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Interim report
1 January – 31 March 2024
Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company
30.9
Key figures 31 March 2024
Interim report
Investment assets
EUR
billion
3.3
Return
%
5.7
10-year nominal return
%
122.5
Solvency ratio
%
1.4
Solvency position
1.2
Pensions and other
benefits paid
EUR
billion
(30.0) (1.6) (5.4)
(121.3) (1.5) (1.1)
31 March 2024
2
When reporting annual performance figures, the reference point is 31 March 2023, otherwise 31 December 2023.
Interim report
477,400
Total number of self-employed
persons and employees insured
82,800
Number of YEL policyholders
Number of TyEL policyholders
46,300
249,900
pensioners
(83,500)
(493,200) (249,800)
(46,400)
31 March 2024
3
Comparison figures are for 31 December 2023.
We pay out pensions to
• Following the reform of the Self-Employed Workers' Pensions Act
(YEL Act), pension companies will review the earned income of
YEL-insured entrepreneurs every three years. The review ensures
that the earned income is up to date and that the entrepreneur’s
livelihood is secured during and after the entrepreneurial activity.
• We prepared for the reviews by implementing the YEL earned
income calculator, through training and by informing our
customers.
• We will be reviewing earned incomes from June through the
end of the year. The reviews will be targeted at YEL earned
income below EUR 25,000 that has not been changed for three
years.
We will continue to review the earned
income of self-employed person
Interim report 31 March 2024
4
Type of pension pcs. EUR million
Old-age pension 189,091 954.1
Disability pension 20,208 84.2
Survivors’ pension 29,957 65.2
Partial early old-age pension 10,580 24.9
Years-of-service pension 26 0.2
Total 249,862 1,128.6
Amount of pensions paid 8% higher vs. Q1 last year,
the biggest factor underlying the growth was the
index increase of 5.7%
31 March 2024
Interim report
5
Pensions paid by pension type 1–3/2024 Pensions paid by pension type 2020–3/2024
1–3/2024 1–3/2023
Old-age pensions 1,962 1,015
Partial early old-age pensions 1,255 721
Disability pensions 3,259 3,448
Survivor's pensions 740 808
Decisions on rehabilitation 499 410
Career pensions 18 16
Total 7,733 6,418
Number of old-age pension decisions increased
31 March 2024
Interim report
6
Pension decisions by pension type
• We issued 7,733 pension decisions and their
number increased by 20% from the previous Q1.
• The increase in pension decisions in early 2024 is
attributable to the 2022 index increase. Due to
the increase, many people applied for a pension
prior to the end of 2022, which resulted in a
lower-than-normal number of decisions early
2023.
• The number of decisions on partial early old-age
pension increased, with the uncertainty of
pension applicants about their financial situation
underlying the increase.
• There was a decrease in disability pension
decisions, and we issued 5.5% fewer decisions
than last year.
The number of people retiring on disability pension
decreased
Interim report
New disability pension decisions
• The number of disability pensions granted
decreased by 21%.
• The decrease in the number of granted
pensions is attributable to the exceptionally
high workload in the first quarter of 2023,
the increase in the rejection rate and the
stabilization of the number of applications
for disability pensions in the first quarter of
2024.
31 March 2024
7
The number of applications for vocational
rehabilitation began to increase
Interim report
Preliminary decisions on vocational rehabilitation
• The number of decisions on vocational
rehabilitation increased by 10%.
• Active development in work ability services:
• A more effective model to return mental
health rehabilitees to work, and
development will continue.
• Support for employer’s business
intelligence: Community-level data
describing the more extensive disability
pension risks in the online service.
• Developing Elo’s and non-life insurance
partners’ level of competence in work
ability management during the year.
31 March 2024
8
Premiums written amounted to EUR 1.1 billion
Interim report
• Premiums written (including TyEL and YEL)
amounted to EUR 1.1 billion, an increase of
1.5%.
• Credit losses increased slightly during the
review period, amounting to EUR 5.3 million.
