The document discusses the sustainability of public debt and fiscal deficits in India. It outlines three views on fiscal deficits - the neoclassical view, Keynesian view, and Ricardian equivalence perspective. It also discusses factors that affect debt sustainability like growth rates, interest rates, primary deficits, and financing of deficits. The document emphasizes the need to control deficits and debt to sustainable levels to avoid negative economic impacts and proposes various strategies to reduce fiscal deficits over time like expenditure rationalization and increasing revenues.
Since pollution is an externality firms will not undertake to control their pollution. The answer is in government regulations. Coase argues that in perfect competition with laissez faire, govt regulation is not needed. Instead bargaining between the polluters and their victims can lead to an optimal situation. But this pre supposes equality in bargaining, and does not take note of ecological consequences of pollution.
Since pollution is an externality firms will not undertake to control their pollution. The answer is in government regulations. Coase argues that in perfect competition with laissez faire, govt regulation is not needed. Instead bargaining between the polluters and their victims can lead to an optimal situation. But this pre supposes equality in bargaining, and does not take note of ecological consequences of pollution.
objectives of fiscal policy
,
to accelerate the rate of economic growth:
,
optimum allocation of resources
,
generally following are the objectives of a fiscal
,
equitable distribution of income and wealth:
,
full employment
,
to encourage investment
,
economic stability:
This presentation discusses about the following subtopics:
What is a government deficit?
Types of deficit
What is a revenue deficit?
What is a fiscal deficit?
What is a primary deficit?
Difference between Fiscal Deficit and Revenue Deficit
Difference between Primary Deficit and Revenue Deficit
objectives of fiscal policy
,
to accelerate the rate of economic growth:
,
optimum allocation of resources
,
generally following are the objectives of a fiscal
,
equitable distribution of income and wealth:
,
full employment
,
to encourage investment
,
economic stability:
This presentation discusses about the following subtopics:
What is a government deficit?
Types of deficit
What is a revenue deficit?
What is a fiscal deficit?
What is a primary deficit?
Difference between Fiscal Deficit and Revenue Deficit
Difference between Primary Deficit and Revenue Deficit
This presentation will talk about deficit and debt and what they mean to you. The focus is on social programs, taxation, economic growth and sustainability.
Functioning of teh Public Accounts Committee of teh National Assembly of Paki...faisalkhokhar
M.Phil thesis presenting a comparative study of the functioning of the Public Accounts Committee of Pakistan during 2002-2006 (when a Government member was Chair) and 2008-2011 (when the Opposition Leader was PAC Chair). Contains a good literature review including Pakistani academics, extensive questionnaires and interviews with "inside" stakeholders, and compares to frameworks previously presented by McGee and Stapenhurst on effective or ideal PACs. The Study contains some surprising information. eg:
. the financial statements of the government of Federal Government of Pakistan have been prepared by the Controller General of Accounts and audited by the Auditor General of Pakistan each year, but never scrutinized by a PAC "except perhaps once."
. Pakistan has had a number of periods of military rule during which there was no Parliament. At least 6 adhoc PACs were appointed to carry out the PAC function during such periods, and they were functional for just over 16 years (vs 22.5 years for elected PACs)
. It took over 500 days to form the 12th (government led) PAC, but only 150 to form the 13th
. Even when the PAC was led by a government member, 80% of respondents felt the PAC should be chaired by an opposition member.
. When the PAC was chaired by a government member, PAC recommendations were "seldom" or "never" implemented in 80% of cases, whereas when the opposition leader chaired the PAC, recommendations were "frequently" implemented. This is contrary to the argument generally advanced for having a government Chair.
. Many other interesting findings, some controversial observations about the Auditor General of Pakistan, and a Conclusions chapter with 40 recommendations for making the PAC in Pakistan more effective
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Lecture slide titled Fraud Risk Mitigation, Webinar Lecture Delivered at the Society for West African Internal Audit Practitioners (SWAIAP) on Wednesday, November 8, 2023.
BONKMILLON Unleashes Its Bonkers Potential on Solana.pdfcoingabbar
Introducing BONKMILLON - The Most Bonkers Meme Coin Yet
Let's be real for a second – the world of meme coins can feel like a bit of a circus at times. Every other day, there's a new token promising to take you "to the moon" or offering some groundbreaking utility that'll change the game forever. But how many of them actually deliver on that hype?
