE 40.5 36.2 13.4 11.3 16.2 20.5
Turnover ratios (x)
Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.1 1.9 1.0 0.8 1.4 1.8
Asset Turnover (Net Block) 5.9 4.7 2.5 2.3 4.6 7.2
Operating Income / Invested Capital 3.9 3.6 2.1 2.0 3.2 3.9
Inventory / Sales (days) 30 25 30 32 29 30
Receivables (days) 10 11 19 18 14 15
Payables (days) 171 169 215 225 151 145
Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days) 12 5 0 (6) 12 27
Solvency ratios (x)
Gross debt to equity - - - - - -
Net debt to equity - - - - - -
Net debt to EBITDA - - - - - -
Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest) 60.7 87.8 16.8 69.6 47.8 56.6
Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 10
Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
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This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
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Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
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Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please
refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and
its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement Lakshmi Machine Works
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No
3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)

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Lmw ru2 qfy2011-261010

  • 1. Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1 Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) Net Sales 429.3 334.1 28.5 268.6 59.8 EBITDA 64.0 44.2 44.7 46.4 38.0 EBITDA margin (%) 14.9 13.2 - 17.3 - PAT 45.9 30.1 52.4 32.4 41.7 Source: Company, Angel Research For 2QFY2011, Lakshmi Machine Works (LMW) posted strong top-line growth of 59.8% yoy to `429cr. This was slightly below our estimate of `450cr. OPM increased by a strong 14.9%, which was slightly below our estimate. The company reported high other income of `29cr. Consequently, PAT came in at `46cr, 2% below our estimate of `47cr. We remain positive on the company’s business outlook given its strong order book position of `3,600cr and the robust demand in the textile industry. Hence, we maintain an Accumulate on the stock. Strong top-line growth; order inflow increases: LMW reported strong sales growth of 59.8% yoy and 28.5% qoq, as demand from the textile industry players surged during the quarter. This was also reflected in the company’s strong order book of `3,600cr. Order inflow for the quarter stood at over `800cr. Outlook and Valuation: We are positive on the company’s business prospects given its strong outstanding order book of `3,600cr and increased activity in its user industry of textiles. The textile players are currently operating at high utilisation levels of around 90-95%, as the industry is witnessing high growth. The strong order book further supports our positive outlook. The stock is currently trading at 21.1x and 14.5x FY2011 and FY2012 EPS. Owing to strong order book position, improved business outlook and increased liquidity with the textile spinners due to TUFS fund release, we upgrade our target P/E multiple to 16.0x from 15.0x and increase our Target Price to `2,977 (`2,819). We maintain an Accumulate on the stock. Key Financials (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 1,338 1,131 1,883 2,487 % chg (39.3) (15.5) 66.5 32.1 Net Profit 107 100 158 230 % chg (55.9) (6.6) 58.3 45.5 EBITDA (%) 13.8 14.2 14.3 14.8 EPS (`) 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1 P/E (x) 31.2 33.4 21.1 14.5 P/BV (x) 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.8 RoE (%) 13.4 11.3 16.2 20.5 RoCE (%) 8.0 7.0 17.0 23.2 EV/Sales (x) 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.9 