• Elo’s total TyEL payroll was approximately 0.5%
higher than in the corresponding period in
2023.
• The increase in the total YEL earned income
was 6%.
• During the year, we will continue to
review YEL earned incomes.
Premiums written 2020–3/2024
31 March 2024
9
The total result was EUR 414 million
Interim report 31 March 2024
10
EUR million 1–3/2024 1–3/2023 2023
Total surplus 413.5 34.4 308.0
Insurance business surplus 1.2 8.6 25.5
Investment surplus at fair values 411.2 23.4 267.8
Net investment income at fair values (+) 999.9 447.2 1,707.9
Yield requirement on technical provision (-) -588.7 -423.8 -1,440.1
Loading profit 0.8 1.6 10.9
Other income 0.4 0.8 3.8
Solvency ratio increased from the end of the previous
year
Interim report
Solvency ratio and position
31 March 2024
11
123.7 %
128.1 %
121.4 % 121.3 %
122.5 %
1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
100%
110%
120%
130%
2020 2021 2022 2023 3/2024
Solvency ratio, % Solvency position
Summary of key figures
Interim report 31 March 2024
12
3/2024 3/2023 2023
Investment assets at fair value, EUR million 30,917.3 28,698.1 30,046.7
Net return from investment on capital employed, % 3.3 % 1.6 % 6.0 %
Average nominal return, over 10 years 5.7 % 5.4 % 5.4 %
Average nominal return, over 5 years 6.0 % 5.3 % 6.4 %
Premiums written, EUR million 1,065.9 1,050.3 4,397.5
Pensions and other benefits paid, EUR million 1,158.6 1,105.4 4,461.0
Technical provisions, EUR million 25,829.5 24,660.1 25,733.7
Number of TyEL insured 394,700 405,200 409,700
Number of TyEL policyholders 46,300 47,400 46,400
Number of YEL policyholders 82,800 83,900 83,500
Number of pensioners 249,900 246,500 249,800
Solvency capital, EUR million 5,838.4 5,141.4 5,426.2
Solvency position 1.4 1.6 1.5
Solvency ratio, % 122.5 % 121.2 % 121.3 %
• Our sustainability program is based on three focus areas: We Insure Responsibly, We Build a Humane
Working Life and We Invest in the Future.
• We engage by ourselves or in
collaboration. We became an
endorser of the PRI Spring
collaboration initiative, aimed
at driving corporate ambition
and action to mitigate
biodiversity loss.
• We report Elo’s consumption
data in accordance with
WWF’s Green Office
We provide lifelong security – Our actions for sustainability
WE INVEST IN THE FUTURE WE BUILD A HUMANE
WORKING LIFE
WE INSURE RESPONSIBLY
Interim report
• We are committed to the
principles of a responsible
workplace and summer job and
are involved in the Responsible
Employer community.
• We are involved in the
Accessible Summer Job
campaign, where jobs are
offered to applicants who need
accessibility.
• We worked on principles and
regulations, including supplier
corporate responsibility
requirements and employee
travel regulations
• In March, we published the
Sustainability Report 2023 and
prepared for the new
sustainability reporting.
31 March 2024
13
• The timing of the easing of monetary policy and the pace of the decline in interest rates are important
for the growth of Europe and Finland. The European Central Bank is likely to cut interest rates for the
first time in the summer and short-term interest rates are expected to decrease by the end of the year.
• The business cycle in the euro zone and Finland is quite special. Economic growth is weak, and Finland is
in recession. However, the labour market has remained in employment due to the structural scarcity of
labour. Despite the rise in households’ real incomes in the euro zone, consumption is still cautious.
Confidence is weakened by the increase in interest expenses and cost of living.
• We will continue the efficient implementation of the employment pension system, and in accordance
with the strategy, we want to increase our market share in TyEL insurance and maintain our position as
the market leader in YEL insurance. We will continue to invest in the development of work ability
services and create added value for our customers to reduce work ability risks. In accordance with our
strategy, we ensure adequate solvency in all market situations.
