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Washington DC
January 12, 2016
THE IMPACT OF INTERVENTIONS
FOR PREVENTING INJURIES AND
FATALITIES AMONG
MOTORCYCLISTS IN LOW- AND
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
Results from Systematic Review: Regulatory and Road
Engineering Interventions for Preventing Road Traffic
Injuries and Fatalities among Vulnerable Road Users in
Low- and Middle-Income Countries
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries
AGENDA
 METHODS
 STUDY RESULTS
 DATA ANALYSIS
 OUTLINE OF EVIDENCE
 CONCLUSION
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries
POPULATION
 Vulnerable Road Users:
- Non-motorised road users: Pedestrians, cyclists, rickshaws etc
- Motorised two-wheel road users (motorcycles, mopeds, and light
mopeds) of all ages
 Low- and Middle-income Countries
COMPARATOR
 Compared changes in outcomes before and after the
intervention with or without a control group
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries
STUDY DESIGN
 Randomized Control Trials
 Non-randomized: Uncontrolled before and after, Controlled
before and after, Time series, Controlled cohort,
Uncontrolled cohort, and Case control
 Road safety audits were considered if a qualifying
intervention study met the inclusion criteria
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
INTERVENTIONS
Population level interventions:
 Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory
 Road Engineering
This review did not look at
 Education, Information and Media Advocacy
 Vehicle design and Post crash/trauma care
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries
OUTCOMES
 Mortality measures
- Road traffic death counts/death rates
 Morbidity measures
- Number of proportion of severe injuries
- Number or proportion of moderate injuries
- Number or proportion of road traffic accidents
 Secondary outcomes
- Compliance
- Mean vehicular speed
- Mean vehicular conflict
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries
Description of Studies
Bastos 2005
Bhatti 2011
Chiu 2000
Ichikawa 2002
Liberatti 2001
Nguyen 2013
Panichaphongse
1995
Espitia-Hardeman
2008
Radin Umar 1995a
Radin Umar 2005
Mulyadi 2013
Radin Umar 1995b
Time Series Uncontrolled Before and After
RoadEngineering
Conspicuity-Useof
DaytimeHeadlight
MandatoryHelmet
Use
Study Sample size
Bastos 2005 6298 motorcyclists
Bhatti 2011
742 motorcyclists and 295
pillion riders
Chiu 2000
8795 cases of motorcycle
related head injuries
Ichikawa 2002 12,002 injured motorcyclists
Liberatti 2001 1837 motorcycle victims
Nguyen 2013 665,428 motorcycle riders
Panichaphongse 1995
4035 injured motorcycle
accidents
Espitia-Hardeman 2008 Not available
Radin Umar 1995a
3662 motorcycle accidents
Radin Umar 2005 4319 motorcycle accidents
Mulyadi 2013
4700 vehicles per 30 green
lights
Radin Umar 1995b 4865 motorcycle accidents
DATA ANALYSIS
Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions
Outcome changes without a control group before and after
Fatalities among Motorcycle Riders – Mandatory Helmet Use
Fatalities declined by 6%, absence of substantial heterogeneity
DATA ANALYSIS
Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions
Outcome changes without a control group before and after
Injuries among Motorcycle Riders – Mandatory Helmet Use
Injuries (moderate and severe) declined by 26%
Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions
Outcome changes without a control group before and after
Severe injuries among Motorcycle Riders – Mandatory Helmet Use
Severe injuries declined by 9%, statistically significant
Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions
Outcome changes without a control group before and after
Compliance among Motorcycle Riders – Mandatory Helmet Use
Compliance to mandatory helmet enforcement resulted in eight time more
compliance. Statistically significant presence of heterogeneity
Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions
Outcome changes in time series before and after
Road Traffic Accidents among Motorcycle Riders – Day time
Running Headlights
The number of accidents declined post intervention period. Mean
percent change in accident declined by 38%.
A study Espitia-Hardeman 2008 reported fatalities, Log RR -1.79 (CI -
2.60, -0.98). Percent change in accidents -500.65 (CI -1248.43, -165.55)
51%
62%
68%
DATA ANALYSIS
Road Engineering Interventions
Effect of Exclusive Motorcycle Lanes Intervention
 A time-series study, Radin Umar 1995b analysed motorcycle
accident outcomes
 Road traffic accidents declined by 11%, percent change -
111.80 (CI -492.9, 24.34)
Effect of Red Motorcycle Box at Intersection Intervention
 A before and after study, Mulyadi 2013 analysed traffic-
conflicts and traffic flow at intersections
 Traffic conflicts (per 1000 vehicle) declined marginally,
standard mean difference -0.23 (CI -0.32, -0.15)
 Traffic volume (pce/green light) increased marginally,
standard mean difference 0.30 (CI 0.25, 0.35)
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries
OUTLINE OF EVIDENCE
Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions
 Road traffic crashes resulting in fatalities declined by 6%
 Road traffic injuries resulting in injuries declined by 26%
 Mandatory helmet law enforcement resulted in eighth times
more compliance among motorcyclists.
