SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 11
Download to read offline
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
(` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % yoy Angel Est % Diff
Revenue 1,810.8 1,723.9 5.0 1,982.1 (8.6)
EBITDA 331.5 322.8 2.7 368.7 (10.1)
OPM (%) 18.3 18.7 (42) 18.6 (29)
PAT 214.7 205.7 4.4 241.2 (11.0)
Source: Company, Angel Research
For 2QFY2011, Asian Paints (APL) posted weak set of numbers and significantly
below our estimates on both the revenue and profitability front. Consolidated
top-line grew by a mere 5% yoy impacted by heavy monsoons, floods in the north
and shift in festival sales to 3QFY2011. Recurring earnings grew a muted 4.4%
yoy owing to weak top-line growth and margin contraction. We have marginally
tweaked our estimates to discount the disappointment in results. We re-iterate that
the current quarter results should be taken as an aberration and expect growth
momentum to pick in 2HFY2011. Hence, we maintain Buy on the stock.
Heavy monsoons/shift in festivities drag growth: APL reported a weak 5% yoy
growth in consolidated top-line to `1,811cr due to heavy monsoons and shift in
festival sales. We believe APL recorded ~1-2% contraction in paint volumes, and
growth in top-line was largely driven by three rounds of recent price hikes (though
full benefits would be registered in 2HFY2011). In terms of recurring earnings,
APL reported dismal growth of 4.4% yoy to `215cr owing to weak top-line growth,
margin contraction and 42% rise in depreciation charges (commencement of new
plant). At the operating level, APL registered a 42bp contraction resulting in a
muted 2.7% yoy growth in EBITDA to `332cr. However, surprisingly gross margins
expanded by 52bp yoy despite rising input costs on account of full impact of ~7%
weighted average price hikes.
Outlook and Valuation: We re-iterate that the current quarter results should be
taken as an aberration and expect growth momentum to pick in 2HFY2011
driven by - 1) full quarter of festival sales, and 2) higher value growth on account
of price hikes (further price hikes cannot be ruled out). At `2,503, the stock is
trading at 22x FY2012E revised EPS of `113.5. We maintain a Buy on the stock,
with a revised Target Price of `2,952 (`2,974) based on a P/E multiple of 26x
FY2012E earnings.
Key Financials (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 5,464 6,681 7,733 9,235
% chg 24.0 22.3 15.8 19.4
Net Profit (Adj) 401.4 772.0 890.5 1,088.9
% chg (3.9) 92.3 15.3 22.3
EBITDA (%) 12.3 18.4 18.1 18.1
EPS (`) 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5
P/E (x) 59.8 31.1 27.0 22.0
P/BV (x) 20.0 14.0 10.7 8.3
RoE (%) 33.1 48.9 39.8 37.5
RoCE (%) 36.3 54.7 50.0 48.6
EV/Sales (x) 4.4 3.6 3.1 2.6
EV/EBITDA (x) 36.0 19.7 17.2 14.1
Source: Company, Angel Research
BUY
CMP `2,503
Target Price `2,952
Investment Period 12 Months
Stock Info
Sector FMCG
Market Cap (Rs cr) 24,007
Beta 0.3
52 Week High / Low 2,920/1,575
Avg. Daily Volume 18,064
Face Value (Rs) 10
BSE Sensex 20,005
Nifty 6,013
Reuters Code ASPN.BO
Bloomberg Code APNT@IN
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Promoters 52.1
MF / Banks / Indian Fls 17.6
FII / NRIs / OCBs 16.9
Indian Public / Others 13.4
Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
Sensex 10.7 22.3 4.0
APL 2.7 52.8 147.9
Anand Shah
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334
anand.shah@angeltrade.com
Chitrangda Kapur
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323
chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
Sreekanth P.V.S
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 331
sreekanth.s@angeltrade.com
Asian Paints
Performance Highlights
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 2
Exhibit 1: Quarterly Performance (Consolidated)
Y/E March (Rs cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg H1FY11 H1FY10 % chg
Net Sales 1,810.8 1,723.9 5.0 3,641.0 3,184.2 14.3
Consumption of RM 1,019.7 979.8 4.1 2,068.5 1,798.9 15.0
(% of Sales) 56.3 56.8 56.8 56.5
Staff Costs 108.6 96.5 12.6 227.5 200.8 13.3
(% of Sales) 6.0 5.6 6.2 6.3
Other Expenses 350.9 324.9 8.0 666.4 585.9 13.8
(% of Sales) 19.4 18.8 18.3 18.4
Total Expenditure 1,479.3 1,401.2 5.6 2,962.4 2,585.6 14.6
Operating Profit 331.5 322.8 2.7 678.6 598.6 13.4
OPM (%) 18.3 18.7 18.6 18.8
Interest 4.6 6.4 (29.2) 8.8 13.6 (35.5)
Dep. & Amortisation 28.4 20.0 42.2 55.3 39.8 39.1
Other Income 24.9 24.7 0.8 43.3 40.3 7.4
Profit/Loss from Associate - - 43.31 40.32
PBT (excl. Extr Items) 323.4 321.1 0.7 701.1 625.8 12.0
(% of Sales) 17.9 18.6 19.3 19.7
Provision for Taxation 98.4 106.5 (7.6) 199.7 190.9 4.6
(% of PBT) 30.4 33.2 28.5 30.5
Minority Interest 10.3 8.9 21.2 12.9
Recurring PAT (After MI) 214.7 205.7 4.4 480.2 422.1 13.8
Extr Income/(Expense) - (62.7) - (62.7)
Prior Period Items 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Reported PAT 214.7 268.4 (20.0) 480.2 484.8 (0.9)
PATM (%) 11.9 15.6 13.2 15.2
Equity shares (cr) 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6
Adjusted EPS (Rs) 22.4 28.0 (20.0) 50.1 50.5 (0.9)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Top-line growth weak due to heavy monsoons and shift in festivities
APL reported a weak growth of 5% yoy in consolidated top-line to `1,811cr
(`1,724cr) impacted largely due to heavy monsoons, floods in north and shift in
festivities (all festival sales to be recorded in 3QFY2011 vis-à-vis 2QFY2010 which
recorded partial sales from festivities). We believe APL recorded a ~1-2% contraction
in paint volumes and growth in top-line was largely driven by the three rounds of
recent price hikes (though full benefits would be registered in 2HFY2011).
Standalone paint sales registered a growth of 6% yoy in value terms. Management
highlighted that retail demand continues to be robust (especially in the south and
east) and volumes were strong till July. However, August and September witnessed
poor off-take due to heavy rains across the country and the same also impacted
industrial paints demand due to delayed projects.
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 3
Exhibit 2: Heavy monsoons/shift in festivities impact top-line growth
Source: Company, Angel Research
Recurring earnings up 4%, reported declines
APL reported a dismal growth of 4.4% yoy in recurring earnings to `215cr (`206cr),
despite the 273bp decline in the tax rate (partially owing to higher contribution of
international business) owing to weak top-line growth, margin contraction and 42%
rise in depreciation charges (commencement of new plant). However, on a reported
basis, APL posted a decline of 20% yoy in earnings to `215cr (`268cr) owing to the
extraordinary gain of `62.7cr in 2QFY2010 due to the partial stake sale in ICI.
OPM contracts despite gross margin expansion
At the operating level, APL registered a 42bp contraction in OPM which coupled with
weak top-line growth resulted in a muted 2.7% yoy growth in EBITDA to `332cr
(`323cr). However, surprisingly gross margins expanded by 52bp yoy despite rising
input costs on account of full impact of the ~7% weighted average price hikes (taken