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
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2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdfNeal Brewster
After this second you should be able to: Explain the main determinants of demand for any mineral product, and their relative importance; recognise and explain how demand for any product is likely to change with economic activity; recognise and explain the roles of technology and relative prices in influencing demand; be able to explain the differences between the rates of growth of demand for different products.
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxmikemetalprod
Indepth analysis of the BYD 2024
BYD (Build Your Dreams) is a Chinese automaker and battery manufacturer that has snowballed over the past two decades to become a significant player in electric vehicles and global clean energy technology.
This SWOT analysis examines BYD's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as it competes in the fast-changing automotive and energy storage industries.
Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Shenzhen, BYD started as a battery company before expanding into automobiles in the early 2000s.
Initially manufacturing gasoline-powered vehicles, BYD focused on plug-in hybrid and fully electric vehicles, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.
Today, BYD is the world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer, delivering over 1.2 million electric cars globally. The company also produces electric buses, trucks, forklifts, and rail transit.
On the energy side, BYD is a major supplier of rechargeable batteries for cell phones, laptops, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
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This presentation poster infographic delves into the multifaceted impacts of globalization through the lens of Nike, a prominent global brand. It explores how globalization has reshaped Nike's supply chain, marketing strategies, and cultural influence worldwide, examining both the benefits and challenges associated with its global expansion.
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2. INTRODUCTION
High level of fiscal deficit tends not only to cause sharp increase in
debt-GDP ratio, but also adversely affect savings and investment
and consequently growth.
India is certainly not alone in having budget deficits that are too
high. Greece has 142% and Italy has 119% now have deficits that
violate the European Growth and stability pact. Japan is having the
highest debt-GDP ratio of 220%.
Debt-to-GDP ratios of 100% is becoming common
Theoritical view
There is no agreement among economist whether fiscal is good,
bad or neutral in terms of it’s real deficit, particularly on
investment and growth.
3. THREE TYPES OF VIEW
Neoclasical view
Keynesian view of fiscal deficit
Ricardian equivalence perspective
4. NEOCLASSICAL VIEW
Neoclassical model assumes full employment in the economy
and have negative effect of deficit on growth.
Taxes shift to future generation which raises life time
consumption and which leads to reduction in saving.
Due to revenue deficit government saving decreases and if
this reduction in government saving is not compensated by
increase in private saving , thereby resulting in fall in overall
saving rate.
National saving is financed by higher borrowing.
5. KEYNESIAN VIEW
Assume less than full employment
As autonomous government expenditure increases, output
increases(due to multiplier process).
If money supply is fixed and deficit is bond financed interest
rate partially increases.
But increase in interest rate is neutralized by increased
profitability of investment.
6. RICARDIAN EQUIVALENCE
PERSPECTIVE
Acc. to Ricardian equivalence perspective , fiscal deficits are
viewed as neutral in terms of their impact on economic
growth.
Deficit in current period is equal to the present value of
future taxation
Assume that decrease in current government saving may be
accompanied by increase in private saving therefore
investment and interest rate unchanged.
Ricardian equivalence assert that fiscal deficits do not really
matter except for smoothening the adjustment to
expenditure or revenue shocks.
7. Neoclassical Ricardian Keynesian
Consumers Finite lifetime Infinite time Myopic,
horizon perspective liquidity
constrained
Effects of a deficit Private saving Private saving Aggregate
based tax cut on would fall remains unaffected demand
private saving increases
Employment of Full employment Full employment Resources
resources not fully
employed
Effect on interest Interest rate No effect Interest rate
rate increases increases
Contention Fiscal deficits Fiscal deficits Fiscal
detrimental irrelevant deficits
beneficial
8. CHANNELS FOR FINANCING
DEFICIT
TYPES OF FINANCING EFFECT
EXTERNAL BORROWING PRESSURE ON EXCHANGE
RATE
BORROWING FROM PRESSURE ON INFLATION
CENTRAL BANK
DOMESTING BORROWING INTEREST RATE
9. SUSTAINABILITY
Capacity to keep balance between costs of additional borrowing with return
from such borrowing .
It could be in the form of high growth resulting in higher government revenues
that can be used for servicing the additional borrowing.
Debt would become unsustainable, if fiscal deficits follow a course that leads to
a self-perpetuating rise in the debt-GDP ratio, which affects negatively the
growth rate and positively the interest rate, such that the existing levels of
primary government expenditures cannot be sustained, given the configuration
of growth and interest rates.
