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MUHAMMAD AJMAL SHAD
DIRECTOR,RMC,LAHORE
http://www.pmd.gov.pk
Pakistan Meteorological Department
46-Jail Road, Lahore.
Climate of South Punjab
(Normal 1981-2010)
Bahawalpur Division
26/09/2019 2
Month
Bahawal
nagar
Bahawal
pur
Rahim
Yar
Khan Khanpur
Jan 20.0 21.0 21.7 21.5
Feb 23.3 23.8 25.1 24.5
Mar 28.9 29.2 31.7 30.0
Apr 36.3 36.4 38.8 37.3
May 41.3 41.3 43.3 42.0
Jun 41.9 42.2 43.2 42.5
Jul 38.7 39.5 40.9 39.5
Aug 37.8 37.8 39.0 37.7
Sep 36.9 36.6 37.9 36.7
Oct 34.5 34.2 36.1 34.7
Nov 29.6 29.5 30.5 29.8
Dec 23.2 23.8 24.4 23.9
Month
Bahawal
nagar
Bahawal
pur
Rahim
Yar Khan Khanpur
Jan 6.6 6.0 5.2 5.2
Feb 9.5 8.8 8.5 7.9
Mar 14.7 14.0 14.2 13.3
Apr 20.7 19.4 19.7 18.8
May 25.6 25.0 24.4 24.3
Jun 28.2 27.9 26.9 27.2
Jul 28.3 28.3 27.2 27.4
Aug 27.7 27.3 26.7 26.2
Sep 25.1 24.6 24.0 23.4
Oct 19.5 18.5 19.0 17.1
Nov 13.4 12.2 12.1 11.0
Dec 8.1 7.2 6.9 6.2
Month
Bahawal
nagar
Bahawal
pur
Rahim
Yar
Khan Khanpur
Jan 11.4 7.4 2.6 5.0
Feb 17.3 10.0 10.8 7.9
Mar 15.4 10.0 10.8 5.4
Apr 10.8 10.5 5.4 4.3
May 13.2 7.1 1.9 4.5
Jun 39.2 16.2 9.4 6.5
Jul 70.8 40.4 24.5 33.3
Aug 34.2 39.1 37.4 33.2
Sep 14.9 16.5 20.1 12.0
Oct 7.9 4.7 5.8 2.7
Nov 2.5 1.4 1.4 0.4
Dec 3.6 4.7 5.9 4.8
Max Temp (C) Min Temp (C) Rainfall (mm)
Climate of South Punjab
(Normal 1981-2010 of Multan)
26/09/2019 3
Month Multan
Jan 20.5
Feb 23.5
Mar 28.8
Apr 35.9
May 41.0
Jun 42.1
Jul 39.1
Aug 37.5
Sep 36.6
Oct 34.1
Nov 28.6
Dec 22.9
Month Multan
Jan 5.4
Feb 8.4
Mar 14.1
Apr 19.9
May 25.3
Jun 28.7
Jul 28.9
Aug 28.0
Sep 25.1
Oct 18.6
Nov 11.8
Dec 6.7
Month Multan
Jan 7.6
Feb 15.5
Mar 18.4
Apr 14.2
May 11.9
Jun 13.1
Jul 49.6
Aug 41.8
Sep 24.6
Oct 5.6
Nov 1.2
Dec 5.7
Max Temp (C) Min Temp (C) Rainfall (mm)
Climate of South Punjab
(Normal 1981-2010)
Sahiwal Division
26/09/2019 4
Month Sahiwal Okara
Jan 18.3 18.8
Feb 21.9 22.8
Mar 28.0 29.0
Apr 35.2 35.6
May 40.0 40.6
Jun 40.3 41.1
Jul 37.9 38.3
Aug 36.5 36.9
Sep 35.3 35.6
Oct 33.4 34.1
Nov 27.8 28.3
Dec 21.8 22.4
Month Sahiwal Okara
Jan 4.9 5.2
Feb 8.3 8.5
Mar 13.7 14.2
Apr 19.0 19.7
May 24.0 24.4
Jun 26.3 26.9
Jul 27.0 27.2
Aug 26.2 26.7
Sep 23.4 24.0
Oct 18.1 19.0
Nov 11.8 12.1
Dec 6.4 6.9
Month Sahiwal Okara
Jan 7.5 8.0
Feb 28.8 37.2
Mar 22.4 22.8
Apr 15.4 13.7
May 16.8 17.3
Jun 49.7 45.8
Jul 72.0 92.1
Aug 95.4 107.6
Sep 62.9 98.9
Oct 2.6 2.4
Nov 2.1 0.7
Dec 4.9 7.3
Max Temp (C) Min Temp (C) Rainfall (mm)
Climate of South Punjab
(Normal 1981-2010)
D.G.Khan Division
26/09/2019 5
Month D.G.Khan LAYYAH
Kot
Addu
Jan 19.5 18.2 18.2
Feb 23.1 23.7 23.7
Mar 29.0 26.8 26.8
Apr 36.5 35.4 35.4
May 41.4 40.7 40.7
Jun 41.7 40.3 40.3
Jul 39.1 38.4 38.4
Aug 37.3 37.5 37.5