in three rounds in May, July and August). Nonetheless, higher staff costs (up 40bp
yoy) and other expenses (up 53bp yoy) dragged operating margins.
Exhibit 3: Earnings impacted by weak top-line
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 4: Gross margins expand due to price hikes
Source: Company, Angel Research
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11
(yoy%)
(`cr)
Top-line (LHS) YoY growth (RHS)
(100.0)
(50.0)
-
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
10
60
110
160
210
260
310
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
(yoy%)
(`cr)
PAT (LHS) YoY growth (RHS)
14.2
8.3
12.4
18.9 18.7 19.6
16.6
19.0 18.3
38.9
36.2 38.6
43.9 43.2 43.7 44.2 42.7 43.7
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
(%)
OPM Gross Margin
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 4
Analyst Meet - Key Takeaways
2QFY2011 impacted due to one-off factors: Current quarter result was impacted
by one-off factors like: 1) sluggish demand in August-September due to heavy
monsoons (management indicated that recovery is on track, October has been
good and expects 2HFY2011 to be significantly better), 2) shift in festival sales to
3QFY2011 vis-à-vis festival sales recorded in base quarter of 2QFY2010, and
3) pipeline correction in inventory by dealers ahead of price hikes taken in the
last 3-5 months.
Demand conditions robust: Management highlighted that retail demand
continues to be robust especially in the south and east. Moreover, rural demand
is significantly better than the larger towns. In terms of segments, both interior
and exterior emulsions continue to post good growth.
Raw material prices on uptrend: Raw material prices continue to inch up. APL’s
material price index for the quarter moved to 112.36 from 106.48 in 1Q
(FY2010 taken as a base of 100). The material index for 1HFY2011 stood at
109.59.
Roll-out of retail initiatives on track: APL has already installed 17,000
Colourworld outlets which have become an essential part of dealer network.
Signature stores continue to receive good response and a second outlet is being
set up in NCR. Colour Ideas stores also continue to receive tremendous response
and 5 more stores will be commissioned soon (in addition to 8 till March 2010).
Capex on track: Management highlighted that the new plant in Khandala is on
track and has already received environmental clearance. Phase I is expected to
get commissioned in 4QFY2013 with capacity of 300,000KL at a cost of
Rs1,000cr (including cost of land) with Rs100cr capex would be incurred in
FY2011. Management has guided for total capex of Rs250cr.
International business witnessing signs of slowdown: Management highlighted
that several subsidiaries continue to face uncertain and challenging market
conditions. Amongst geographies, Caribbean (no immediate revival expected),
Bahrain and UAE (facing market stagnation) and Singapore have witnessed
sluggish demand. However, South Asia continues to witness good demand. For
1HFY2011, international business revenues witnessed a decline of 2.9% yoy
(growth adjusted for exchange rate impact was 2% yoy), whereas EBIT declined
8% yoy (adjusted for exchange rate impact, decline was 3.3% yoy).
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 5
Investment Rationale
Demand conditions robust, model in volume CAGR of 15.5% over FY2010-12E:
Underlying demand conditions in decorative paints continues to be robust across
markets (2QFY2011 an aberration due to heavy monsoons and shift in festival
sales) driven by: 1) economic recovery, 2) shorter repainting cycles, and 3)
continuing strong demand in tier-II and III cities. For APL, we have modeled in a
15.5% CAGR in paint volumes over FY2010-12E driven by robust demand
conditions and market share gains.
Margins to sustain at ~18% levels aided by price hikes and mixed improvement:
We expect APL to sustain its OPM at ~18% levels (marginal decline of 30bp over
FY2010-12E) aided by: 1) strong pricing power as reflected in three rounds of
recent price hikes amounting to cumulative hike of ~8%, 2) superior product mix
(higher proportion of emulsions), 3) higher operating leverage (driven by strong
top-line growth), and 4) improvement in profitability of international operations
(aided by closure of loss-making subsidiaries in South East Asia).
Outlook and Valuation
Post the 2QFY2011 results, we have marginally tweaked our FY2011E and FY2012E
estimates downwards to discount the disappointment in results. Nonetheless, we
re-iterate that the current quarter results should be taken as an aberration and
expect growth momentum to pick up in 2HFY2011 driven by: 1) full quarter of
festival sales, and 2) higher value growth on account of price hikes (further price
hikes cannot be ruled out). However, sluggish growth in international business from
markets like Caribbean, Middle East and Singapore remains a concern.
Exhibit 5: Change in Estimates
Old Estimate New Estimate % chg
(` cr) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E
Revenue 7,849 9,322 7,733 9,235 (1.5) (0.9)
OPM (%) 18.2 18.1 18.1 18.1 (15bp) (3bp)
EPS (`) 95.8 114.4 92.8 113.5 (3.1) (0.8)
Source: Company, Angel Research
At `2,503, the stock is trading at 22x FY2012E revised EPS of `113.5. We maintain
a Buy on the stock, with a revised Target Price of `2,952 (`2,974)) based on P/E
multiple of 26x FY2012E earnings (~20-25% premium to its historical valuations),
justified due to the sustained double-digit volume growth (2QFY2011 an aberration),
stronger pricing power (as reflected in recent round of price hikes) and stable
margins.
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 6
Exhibit 6: Key Assumptions (Consolidated)
Y/e March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Paints India (Gross Sales) 4,864 5,603 7,005 8,523
Volume growth (%) 13.4 16.4 14.7 17.0
Realisation growth (%) 9.8 (1.0) 9.0 4.0
Others 139 150 176 200
Standalone Net Sales (Less of Excise) 4,270 5,125 6,327 7,691
APPG (Automotive 50:50 JV) 192 218 247 282
APICL (Industrial) 60 71 82 92
International Business 947 1,264 1,078 1,170
Consolidated Net Sales 5,463 6,681 7,733 9,235
YoY growth (%)
Paints India (Gross Sales) 24.5 15.2 25.0 21.7
Others (11.1) 7.9 17.2 13.6
Standalone Net Sales (Less of Excise) 24.9 20.0 23.5 21.6
APPG (Automotive 50:50 JV) (2.7) 13.9 13.1 14.0
APICL (Industrial) 2.2 18.4 15.0 13.0
International Business 28.5 33.4 (14.7) 8.6
Consolidated Net Sales 24.0 22.3 15.8 19.4
Source: Company, Angel Research
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 7
Exhibit 7: Peer Valuation
Company Reco Mcap CMP TP^
Upside P/E (x) EV/Sales (x) RoE (%) CAGR#
(` cr) (`) (`) (%) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Sales PAT
Asian Paints Buy 24,008 2,503 2,952 17.9 27.0 22.0 3.1 2.6 39.8 37.5 17.6 18.8
Colgate Neutral 11,856 872 838 (3.8) 26.9 22.9 5.0 4.3 116.2 104.2 15.3 10.7
Dabur Neutral 17,952 103 105 1.5 30.4 25.6 4.3 3.7 53.8 48.9 18.2 18.2
GSKCHL Neutral 8,975 2,134 2,118 (0.8) 31.7 26.2 3.6 3.1 28.6 28.9 16.4 19.5
GCPL Neutral 13,470 416 410 (1.4) 28.0 22.3 4.2 3.5 37.6 30.1 42.9 30.1
HUL Reduce 64,000 293 275 (6.1) 27.1 24.5 3.1 2.8 72.9 70.1 11.0 11.5
