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Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA 1
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA 2
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Phases of Portfolio Management
3
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Security
Analysis
Portfolio
Analysis
Portfolio
selection
Portfolio
revision
Portfolio
Evaluation
Phases of Portfolio Management
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Approaches in Portfolio Construction
5
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Modern
Approach
Traditional
Approach
Approaches
Approaches in Portfolio Construction
6
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA 7
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Steps in traditional approach
8
Analysis of constraints
Determination of objectives
Selection of portfolio
Assessment of risk and
return
Evaluation/Diversification
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
1. Analysis of Constraints
Income Needs
Liquidity
Safety of the Principal
Time Horizon
Tax Consideration
Temperament
9
2. Determination of objectives
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Current Income
Growth in Income
Capital Appreciation
Preservation of capital
10
3. Selection of Portfolio
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Objectives
and asset
mix
Growth of
income
and asset
mix
Capital
appreciation
and asset
mix
Safety of
Principal
and asset
mix
11
4. Risk and Return Analysis
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
High Risk
Low Risk
Higher Return
Lower Return
12
5. Diversification
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Selection of Industries
Selection of Companies in
the industry
Determining the size of
participation
13
Assumptions
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
The market is inefficient.
The fundamentalists can take advantage of market
inefficiency situation.
The fundamentalists can earn quick profits.
The fundamentalists will expect the growth of a particular
company for predicting the future trend of the share prices.
14
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA 15
Modern Approach
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Select group of
shares
Calculates
risk
and return
Asset
allocation
16
Assumptions
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
It is based on assumption of free and perfect flow
of information.
It believes that markets are perfect and absorbs all
information quickly.
The riskiness of a financial asset in portfolio is to be
seen in the context of market related risk or portfolio
risk, but not in isolation.
17
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Difference Between Traditional and Modern Portfolio Theory
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Traditional
Theory
• It deals with the evaluation of
return and risk conditions in
each security.
• It is based on measurement of
standard deviation of particular
scrip.
• It assumes that market is
inefficient.
• It gives more importance to
standard deviation
Modern Theory
• It deals with the maximization of
returns through a combination of
different types of financial
assets.
• It is based on mainly
diversification process.
• It assumes that market is perfect
and all information is known to
public.
• It gives more importance to
Beta.
19
Managing the portfolio
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Managing the
portfolio
Passive
Approach
Active
Approach
20
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Modern Theory
Modern Portfolio Theories
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Markowitz
Theory of
Portfolio
Management.
Sharpe’s
Theory of
Portfolio
Management.
Capital
Asset
Pricing
Model.
Modern
Portfolio
Theories
22
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Markowitz Theory of
Portfolio Management.
Harry Markowitz is considered the father of modern
portfolio theory, mainly because he is the first person
who gave a mathematical
diversification.
model for portfolio
optimization and
Modern Portfolio theory is a theory of finance that
attempts to maximize portfolio expected returns for a
given amount of risk, or minimize the risk for a given
level of expected return
Markowitz Theory advise investors to invest in
multiple securities rather than pulling all eggs in one
basket.
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
MARKOWITZ THEORY
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
MARKOWITZ MODEL-PORTFOLIO
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Efficient Frontier
 Risk of a portfolio is based on the variability of returns
from the said portfolio.
 An investor is risk averse.
 An investor prefers to increase consumption.
 Analysis is based on single period model of investment.
 An investor either maximizes his portfolio return for a
given level of risk or maximizes his return for the
minimum risk.
 An investor is rational in
nature.
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
ASSUMPTION OF MARKOWITZ THEORY
Investors Utility Analysis
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
utility
return
A
B
C
Marginal Utility and Return
28
Investors Utility Analysis
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Indifference Curves of the risk fearing
utility
return
I1
I2
I4
I3
29
Investors Utility Analysis
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
utility
return
I1
I2
I3
I4
Indifference curves of the risk loving
30
Investors Utility Analysis
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
utility
return
I1
I2
I4
I3
Indifference curves of the less risk Fearing
31
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
 CAPM is used to determine a theoretically appropriate
require rate of return of an asset, if that asset is to be
added to an already well diversified portfolio, given
that assets non-diversifiable risk.