Sep 36.2 36.5 36.5
Oct 34.1 34.5 34.5
Nov 28.3 25.9 25.9
Dec 22.8 22.9 22.9
Month D.G.Khan LAYYAH Kot Addu
Jan 6.8 6.6
Feb 10.3 7.9
Mar 15.3 14.6
Apr 20.6 19.8
May 26.1 25.5
Jun 28.4 27.8
Jul 28.6 27.8
Aug 27.5 26.8
Sep 25.1 24.4
Oct 20.0 18.2
Nov 13.5 11.5
Dec 8.2 6.8
Month D.G.Khan LAYYAH
Kot
Addu
Jan 6.8 23.4 3.1
Feb 16.8 1.5 6.2
Mar 29.6 69.9 45.7
Apr 14.8 10.4 19.4
May 11.4 5.1 1.5
Jun 18.5 27.0 18.9
Jul 44.9 43.6 64.8
Aug 59.2 60.6 33.9
Sep 22.9 43.2 13.7
Oct 3.1 0.0 2.3
Nov 0.6 7.8 5.3
Dec 11.4 0.3 1.7
Max Temp (C) Min Temp (C) Rainfall (mm)
• Keeping in view the global, regional and local meteorological indicators, the
seasonal outlook for Pakistan summer monsoon 2018 has been prepared. It is evident
from the model output that monsoon is expected to be more active during the first
half than the second one. However, the most likely salient features are stated below:
• In northern Pakistan, rainfall is expected to remain “normal to slightly above normal
of long term average” during first half of the season, and below normal during
second half.
• In southern Pakistan, rainfall is expected to remain “near normal of long term
average” during first half of the season, and largely below normal during the second
half.
• The prevailing temperatures trend in Pakistan indicates high probability of few
“Extreme rainfall events” in Punjab, and “GLOF events” in Gilgit-Baltistan/Chitral
regions during monsoon season.
• In the light of “Outlook of Summer Monsoon 2018” and already prevailing water
shortage in the country, the water managers should take measures for water storages
accordingly.
26/09/2019
Outlook for Summer Monsoon (July – Sep) 2018
(For South Punjab)
• The El-Nino conditions and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) continue to persist
in neutral phase while the Tibetan High is weaker than normal. Weather
outlook for the month of August 2018 is processed incorporating the global
and regional climatic forcings as well as statistical downscaling of GCM’s.
The salient features are given below:
• Monsoon systems are likely to weaken gradually during August, producing
less than average rainfall. It will exaggerate the prevailing drought
conditions in parts of Sindh and Balochistan.
• Less than average rainfall is expected to occur in the catchment areas of the
major rivers which may be a matter of great concern especially in Mangla
Dam filling.
• Monsoon is most likely to decline further in September.
26/09/2019 7
Weather Outlook for Pakistan, August 2018
26/09/2019 8
26/09/2019 9
Monsoon Trend
Highlights:
* Below normal (-24 %) rainfall during 1st July to
8th August (at 0800 PST) 2018.