ITC Neutral 128,139 168 177 5.2 26.3 22.8 5.8 5.0 31.8 31.1 15.2 17.6
Marico Neutral 8,104 133 130 (2.1) 27.3 23.5 2.6 2.3 38.5 33.4 16.3 20.0
Nestle Neutral 32,811 3,403 3,395 (0.2) 40.9 33.6 5.4 4.6 114.4 106.7 16.2 20.7
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: #
denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E, ^
In case of Neutral recommendation, TP = Fair value
Exhibit 8: Angel v/s Consensus estimates
Top-line (` cr) FY2011E FY2012E EPS (`) FY2011E FY2012E
Angel estimates 7,733 9,235 Angel estimates 92.8 113.5
Consensus 7,852 9,348 Consensus 94.1 112.9
Diff (%) (1.5) (1.2) Diff (%) (1.3) 0.6
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 9: Absolute returns of APL v/s Sensex
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 10: One-yr forward P/E
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 11: One-yr forward P/E
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average
Exhibit 12: One-yr forward Premium v/s Sensex
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
220%
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sensex Asian Paints
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Apr-05
Jul-05
Oct-05
Jan-06
Apr-06
Jul-06
Oct-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10
SharePrice(Rs)
15x 19x 23x 27x
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
Apr-02
Nov-02
Jul-03
Mar-04
Nov-04
Jul-05
Mar-06
Nov-06
Jul-07
Feb-08
Oct-08
Jun-09
Feb-10
Oct-10
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Apr-02
Nov-02
Jul-03
Mar-04
Nov-04
Jul-05
Mar-06
Nov-06
Jul-07
Feb-08
Oct-08
Jun-09
Feb-10
Oct-10
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 8
Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Gross sales 4,134 4,939 6,045 7,107 8,352 9,986
Less: Excise duty 464 531 581 426 618 751
Net Sales 3,670 4,407 5,464 6,681 7,733 9,235
Total operating income 3,670 4,407 5,464 6,681 7,733 9,235
% chg 21.5 20.1 24.0 22.3 15.8 19.4
Total Expenditure 3,192 3,747 4,794 5,453 6,337 7,564
Cost of Materials 2,199 2,578 3,371 3,758 4,415 5,343
Advertising Exp 446 566 714 853 974 1,150
Personnel 262 307 372 436 479 536
Others 285 296 338 406 468 536
EBITDA 478 661 670 1,228 1,397 1,671
% chg 22.1 38.2 1.4 83.2 13.8 19.6
(% of Net Sales) 13.0 15.0 12.3 18.4 18.1 18.1
Depreciation& Amortisation 61 59 74 84 116 127
EBIT 417 601 596 1,144 1,281 1,544
% chg 28.9 44.3 (1.0) 92.1 11.9 20.6
(% of Net Sales) 11.4 13.6 10.9 17.1 16.6 16.7
Interest & other Charges 19 21 26 28 18 12
Other Income 37 60 51 78 83 93
(% of PBT) 8.6 9.3 8.2 6.5 6.2 5.7
Share in profit of Associates (0.40) - - - - -
Recurring PBT 435 640 620 1,193 1,346 1,626
% chg 26.5 47.0 (3.0) 92.4 12.8 20.8
Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) 5 8 4 (64) 0 0
PBT (reported) 430 631 617 1,257 1,346 1,626
Tax 147 203 197 373 411 488
(% of PBT) 33.7 31.8 31.8 31.3 30.5 30.0
PAT (reported) 289 436 423 820 935 1,138
Add: Share of associates - - - - - -
Less: Minority interest (MI) 2 19 22 48 45 49
PAT after MI (reported) 287 418 401 772 890 1,089
ADJ. PAT 281 409 398 836 890 1,089
% chg 32.1 45.4 (2.8) 110.0 6.6 22.3
(% of Net Sales) 7.7 9.3 7.3 12.5 11.5 11.8
Basic EPS (`) 29.8 43.5 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5
Fully Diluted EPS (`) 29.8 43.5 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5
% chg 34.2 45.9 (3.9) 92.3 15.3 22.3
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 9
Balance Sheet (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital 96 96 96 96 96 96
Preference Capital - - - - - -
Reserves& Surplus 682 886 1,107 1,614 2,140 2,808
Shareholders Funds 778 982 1,203 1,710 2,236 2,904
Minority Interest 60 57 76 94 91 95
Total Loans 306 275 309 229 179 124
Deferred Tax Liability 27 39 53 56 56 56
Total Liabilities 1,171 1,354 1,641 2,090 2,562 3,179
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Gross Block 1,083 1,211 1,461 1,500 1,933 2,186
Less: Acc. Depreciation 604 634 648 628 744 870
Net Block 479 578 813 873 1,190 1,315
Capital Work-in-Progress 14 114 92 407 290 328
Goodwill 47 44 51 37 37 37
Investments 193 277 78 624 624 624
Current Assets 1,291 1,494 1,799 1,844 2,342 3,062
Cash 105 111 210 106 232 584
Loans & Advances 167 209 247 239 271 346
Other 1,019 1,174 1,341 1,498 1,840 2,132
Current liabilities 853 1,152 1,192 1,695 1,921 2,187
Net Current Assets 438 341 607 149 422 875
Misc Exp - - - - - -
Total Assets 1,171 1,354 1,641 2,090 2,562 3,179
Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Profit before tax 443 647 622 1,130 1,346 1,626
Depreciation 61 59 74 84 116 127
Change in Working Capital (81) 4 (143) 134 (183) (152)
Interest / Dividend (Net) 6 (8) 7 (5) (18) (28)
Direct taxes paid 147 203 197 373 411 488
Others (38) (23) (25) 137 (12) 5
Cash Flow from Operations 244 476 337 1,105 838 1,090
Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets (80) (282) (228) (354) (316) (290)
Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments (34) (84) 198 (546) 0 0
Cash Flow from Investing (115) (366) (30) (900) (316) (290)
Issue of Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0
Inc./(Dec.) in loans 46 (16) (4) (79) (50) (55)
Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 137 97 197 236 365 421
Interest / Dividend (Net) 6 (8) 7 (5) (18) (28)
Cash Flow from Financing (98) (105) (207) (310) (397) (448)
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 32 5 100 (105) 126 352
Opening Cash balances 73 105 111 210 106 232
Closing Cash balances 105 111 210 106 232 584
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 10
Key Ratios
Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Valuation Ratio (x)
P/E (on FDEPS) 83.9 57.5 59.8 31.1 27.0 22.0
P/CEPS 70.2 51.3 50.8 26.1 23.9 19.7
P/BV 30.9 24.4 20.0 14.0 10.7 8.3
Dividend yield (%) 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5
EV/Sales 6.6 5.5 4.4 3.6 3.1 2.6
EV/EBITDA 50.6 36.6 36.0 19.7 17.2 14.1
EV / Total Assets 20.7 17.9 14.7 11.5 9.3 7.4
Per Share Data (`)
EPS (Basic) 29.8 43.5 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5
EPS (fully diluted) 29.8 43.5 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5
Cash EPS 35.7 48.8 49.2 95.8 104.9 126.7
DPS 13.0 17.0 17.5 27.0 32.5 37.5
Book Value 81.1 102.4 125.4 178.3 233.1 302.7
Returns (%)
RoCE (Pre-tax) 38.4 47.6 39.8 61.3 55.1 53.8
Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 33.8 44.6 35.0 58.0 58.1 58.8
RoE 39.5 46.5 36.4 57.4 45.1 42.4
Turnover ratios (x)
Asset Turnover 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.5 4.0 4.2
Inventory / Sales (days) 59 59 51 52 50 49
Receivables (days) 42 38 38 30 37 36
Payables (days) 78 82 68 75 75 71
Net working capital (days) 33 19 26 2 9 12
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 27, 2010 11
Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
Disclaimer
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
the past.
Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the
latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have
investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement Asian Paints
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes
3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

