SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Hypothesis of Secular
deterioration of terms of trade
Presented by - Ritika Katoch
MA 2nd Year 3rd Semester
Prebisch-Singer Thesis
 In May 1950, “The Economic Development of Latin America & its Principal
Problems” by Raul Prebisch, appeared under the UN’s imprint.
 In the same month Hans Singer published an article, “The Distribution of Gain
between Investing & Borrowing Countries” in the American Economic Review.
Prebisch-Singer Thesis
A common explanation for this is, that manufactured goods have a greater
income elasticity of demand than Primary products, especially food.
Therefore, as income rise, the demand for manufactured goods increase
rapidly more than demand for primary products.
What is Primary Products and Goods?
 Raw Materials
Prebisch-Singer Thesis
 “On the basis of exports statistics concerning United Kingdom between 1870 &
1940, Raul Prebisch demonstrated that the Terms of Trade had secular tendency to
move against the primary products & in favour of manufactured & capital goods”.
 So in Equation form,
Tg = Qm/Qx
Assumptions
 As income rises in the advanced countries, the pattern of demand shifts from primary products
to the manufactured products due to Engel’s law.
 There is slow rise in demand for primary products in the developed countries.
 The export market for product of LDC’s is competitive.
 The export market for products of developed countries is monopolistic.
 Wages and prices are low in LDC’s.
 The appearance of substitutes for products of LDC’s reduces demand for them.
 The benefit of increased productivity is not passed by the producers of manufactured products
in advanced countries to the LDC’s through lower prices.
 The economic growth in the LDC’s is indicated by income terms of trade.
Reasons of Secular deterioration of terms
of trade
 1. Absence of Qualitative Improvement of Products
 2. Technological Progress
 3. Low Income Elasticity of Demand
Criticism
 Not Firm Basis for Inference
 Overstatement of losses and understatement of gains
 Faulty Index of TOT
 Inapplicability of Engel’s Law
 Benefits of Foreign Investment
Thank you

More Related Content

What's hot

The Kaldor Hicks Compensation Principle
The Kaldor Hicks Compensation PrincipleThe Kaldor Hicks Compensation Principle
The Kaldor Hicks Compensation Principle
Hrishikesh Satpute
 
Balanced & unbalanced growth
Balanced & unbalanced growthBalanced & unbalanced growth
Balanced & unbalanced growth
siddhinagardeolekar
 
Stolper samuelson theorem
Stolper samuelson theorem Stolper samuelson theorem
Stolper samuelson theorem
Ashiq Pm
 
Solow groth model 2
Solow groth model 2Solow groth model 2
Solow groth model 2
benha university
 
foreign trade as an engine of economic growth
foreign trade as an engine of economic growthforeign trade as an engine of economic growth
foreign trade as an engine of economic growthMitikaAnjel
 
General equilibrium : Neo-classical analysis
General equilibrium : Neo-classical analysisGeneral equilibrium : Neo-classical analysis
General equilibrium : Neo-classical analysis
Snehal Athawale
 
Offer curve
Offer curveOffer curve
Harrod domer model PPT
Harrod domer model PPTHarrod domer model PPT
Harrod domer model PPT
SIDDHARH BHARTI
 
Structuralist theory of inflation
Structuralist theory of inflationStructuralist theory of inflation
Structuralist theory of inflation
Prabha Panth
 
Business and Trade cycles
Business and Trade cycles Business and Trade cycles
Business and Trade cycles
Prabha Panth
 
Multiplier-Accelerator Interaction
Multiplier-Accelerator InteractionMultiplier-Accelerator Interaction
Multiplier-Accelerator Interactionmanuelmathew1
 
Modern Theory of International Trade
Modern Theory of International TradeModern Theory of International Trade
Modern Theory of International Trade
Higher Education Department, Haryana
 
6. joan robinson's model
6. joan robinson's model6. joan robinson's model
6. joan robinson's model
Prabha Panth
 