* In July, country rainfall was below normal (-12%)
* In July, rainfall was above normal over Punjab, KPK
& GB, below normal over Sindh & Balochistan and
close to normal over AJK.
26/09/2019 10
26/09/2019 11
Pakistan Monsoon Rainfall (area weighted)
( 1st July - 8th August* 2018)
26/09/2019 12
Punjab Monsoon Rainfall (area weighted)
( 1st July - 8th August* 2018)
26/09/2019 13
July 2018 Rainfall (actual & departure)
26/09/2019 14
July 2018 Rainfall (departure)
26/09/2019 15
Weather Outlook
for Precipitation
09th August to 16th August, 2018
26/09/2019 16
26/09/2019 17
09-08-2018 06 UTC (24 h)
12-08-2018 06 UTC (96)
10-08-2018 06 UTC (48)
11-08-2018 06 UTC (72)
26/09/2019 18
13-08-2018 06 UTC (120)
16-08-2018 06 UTC (192)
14-08-2018 06 UTC (144)
15-08-2018 06 UTC (168)
TOTAL RAINFALL (millimeters) COMPARISON WITH NORMAL FOR
THE MONTH OF JULY
Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Normal
1 BAHAWALNAGAR 57.0 31.0 154.0 14.0 29.0 90.0 70.8
2
BAHAWALPUR
B-PUR A/P
3.4
25.0
18.3
19.0
133.7
104.7
34.0
16.0
23.6
18.3
57.0
77.0
40.4
-
3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 16.2 0.01 121.0 0.01 15.6 14.1 24.5
4 KHANPUR 61.0 0.01 302.2 3.2 46.1 22.6 33.3
5 MULTAN 57.3 71.0 138.9 52.4 29.8 1.4 49.6
6 SAHIWAL 5.0 76.0 163.0 61.0 55.0 133.2 78.8
7 OKARA 14.5 66.8 118.2 160.2 35.0 225.0 92.1
8 D.G.KHAN 23.8 39.4 109.9 45.0 34.0 43.6 44.4
9 LAYYAH - - - 85.5 1.6 17.8 43.4
10 KOT ADDU - - - 39.0 90.6 8.4 64.8
TOTAL RAINFALL (millimeters) COMPARISON WITH NORMAL FOR
THE MONTH OF AUGUST
Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2018
up to
9-08-18 Normal
1 BAHAWALNAGAR 117.0 5.0 61.0 132.0 25.0 0 34.2
2 BAHAWALPUR 31.0 4.0 86.4 3.7 0.01 0 39.1
3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 23.8 2.2 0.01 22.9 1.0 0 37.4
4 KHANPUR 1.0 1.8 3.0 44.0 5.4 0 33.2
5 MULTAN 37.4 26.0 87.4 69.0 56.2 0 41.8
6 SAHIWAL 156.7 0.01 94.0 122.4 17.0 0 95.4
7 OKARA 217.4 14.0 72.6 130.2 9.1 0 107.6
8 D.G.KHAN 151.2 16.8 0.01 106.2 29.0 1.4 59.2
9 LAYYAH - - - 60.6 60.5 0.01 60.6
10 KOT ADDU - - - 61.8 6.0 0 33.9
COMPARISON OF HIGHEST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF LAST SIX
YEARS WITH HIGHEST EVER FOR FOR THE MONTH OF JULY
Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Highest
Max.