Jagran prakashan event update - 050510
Jagran prakashan   event update - 050510Jagran prakashan   event update - 050510
Jagran prakashan event update - 050510Angel Broking
 
Derivatives report 11 june-2010
Derivatives report 11 june-2010Derivatives report 11 june-2010
Derivatives report 11 june-2010Angel Broking
 
GKS Consumer Result Update
GKS Consumer Result UpdateGKS Consumer Result Update
GKS Consumer Result UpdateAngel Broking
 
Exide Industries
Exide IndustriesExide Industries
Exide IndustriesAngel Broking
 
Ultratech result update4 qfy2010-060510
Ultratech  result update4 qfy2010-060510Ultratech  result update4 qfy2010-060510
Ultratech result update4 qfy2010-060510Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook 26 03 10
Market Outlook 26 03 10Market Outlook 26 03 10
Market Outlook 26 03 10Angel Broking
 
Derivatives Report -July 7, 2010
Derivatives Report -July 7, 2010Derivatives Report -July 7, 2010
Derivatives Report -July 7, 2010Angel Broking
 
Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010
Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010
Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010Angel Broking
 
Auto Sector Monthly Update
Auto Sector Monthly UpdateAuto Sector Monthly Update
Auto Sector Monthly UpdateAngel Broking
 
Derivatives Report - August 4, 2010
Derivatives Report - August 4, 2010Derivatives Report - August 4, 2010
Derivatives Report - August 4, 2010Angel Broking
 
Market outlook- July 19, 2010
Market outlook- July 19, 2010Market outlook- July 19, 2010
Market outlook- July 19, 2010Angel Broking
 
Derivatives report 14 may-2010
Derivatives report 14 may-2010Derivatives report 14 may-2010
Derivatives report 14 may-2010Angel Broking
 
Weekly Review -July 17, 2010
Weekly Review   -July 17, 2010Weekly Review   -July 17, 2010
Weekly Review -July 17, 2010Angel Broking
 
Bharat forge ru2 qfy2011-221010
Bharat forge ru2 qfy2011-221010Bharat forge ru2 qfy2011-221010
Bharat forge ru2 qfy2011-221010Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 22 07-10
Market outlook 22 07-10Market outlook 22 07-10
Market outlook 22 07-10Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 30 04-10
Market outlook 30 04-10Market outlook 30 04-10
Market outlook 30 04-10Angel Broking
 
Tech report 30.04.2010
Tech report 30.04.2010Tech report 30.04.2010
Tech report 30.04.2010Angel Broking
 
Derivatives Report - Septeber 3, 2010
Derivatives Report - Septeber 3, 2010Derivatives Report - Septeber 3, 2010
Derivatives Report - Septeber 3, 2010Angel Broking
 
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610Angel Broking
 

Viewers also liked (20)

Weekly Review
Weekly ReviewWeekly Review
Weekly Review
 
Jagran prakashan event update - 050510
Jagran prakashan   event update - 050510Jagran prakashan   event update - 050510
Jagran prakashan event update - 050510
 
Derivatives report 11 june-2010
Derivatives report 11 june-2010Derivatives report 11 june-2010
Derivatives report 11 june-2010
 
GKS Consumer Result Update
GKS Consumer Result UpdateGKS Consumer Result Update
GKS Consumer Result Update
 
Exide Industries
Exide IndustriesExide Industries
Exide Industries
 
Ultratech result update4 qfy2010-060510
Ultratech  result update4 qfy2010-060510Ultratech  result update4 qfy2010-060510
Ultratech result update4 qfy2010-060510
 
Market Outlook 26 03 10
Market Outlook 26 03 10Market Outlook 26 03 10
Market Outlook 26 03 10
 
Derivatives Report -July 7, 2010
Derivatives Report -July 7, 2010Derivatives Report -July 7, 2010
Derivatives Report -July 7, 2010
 
Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010
Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010
Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010
 
Auto Sector Monthly Update
Auto Sector Monthly UpdateAuto Sector Monthly Update
Auto Sector Monthly Update
 
Derivatives Report - August 4, 2010
Derivatives Report - August 4, 2010Derivatives Report - August 4, 2010
Derivatives Report - August 4, 2010
 
Market outlook- July 19, 2010
Market outlook- July 19, 2010Market outlook- July 19, 2010
Market outlook- July 19, 2010
 
Derivatives report 14 may-2010
Derivatives report 14 may-2010Derivatives report 14 may-2010
Derivatives report 14 may-2010
 
Weekly Review -July 17, 2010
Weekly Review   -July 17, 2010Weekly Review   -July 17, 2010
Weekly Review -July 17, 2010
 
Bharat forge ru2 qfy2011-221010
Bharat forge ru2 qfy2011-221010Bharat forge ru2 qfy2011-221010
Bharat forge ru2 qfy2011-221010
 
Market outlook 22 07-10
Market outlook 22 07-10Market outlook 22 07-10
Market outlook 22 07-10
 
Market outlook 30 04-10
Market outlook 30 04-10Market outlook 30 04-10
Market outlook 30 04-10
 
Tech report 30.04.2010
Tech report 30.04.2010Tech report 30.04.2010
Tech report 30.04.2010
 
Derivatives Report - Septeber 3, 2010
Derivatives Report - Septeber 3, 2010Derivatives Report - Septeber 3, 2010
Derivatives Report - Septeber 3, 2010
 
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
 

Similar to Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010

Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010Angel Broking
 
Jagran prakashan ru2 qfy2011-291010
Jagran prakashan ru2 qfy2011-291010Jagran prakashan ru2 qfy2011-291010
Jagran prakashan ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook
Market Outlook Market Outlook
Market Outlook Angel Broking
 
Alembic ru2 qfy2011-281010
Alembic ru2 qfy2011-281010Alembic ru2 qfy2011-281010
Alembic ru2 qfy2011-281010Angel Broking
 
Ipca ru2 qfy2011-221010
Ipca ru2 qfy2011-221010Ipca ru2 qfy2011-221010
Ipca ru2 qfy2011-221010Angel Broking
 
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010Angel Broking
 
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Ht media ru2 qfy2011-281010
Ht media ru2 qfy2011-281010Ht media ru2 qfy2011-281010
Ht media ru2 qfy2011-281010Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 29 10 10
Market outlook 29 10 10Market outlook 29 10 10
Market outlook 29 10 10Angel Broking
 