 Conspicuity related road accidents dropped by 38%
Road Engineering Interventions
 In percent change, accidents declined by 11% as a result of
exclusive motorcycle lanes
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
 The effect of interventions being implemented by LMICs
demonstrate the initial stages of positive developments
 Stringent enforcement of traffic laws & regulatory
interventions
 In road engineering, segregation of motorcycle riders from
motorised vehicles can potentially reduce traffic conflicts
 Improved injury surveillance systems on road traffic injuries
are required
The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities
among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries
 The protocol is registered with the Cochrane
Public Health Group and published in Cochrane
Liberary
 The Systematic Review is funded by the
Department for International Development
Washington DC
January 12, 2016

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The impact of interventions for preventing injuries and fatalities among motorcyclists in low- and middle-income countries

  • 2. THE IMPACT OF INTERVENTIONS FOR PREVENTING INJURIES AND FATALITIES AMONG MOTORCYCLISTS IN LOW- AND MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES Results from Systematic Review: Regulatory and Road Engineering Interventions for Preventing Road Traffic Injuries and Fatalities among Vulnerable Road Users in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
  • 3. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries AGENDA  METHODS  STUDY RESULTS  DATA ANALYSIS  OUTLINE OF EVIDENCE  CONCLUSION
  • 4. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries POPULATION  Vulnerable Road Users: - Non-motorised road users: Pedestrians, cyclists, rickshaws etc - Motorised two-wheel road users (motorcycles, mopeds, and light mopeds) of all ages  Low- and Middle-income Countries COMPARATOR  Compared changes in outcomes before and after the intervention with or without a control group
  • 5. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries STUDY DESIGN  Randomized Control Trials  Non-randomized: Uncontrolled before and after, Controlled before and after, Time series, Controlled cohort, Uncontrolled cohort, and Case control  Road safety audits were considered if a qualifying intervention study met the inclusion criteria
  • 6. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle-Income Countries INTERVENTIONS Population level interventions:  Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory  Road Engineering This review did not look at  Education, Information and Media Advocacy  Vehicle design and Post crash/trauma care
  • 7. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries OUTCOMES  Mortality measures - Road traffic death counts/death rates  Morbidity measures - Number of proportion of severe injuries - Number or proportion of moderate injuries - Number or proportion of road traffic accidents  Secondary outcomes - Compliance - Mean vehicular speed - Mean vehicular conflict
  • 8. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries Description of Studies Bastos 2005 Bhatti 2011 Chiu 2000 Ichikawa 2002 Liberatti 2001 Nguyen 2013 Panichaphongse 1995 Espitia-Hardeman 2008 Radin Umar 1995a Radin Umar 2005 Mulyadi 2013 Radin Umar 1995b Time Series Uncontrolled Before and After RoadEngineering Conspicuity-Useof DaytimeHeadlight MandatoryHelmet Use Study Sample size Bastos 2005 6298 motorcyclists Bhatti 2011 742 motorcyclists and 295 pillion riders Chiu 2000 8795 cases of motorcycle related head injuries Ichikawa 2002 12,002 injured motorcyclists Liberatti 2001 1837 motorcycle victims Nguyen 2013 665,428 motorcycle riders Panichaphongse 1995 4035 injured motorcycle accidents Espitia-Hardeman 2008 Not available Radin Umar 1995a 3662 motorcycle accidents Radin Umar 2005 4319 motorcycle accidents Mulyadi 2013 4700 vehicles per 30 green lights Radin Umar 1995b 4865 motorcycle accidents
  • 9. DATA ANALYSIS Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions Outcome changes without a control group before and after Fatalities among Motorcycle Riders – Mandatory Helmet Use Fatalities declined by 6%, absence of substantial heterogeneity
  • 10. DATA ANALYSIS Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions Outcome changes without a control group before and after Injuries among Motorcycle Riders – Mandatory Helmet Use Injuries (moderate and severe) declined by 26%
  • 11. Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions Outcome changes without a control group before and after Severe injuries among Motorcycle Riders – Mandatory Helmet Use Severe injuries declined by 9%, statistically significant
  • 12. Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions Outcome changes without a control group before and after Compliance among Motorcycle Riders – Mandatory Helmet Use Compliance to mandatory helmet enforcement resulted in eight time more compliance. Statistically significant presence of heterogeneity
  • 13. Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions Outcome changes in time series before and after Road Traffic Accidents among Motorcycle Riders – Day time Running Headlights The number of accidents declined post intervention period. Mean percent change in accident declined by 38%. A study Espitia-Hardeman 2008 reported fatalities, Log RR -1.79 (CI - 2.60, -0.98). Percent change in accidents -500.65 (CI -1248.43, -165.55) 51% 62% 68%
  • 14. DATA ANALYSIS Road Engineering Interventions Effect of Exclusive Motorcycle Lanes Intervention  A time-series study, Radin Umar 1995b analysed motorcycle accident outcomes  Road traffic accidents declined by 11%, percent change - 111.80 (CI -492.9, 24.34) Effect of Red Motorcycle Box at Intersection Intervention  A before and after study, Mulyadi 2013 analysed traffic- conflicts and traffic flow at intersections  Traffic conflicts (per 1000 vehicle) declined marginally, standard mean difference -0.23 (CI -0.32, -0.15)  Traffic volume (pce/green light) increased marginally, standard mean difference 0.30 (CI 0.25, 0.35)
  • 15. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries OUTLINE OF EVIDENCE Traffic Law Enforcement & Regulatory Interventions  Road traffic crashes resulting in fatalities declined by 6%  Road traffic injuries resulting in injuries declined by 26%  Mandatory helmet law enforcement resulted in eighth times more compliance among motorcyclists.  Conspicuity related road accidents dropped by 38% Road Engineering Interventions  In percent change, accidents declined by 11% as a result of exclusive motorcycle lanes
  • 16. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS  The effect of interventions being implemented by LMICs demonstrate the initial stages of positive developments  Stringent enforcement of traffic laws & regulatory interventions  In road engineering, segregation of motorcycle riders from motorised vehicles can potentially reduce traffic conflicts  Improved injury surveillance systems on road traffic injuries are required
  • 17. The Impact of Interventions for Preventing Injuries and Fatalities among Motorcyclists in Low- and Middle- Income Countries  The protocol is registered with the Cochrane Public Health Group and published in Cochrane Liberary  The Systematic Review is funded by the Department for International Development