Arrows Impossibility Theorem.pptx
Arrows Impossibility Theorem.pptxArrows Impossibility Theorem.pptx
Arrows Impossibility Theorem.pptx
jaheermuktharkp
 
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Albina Gaisina
 
Lewis theory of_unmlimited_supply_of_labour
Lewis theory of_unmlimited_supply_of_labourLewis theory of_unmlimited_supply_of_labour
Lewis theory of_unmlimited_supply_of_labour
Madhusudanbindal
 
INFLATION : NATURE,EFFECT AND CONTROL
INFLATION : NATURE,EFFECT AND CONTROL INFLATION : NATURE,EFFECT AND CONTROL
INFLATION : NATURE,EFFECT AND CONTROL
sreekanthskt
 

What's hot (20)

The Kaldor Hicks Compensation Principle
The Kaldor Hicks Compensation PrincipleThe Kaldor Hicks Compensation Principle
The Kaldor Hicks Compensation Principle
 
Balanced & unbalanced growth
Balanced & unbalanced growthBalanced & unbalanced growth
Balanced & unbalanced growth
 
IS-LM Analysis
IS-LM AnalysisIS-LM Analysis
IS-LM Analysis
 
Stolper samuelson theorem
Stolper samuelson theorem Stolper samuelson theorem
Stolper samuelson theorem
 
Solow groth model 2
Solow groth model 2Solow groth model 2
Solow groth model 2
 
foreign trade as an engine of economic growth
foreign trade as an engine of economic growthforeign trade as an engine of economic growth
foreign trade as an engine of economic growth
 
General equilibrium : Neo-classical analysis
General equilibrium : Neo-classical analysisGeneral equilibrium : Neo-classical analysis
General equilibrium : Neo-classical analysis
 
Offer curve
Offer curveOffer curve
Offer curve
 
Philips curve
Philips curvePhilips curve
Philips curve
 
Harrod domer model PPT
Harrod domer model PPTHarrod domer model PPT
Harrod domer model PPT
 
Structuralist theory of inflation
Structuralist theory of inflationStructuralist theory of inflation
Structuralist theory of inflation
 
Philip's Curve
Philip's CurvePhilip's Curve
Philip's Curve
 
Business and Trade cycles
Business and Trade cycles Business and Trade cycles
Business and Trade cycles
 
Multiplier-Accelerator Interaction
Multiplier-Accelerator InteractionMultiplier-Accelerator Interaction
Multiplier-Accelerator Interaction
 
Modern Theory of International Trade
Modern Theory of International TradeModern Theory of International Trade
Modern Theory of International Trade
 
6. joan robinson's model
6. joan robinson's model6. joan robinson's model
6. joan robinson's model
 
Arrows Impossibility Theorem.pptx
Arrows Impossibility Theorem.pptxArrows Impossibility Theorem.pptx
Arrows Impossibility Theorem.pptx
 
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
 
Lewis theory of_unmlimited_supply_of_labour
Lewis theory of_unmlimited_supply_of_labourLewis theory of_unmlimited_supply_of_labour
Lewis theory of_unmlimited_supply_of_labour
 
INFLATION : NATURE,EFFECT AND CONTROL
INFLATION : NATURE,EFFECT AND CONTROL INFLATION : NATURE,EFFECT AND CONTROL
INFLATION : NATURE,EFFECT AND CONTROL
 

Similar to Hypothesis of secular deterioration of terms of trade

IS LONG TRADE DEFICIENCY SUSTAINABLE
IS LONG TRADE DEFICIENCY SUSTAINABLEIS LONG TRADE DEFICIENCY SUSTAINABLE
IS LONG TRADE DEFICIENCY SUSTAINABLEBiswajit Ghosh
 
Inflation VS Deflation.pdf
Inflation VS Deflation.pdfInflation VS Deflation.pdf
Inflation VS Deflation.pdf
Northern University,Bangladesh.
 