EV/EBITDA (x) 14.6 16.2 9.4 6.2 Source: Company, Angel Research ACCUMULATE CMP `2,699 Target Price `2,977 Investment Period 12 Months S tock Info S ector Bloomberg Code LMW@IN S hareholding P attern (% ) P romoters 25.8 MF /Banks /Indian Fls 36.4 FII /NR Is /OCBs 14.4 Indian P ublic /Others 23.4 Abs . (% ) 3m 1yr 3yr S ens ex 12.2 20.8 5.1 Laks hmi Machine 29.0 107.4 (14.9) 10 20,221 6,082 LKMC.BO 3,338 0.6 2901/1215 10730 Capital Goods Avg. Daily Volume Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High /Low Face Value (`) BS E S ens ex Nifty R euters Code Jai Sharda +91 22 4040 3800 Ext: 305 jai.sharda@angelbroking.com Lakshmi Machine Works Performance Highlights 2QFY2011 Result Update | Capital Goods October 26, 2010
  • 2. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 2 Exhibit 1: 2QFY2011 Performance Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY2011 1QFY2011 % chg (qoq) 2QFY2010 % chg (yoy) FY2010 FY2009 % chg Net Sales 429.3 334.1 28.5 268.6 59.8 1,136.9 1,338.0 (15.0) Consumption of RM 249.7 198.4 25.8 151.4 64.9 662.0 781.6 (15.3) (% of Sales) 58.2 59.4 56.4 58.2 58.4 Staff Costs 38.1 36.8 3.7 29.8 27.9 116.8 119.8 (2.5) (% of Sales) 8.9 11.0 11.1 10.3 9.0 Other Expenses 77.5 54.6 41.9 41.0 88.8 193.9 255.5 (24.1) (% of Sales) 18.0 16.3 15.3 17.1 19.1 Total Expenditure 365.3 289.8 26.0 222.2 64.4 972.7 1,156.8 (15.9) Operating Profit 64.0 44.2 44.7 46.4 38.0 164.2 181.2 (9.3) OPM (%) 14.9 13.2 17.3 14.4 13.5 Interest - - - - - Depreciation 25.1 24.3 3.6 21.8 15.1 95.8 117.6 (18.5) Other Income 28.9 25.2 14.4 24.1 19.7 82.1 90.6 (9.4) PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 67.7 45.2 49.8 48.7 39.2 150.6 154.2 (2.3) Extr. Income/(Expense) - - - - - PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 67.7 45.2 49.8 48.7 39.2 150.6 154.2 - (% of Sales) 15.8 13.5 18.1 13.2 11.5 Provision for Taxation 21.9 15.1 44.7 16.3 34.2 45.9 47.2 (2.8) (% of PBT) 32.3 33.4 33.5 30.5 30.6 Reported PAT 45.9 30.1 52.4 32.4 41.7 104.7 107.0 - PATM (%) 10.7 9.0 12.1 9.2 8.0 Equity shares (cr) 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 EPS (Rs) 37.1 24.3 52.4 26.2 41.7 84.6 86.5 - Adjusted PAT 45.9 30.1 52.4 32.4 41.7 104.7 107.0 (2.1) Source: Company, Angel Research Segment-wise performance The company’s textile machinery division sales grew 61.4% yoy during the quarter to `385cr (`238cr). The division reported EBIT margin of 13.5% during the quarter compared to 15.3% in 2QFY2010. The other divisions recorded sales growth of 45.4% yoy to `60cr (`41cr). EBIT of the other divisions stood at `3.1cr. Exhibit 2: Segment-wise performance Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY2011 1QFY2011 2QFY2010 % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy) Total Revenue A) Textile Machinery 385 303 238 27.0 61.4 B) Others 60 45 41 33.5 45.4 Total 444 348 279 27.8 59.1 Less: Inter-Segmental Rev. 1 1 1 76.5 27.5 Net Sales 443 347 278 27.7 59.2 EBIT Margin (%) A) Textile Machinery 13.5 10.3 15.3 318bp (180bp) B) Others 5.2 6.3 2.3 (107bp) 295bp Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 3. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 3 Top-line continues increasing trend For 2QFY2011, LMW continued its increasing trend in top-line growth, after having taken a hit during the economic crisis. Quarterly sales increased from `181cr in 4QFY2009 to `429cr in 2QFY2011, as the company has been witnessing a steady improvement in its business. We expect this trend to continue going ahead as well, as demand from the textile players continues to remain strong. Exhibit 3: Sales trend Source: Company, Angel Research Margins remain strong at 14.9% The company reported strong OPM of 14.9% for the quarter, 167bp above 1QFY2011. The company has been reporting robust margins over recent quarters owing to improvement in business. Exhibit 4: OPM trend Source: Company, Angel Research (80.0) (60.0) (40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 (%) (`cr) Sales (LHS) yoy Growth (RHS) (5.0) 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 (10) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 (%) (`cr) EBITDA (LHS) OPM (RHS)