Outlook
Interim report 31 March 2024
14
Interim report
Investment overview
15
• Equity market returns were strong in the US and European main markets.
Technology companies involved in AI continued to be at the forefront of
the rise.
• Changes in the expectations of lowering the key interest rates raised
market interest rates and pushed bond market returns to negative
figures.
• Elo’s investments performed well, generating a return of 3.3%. Listed
equities and hedge fund investments generated the highest returns.
Equity market returns were supported by expectations of monetary policy
easing and a significant strengthening of the profit growth expectations of
technology companies, especially in the United States.
• Expectations of a recovery in the real estate investment market have been
postponed to the end of the year. The risks of real estate investments have
been effectively distributed, and the long-term outlook has remained
good. Real estate investments generated a return of 0.0%.
Elo’s investments generated
EUR 1 billion
31 March 2024
Interim report
16
Investment assets EUR 31 billion
31 March 2024
Interim report
17
Asset allocation Investment assets
Listed equities and hedge funds generated excellent
returns in Q1
31 March 2024
Interim report
18
Return on investments by asset class
1.8 %
0.6 %
0.8 %
7.0 %
2.3 %
0.4 %
0.0 %
6.4 %
-1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8%
Loans
Bonds
Other money market instruments
and deposits
Listed equities
Private equity investments
Unlisted equity investments
Real estate
Other investments
Return on investments 3.3% in Q1
31 March 2024
Interim report
19
Return Volatility
EUR million % EUR million % % %
Fixed-income investments 8,086.5 26.2 8,590.4 27.8 0.7
Loans 565.5 1.8 565.5 1.8 1.8
Bonds 6,855.6 22.2 7,676.8 24.8 0.6 4.1
Public bonds 2,407.7 7.8 2,478.3 8.0 -0.5
Other bonds 4,447.9 14.4 5,198.5 16.8 1.3
Other money market instruments and deposits
incl. any receivables and liabilities related to investments 665.4 2.2 348.1 1.1 0.8
Equities 15,958.2 51.6 15,986.5 51.7 5.1
Listed equities 9,993.4 32.3 10,021.8 32.4 7.0 13.2
Private equity investments 5,301.9 17.1 5,301.9 17.1 2.3
Unlisted equity investments 662.8 2.1 662.8 2.1 0.4
Real estate 3,941.3 12.7 3,941.3 12.7 0.0
Direct real estate investments 2,621.4 8.5 2,621.4 8.5 1.0
Real estate funds and joint investment companies 1,319.9 4.3 1,319.9 4.3 -1.9
Other investments 2,931.3 9.5 2,931.3 9.5 6.4
Hedge fund investments 2,931.7 9.5 2,931.7 9.5 6.5 5.0
Commodity investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
Other investments -0.4 0.0 -0.4 0.0 -
Total investments 30,917.3 100.0 31,449.5 101.7 3.3 4.2
Effect of derivatives -532.2 -1.7
Total 30,917.3 100.0 30,917.3 100.0
The return on foreign currency derivatives is estimated for asset classes in proportion to the average foreign currency-denominated assets during the reporting period.
The total return includes returns, expenses and operating expenses not allocated to investment classes. The modified duration of bonds is 4.6.
The open currency exposure is 30.3% of market value.
Actual risk position
Basic allocation by market value
26% of the investments were in North America and
23% in Finland
31 March 2024
Interim report
20
Geographical distribution of investments Investments in Finland by asset class
and private equity
investments
Geographical distribution of bonds and listed equities
31 March 2024
Interim report
21
Bonds EUR 6 billion * Listed equities EUR 10 billion
*Unlisted investments excluded.