 Model starts with the idea that individual investment
contains two types of risk.
 Those are as follows:
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL
Systematic risk:
This are market risk that cannot be diversified away.

Interest rate, recession & wars are example of
systematic risk.
Un-systematic risk:
Also known as specific risk. This risk is specific to
individual
investors
portfolio.
stock and can be diversified away as the
his
the
increases the number of stocks in
In more technical terms, it represent
component of a stocks return i.e. not correlated with
general market moves.
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Assumption of CAPM
Risk-return assessments measured in terms of expected returns
and standard deviation ofreturn.
It cannot affect prices.
Infinitely divisible unit.
There are no transaction costs.
Investors share homogeneity of expectations.
The investor can sell short any amount of any shares.
The investor can lend or borrow any amount of fund desired at a rate of interest equal to
the rate of risk less securities.
There are no personal income taxes.
35
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Lending and Borrowing
𝑅𝑝 = 𝑅𝑓 𝑋𝑓+ 𝑅 𝑚(1 − 𝑋𝑓)
R p= portfolio return
X p= the proportion of funds invested in risk free assets
1-Xp= the proportion of funds invested in risky assets.
R f =risk free rate of return
R m= return on risky assets.
This formula can be used to calculate the expected returns for different situations, like
mixing riskless assets with risky assets, investing only in the risky assets and maximizing
the borrowings with risky assets.
36
If we assume the expected market risk premium to be 8% and the risk of return to be 7%, we
can calculate expected return for A,B,C, and D securities.
E(Ri)= Rf+βi (E(Rm)-Rf)
If beta is =1, E(R)= 7+1(8) =15%
Security A, Beta = 1.10
E(R)=7+1.10(8) =15.8
Security B, Beta = 1.20,
E(R)= 7+1.20(8) =16.8=16.6
Security C, Beta= 0.7,
E(R)= 7+0.7(8) =12.6
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Security Market Line
37
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Security Market Line
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
SHARPE SINGLE
INDEX MODEL
SHARPE SINGLE INDEX MODEL
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
• This model was developed by William Sharpe. He
simplified the method of diversification of portfolios.
Sharpe published a model simplifying the
mathematical calculations done by the Markowitz
model.
• According to Sharpe’s model, the theory estimate, the
expected return and variance of indices which may be
one or more and are related to economic activity.
• This theory has come to be known as market model.
40
Assumptions
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
The securities returns are related to
each other.
The expected return and variance of
indices are the same.
The return on individual securities is
determined by unpredictable factors.
41
Single index model:
Ri= αi+βiRm+ei
Where Ri= expected return on security i αi=intercept of the
straight line or alpha co-efficient
βi = slope of straight line or beta co-efficient Rm=the rate of
return on market index
ei=error term
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Single index model
42
The single index model is based on the assumption that stocks vary
together because of the common movement in the stock market and there
are no effect beyond the market. The variance of the security has two
components systematic risk and unsystematic risk.
Total risk= systematic risk + unsystematic risk
Total risk= β 2 𝜎2 +e2
Systematic risk= β2 * variance of market index
Unsystematic risk = total variance – systematic risk.
e2 = 𝜎2 − 𝛽2 𝜎2
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Single index model
𝑖 𝑖 𝑚
i m i
i
i
43
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA 44
 A portfolio is a mix of securities selected from a vast
universe of securities.
 Two variables determine the composition of a portfolio.
 Portfolio revision involves changing the existing mix of
securities.
 Portfolio revision thus leads to purchase and sales of
securities.
 Maximizing the return for a given level of risk or
minimizing the risk for a given level of return.
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Portfolio Revision
45
• Portfolio management would be an incomplete
exercise without a periodic review.
• The portfolio, which is once selected, has to
be continuously reviewed over a period of
time and if necessary revised depending on the
objectives of investor.
• Thus, portfolio revision means changing the
asset allocation of a portfolio.
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Portfolio Revision
• However, the frequency of review depends upon the
size of the portfolio, the sum involved, the kind
of securities held and the time available to the
investor.