Aggregate demand and supply
Aggregate demand and supplyAggregate demand and supply
Aggregate demand and supply
Dr Siddiqui
 
PRESENTATION ON PROBLEMS OF FREE TRADE FOR DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
PRESENTATION ON PROBLEMS OF FREE TRADE FOR  DEVELOPING ECONOMIES PRESENTATION ON PROBLEMS OF FREE TRADE FOR  DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
PRESENTATION ON PROBLEMS OF FREE TRADE FOR DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
Muthoot finance Ltd
 
Commodities And Commodity Investing
Commodities And Commodity InvestingCommodities And Commodity Investing
Commodities And Commodity Investingwhogan
 
Econ452 Learning unit 10 - 2021 spring
Econ452   Learning unit 10 - 2021 springEcon452   Learning unit 10 - 2021 spring
Econ452 Learning unit 10 - 2021 spring
sakanor
 
THE IMPORTS-EXPORTS PUZZLE
THE IMPORTS-EXPORTS PUZZLETHE IMPORTS-EXPORTS PUZZLE
THE IMPORTS-EXPORTS PUZZLE
QuadBee Aderonke
 
Current Account Influences and Impacts
Current Account Influences and ImpactsCurrent Account Influences and Impacts
Current Account Influences and Impacts
Hugo OGrady
 
Agrregate Demand and Supply
Agrregate Demand and SupplyAgrregate Demand and Supply
Agrregate Demand and SupplyAleeza Baig
 
Outlook For Commodities
Outlook For CommoditiesOutlook For Commodities
Outlook For Commodities
RusNewton
 
33
3333
4. short run economic fluctuations
4. short run economic fluctuations4. short run economic fluctuations
4. short run economic fluctuationsGhanshyam Gupta
 
Key industry and market indicators for june 2015 canada and north america
Key industry and market indicators for june 2015   canada and north americaKey industry and market indicators for june 2015   canada and north america
Key industry and market indicators for june 2015 canada and north america
paul young cpa, cga
 
Economics-Theories of International Trade.
Economics-Theories of International Trade.Economics-Theories of International Trade.
Economics-Theories of International Trade.
Chhavi Sharma
 
Презентация Лу Юренека
Презентация Лу ЮренекаПрезентация Лу Юренека
Презентация Лу ЮренекаNataly Nikitina
 
31
3131
The linder hypothesis- Li Wenwen
The linder hypothesis- Li WenwenThe linder hypothesis- Li Wenwen
The linder hypothesis- Li Wenwen
Incheon 2014 Asian Para Games
 
A2 Macro: Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates
A2 Macro: Balance of Payments and Exchange RatesA2 Macro: Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates
A2 Macro: Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates
tutor2u
 
National Income Accounting and the Balance of Payments
National Income Accounting and the Balance of PaymentsNational Income Accounting and the Balance of Payments
National Income Accounting and the Balance of Payments
Giorgi Jalaghonia
 

Similar to Hypothesis of secular deterioration of terms of trade (20)

IS LONG TRADE DEFICIENCY SUSTAINABLE
IS LONG TRADE DEFICIENCY SUSTAINABLEIS LONG TRADE DEFICIENCY SUSTAINABLE
IS LONG TRADE DEFICIENCY SUSTAINABLE
 
Inflation VS Deflation.pdf
Inflation VS Deflation.pdfInflation VS Deflation.pdf
Inflation VS Deflation.pdf
 
Aggregate demand and supply
Aggregate demand and supplyAggregate demand and supply
Aggregate demand and supply
 
PRESENTATION ON PROBLEMS OF FREE TRADE FOR DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
PRESENTATION ON PROBLEMS OF FREE TRADE FOR  DEVELOPING ECONOMIES PRESENTATION ON PROBLEMS OF FREE TRADE FOR  DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
PRESENTATION ON PROBLEMS OF FREE TRADE FOR DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
 
Macro-Economics
Macro-EconomicsMacro-Economics
Macro-Economics
 
Commodities And Commodity Investing
Commodities And Commodity InvestingCommodities And Commodity Investing
Commodities And Commodity Investing
 