  • 4. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 4 PAT increases to Rs46cr PAT increased 41.7% yoy in the quarter to `46cr after remaining steady at nearly `30cr in earlier few quarters. Going ahead, we expect profit to further increase, as the underlying business scenario continues to improve. Exhibit 5: Profit trend Source: Company, Angel Research Management call – Key takeaways Order book at the end of the quarter rose to `3,600cr from `3,200cr at the end of 1QFY2011. 1HFY2011 witnessed order inflow of `1,240cr. The company is currently quoting a delivery period of 10-12 months, indicating consistent and strong growth in demand. Management expects to maintain current margin levels. The liquidity situation in the textile industry is good owing to funds released under the TUFS scheme. This would translate into higher off-take of LMW’s products. This is further backed by bumper profit being booked by the textile manufacturers. The progress in the Chinese subsidiary is steady. There is no dearth of orders, but it will take time for execution to improve. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 (`cr)
  • 5. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 5 Investment Arguments Ability to defend market share: LMW is one of the largest players in the world and one of only three players globally that manufacture the entire range of spinning machinery. In India, it has high market share of around 70% in yarn spinning and preparatory machines. It has been able to sustain this market share on the back of strong after-sales service coupled with providing world’s best technology to customers at the cheapest rates. LMW has service centres at all the textile hubs across the country, which gives it a strong advantage over its European peers, who at the most have service centres in only 3-4 cities. LMW also enjoys an edge over competition as it caters to a huge 1,300 domestic textile players out of the total universe of around 1,600. The company has been innovating on technology for the past 15 years. In terms of prices, LMW’s products are at least 10% cheaper than its European peers who have manufacturing base in India. Strong order book to translate into robust sales growth: LMW has a strong order book of `3,600cr. The upturn in the spinning industry has lent a boost to the company’s order inflow. The yarn prices have increased at 15.0% CAGR over the last two years and most listed yarn manufacturers surveyed by us are operating at utilisation rates of around 95%. This indicates that there is low probability of order deferments and the company’s robust order book is expected to result in strong growth. Outlook and Valuation We are positive on the company’s business prospects given the strong demand from the user industry of textiles. A number of textile players are operating at high utilisation levels of 90-95% and to increase production further would have to increase capacity. This augurs well for LMW, as it is the largest textile machinery player in India. Our view is backed by the company’s large order book to `3,600cr. Thus, on the back of positive business outlook and strong order book position, we expect sales to increase at a CAGR of 48.3% over FY2010-12 to `2,487cr. We expect PAT to clock CAGR of 51.8% to `230cr over the period. The stock is currently