The review
examination
• should include a careful
of investment objectives, targets
obtaine
d
for
portfolio performance, actual results
and
The
and
analysis of reason for variations.
followed by suitable• review should be
timely action.
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Need for Portfolio Revision
48
§ Availability of additional
funds for investment
§ Change in risk tolerance
§ Change in the investment
goal
§ Need to liquidate a part of
the portfolio to provide funds
for some alternative use
 Investors buy stock according to their objectives and
return-risk framework.
 These fluctuations may be related to economic
activity or due to other factors.
 Ideally investors should buy when prices are low
and sell when prices rise to levels higher than their
normal fluctuations.
 The investor should decide how often the portfolio
should be revised.
 If revision occurs to often, transaction and analysis
costs may be high.
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Techniques of Portfolio Revision
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Constraints in portfolio revision
50
Constraints
Transaction
Cost
Intrinsic
difficulty
Taxes
Statutory
Stipulations
-2 ± ..r:;-;;
2
-2 ± Jo -
22
- -2
2
Portfolio Revision Strategies
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
•
• It is a process of holding a well diversified
portfolio for long term with the buy and hold
approach.
It also refers to the investor’s attempt to
construct a portfolio that resembles the overall
market returns.
For e.g.- If Reliance Industry’s stock
constitutes 5% of the index, the fund also
invests of 5% of its money in Reliance
Industry Stock.
•
•
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Passive Management
•
• It is holding securities based on the forecast
about the future.
The portfolio managers vary their cash
position or beta of the equity portion of the
portfolio based on the market forecast.
For e.g.- IT or FMCG industry stocks may be
given more weights than their respective
weights in the NSE-50.
•
•
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Active Management
The formula plans provide the basic rules and
regulations for the purchase & sale of securities.
These predetermined rules call for specified
actions when there are changes in the securities
market.
In this, the investor divide his investment funds
into 2 portfolios i.e. one aggressive(portfolio
consists of equity shares)& other conservative or
defensive ( bonds & debentures)
•
•
•
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Formula Plans
1. Formula plans require the investor to divide
his investment funds in two portfolios i.e.
aggressive & Conservative (defensive)
2. The volatility of aggressive portfolio must be
greater than that of conservative portfolio, the
larger the difference between the two, the greater
the profits the formula plan can yield.
3. The conservative (defensive) portfolio must
include high- grade bonds having a high degree of
safety and stability of the returns.
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Basic Rules of Formula Revision
4. The conservative portfolio tends to decline during
periods of prosperity, owing to falling interest rates.
While the stock prices are rising, therefore, the
aggressive portfolio also rises.
5. The basic premise of formula plans is that stock
bond prices of the portfolios move in opposite
and
direction. If they move in same direction then this
phenomenon certainly impairs profitability of the
formula plans.
6. The formula plans do not deal with the selection of
stocks or bonds
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Assumptions of formula plan
1.Fixed income securities and common stocks.
2.If the market moves higher, the proportion of
stocks in the portfolio may either decline or
remain constant.
3.There is a significant change in the price.
4.Strictly follow the formula plan once he chooses
it.
5.The investor should select good stocks that move
along with the market.
57
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Advantages of formula plan
1.Basic rules and regulations for the purchase and sale of
securities are provided.
2.The rules and regulations are rigid and help to overcome
human emotion.
3.The investor can earn higher profits by adopting the plan.
4.A course of action is formulated according to the investor’s
objective.
5.It controls the buying and selling of securities by the investor.
6.It is useful for taking decision on the timing of investments.
58
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Disadvantages of formula plan
1.The formula plan does not help the selection of the
security.
2.It is strict and not flexible with the inherent problem of
adjustment.
3.The formula plan should be applied for long periods,
otherwise the transaction cost may be high.
4.Even if the investors adopts the formula plan,
he needs forecasting. Market forecasting helps him to
identify the best stocks.