10. CONTROLLING DEBT AND
DEFICIT
It is important to provide exogenous limits on borrowing by
governments, whether central or subnational. Such limits can
be exercised through fiscal responsibility legislations, or
other institutional arrangements.
EXAMPLE-criteria for europian monetary union:
1) Budget deficit for each fiscal year ≤ 3% of GDP.
2) Public debt ≤ 60% of GDP
Main institutional reforms related to :
a) Formal deficit and debt rules.
b) Expenditure limit.
c) Requirement of transparency in fiscal management.
11. FRBMA 2003: INDIAN
CONTEXT
OBJECTIVES:
1. Elimination of revenue deficit
2. Fiscal deficit to be bought at the level of 3% of GDP ,with 0.3% point of
GDP as the minimum annual reduction target.
The FRBMA has some built-in flexibility in achieving revenue and fiscal
deficit reduction targets as there is a provision that the specified limits
may be exceeded on grounds of national security or national calamity or
such other exceptional grounds.
The Act has also provided that ‘Reserve Bank of India may subscribe to
the primary issues to the Central Government Securities’ for specified
reasons.
State faces higher interest rate than centre, it allow a target unit of fiscal
deficit relative to GDP for states as of centre so that it would result in
same interest payment ratio as of centre.
12. •Before the stablization phase is reached, the Indian economy will have to pass
through an adjustment phase. During this phase, the debt-GDP ratio will have to fall.
This can be done by reducing the fiscal deficit to GDP ratio each year to a level
lower than that, which will stablise the debt-GDP ratio at the previous year’s level.
13. SUSTAINABILITY OF DEBT AND FISCAL DEFICIT(DOMAR MODEL)
The standard equation for debt accumulation is written as
bt = pt + bt-1[(1+it)/ (1+gt)] (1)
Equation 1 can be written as
bt = pt + xtbt-1 [ where xt = (1+it)/ (1+gt)] (2)
If b0 = p0,
we have, b1 = p1 + x1 p0
b2 = p2+ x2p1 +x2x1p0
Generalising, we can write
bt = pt + (xt) pt-1+ (xtxt-1) pt-2+…. + (xtxt-1….x1) p0 (3)
If it is assumed that xt is constant, implying g and i are constant for all t, We can write
bt = pt + x pt-1 +x2 pt-2+…. +xt-1 pt-1+xt p0 (4)
the additional assumption that p’s are also constant for all t.
Since xt = (1+it)/(1+gt) = x
CASE I , g=i
t-1
bt = p + p ∑ (t+1) p (5)
t=0
bt = p(t+1)
If t is infinite
Then debt will also increase to infinite.
CASE II, g>i
bt = p {1 + x +x2+…. +xt-1 +xt} (6)
bt = p + p x/ (1-x) = p/ (1-x)
bt = p (1+g)/ (g-i) as t →∞ (7)
14. CASE III, i>g
x>1
Debt will grow to infinity
Now, if we concentrate on CASE II
The fiscal deficit to GDP ratio (f*) corresponding to a stable debt-GDP ratio (b*) will be:
f*=p.g/ (g-i) (8)
b*=f*.(1+g)/ g (9)
Stable Combination of Debt and Fiscal Deficit to GDP Ratio for Different Growth
Rate
Vertical axis: debt-GDP ratio; Horizontal axis: fiscal deficit-GDP ratio
16. the ratio of interest payments to GDP. Defining interest payments to GDP ratio as (ipy)
b*= (ipy)* .(1+g)/i (10)
The corresponding level of fiscal deficit to GDP ratio is given by
f* = (ipy)* g/i (11)
pt=bt-1[(gt-it)/(1+gt)= pst (12)
Here, it is the average interest rate and pst is called the debtstabilising primary deficit to GDP ratio.
As long as pt in any given year is equal to or less than pst for that year, debt-GDP ratio will not rise
in that year compared to its level in the previous year.
The main lessons from the canonical model can be summarised as follows:
•The debt-GDP ratio will rise continuously for positive values of the primary deficit relative to
GDP, if the growth rate is equal to or less than the interest rate.
•If growth rate is higher than the interest rate, and both of these are unaffected by the levels of fiscal
deficit and debt levels relative to GDP, the debt-GDP ratio and the fiscal deficit to GDP ratio will
eventually stablise.
•The system of equations implicit in the canonical model can define combinations of stable debt-
GDP ratio and fiscal deficit to GDP ratio but does not determine their best or most desirable values.