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Federal bank ru2 qfy2011-291010
Federal bank ru2 qfy2011-291010Federal bank ru2 qfy2011-291010
Federal bank ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Corporation bank ru2 qfy2011-221010
Corporation bank ru2 qfy2011-221010Corporation bank ru2 qfy2011-221010
Corporation bank ru2 qfy2011-221010Angel Broking
 
Dabur ru2 qfy2011-271010
Dabur ru2 qfy2011-271010Dabur ru2 qfy2011-271010
Dabur ru2 qfy2011-271010Angel Broking
 
Cccl ru2 qfy2011-281010
Cccl ru2 qfy2011-281010Cccl ru2 qfy2011-281010
Cccl ru2 qfy2011-281010Angel Broking
 
Bank of india ru2 qfy2011-221010
Bank of india ru2 qfy2011-221010Bank of india ru2 qfy2011-221010
Bank of india ru2 qfy2011-221010Angel Broking
 
Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 01 11 10
Market outlook 01 11 10Market outlook 01 11 10
Market outlook 01 11 10Angel Broking
 
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 28 10 10
Market outlook 28 10 10Market outlook 28 10 10
Market outlook 28 10 10Angel Broking
 

Similar to Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010 (20)

Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
 
Jagran prakashan ru2 qfy2011-291010
Jagran prakashan ru2 qfy2011-291010Jagran prakashan ru2 qfy2011-291010
Jagran prakashan ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
 
Market Outlook
Market Outlook Market Outlook
Market Outlook
 
Alembic ru2 qfy2011-281010
Alembic ru2 qfy2011-281010Alembic ru2 qfy2011-281010
Alembic ru2 qfy2011-281010
 
Ipca ru2 qfy2011-221010
Ipca ru2 qfy2011-221010Ipca ru2 qfy2011-221010
Ipca ru2 qfy2011-221010
 
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
 
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Ht media ru2 qfy2011-281010
Ht media ru2 qfy2011-281010Ht media ru2 qfy2011-281010
Ht media ru2 qfy2011-281010
 
Market outlook 29 10 10
Market outlook 29 10 10Market outlook 29 10 10
Market outlook 29 10 10
 
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Federal bank ru2 qfy2011-291010
Federal bank ru2 qfy2011-291010Federal bank ru2 qfy2011-291010
Federal bank ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Corporation bank ru2 qfy2011-221010
Corporation bank ru2 qfy2011-221010Corporation bank ru2 qfy2011-221010
Corporation bank ru2 qfy2011-221010
 
Dabur ru2 qfy2011-271010
Dabur ru2 qfy2011-271010Dabur ru2 qfy2011-271010
Dabur ru2 qfy2011-271010
 
Cccl ru2 qfy2011-281010
Cccl ru2 qfy2011-281010Cccl ru2 qfy2011-281010
Cccl ru2 qfy2011-281010
 
Bank of india ru2 qfy2011-221010
Bank of india ru2 qfy2011-221010Bank of india ru2 qfy2011-221010
Bank of india ru2 qfy2011-221010
 
Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hcc ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Market outlook 01 11 10
Market outlook 01 11 10Market outlook 01 11 10
Market outlook 01 11 10
 
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
 
Market outlook 28 10 10
Market outlook 28 10 10Market outlook 28 10 10
Market outlook 28 10 10
 

More from Angel Broking

Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Angel Broking
 
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Angel Broking
 
Electrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsElectrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsAngel Broking
 
Persistent systems
Persistent systemsPersistent systems
Persistent systemsAngel Broking
 
Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Telecom sector
Telecom sectorTelecom sector
Telecom sectorAngel Broking
 
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
South Indian Bank
 South Indian Bank South Indian Bank
South Indian BankAngel Broking
 
Bajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedBajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedAngel Broking
 
Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Angel Broking
 
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Infosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedInfosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedAngel Broking
 
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Angel Broking
 

More from Angel Broking (20)

Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612
 
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
 
Electrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsElectrosteel castings
Electrosteel castings
 
Persistent systems
Persistent systemsPersistent systems
Persistent systems
 
Ht media
Ht mediaHt media
Ht media
 
Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011
 
Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011
 
Telecom sector
Telecom sectorTelecom sector
Telecom sector
 
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
 
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
 
Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011
 
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
 
South Indian Bank
 South Indian Bank South Indian Bank
South Indian Bank
 
Bajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedBajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result Updated
 
Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services
 
Fc4 e63c4d01
Fc4 e63c4d01Fc4 e63c4d01
Fc4 e63c4d01
 
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
 
Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011
 
Infosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedInfosys Result Updated
Infosys Result Updated
 
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
 

Recently uploaded

VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130Suhani Kapoor
 
Call US 📞 9892124323 ✅ Kurla Call Girls In Kurla ( Mumbai ) secure service
Call US 📞 9892124323 ✅ Kurla Call Girls In Kurla ( Mumbai ) secure serviceCall US 📞 9892124323 ✅ Kurla Call Girls In Kurla ( Mumbai ) secure service
Call US 📞 9892124323 ✅ Kurla Call Girls In Kurla ( Mumbai ) secure servicePooja Nehwal
 
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...Suhani Kapoor
 
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptxFinTech Belgium
 
Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...
Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...
Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...Pooja Nehwal
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Call Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdfAdnet Communications
 
Malad Call Girl in Services 9892124323 | ₹,4500 With Room Free Delivery
Malad Call Girl in Services  9892124323 | ₹,4500 With Room Free DeliveryMalad Call Girl in Services  9892124323 | ₹,4500 With Room Free Delivery
Malad Call Girl in Services 9892124323 | ₹,4500 With Room Free DeliveryPooja Nehwal
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdfGale Pooley
 
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service NashikHigh Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service NashikCall Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdfGale Pooley
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdfGale Pooley
 
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779Delhi Call girls
 
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )Pooja Nehwal
 
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323 ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323  ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure serviceWhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323  ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323 ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure servicePooja Nehwal
 
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...Pooja Nehwal
 
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...Call Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escortsranjana rawat
 

Recently uploaded (20)

VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
 
Call US 📞 9892124323 ✅ Kurla Call Girls In Kurla ( Mumbai ) secure service
Call US 📞 9892124323 ✅ Kurla Call Girls In Kurla ( Mumbai ) secure serviceCall US 📞 9892124323 ✅ Kurla Call Girls In Kurla ( Mumbai ) secure service
Call US 📞 9892124323 ✅ Kurla Call Girls In Kurla ( Mumbai ) secure service
 
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
 
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
 
Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...
Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...
Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
 
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
 
Malad Call Girl in Services 9892124323 | ₹,4500 With Room Free Delivery
Malad Call Girl in Services  9892124323 | ₹,4500 With Room Free DeliveryMalad Call Girl in Services  9892124323 | ₹,4500 With Room Free Delivery
Malad Call Girl in Services 9892124323 | ₹,4500 With Room Free Delivery
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
 
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service NashikHigh Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
 
Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
 
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
 
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
 
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323 ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323  ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure serviceWhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323  ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323 ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
 
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
 
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Katraj (7001035870) Pune Escorts Nearby with Complete Sa...
 