59
Different types of Formula Plans are-
•
•
•
•
Rupee Cost Averaging
Constant Rupee Plan
Constant Ratio Plan
Variable Ratio Plan
Dr. NGPASC
COIMBATORE | INDIA
Types of formula plans
Any
Questi
on
62

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Portfolio theory and revision

  • 3. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Phases of Portfolio Management 3
  • 4. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Security Analysis Portfolio Analysis Portfolio selection Portfolio revision Portfolio Evaluation Phases of Portfolio Management
  • 5. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Approaches in Portfolio Construction 5
  • 6. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Modern Approach Traditional Approach Approaches Approaches in Portfolio Construction 6
  • 8. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Steps in traditional approach 8 Analysis of constraints Determination of objectives Selection of portfolio Assessment of risk and return Evaluation/Diversification
  • 9. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA 1. Analysis of Constraints Income Needs Liquidity Safety of the Principal Time Horizon Tax Consideration Temperament 9
  • 10. 2. Determination of objectives Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Current Income Growth in Income Capital Appreciation Preservation of capital 10
  • 11. 3. Selection of Portfolio Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Objectives and asset mix Growth of income and asset mix Capital appreciation and asset mix Safety of Principal and asset mix 11
  • 12. 4. Risk and Return Analysis Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA High Risk Low Risk Higher Return Lower Return 12
  • 13. 5. Diversification Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Selection of Industries Selection of Companies in the industry Determining the size of participation 13
  • 14. Assumptions Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA The market is inefficient. The fundamentalists can take advantage of market inefficiency situation. The fundamentalists can earn quick profits. The fundamentalists will expect the growth of a particular company for predicting the future trend of the share prices. 14
  • 16. Modern Approach Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Select group of shares Calculates risk and return Asset allocation 16
  • 17. Assumptions Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA It is based on assumption of free and perfect flow of information. It believes that markets are perfect and absorbs all information quickly. The riskiness of a financial asset in portfolio is to be seen in the context of market related risk or portfolio risk, but not in isolation. 17
  • 19. Difference Between Traditional and Modern Portfolio Theory Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Traditional Theory • It deals with the evaluation of return and risk conditions in each security. • It is based on measurement of standard deviation of particular scrip. • It assumes that market is inefficient. • It gives more importance to standard deviation Modern Theory • It deals with the maximization of returns through a combination of different types of financial assets. • It is based on mainly diversification process. • It assumes that market is perfect and all information is known to public. • It gives more importance to Beta. 19
  • 20. Managing the portfolio Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Managing the portfolio Passive Approach Active Approach 20
  • 21. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Modern Theory
  • 22. Modern Portfolio Theories Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Markowitz Theory of Portfolio Management. Sharpe’s Theory of Portfolio Management. Capital Asset Pricing Model. Modern Portfolio Theories 22
  • 23. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Markowitz Theory of Portfolio Management.
  • 24. Harry Markowitz is considered the father of modern portfolio theory, mainly because he is the first person who gave a mathematical diversification. model for portfolio optimization and Modern Portfolio theory is a theory of finance that attempts to maximize portfolio expected returns for a given amount of risk, or minimize the risk for a given level of expected return Markowitz Theory advise investors to invest in multiple securities rather than pulling all eggs in one basket. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA MARKOWITZ THEORY
  • 25. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA MARKOWITZ MODEL-PORTFOLIO
  • 26. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Efficient Frontier
  • 27.  Risk of a portfolio is based on the variability of returns from the said portfolio.  An investor is risk averse.  An investor prefers to increase consumption.  Analysis is based on single period model of investment.  An investor either maximizes his portfolio return for a given level of risk or maximizes his return for the minimum risk.  An investor is rational in nature. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA ASSUMPTION OF MARKOWITZ THEORY
  • 28. Investors Utility Analysis Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA utility return A B C Marginal Utility and Return 28
  • 29. Investors Utility Analysis Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Indifference Curves of the risk fearing utility return I1 I2 I4 I3 29