trading at 21.1x and 14.5x FY2011E and FY2012E EPS. Owing to strong order book, robust business outlook and increased liquidity with the textile spinning players, we have upgraded our target P/E multiple of the company from 15.0x to 16.0x. We maintain an Accumulate on the stock, with a revised Target Price of `2,977 (`2,819). Exhibit 6: Result: Actual vs Estimated Actual Estimated Difference (%) Sales (` cr) 429 451 (4.8) EBITDA (` cr) 64.0 72.1 (11.2) OPM (%) 14.9% 16.0% (110 bps) PAT (` cr) 45.9 47.5 (3.4) Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 6. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 6 Exhibit 7: Key assumptions FY2011E FY2012E Remarks Sales in Chinese subsidiary (` cr) 80.0 120.0 Sales to increase as company gains foothold in China Sales growth rate (%) 66.5 32.1 High growth due to improvement in business outlook OPM (%) 14.3 14.8 OPM to increase on operating leverage Tax Rate (%) 20.0 22.0 Higher production in Pune plant to result in higher tax Source: Angel Research Exhibit 8: Peer valuation Company Mcap CMP EPS (`) P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) (` cr) (`) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E LMW 3,338 2,699 21.1 14.5 127.9 186.1 3.2 2.8 16.2 20.5 Kirloskar Brothers 1,859 234 19.1 22.1 12.3 10.6 2.0 1.8 18.3 16.5 Cummins 14,836 749 30.1 37.5 24.9 20.0 7.9 6.6 33.1 32.9 Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research Exhibit 9: One year forward P/E Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 Mar-00 Oct-00 Apr-01 Oct-01 Apr-02 Oct-02 Apr-03 Oct-03 Apr-04 Oct-04 Apr-05 Oct-05 Apr-06 Oct-06 Apr-07 Oct-07 Apr-08 Oct-08 Apr-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 Oct-10 SharePrice(`) Price 8x 10x 13x 16x 20x
  • 7. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 7 Profit and Loss (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E Gross sales 2,127 2,533 1,502 1,224 2,040 2,693 Less: Excise duty 274 328 164 94 157 206 Net Sales 1,854 2,205 1,338 1,131 1,883 2,487 Total operating income 1,854 2,205 1,338 1,131 1,883 2,487 % chg 42.4 19.0 (39.3) (15.5) 66.5 32.1 Total Expenditure 1,561 1,802 1,153 970 1,614 2,120 Net Raw Materials 1,108 1,305 782 657 1,111 1,467 Other Mfg costs 190 213 156 112 178 235 Personnel 115 128 111 118 151 199 Other 148 157 104 83 174 219 EBITDA 293 403 185 161 269 367 % chg 43.1 37.5 (54.0) (13.1) 67.4 36.3 (% of Net Sales) 15.8 18.3 13.8 14.2 14.3 14.8 Depreciation & Amortisation 69 116 118 96 97 99 EBIT 224 287 68 65 172 268 % chg 50.6 28.0 (76.4) (4.3) 166.5 55.6 (% of Net Sales) 12.1 13.0 5.0 5.7 9.1 10.8 Interest & other Charges 4 3 4 1 4 5 Other Income 88 88 91 82 72 81 (% of PBT) 28.6 23.6 58.8 56.3 30.0 23.6 Recurring PBT 309 371 154 146 241 345 % chg 64.2 20.3 (58.5) (5.5) 65.3 43.1 PBT (reported) 309 371 154 146 241 345 Tax 102 129 47 46 83 114 (% of PBT) 33.2 34.7 30.6 31.5 34.3 33.2 PAT (reported) 206 242 107 100 158 230 Prior period items 17 0 0 3 - - PAT after MI (reported) 206 242 107 100 158 230 ADJ. PAT 189 242 107 97 158 230 % chg 42.4 28.0 (55.9) (9.3) 63.2 45.5 (% of Net Sales) 10.2 11.0 8.0 8.6 8.4 9.3 Basic EPS (`) 166.7 195.9 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1 Fully Diluted EPS (`) 166.7 195.9 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1 % chg 42.4 17.5 (55.9) (6.6) 58.3 45.5