Positive first-quarter return of 3.3%
Interim report 31 March 2024
22
Ten-year return was 5.7% per annum
31 March 2024
Interim report
23
Investment returns Average return on investments over time
Cumulative 10-year return approximately 76%
Interim report 31 March 2024
24

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Interimreport1 January–31 March2024 Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company

  • 1. Interim report 1 January – 31 March 2024 Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company
  • 2. 30.9 Key figures 31 March 2024 Interim report Investment assets EUR billion 3.3 Return % 5.7 10-year nominal return % 122.5 Solvency ratio % 1.4 Solvency position 1.2 Pensions and other benefits paid EUR billion (30.0) (1.6) (5.4) (121.3) (1.5) (1.1) 31 March 2024 2 When reporting annual performance figures, the reference point is 31 March 2023, otherwise 31 December 2023.
  • 3. Interim report 477,400 Total number of self-employed persons and employees insured 82,800 Number of YEL policyholders Number of TyEL policyholders 46,300 249,900 pensioners (83,500) (493,200) (249,800) (46,400) 31 March 2024 3 Comparison figures are for 31 December 2023. We pay out pensions to
  • 4. • Following the reform of the Self-Employed Workers' Pensions Act (YEL Act), pension companies will review the earned income of YEL-insured entrepreneurs every three years. The review ensures that the earned income is up to date and that the entrepreneur’s livelihood is secured during and after the entrepreneurial activity. • We prepared for the reviews by implementing the YEL earned income calculator, through training and by informing our customers. • We will be reviewing earned incomes from June through the end of the year. The reviews will be targeted at YEL earned income below EUR 25,000 that has not been changed for three years. We will continue to review the earned income of self-employed person Interim report 31 March 2024 4
  • 5. Type of pension pcs. EUR million Old-age pension 189,091 954.1 Disability pension 20,208 84.2 Survivors’ pension 29,957 65.2 Partial early old-age pension 10,580 24.9 Years-of-service pension 26 0.2 Total 249,862 1,128.6 Amount of pensions paid 8% higher vs. Q1 last year, the biggest factor underlying the growth was the index increase of 5.7% 31 March 2024 Interim report 5 Pensions paid by pension type 1–3/2024 Pensions paid by pension type 2020–3/2024
  • 6. 1–3/2024 1–3/2023 Old-age pensions 1,962 1,015 Partial early old-age pensions 1,255 721 Disability pensions 3,259 3,448 Survivor's pensions 740 808 Decisions on rehabilitation 499 410 Career pensions 18 16 Total 7,733 6,418 Number of old-age pension decisions increased 31 March 2024 Interim report 6 Pension decisions by pension type • We issued 7,733 pension decisions and their number increased by 20% from the previous Q1. • The increase in pension decisions in early 2024 is attributable to the 2022 index increase. Due to the increase, many people applied for a pension prior to the end of 2022, which resulted in a lower-than-normal number of decisions early 2023. • The number of decisions on partial early old-age pension increased, with the uncertainty of pension applicants about their financial situation underlying the increase. • There was a decrease in disability pension decisions, and we issued 5.5% fewer decisions than last year.