  • 30. Investors Utility Analysis Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA utility return I1 I2 I3 I4 Indifference curves of the risk loving 30
  • 31. Investors Utility Analysis Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA utility return I1 I2 I4 I3 Indifference curves of the less risk Fearing 31
  • 33.  CAPM is used to determine a theoretically appropriate require rate of return of an asset, if that asset is to be added to an already well diversified portfolio, given that assets non-diversifiable risk.  Model starts with the idea that individual investment contains two types of risk.  Those are as follows: Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL
  • 34. Systematic risk: This are market risk that cannot be diversified away.  Interest rate, recession & wars are example of systematic risk. Un-systematic risk: Also known as specific risk. This risk is specific to individual investors portfolio. stock and can be diversified away as the his the increases the number of stocks in In more technical terms, it represent component of a stocks return i.e. not correlated with general market moves. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA
  • 35. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Assumption of CAPM Risk-return assessments measured in terms of expected returns and standard deviation ofreturn. It cannot affect prices. Infinitely divisible unit. There are no transaction costs. Investors share homogeneity of expectations. The investor can sell short any amount of any shares. The investor can lend or borrow any amount of fund desired at a rate of interest equal to the rate of risk less securities. There are no personal income taxes. 35
  • 36. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Lending and Borrowing 𝑅𝑝 = 𝑅𝑓 𝑋𝑓+ 𝑅 𝑚(1 − 𝑋𝑓) R p= portfolio return X p= the proportion of funds invested in risk free assets 1-Xp= the proportion of funds invested in risky assets. R f =risk free rate of return R m= return on risky assets. This formula can be used to calculate the expected returns for different situations, like mixing riskless assets with risky assets, investing only in the risky assets and maximizing the borrowings with risky assets. 36
  • 37. If we assume the expected market risk premium to be 8% and the risk of return to be 7%, we can calculate expected return for A,B,C, and D securities. E(Ri)= Rf+βi (E(Rm)-Rf) If beta is =1, E(R)= 7+1(8) =15% Security A, Beta = 1.10 E(R)=7+1.10(8) =15.8 Security B, Beta = 1.20, E(R)= 7+1.20(8) =16.8=16.6 Security C, Beta= 0.7, E(R)= 7+0.7(8) =12.6 Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Security Market Line 37
  • 38. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Security Market Line
  • 39. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA SHARPE SINGLE INDEX MODEL
  • 40. SHARPE SINGLE INDEX MODEL Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA • This model was developed by William Sharpe. He simplified the method of diversification of portfolios. Sharpe published a model simplifying the mathematical calculations done by the Markowitz model. • According to Sharpe’s model, the theory estimate, the expected return and variance of indices which may be one or more and are related to economic activity. • This theory has come to be known as market model. 40
  • 41. Assumptions Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA The securities returns are related to each other. The expected return and variance of indices are the same. The return on individual securities is determined by unpredictable factors. 41
  • 42. Single index model: Ri= αi+βiRm+ei Where Ri= expected return on security i αi=intercept of the straight line or alpha co-efficient βi = slope of straight line or beta co-efficient Rm=the rate of return on market index ei=error term Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Single index model 42
  • 43. The single index model is based on the assumption that stocks vary together because of the common movement in the stock market and there are no effect beyond the market. The variance of the security has two components systematic risk and unsystematic risk. Total risk= systematic risk + unsystematic risk Total risk= β 2 𝜎2 +e2 Systematic risk= β2 * variance of market index Unsystematic risk = total variance – systematic risk. e2 = 𝜎2 − 𝛽2 𝜎2 Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Single index model 𝑖 𝑖 𝑚 i m i i i 43
  • 45.  A portfolio is a mix of securities selected from a vast universe of securities.  Two variables determine the composition of a portfolio.  Portfolio revision involves changing the existing mix of securities.  Portfolio revision thus leads to purchase and sales of securities.  Maximizing the return for a given level of risk or minimizing the risk for a given level of return. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Portfolio Revision 45
  • 46. • Portfolio management would be an incomplete exercise without a periodic review. • The portfolio, which is once selected, has to be continuously reviewed over a period of time and if necessary revised depending on the objectives of investor. • Thus, portfolio revision means changing the asset allocation of a portfolio. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Portfolio Revision