  • 8. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 8 Balance Sheet (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 12 12 12 12 12 12 Reserves& Surplus 568 745 831 908 1,023 1,195 Shareholders Funds 580 757 843 920 1,035 1,208 Total Loans - - - - - - Deferred Tax Liability (Net) 31 47 47 33 33 33 Total Liabilities 611 805 890 954 1,068 1,241 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 1,002 1,274 1,344 1,371 1,396 1,426 Less: Acc. Depreciation 617 716 826 922 1,018 1,116 Net Block 385 557 519 449 378 310 Capital Work-in-Progress 1 1 10 3 6 8 Investments 102 103 104 104 104 104 Current Assets 1,133 1,161 1,026 1,037 1,350 1,840 Cash 613 568 627 732 815 1,076 Loans & Advances 278 335 242 104 221 367 Inventories 163 136 82 119 177 230 Debtors 41 88 52 58 90 108 Other 38 34 22 24 46 59 Current liabilities 1,010 1,017 768 640 769 1,021 Net Current Assets 122 144 257 397 581 819 Total Assets 611 805 890 954 1,068 1,241 Cash flow statement (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E Profit before tax 309 371 154 146 241 345 Depreciation 69 116 118 96 97 99 (Inc.)/ Dec. in Working Capital 347 (9) (147) (173) 17 168 Less: Other income 88 88 91 82 72 81 Direct taxes paid 102 129 47 46 83 114 Cash Flow from Operations 533 261 (13) (59) 200 416 (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (202) (271) (80) (19) (28) (32) (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (1) (1) (1) (0) (0) - (Inc.)/ Dec. in loans and advances (141) (57) 92 138 (117) (146) Other income 88 88 91 82 72 81 Cash Flow from Investing (255) (241) 102 201 (73) (97) Issue of Equity - - - - - - Inc./(Dec.) in loans - - - - - - Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 56 65 22 22 43 58 Others (1) 1 (8) (15) (1) (1) Cash Flow from Financing (57) (65) (30) (37) (44) (59) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 221 (44) 59 105 83 260 Opening Cash balances 391 613 568 627 732 815 Closing Cash balances 613 568 627 732 815 1,076
  • 9. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 9 Key Ratios Y/E March FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 16.2 13.8 31.2 33.4 21.1 14.5 P/E (on basic, reported EPS) 16.2 13.8 31.2 33.4 21.1 14.5 P/CEPS 12.1 9.3 14.9 17.0 13.1 10.1 P/BV 5.8 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.8 Dividend yield (%) 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.5 Market cap. / Sales 1.8 1.5 2.5 3.0 1.8 1.3 EV/Sales 1.5 1.3 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.9 EV/EBITDA 9.3 6.9 14.6 16.2 9.4 6.2 EV / Total Assets 4.5 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.4 1.8 Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) 166.7 195.9 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1 EPS (fully diluted) 166.7 195.9 86.5 80.7 127.9 186.1 Cash EPS 222.3 289.6 181.5 158.5 206.3 266.2 DPS 40.0 45.0 15.0 15.0 30.0 40.0 Book Value 469.1 612.4 681.8 744.2 837.0 976.3 ROE Decomposition (%) EBIT margin 12.1 13.0 5.0 5.7 9.1 10.8 Tax retention ratio 66.8 65.3 69.4 68.5 65.7 66.8 Asset turnover (x) 3.9 3.6 2.1 2.0 3.2 3.9 ROCE (Post Tax) 31.4 31.0 7.2 7.7 19.4 28.0 Cost of Debt (Post Tax) - - - - - - Leverage (x) - - - - - - Operating ROE 31.4 31.0 7.2 7.7 19.4 28.0 Returns (%) ROCE (Pre-tax) 42.0 40.5 8.0 7.0 17.0 23.2 Angel ROIC 31.4 31.0 7.3 7.8 19.5 28.3 ROE 40.5 36.2 13.4 11.3 16.2 20.5 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.1 1.9 1.0 0.8 1.4 1.8 Asset Turnover (Net Block) 5.9 4.7 2.5 2.3 4.6 7.2 Operating Income / Invested Capital 3.9 3.6 2.1 2.0 3.2 3.9 Inventory / Sales (days) 30 25 30 32 29 30 Receivables (days) 10 11 19 18 14 15 Payables (days) 171 169 215 225 151 145 Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days) 12 5 0 (6) 12 27 Solvency ratios (x) Gross debt to equity - - - - - - Net debt to equity - - - - - - Net debt to EBITDA - - - - - - Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest) 60.7 87.8 16.8 69.6 47.8 56.6
  • 10. Lakshmi Machine Works| 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 10 Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Lakshmi Machine Works 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)