Econ452 Learning unit 10 - 2021 spring
Econ452   Learning unit 10 - 2021 springEcon452   Learning unit 10 - 2021 spring
Econ452 Learning unit 10 - 2021 spring
 
THE IMPORTS-EXPORTS PUZZLE
THE IMPORTS-EXPORTS PUZZLETHE IMPORTS-EXPORTS PUZZLE
THE IMPORTS-EXPORTS PUZZLE
 
Current Account Influences and Impacts
Current Account Influences and ImpactsCurrent Account Influences and Impacts
Current Account Influences and Impacts
 
Agrregate Demand and Supply
Agrregate Demand and SupplyAgrregate Demand and Supply
Agrregate Demand and Supply
 
Outlook For Commodities
Outlook For CommoditiesOutlook For Commodities
Outlook For Commodities
 
33
3333
33
 
4. short run economic fluctuations
4. short run economic fluctuations4. short run economic fluctuations
4. short run economic fluctuations
 
Key industry and market indicators for june 2015 canada and north america
Key industry and market indicators for june 2015   canada and north americaKey industry and market indicators for june 2015   canada and north america
Key industry and market indicators for june 2015 canada and north america
 
Economics-Theories of International Trade.
Economics-Theories of International Trade.Economics-Theories of International Trade.
Economics-Theories of International Trade.
 
Презентация Лу Юренека
Презентация Лу ЮренекаПрезентация Лу Юренека
Презентация Лу Юренека
 
31
3131
31
 
The linder hypothesis- Li Wenwen
The linder hypothesis- Li WenwenThe linder hypothesis- Li Wenwen
The linder hypothesis- Li Wenwen
 
A2 Macro: Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates
A2 Macro: Balance of Payments and Exchange RatesA2 Macro: Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates
A2 Macro: Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates
 
National Income Accounting and the Balance of Payments
National Income Accounting and the Balance of PaymentsNational Income Accounting and the Balance of Payments
National Income Accounting and the Balance of Payments
 

Recently uploaded

Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptxChapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Mohd Adib Abd Muin, Senior Lecturer at Universiti Utara Malaysia
 
Students, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptx
Students, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptxStudents, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptx
Students, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptx
EduSkills OECD
 
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdfThe Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
kaushalkr1407
 
Unit 2- Research Aptitude (UGC NET Paper I).pdf
Unit 2- Research Aptitude (UGC NET Paper I).pdfUnit 2- Research Aptitude (UGC NET Paper I).pdf
Unit 2- Research Aptitude (UGC NET Paper I).pdf
Thiyagu K
 
Polish students' mobility in the Czech Republic
Polish students' mobility in the Czech RepublicPolish students' mobility in the Czech Republic
Polish students' mobility in the Czech Republic
Anna Sz.
 
Mule 4.6 & Java 17 Upgrade | MuleSoft Mysore Meetup #46
Mule 4.6 & Java 17 Upgrade | MuleSoft Mysore Meetup #46Mule 4.6 & Java 17 Upgrade | MuleSoft Mysore Meetup #46
Mule 4.6 & Java 17 Upgrade | MuleSoft Mysore Meetup #46
MysoreMuleSoftMeetup
 
GIÁO ÁN DẠY THÊM (KẾ HOẠCH BÀI BUỔI 2) - TIẾNG ANH 8 GLOBAL SUCCESS (2 CỘT) N...
GIÁO ÁN DẠY THÊM (KẾ HOẠCH BÀI BUỔI 2) - TIẾNG ANH 8 GLOBAL SUCCESS (2 CỘT) N...GIÁO ÁN DẠY THÊM (KẾ HOẠCH BÀI BUỔI 2) - TIẾNG ANH 8 GLOBAL SUCCESS (2 CỘT) N...
GIÁO ÁN DẠY THÊM (KẾ HOẠCH BÀI BUỔI 2) - TIẾNG ANH 8 GLOBAL SUCCESS (2 CỘT) N...
Nguyen Thanh Tu Collection
 