  • 7. The number of people retiring on disability pension decreased Interim report New disability pension decisions • The number of disability pensions granted decreased by 21%. • The decrease in the number of granted pensions is attributable to the exceptionally high workload in the first quarter of 2023, the increase in the rejection rate and the stabilization of the number of applications for disability pensions in the first quarter of 2024. 31 March 2024 7
  • 8. The number of applications for vocational rehabilitation began to increase Interim report Preliminary decisions on vocational rehabilitation • The number of decisions on vocational rehabilitation increased by 10%. • Active development in work ability services: • A more effective model to return mental health rehabilitees to work, and development will continue. • Support for employer’s business intelligence: Community-level data describing the more extensive disability pension risks in the online service. • Developing Elo’s and non-life insurance partners’ level of competence in work ability management during the year. 31 March 2024 8
  • 9. Premiums written amounted to EUR 1.1 billion Interim report • Premiums written (including TyEL and YEL) amounted to EUR 1.1 billion, an increase of 1.5%. • Credit losses increased slightly during the review period, amounting to EUR 5.3 million. • Elo’s total TyEL payroll was approximately 0.5% higher than in the corresponding period in 2023. • The increase in the total YEL earned income was 6%. • During the year, we will continue to review YEL earned incomes. Premiums written 2020–3/2024 31 March 2024 9
  • 10. The total result was EUR 414 million Interim report 31 March 2024 10 EUR million 1–3/2024 1–3/2023 2023 Total surplus 413.5 34.4 308.0 Insurance business surplus 1.2 8.6 25.5 Investment surplus at fair values 411.2 23.4 267.8 Net investment income at fair values (+) 999.9 447.2 1,707.9 Yield requirement on technical provision (-) -588.7 -423.8 -1,440.1 Loading profit 0.8 1.6 10.9 Other income 0.4 0.8 3.8
  • 11. Solvency ratio increased from the end of the previous year Interim report Solvency ratio and position 31 March 2024 11 123.7 % 128.1 % 121.4 % 121.3 % 122.5 % 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 100% 110% 120% 130% 2020 2021 2022 2023 3/2024 Solvency ratio, % Solvency position
  • 12. Summary of key figures Interim report 31 March 2024 12 3/2024 3/2023 2023 Investment assets at fair value, EUR million 30,917.3 28,698.1 30,046.7 Net return from investment on capital employed, % 3.3 % 1.6 % 6.0 % Average nominal return, over 10 years 5.7 % 5.4 % 5.4 % Average nominal return, over 5 years 6.0 % 5.3 % 6.4 % Premiums written, EUR million 1,065.9 1,050.3 4,397.5 Pensions and other benefits paid, EUR million 1,158.6 1,105.4 4,461.0 Technical provisions, EUR million 25,829.5 24,660.1 25,733.7 Number of TyEL insured 394,700 405,200 409,700 Number of TyEL policyholders 46,300 47,400 46,400 Number of YEL policyholders 82,800 83,900 83,500 Number of pensioners 249,900 246,500 249,800 Solvency capital, EUR million 5,838.4 5,141.4 5,426.2 Solvency position 1.4 1.6 1.5 Solvency ratio, % 122.5 % 121.2 % 121.3 %
  • 13. • Our sustainability program is based on three focus areas: We Insure Responsibly, We Build a Humane Working Life and We Invest in the Future. • We engage by ourselves or in collaboration. We became an endorser of the PRI Spring collaboration initiative, aimed at driving corporate ambition and action to mitigate biodiversity loss. • We report Elo’s consumption data in accordance with WWF’s Green Office We provide lifelong security – Our actions for sustainability WE INVEST IN THE FUTURE WE BUILD A HUMANE WORKING LIFE WE INSURE RESPONSIBLY Interim report • We are committed to the principles of a responsible workplace and summer job and are involved in the Responsible Employer community. • We are involved in the Accessible Summer Job campaign, where jobs are offered to applicants who need accessibility. • We worked on principles and regulations, including supplier corporate responsibility requirements and employee travel regulations • In March, we published the Sustainability Report 2023 and prepared for the new sustainability reporting. 31 March 2024 13