  • 47. • However, the frequency of review depends upon the size of the portfolio, the sum involved, the kind of securities held and the time available to the investor. The review examination • should include a careful of investment objectives, targets obtaine d for portfolio performance, actual results and The and analysis of reason for variations. followed by suitable• review should be timely action. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA
  • 48. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Need for Portfolio Revision 48 § Availability of additional funds for investment § Change in risk tolerance § Change in the investment goal § Need to liquidate a part of the portfolio to provide funds for some alternative use
  • 49.  Investors buy stock according to their objectives and return-risk framework.  These fluctuations may be related to economic activity or due to other factors.  Ideally investors should buy when prices are low and sell when prices rise to levels higher than their normal fluctuations.  The investor should decide how often the portfolio should be revised.  If revision occurs to often, transaction and analysis costs may be high. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Techniques of Portfolio Revision
  • 50. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Constraints in portfolio revision 50 Constraints Transaction Cost Intrinsic difficulty Taxes Statutory Stipulations
  • 51. -2 ± ..r:;-;; 2 -2 ± Jo - 22 - -2 2 Portfolio Revision Strategies Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA
  • 52. • • It is a process of holding a well diversified portfolio for long term with the buy and hold approach. It also refers to the investor’s attempt to construct a portfolio that resembles the overall market returns. For e.g.- If Reliance Industry’s stock constitutes 5% of the index, the fund also invests of 5% of its money in Reliance Industry Stock. • • Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Passive Management
  • 53. • • It is holding securities based on the forecast about the future. The portfolio managers vary their cash position or beta of the equity portion of the portfolio based on the market forecast. For e.g.- IT or FMCG industry stocks may be given more weights than their respective weights in the NSE-50. • • Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Active Management
  • 54. The formula plans provide the basic rules and regulations for the purchase & sale of securities. These predetermined rules call for specified actions when there are changes in the securities market. In this, the investor divide his investment funds into 2 portfolios i.e. one aggressive(portfolio consists of equity shares)& other conservative or defensive ( bonds & debentures) • • • Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Formula Plans
  • 55. 1. Formula plans require the investor to divide his investment funds in two portfolios i.e. aggressive & Conservative (defensive) 2. The volatility of aggressive portfolio must be greater than that of conservative portfolio, the larger the difference between the two, the greater the profits the formula plan can yield. 3. The conservative (defensive) portfolio must include high- grade bonds having a high degree of safety and stability of the returns. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Basic Rules of Formula Revision
  • 56. 4. The conservative portfolio tends to decline during periods of prosperity, owing to falling interest rates. While the stock prices are rising, therefore, the aggressive portfolio also rises. 5. The basic premise of formula plans is that stock bond prices of the portfolios move in opposite and direction. If they move in same direction then this phenomenon certainly impairs profitability of the formula plans. 6. The formula plans do not deal with the selection of stocks or bonds Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA
  • 57. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Assumptions of formula plan 1.Fixed income securities and common stocks. 2.If the market moves higher, the proportion of stocks in the portfolio may either decline or remain constant. 3.There is a significant change in the price. 4.Strictly follow the formula plan once he chooses it. 5.The investor should select good stocks that move along with the market. 57
  • 58. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Advantages of formula plan 1.Basic rules and regulations for the purchase and sale of securities are provided. 2.The rules and regulations are rigid and help to overcome human emotion. 3.The investor can earn higher profits by adopting the plan. 4.A course of action is formulated according to the investor’s objective. 5.It controls the buying and selling of securities by the investor. 6.It is useful for taking decision on the timing of investments. 58
  • 59. Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Disadvantages of formula plan 1.The formula plan does not help the selection of the security. 2.It is strict and not flexible with the inherent problem of adjustment. 3.The formula plan should be applied for long periods, otherwise the transaction cost may be high. 4.Even if the investors adopts the formula plan, he needs forecasting. Market forecasting helps him to identify the best stocks. 59
  • 60. Different types of Formula Plans are- • • • • Rupee Cost Averaging Constant Rupee Plan Constant Ratio Plan Variable Ratio Plan Dr. NGPASC COIMBATORE | INDIA Types of formula plans
  • 62. 62