Language Across the Curriculm LAC B.Ed.
Language Across the  Curriculm LAC B.Ed.Language Across the  Curriculm LAC B.Ed.
Language Across the Curriculm LAC B.Ed.
Atul Kumar Singh
 
The Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve Thomason
The Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve ThomasonThe Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve Thomason
The Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve Thomason
Steve Thomason
 
Template Jadual Bertugas Kelas (Boleh Edit)
Template Jadual Bertugas Kelas (Boleh Edit)Template Jadual Bertugas Kelas (Boleh Edit)
Template Jadual Bertugas Kelas (Boleh Edit)
rosedainty
 
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
siemaillard
 
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free downloadThe French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
Vivekanand Anglo Vedic Academy
 
Sha'Carri Richardson Presentation 202345
Sha'Carri Richardson Presentation 202345Sha'Carri Richardson Presentation 202345
Sha'Carri Richardson Presentation 202345
beazzy04
 
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with MechanismOverview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
DeeptiGupta154
 
Operation Blue Star - Saka Neela Tara
Operation Blue Star   -  Saka Neela TaraOperation Blue Star   -  Saka Neela Tara
Operation Blue Star - Saka Neela Tara
Balvir Singh
 
CLASS 11 CBSE B.St Project AIDS TO TRADE - INSURANCE
CLASS 11 CBSE B.St Project AIDS TO TRADE - INSURANCECLASS 11 CBSE B.St Project AIDS TO TRADE - INSURANCE
CLASS 11 CBSE B.St Project AIDS TO TRADE - INSURANCE
BhavyaRajput3
 
Additional Benefits for Employee Website.pdf
Additional Benefits for Employee Website.pdfAdditional Benefits for Employee Website.pdf
Additional Benefits for Employee Website.pdf
joachimlavalley1
 
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER  FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...TESDA TM1 REVIEWER  FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
EugeneSaldivar
 
Sectors of the Indian Economy - Class 10 Study Notes pdf
Sectors of the Indian Economy - Class 10 Study Notes pdfSectors of the Indian Economy - Class 10 Study Notes pdf
Sectors of the Indian Economy - Class 10 Study Notes pdf
Vivekanand Anglo Vedic Academy
 
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and ResearchDigital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Vikramjit Singh
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptxChapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
 
Students, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptx
Students, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptxStudents, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptx
Students, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptx
 
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdfThe Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
 
Unit 2- Research Aptitude (UGC NET Paper I).pdf
Unit 2- Research Aptitude (UGC NET Paper I).pdfUnit 2- Research Aptitude (UGC NET Paper I).pdf
Unit 2- Research Aptitude (UGC NET Paper I).pdf
 
Polish students' mobility in the Czech Republic
Polish students' mobility in the Czech RepublicPolish students' mobility in the Czech Republic
Polish students' mobility in the Czech Republic
 
Mule 4.6 & Java 17 Upgrade | MuleSoft Mysore Meetup #46
Mule 4.6 & Java 17 Upgrade | MuleSoft Mysore Meetup #46Mule 4.6 & Java 17 Upgrade | MuleSoft Mysore Meetup #46
Mule 4.6 & Java 17 Upgrade | MuleSoft Mysore Meetup #46
 
GIÁO ÁN DẠY THÊM (KẾ HOẠCH BÀI BUỔI 2) - TIẾNG ANH 8 GLOBAL SUCCESS (2 CỘT) N...
GIÁO ÁN DẠY THÊM (KẾ HOẠCH BÀI BUỔI 2) - TIẾNG ANH 8 GLOBAL SUCCESS (2 CỘT) N...GIÁO ÁN DẠY THÊM (KẾ HOẠCH BÀI BUỔI 2) - TIẾNG ANH 8 GLOBAL SUCCESS (2 CỘT) N...
GIÁO ÁN DẠY THÊM (KẾ HOẠCH BÀI BUỔI 2) - TIẾNG ANH 8 GLOBAL SUCCESS (2 CỘT) N...
 