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 

Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010

  • 1. Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1 (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % yoy Angel Est % Diff Revenue 1,810.8 1,723.9 5.0 1,982.1 (8.6) EBITDA 331.5 322.8 2.7 368.7 (10.1) OPM (%) 18.3 18.7 (42) 18.6 (29) PAT 214.7 205.7 4.4 241.2 (11.0) Source: Company, Angel Research For 2QFY2011, Asian Paints (APL) posted weak set of numbers and significantly below our estimates on both the revenue and profitability front. Consolidated top-line grew by a mere 5% yoy impacted by heavy monsoons, floods in the north and shift in festival sales to 3QFY2011. Recurring earnings grew a muted 4.4% yoy owing to weak top-line growth and margin contraction. We have marginally tweaked our estimates to discount the disappointment in results. We re-iterate that the current quarter results should be taken as an aberration and expect growth momentum to pick in 2HFY2011. Hence, we maintain Buy on the stock. Heavy monsoons/shift in festivities drag growth: APL reported a weak 5% yoy growth in consolidated top-line to `1,811cr due to heavy monsoons and shift in festival sales. We believe APL recorded ~1-2% contraction in paint volumes, and growth in top-line was largely driven by three rounds of recent price hikes (though full benefits would be registered in 2HFY2011). In terms of recurring earnings, APL reported dismal growth of 4.4% yoy to `215cr owing to weak top-line growth, margin contraction and 42% rise in depreciation charges (commencement of new plant). At the operating level, APL registered a 42bp contraction resulting in a muted 2.7% yoy growth in EBITDA to `332cr. However, surprisingly gross margins expanded by 52bp yoy despite rising input costs on account of full impact of ~7% weighted average price hikes. Outlook and Valuation: We re-iterate that the current quarter results should be taken as an aberration and expect growth momentum to pick in 2HFY2011 driven by - 1) full quarter of festival sales, and 2) higher value growth on account of price hikes (further price hikes cannot be ruled out). At `2,503, the stock is trading at 22x FY2012E revised EPS of `113.5. We maintain a Buy on the stock, with a revised Target Price of `2,952 (`2,974) based on a P/E multiple of 26x FY2012E earnings. Key Financials (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 5,464 6,681 7,733 9,235 % chg 24.0 22.3 15.8 19.4 Net Profit (Adj) 401.4 772.0 890.5 1,088.9 % chg (3.9) 92.3 15.3 22.3 EBITDA (%) 12.3 18.4 18.1 18.1 EPS (`) 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5 P/E (x) 59.8 31.1 27.0 22.0 P/BV (x) 20.0 14.0 10.7 8.3 RoE (%) 33.1 48.9 39.8 37.5 RoCE (%) 36.3 54.7 50.0 48.6 EV/Sales (x) 4.4 3.6 3.1 2.6 EV/EBITDA (x) 36.0 19.7 17.2 14.1 Source: Company, Angel Research BUY CMP `2,503 Target Price `2,952 Investment Period 12 Months Stock Info Sector FMCG Market Cap (Rs cr) 24,007 Beta 0.3 52 Week High / Low 2,920/1,575 Avg. Daily Volume 18,064 Face Value (Rs) 10 BSE Sensex 20,005 Nifty 6,013 Reuters Code ASPN.BO Bloomberg Code APNT@IN Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters 52.1 MF / Banks / Indian Fls 17.6 FII / NRIs / OCBs 16.9 Indian Public / Others 13.4 Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr Sensex 10.7 22.3 4.0 APL 2.7 52.8 147.9 Anand Shah 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334 anand.shah@angeltrade.com Chitrangda Kapur 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323 chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com Sreekanth P.V.S 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 331 sreekanth.s@angeltrade.com Asian Paints Performance Highlights 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010
  • 2. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 2 Exhibit 1: Quarterly Performance (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg H1FY11 H1FY10 % chg Net Sales 1,810.8 1,723.9 5.0 3,641.0 3,184.2 14.3 Consumption of RM 1,019.7 979.8 4.1 2,068.5 1,798.9 15.0 (% of Sales) 56.3 56.8 56.8 56.5 Staff Costs 108.6 96.5 12.6 227.5 200.8 13.3 (% of Sales) 6.0 5.6 6.2 6.3 Other Expenses 350.9 324.9 8.0 666.4 585.9 13.8 (% of Sales) 19.4 18.8 18.3 18.4 Total Expenditure 1,479.3 1,401.2 5.6 2,962.4 2,585.6 14.6 Operating Profit 331.5 322.8 2.7 678.6 598.6 13.4 OPM (%) 18.3 18.7 18.6 18.8 Interest 4.6 6.4 (29.2) 8.8 13.6 (35.5) Dep. & Amortisation 28.4 20.0 42.2 55.3 39.8 39.1 Other Income 24.9 24.7 0.8 43.3 40.3 7.4 Profit/Loss from Associate - - 43.31 40.32 PBT (excl. Extr Items) 323.4 321.1 0.7 701.1 625.8 12.0 (% of Sales) 17.9 18.6 19.3 19.7 Provision for Taxation 98.4 106.5 (7.6) 199.7 190.9 4.6 (% of PBT) 30.4 33.2 28.5 30.5 Minority Interest 10.3 8.9 21.2 12.9 Recurring PAT (After MI) 214.7 205.7 4.4 480.2 422.1 13.8 Extr Income/(Expense) - (62.7) - (62.7) Prior Period Items 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Reported PAT 214.7 268.4 (20.0) 480.2 484.8 (0.9) PATM (%) 11.9 15.6 13.2 15.2 Equity shares (cr) 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 Adjusted EPS (Rs) 22.4 28.0 (20.0) 50.1 50.5 (0.9) Source: Company, Angel Research Top-line growth weak due to heavy monsoons and shift in festivities APL reported a weak growth of 5% yoy in consolidated top-line to `1,811cr (`1,724cr) impacted largely due to heavy monsoons, floods in north and shift in festivities (all festival sales to be recorded in 3QFY2011 vis-à-vis 2QFY2010 which recorded partial sales from festivities). We believe APL recorded a ~1-2% contraction in paint volumes and growth in top-line was largely driven by the three rounds of recent price hikes (though full benefits would be registered in 2HFY2011). Standalone paint sales registered a growth of 6% yoy in value terms. Management highlighted that retail demand continues to be robust (especially in the south and east) and volumes were strong till July. However, August and September witnessed poor off-take due to heavy rains across the country and the same also impacted industrial paints demand due to delayed projects.
  • 3. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 3 Exhibit 2: Heavy monsoons/shift in festivities impact top-line growth Source: Company, Angel Research Recurring earnings up 4%, reported declines APL reported a dismal growth of 4.4% yoy in recurring earnings to `215cr (`206cr), despite the 273bp decline in the tax rate (partially owing to higher contribution of international business) owing to weak top-line growth, margin contraction and 42% rise in depreciation charges (commencement of new plant). However, on a reported basis, APL posted a decline of 20% yoy in earnings to `215cr (`268cr) owing to the extraordinary gain of `62.7cr in 2QFY2010 due to the partial stake sale in ICI. OPM contracts despite gross margin expansion At the operating level, APL registered a 42bp contraction in OPM which coupled with weak top-line growth resulted in a muted 2.7% yoy growth in EBITDA to `332cr (`323cr). However, surprisingly gross margins expanded by 52bp yoy despite rising input costs on account of full impact of the ~7% weighted average price hikes (taken in three rounds in May, July and August). Nonetheless, higher staff costs (up 40bp yoy) and other expenses (up 53bp yoy) dragged operating margins. Exhibit 3: Earnings impacted by weak top-line Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 4: Gross margins expand due to price hikes Source: Company, Angel Research - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 (yoy%) (`cr) Top-line (LHS) YoY growth (RHS) (100.0) (50.0) - 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 10 60 110 160 210 260 310 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 (yoy%) (`cr) PAT (LHS) YoY growth (RHS) 14.2 8.3 12.4 18.9 18.7 19.6 16.6 19.0 18.3 38.9 36.2 38.6 43.9 43.2 43.7 44.2 42.7 43.7 - 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 (%) OPM Gross Margin