•In deciding a suitable fiscal stance for the medium to long run, it is best to consider the debt-GDP
ratio and fiscal deficit to GDP ratio together rather than only one of them.
17. Aspects of fiscal and debt
sustainability
•The long term fiscal stance requires additional information on the impact of debt
and deficit levels on growth, and the assumption of constancy of growth and
interest rates should be given up.
• In this case, the ratio of debt to GDP will rise progressively, even if the growth
rate is higher than the interest rate, if primary deficit to GDP ratio is above a
threshold level given by ps, which can be specified as dependent on previous
year’s debt-GDP ratio, growth rate and interest rate.
18. FISCAL DEFICIT
Fiscal deficit is an economic phenomenon, where the government’s total expenditure
surpasses the revenue generated. It is the difference between the government's total
receipts (excluding borrowing) and total expenditure. Fiscal deficit gives the signal to
the government about the total borrowing requirements from all sources.
The primary component of fiscal deficit includes revenue deficit and capital
expenditure. The capital Expenditure is the fund used by an establishment to produce
physical assets like property, equipments or industrial buildings. Capital expenditure is
made by the establishment to consistently maintain the operational activities.
According to KEYNES, fiscal deficits facilitate nations to escape from economic
recession. From another point of view, it is believed that government needs to avoid
deficits to maintain a balanced budget policy.
According to Keynesian, running a fiscal deficit and increasing government debt can
initially stimulate economic activity only when a country's output (GDP) is below its
potential output. But when an economy is running near or at its potential level of
output, fiscal deficits can cause high inflation. At that point FISCAL DEFICIT MUST BE
CONTROLLED
19. FISCAL DEFICIT AND INFLATION
In order to relate high fiscal deficit to inflation, some economists
believe that the portion of fiscal deficit, which is financed by
obtaining funds from the Reserve Bank of India , directs to rise in
the money stock and a higher money stock eventually heads
towards inflation.
In India actually this has happened now.
20. FISCAL DEFICIT AND INDIA
In India , the fiscal deficit is financed by obtaining funds from Reserve Bank of India , called deficit
financing. The fiscal deficit is also financed by obtaining funds from the money market (primarily from
banks).
Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) stressed on the importance of reducing the fiscal deficit to 5 per
cent (of GDP) over the next fiscal versus the current level of . It advised the Ministry of Finance to aim at
maintaining and further accelerating the recovery process, along with focusing on correcting the fiscal
deficit which is at an undesirable level. Now the question is HOW?
It could be reduced by rationalization of expenditure, augmentation in revenue, disinvestment of public
sector undertaking, enhancing the efficiency of funds spent on various flagship programs like NREGA
among others and efficient management of funds in different government programme.
CII suggested a system through which Rs 50,000 crore from Rs 2 lakh crore, held up in various disputes
and litigations for a long time, could be unlocked by resolving one quarter of the existing disputes. CII
suggests measures such as facilitating negotiations, out of court settlement, establishing fast trials Court to
achieve this.
Rs 40,000 crore can be raised through disinvestment. And the revenues from both these measures, along
with that from higher tax collection.
21. IMPACT OF FISCAL DEFICIT REDUCTION
Fiscal deficit reduction has an impact over the agricultural
sector and social sector.
Government's investments in these sectors may have to be
reduced , or alternatively new source of revenue generation
must have to be sought through large disinvestments.
23. CONCLUSION
The three ways to reduce the budget deficit are to cut non interest govt. outlays, to
increase tax revenue and to reduce rate of interest on govt debt. It is necessary to
slow the growth of non interest spending to less than the growth of the GDP
US succeeded in reducing the ratio of non interest outlays to GDP from 20.8% of
GDP in 1980 to 19.41% of GDP in 1988
In many emerging markets countries stopping support for money losing state owned
enterprises by imposing a hard budget constrain or by privatizing the entity can be a
major source of spending reduction.
24. .
Raising revenue is the alternative way to reduce the primary deficit. The way
in which that revenue is raised in very important. An increase in the tax on
labor income or investment incomes can entail large deadweight losses. That
form of tax can also reduce the rate of economic growth.
Another best strategy is to find ways to reduce loopholes that allow technically
legal but unjustifiable tax avoidance.
Charges for government services can be an important source of revenue,
especially in an economy like India where the government provides such a wide
range of public services.
The government can reduce that interest rate, it can do so indirectly by a
sound monetary policy that reduces inflation risk can reduce the real interest
rate.