Language Across the Curriculm LAC B.Ed.
Language Across the  Curriculm LAC B.Ed.Language Across the  Curriculm LAC B.Ed.
Language Across the Curriculm LAC B.Ed.
 
The Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve Thomason
The Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve ThomasonThe Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve Thomason
The Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve Thomason
 
Template Jadual Bertugas Kelas (Boleh Edit)
Template Jadual Bertugas Kelas (Boleh Edit)Template Jadual Bertugas Kelas (Boleh Edit)
Template Jadual Bertugas Kelas (Boleh Edit)
 
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
 
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free downloadThe French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
 
Sha'Carri Richardson Presentation 202345
Sha'Carri Richardson Presentation 202345Sha'Carri Richardson Presentation 202345
Sha'Carri Richardson Presentation 202345
 
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with MechanismOverview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
 
Operation Blue Star - Saka Neela Tara
Operation Blue Star   -  Saka Neela TaraOperation Blue Star   -  Saka Neela Tara
Operation Blue Star - Saka Neela Tara
 
CLASS 11 CBSE B.St Project AIDS TO TRADE - INSURANCE
CLASS 11 CBSE B.St Project AIDS TO TRADE - INSURANCECLASS 11 CBSE B.St Project AIDS TO TRADE - INSURANCE
CLASS 11 CBSE B.St Project AIDS TO TRADE - INSURANCE
 
Additional Benefits for Employee Website.pdf
Additional Benefits for Employee Website.pdfAdditional Benefits for Employee Website.pdf
Additional Benefits for Employee Website.pdf
 
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER  FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...TESDA TM1 REVIEWER  FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
 
Sectors of the Indian Economy - Class 10 Study Notes pdf
Sectors of the Indian Economy - Class 10 Study Notes pdfSectors of the Indian Economy - Class 10 Study Notes pdf
Sectors of the Indian Economy - Class 10 Study Notes pdf
 
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and ResearchDigital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
 

Hypothesis of secular deterioration of terms of trade

  • 1. Hypothesis of Secular deterioration of terms of trade Presented by - Ritika Katoch MA 2nd Year 3rd Semester
  • 2. Prebisch-Singer Thesis  In May 1950, “The Economic Development of Latin America & its Principal Problems” by Raul Prebisch, appeared under the UN’s imprint.  In the same month Hans Singer published an article, “The Distribution of Gain between Investing & Borrowing Countries” in the American Economic Review.
  • 3. Prebisch-Singer Thesis A common explanation for this is, that manufactured goods have a greater income elasticity of demand than Primary products, especially food. Therefore, as income rise, the demand for manufactured goods increase rapidly more than demand for primary products. What is Primary Products and Goods?  Raw Materials
  • 4. Prebisch-Singer Thesis  “On the basis of exports statistics concerning United Kingdom between 1870 & 1940, Raul Prebisch demonstrated that the Terms of Trade had secular tendency to move against the primary products & in favour of manufactured & capital goods”.  So in Equation form, Tg = Qm/Qx
  • 5. Assumptions  As income rises in the advanced countries, the pattern of demand shifts from primary products to the manufactured products due to Engel’s law.  There is slow rise in demand for primary products in the developed countries.  The export market for product of LDC’s is competitive.  The export market for products of developed countries is monopolistic.  Wages and prices are low in LDC’s.  The appearance of substitutes for products of LDC’s reduces demand for them.  The benefit of increased productivity is not passed by the producers of manufactured products in advanced countries to the LDC’s through lower prices.  The economic growth in the LDC’s is indicated by income terms of trade.
  • 6. Reasons of Secular deterioration of terms of trade  1. Absence of Qualitative Improvement of Products  2. Technological Progress  3. Low Income Elasticity of Demand
  • 7. Criticism  Not Firm Basis for Inference  Overstatement of losses and understatement of gains  Faulty Index of TOT  Inapplicability of Engel’s Law  Benefits of Foreign Investment