  • 14. • The timing of the easing of monetary policy and the pace of the decline in interest rates are important for the growth of Europe and Finland. The European Central Bank is likely to cut interest rates for the first time in the summer and short-term interest rates are expected to decrease by the end of the year. • The business cycle in the euro zone and Finland is quite special. Economic growth is weak, and Finland is in recession. However, the labour market has remained in employment due to the structural scarcity of labour. Despite the rise in households’ real incomes in the euro zone, consumption is still cautious. Confidence is weakened by the increase in interest expenses and cost of living. • We will continue the efficient implementation of the employment pension system, and in accordance with the strategy, we want to increase our market share in TyEL insurance and maintain our position as the market leader in YEL insurance. We will continue to invest in the development of work ability services and create added value for our customers to reduce work ability risks. In accordance with our strategy, we ensure adequate solvency in all market situations. Outlook Interim report 31 March 2024 14
  • 16. • Equity market returns were strong in the US and European main markets. Technology companies involved in AI continued to be at the forefront of the rise. • Changes in the expectations of lowering the key interest rates raised market interest rates and pushed bond market returns to negative figures. • Elo’s investments performed well, generating a return of 3.3%. Listed equities and hedge fund investments generated the highest returns. Equity market returns were supported by expectations of monetary policy easing and a significant strengthening of the profit growth expectations of technology companies, especially in the United States. • Expectations of a recovery in the real estate investment market have been postponed to the end of the year. The risks of real estate investments have been effectively distributed, and the long-term outlook has remained good. Real estate investments generated a return of 0.0%. Elo’s investments generated EUR 1 billion 31 March 2024 Interim report 16
  • 17. Investment assets EUR 31 billion 31 March 2024 Interim report 17 Asset allocation Investment assets
  • 18. Listed equities and hedge funds generated excellent returns in Q1 31 March 2024 Interim report 18 Return on investments by asset class 1.8 % 0.6 % 0.8 % 7.0 % 2.3 % 0.4 % 0.0 % 6.4 % -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% Loans Bonds Other money market instruments and deposits Listed equities Private equity investments Unlisted equity investments Real estate Other investments
  • 19. Return on investments 3.3% in Q1 31 March 2024 Interim report 19 Return Volatility EUR million % EUR million % % % Fixed-income investments 8,086.5 26.2 8,590.4 27.8 0.7 Loans 565.5 1.8 565.5 1.8 1.8 Bonds 6,855.6 22.2 7,676.8 24.8 0.6 4.1 Public bonds 2,407.7 7.8 2,478.3 8.0 -0.5 Other bonds 4,447.9 14.4 5,198.5 16.8 1.3 Other money market instruments and deposits incl. any receivables and liabilities related to investments 665.4 2.2 348.1 1.1 0.8 Equities 15,958.2 51.6 15,986.5 51.7 5.1 Listed equities 9,993.4 32.3 10,021.8 32.4 7.0 13.2 Private equity investments 5,301.9 17.1 5,301.9 17.1 2.3 Unlisted equity investments 662.8 2.1 662.8 2.1 0.4 Real estate 3,941.3 12.7 3,941.3 12.7 0.0 Direct real estate investments 2,621.4 8.5 2,621.4 8.5 1.0 Real estate funds and joint investment companies 1,319.9 4.3 1,319.9 4.3 -1.9 Other investments 2,931.3 9.5 2,931.3 9.5 6.4 Hedge fund investments 2,931.7 9.5 2,931.7 9.5 6.5 5.0 Commodity investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - Other investments -0.4 0.0 -0.4 0.0 - Total investments 30,917.3 100.0 31,449.5 101.7 3.3 4.2 Effect of derivatives -532.2 -1.7 Total 30,917.3 100.0 30,917.3 100.0 The return on foreign currency derivatives is estimated for asset classes in proportion to the average foreign currency-denominated assets during the reporting period. The total return includes returns, expenses and operating expenses not allocated to investment classes. The modified duration of bonds is 4.6. The open currency exposure is 30.3% of market value. Actual risk position Basic allocation by market value
  • 20. 26% of the investments were in North America and 23% in Finland 31 March 2024 Interim report 20 Geographical distribution of investments Investments in Finland by asset class and private equity investments
  • 21. Geographical distribution of bonds and listed equities 31 March 2024 Interim report 21 Bonds EUR 6 billion * Listed equities EUR 10 billion *Unlisted investments excluded.
  • 22. Positive first-quarter return of 3.3% Interim report 31 March 2024 22
  • 23. Ten-year return was 5.7% per annum 31 March 2024 Interim report 23 Investment returns Average return on investments over time
  • 24. Cumulative 10-year return approximately 76% Interim report 31 March 2024 24