  • 4. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 4 Analyst Meet - Key Takeaways 2QFY2011 impacted due to one-off factors: Current quarter result was impacted by one-off factors like: 1) sluggish demand in August-September due to heavy monsoons (management indicated that recovery is on track, October has been good and expects 2HFY2011 to be significantly better), 2) shift in festival sales to 3QFY2011 vis-à-vis festival sales recorded in base quarter of 2QFY2010, and 3) pipeline correction in inventory by dealers ahead of price hikes taken in the last 3-5 months. Demand conditions robust: Management highlighted that retail demand continues to be robust especially in the south and east. Moreover, rural demand is significantly better than the larger towns. In terms of segments, both interior and exterior emulsions continue to post good growth. Raw material prices on uptrend: Raw material prices continue to inch up. APL’s material price index for the quarter moved to 112.36 from 106.48 in 1Q (FY2010 taken as a base of 100). The material index for 1HFY2011 stood at 109.59. Roll-out of retail initiatives on track: APL has already installed 17,000 Colourworld outlets which have become an essential part of dealer network. Signature stores continue to receive good response and a second outlet is being set up in NCR. Colour Ideas stores also continue to receive tremendous response and 5 more stores will be commissioned soon (in addition to 8 till March 2010). Capex on track: Management highlighted that the new plant in Khandala is on track and has already received environmental clearance. Phase I is expected to get commissioned in 4QFY2013 with capacity of 300,000KL at a cost of Rs1,000cr (including cost of land) with Rs100cr capex would be incurred in FY2011. Management has guided for total capex of Rs250cr. International business witnessing signs of slowdown: Management highlighted that several subsidiaries continue to face uncertain and challenging market conditions. Amongst geographies, Caribbean (no immediate revival expected), Bahrain and UAE (facing market stagnation) and Singapore have witnessed sluggish demand. However, South Asia continues to witness good demand. For 1HFY2011, international business revenues witnessed a decline of 2.9% yoy (growth adjusted for exchange rate impact was 2% yoy), whereas EBIT declined 8% yoy (adjusted for exchange rate impact, decline was 3.3% yoy).
  • 5. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 5 Investment Rationale Demand conditions robust, model in volume CAGR of 15.5% over FY2010-12E: Underlying demand conditions in decorative paints continues to be robust across markets (2QFY2011 an aberration due to heavy monsoons and shift in festival sales) driven by: 1) economic recovery, 2) shorter repainting cycles, and 3) continuing strong demand in tier-II and III cities. For APL, we have modeled in a 15.5% CAGR in paint volumes over FY2010-12E driven by robust demand conditions and market share gains. Margins to sustain at ~18% levels aided by price hikes and mixed improvement: We expect APL to sustain its OPM at ~18% levels (marginal decline of 30bp over FY2010-12E) aided by: 1) strong pricing power as reflected in three rounds of recent price hikes amounting to cumulative hike of ~8%, 2) superior product mix (higher proportion of emulsions), 3) higher operating leverage (driven by strong top-line growth), and 4) improvement in profitability of international operations (aided by closure of loss-making subsidiaries in South East Asia). Outlook and Valuation Post the 2QFY2011 results, we have marginally tweaked our FY2011E and FY2012E estimates downwards to discount the disappointment in results. Nonetheless, we re-iterate that the current quarter results should be taken as an aberration and expect growth momentum to pick up in 2HFY2011 driven by: 1) full quarter of festival sales, and 2) higher value growth on account of price hikes (further price hikes cannot be ruled out). However, sluggish growth in international business from markets like Caribbean, Middle East and Singapore remains a concern. Exhibit 5: Change in Estimates Old Estimate New Estimate % chg (` cr) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Revenue 7,849 9,322 7,733 9,235 (1.5) (0.9) OPM (%) 18.2 18.1 18.1 18.1 (15bp) (3bp) EPS (`) 95.8 114.4 92.8 113.5 (3.1) (0.8) Source: Company, Angel Research At `2,503, the stock is trading at 22x FY2012E revised EPS of `113.5. We maintain a Buy on the stock, with a revised Target Price of `2,952 (`2,974)) based on P/E multiple of 26x FY2012E earnings (~20-25% premium to its historical valuations), justified due to the sustained double-digit volume growth (2QFY2011 an aberration), stronger pricing power (as reflected in recent round of price hikes) and stable margins.
  • 6. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 6 Exhibit 6: Key Assumptions (Consolidated) Y/e March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Paints India (Gross Sales) 4,864 5,603 7,005 8,523 Volume growth (%) 13.4 16.4 14.7 17.0 Realisation growth (%) 9.8 (1.0) 9.0 4.0 Others 139 150 176 200 Standalone Net Sales (Less of Excise) 4,270 5,125 6,327 7,691 APPG (Automotive 50:50 JV) 192 218 247 282 APICL (Industrial) 60 71 82 92 International Business 947 1,264 1,078 1,170 Consolidated Net Sales 5,463 6,681 7,733 9,235 YoY growth (%) Paints India (Gross Sales) 24.5 15.2 25.0 21.7 Others (11.1) 7.9 17.2 13.6 Standalone Net Sales (Less of Excise) 24.9 20.0 23.5 21.6 APPG (Automotive 50:50 JV) (2.7) 13.9 13.1 14.0 APICL (Industrial) 2.2 18.4 15.0 13.0 International Business 28.5 33.4 (14.7) 8.6 Consolidated Net Sales 24.0 22.3 15.8 19.4 Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 7. