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Topic 14: Government Debt (chapter 15)
In this chapter you will learn about ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The U.S. experience in recent decades ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Fiscal Future
Measurement problem 1:  _________ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Measurement problem 1:  Inflation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Measurement problem 2:  ____________ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Measurement problem 3:  ____________________ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Measurement problem 4:  ________________________ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The bottom line We must exercise care  when interpreting  the reported deficit figures.
Is the govt debt really a problem? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The traditional view of a tax cut & corresponding increase in govt debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Ricardian View ,[object Object],[object Object]
Analyze debt using Fisher model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New notation for the government ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Government budget constraints ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Government budget constraint present value of total tax revenue present value of total government expenditure
Household budget constraint ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Effect of a change in taxes The change in taxes cancels out, and the consumer’s intertemporal budget constraint is _______________.
Household Intertemporal Budget Constraint Y 2 -T 2 Y 1 -T 1  +  T Y 2 -T 2 -(1+r)  T Y 1 -T 1 C 2 C 1 S S’ The tax cut has no effect on the household inter-temporal budget constraint.  So the household ____________________________________.
Effect on saving
The logic of Ricardian Equivalence ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Limitations on Ricardian Equivalence ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Evidence against Ricardian Equivalence? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Evidence against Ricardian Equivalence?
Other perspectives on govt debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other perspectives on govt debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other perspectives on govt debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Chapter summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Chapter summary ,[object Object]

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MACROECONOMICS-CH15

  • 1. Topic 14: Government Debt (chapter 15)
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  • 10. The bottom line We must exercise care when interpreting the reported deficit figures.
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  • 17. Government budget constraint present value of total tax revenue present value of total government expenditure
  • 18.
  • 19. Effect of a change in taxes The change in taxes cancels out, and the consumer’s intertemporal budget constraint is _______________.
  • 20. Household Intertemporal Budget Constraint Y 2 -T 2 Y 1 -T 1 +  T Y 2 -T 2 -(1+r)  T Y 1 -T 1 C 2 C 1 S S’ The tax cut has no effect on the household inter-temporal budget constraint. So the household ____________________________________.
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Editor's Notes

  1. Chapter 15 is short but fun. Lots of policy & real-world relevance, little theory (a nice breather after the analytically challenging chapters 10-13). In the textbook, the chapter ends with a case study on inflation-indexed Treasury bonds. I would love to include a time-series graph of data on interest rates on these so-called “I-bonds” and on standard Treasuries with the same maturity: the difference between the rates in the secondary market provides a handy measure of expected inflation. If you know a handy source for such data, PLEASE let me know!!! Thanks!