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 7 Exhibit 7: Peer Valuation Company Reco Mcap CMP TP^ Upside P/E (x) EV/Sales (x) RoE (%) CAGR# (` cr) (`) (`) (%) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Sales PAT Asian Paints Buy 24,008 2,503 2,952 17.9 27.0 22.0 3.1 2.6 39.8 37.5 17.6 18.8 Colgate Neutral 11,856 872 838 (3.8) 26.9 22.9 5.0 4.3 116.2 104.2 15.3 10.7 Dabur Neutral 17,952 103 105 1.5 30.4 25.6 4.3 3.7 53.8 48.9 18.2 18.2 GSKCHL Neutral 8,975 2,134 2,118 (0.8) 31.7 26.2 3.6 3.1 28.6 28.9 16.4 19.5 GCPL Neutral 13,470 416 410 (1.4) 28.0 22.3 4.2 3.5 37.6 30.1 42.9 30.1 HUL Reduce 64,000 293 275 (6.1) 27.1 24.5 3.1 2.8 72.9 70.1 11.0 11.5 ITC Neutral 128,139 168 177 5.2 26.3 22.8 5.8 5.0 31.8 31.1 15.2 17.6 Marico Neutral 8,104 133 130 (2.1) 27.3 23.5 2.6 2.3 38.5 33.4 16.3 20.0 Nestle Neutral 32,811 3,403 3,395 (0.2) 40.9 33.6 5.4 4.6 114.4 106.7 16.2 20.7 Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: # denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E, ^ In case of Neutral recommendation, TP = Fair value Exhibit 8: Angel v/s Consensus estimates Top-line (` cr) FY2011E FY2012E EPS (`) FY2011E FY2012E Angel estimates 7,733 9,235 Angel estimates 92.8 113.5 Consensus 7,852 9,348 Consensus 94.1 112.9 Diff (%) (1.5) (1.2) Diff (%) (1.3) 0.6 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 9: Absolute returns of APL v/s Sensex Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 10: One-yr forward P/E Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 11: One-yr forward P/E Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average Exhibit 12: One-yr forward Premium v/s Sensex Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% 220% Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sensex Asian Paints - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 SharePrice(Rs) 15x 19x 23x 27x - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Apr-02 Nov-02 Jul-03 Mar-04 Nov-04 Jul-05 Mar-06 Nov-06 Jul-07 Feb-08 Oct-08 Jun-09 Feb-10 Oct-10 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% Apr-02 Nov-02 Jul-03 Mar-04 Nov-04 Jul-05 Mar-06 Nov-06 Jul-07 Feb-08 Oct-08 Jun-09 Feb-10 Oct-10
  • 8. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 8 Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Gross sales 4,134 4,939 6,045 7,107 8,352 9,986 Less: Excise duty 464 531 581 426 618 751 Net Sales 3,670 4,407 5,464 6,681 7,733 9,235 Total operating income 3,670 4,407 5,464 6,681 7,733 9,235 % chg 21.5 20.1 24.0 22.3 15.8 19.4 Total Expenditure 3,192 3,747 4,794 5,453 6,337 7,564 Cost of Materials 2,199 2,578 3,371 3,758 4,415 5,343 Advertising Exp 446 566 714 853 974 1,150 Personnel 262 307 372 436 479 536 Others 285 296 338 406 468 536 EBITDA 478 661 670 1,228 1,397 1,671 % chg 22.1 38.2 1.4 83.2 13.8 19.6 (% of Net Sales) 13.0 15.0 12.3 18.4 18.1 18.1 Depreciation& Amortisation 61 59 74 84 116 127 EBIT 417 601 596 1,144 1,281 1,544 % chg 28.9 44.3 (1.0) 92.1 11.9 20.6 (% of Net Sales) 11.4 13.6 10.9 17.1 16.6 16.7 Interest & other Charges 19 21 26 28 18 12 Other Income 37 60 51 78 83 93 (% of PBT) 8.6 9.3 8.2 6.5 6.2 5.7 Share in profit of Associates (0.40) - - - - - Recurring PBT 435 640 620 1,193 1,346 1,626 % chg 26.5 47.0 (3.0) 92.4 12.8 20.8 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) 5 8 4 (64) 0 0 PBT (reported) 430 631 617 1,257 1,346 1,626 Tax 147 203 197 373 411 488 (% of PBT) 33.7 31.8 31.8 31.3 30.5 30.0 PAT (reported) 289 436 423 820 935 1,138 Add: Share of associates - - - - - - Less: Minority interest (MI) 2 19 22 48 45 49 PAT after MI (reported) 287 418 401 772 890 1,089 ADJ. PAT 281 409 398 836 890 1,089 % chg 32.1 45.4 (2.8) 110.0 6.6 22.3 (% of Net Sales) 7.7 9.3 7.3 12.5 11.5 11.8 Basic EPS (`) 29.8 43.5 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5 Fully Diluted EPS (`) 29.8 43.5 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5 % chg 34.2 45.9 (3.9) 92.3 15.3 22.3
  • 9. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 9 Balance Sheet (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 96 96 96 96 96 96 Preference Capital - - - - - - Reserves& Surplus 682 886 1,107 1,614 2,140 2,808 Shareholders Funds 778 982 1,203 1,710 2,236 2,904 Minority Interest 60 57 76 94 91 95 Total Loans 306 275 309 229 179 124 Deferred Tax Liability 27 39 53 56 56 56 Total Liabilities 1,171 1,354 1,641 2,090 2,562 3,179 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 1,083 1,211 1,461 1,500 1,933 2,186 Less: Acc. Depreciation 604 634 648 628 744 870 Net Block 479 578 813 873 1,190 1,315 Capital Work-in-Progress 14 114 92 407 290 328 Goodwill 47 44 51 37 37 37 Investments 193 277 78 624 624 624 Current Assets 1,291 1,494 1,799 1,844 2,342 3,062 Cash 105 111 210 106 232 584 Loans & Advances 167 209 247 239 271 346 Other 1,019 1,174 1,341 1,498 1,840 2,132 Current liabilities 853 1,152 1,192 1,695 1,921 2,187 Net Current Assets 438 341 607 149 422 875 Misc Exp - - - - - - Total Assets 1,171 1,354 1,641 2,090 2,562 3,179 Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 443 647 622 1,130 1,346 1,626 Depreciation 61 59 74 84 116 127 Change in Working Capital (81) 4 (143) 134 (183) (152) Interest / Dividend (Net) 6 (8) 7 (5) (18) (28) Direct taxes paid 147 203 197 373 411 488 Others (38) (23) (25) 137 (12) 5 Cash Flow from Operations 244 476 337 1,105 838 1,090 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets (80) (282) (228) (354) (316) (290) Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments (34) (84) 198 (546) 0 0 Cash Flow from Investing (115) (366) (30) (900) (316) (290) Issue of Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 Inc./(Dec.) in loans 46 (16) (4) (79) (50) (55) Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 137 97 197 236 365 421 Interest / Dividend (Net) 6 (8) 7 (5) (18) (28) Cash Flow from Financing (98) (105) (207) (310) (397) (448) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 32 5 100 (105) 126 352 Opening Cash balances 73 105 111 210 106 232 Closing Cash balances 105 111 210 106 232 584
  • 10. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 10 Key Ratios Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 83.9 57.5 59.8 31.1 27.0 22.0 P/CEPS 70.2 51.3 50.8 26.1 23.9 19.7 P/BV 30.9 24.4 20.0 14.0 10.7 8.3 Dividend yield (%) 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 EV/Sales 6.6 5.5 4.4 3.6 3.1 2.6 EV/EBITDA 50.6 36.6 36.0 19.7 17.2 14.1 EV / Total Assets 20.7 17.9 14.7 11.5 9.3 7.4 Per Share Data (`) EPS (Basic) 29.8 43.5 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5 EPS (fully diluted) 29.8 43.5 41.8 80.5 92.8 113.5 Cash EPS 35.7 48.8 49.2 95.8 104.9 126.7 DPS 13.0 17.0 17.5 27.0 32.5 37.5 Book Value 81.1 102.4 125.4 178.3 233.1 302.7 Returns (%) RoCE (Pre-tax) 38.4 47.6 39.8 61.3 55.1 53.8 Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 33.8 44.6 35.0 58.0 58.1 58.8 RoE 39.5 46.5 36.4 57.4 45.1 42.4 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.5 4.0 4.2 Inventory / Sales (days) 59 59 51 52 50 49 Receivables (days) 42 38 38 30 37 36 Payables (days) 78 82 68 75 75 71 Net working capital (days) 33 19 26 2 9 12
  • 11. 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 27, 2010 11 Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com Disclaimer This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Asian Paints 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)