Temp ever Normal
1 BAHAWALNAGAR 42.5 44.5 42.0 43.5 43.0 45.0 46.4 38.7
2 BAHAWALPUR 42.0 42.5 40.0 42.2 41.8 41.2 48.0 39.5
3
RAHIM YAR
KHAN 44.2 44.2 43.4 45.4 43.2 44.2 47.3 40.9
4 KHANPUR 42.5 43.0 41.5 41.8 42.5 42.5 47.2 39.5
5 MULTAN 47.1 46.7 44.3 46.5 46.3 42.0 47.5 39.1
6 SAHIWAL 41.5 42.5 40.0 43.5 41.2 42.0 44.5 37.9
7 OKARA 41.5 43.5 42.0 43.0 41.5 42.5 45.5 38.3
8 D.G.KHAN 44.4 44.0 40.0 44.5 42.0 42.5 47.0 39.1
9 LAYYAH - - - 43.5 41.4 43.5 43.5 38.4
10 KOT ADDU - - - 43.0 41.5 43.3 43.0 40.3
COMPARISON OF HIGHEST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF LAST SIX
YEARS WITH HIGHEST EVER FOR FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST
Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2018
up to
9-08-18
Highest
Max.
Temp ever Normal
1 BAHAWALNAGAR 39.7 41.7 39.5 40.5 43.0 41.0 44.7 37.8
2 BAHAWALPUR 40.5 40.8 39.5 41.2 40.1 39.1 44.0 37.8
3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 41.4 42.2 41.4 43.0 42.8 42.4 44.0 39.0
4 KHANPUR 40.0 40.5 39.0 40.5 40.7 41.5 42.8 37.7
5 MULTAN 40.2 41.5 39.1 39.3 39.4 37.6 42.7 37.5
6 SAHIWAL 39.5 40.0 38.0 39.5 40.2 37.5 40.8 39.0
7 OKARA 39.8 41.5 39.5 40.5 40.5 39.5 41.5 36.9
8 D.G.KHAN 40.0 43.0 38.3 40.1 39.5 37.3 43.0 37.3
9 LAYYAH - - - 38.7 40.4 41.5 40.4 37.5
10 KOT ADDU - - - 40.2 40.5 40.0 40.5 37.5
COMPARISON OF LOWEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF LAST SIX
YEARS WITH HIGHEST EVER FOR THE MONTH OF JULY
Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Lowest
Min.
Temp ever Normal
1 BAHAWALNAGAR 24.0 24.0 21.5 25.5 22.0 21.0 16.1 28.3
2 BAHAWALPUR 26.1 23.5 23.0 23.3 23.8 22.3 19.0 28.3
3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 23.4 25.2 23.7 25.2 25.2 22.3 22.3 28.3
4 KHANPUR 24.0 25.8 22.7 25.0 25.2 22.5 17.0 27.4
5 MULTAN 23.8 22.8 23.0 22.8 24.0 24.7 21.1 28.9
6 SAHIWAL
23.5 22.6 21.0 20.5 24.0 21.4 20.5 27.0
7 OKARA 25.2 22.0 21.9 22.5 22.0 21.5 19.5 27.2
8 D.G.KHAN 24.5 24.0 23.5 24.4 24.5 22.8 21.8 28.6
9 LAYYAH
- - - 23.5 23.0 21.0 21.0 27.8
10 KOT ADDU - - - 25.7 24.7 25.2 24.7 27.8
COMPARISON OF LOWEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF LAST SIX
YEARS WITH HIGHEST EVER FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST
Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2018
up to
9-08-18
Lowest
Min.
Temp ever Normal
1 BAHAWALNAGAR 25.0 23.5 24.5 24.5 24.0 26.5 20.0 27.7
2 BAHAWALPUR 25.4 22.3 24.5 25.3 24.8 26.9 18.6 27.3
3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 25.3 24.4 24.2 24.4 25.0 26.4 22.0 26.9
4 KHANPUR 25.0 24.3 23.5 24.2 24.6 26.5 18.0 26.2
5 MULTAN 40.2 41.5 39.1 39.3 39.4 28.3 21.1 28.0
6 SAHIWAL
21.8 23.0 21.0 20.0 21.0 25.5 20.0 26.2
7 OKARA 23.0 23.8 23.8 23.0 25.0 26.5 21.0 26.7
8 D.G.KHAN 23.6 23.4 24.4 22.6 23.4 27.0 21.3 27.5
9 LAYYAH
- - - 19.0 22.0 27.5 19.0 26.8
10 KOT ADDU - - - 24.2 24.3 28.8 24.2 26.8
Weather Outlook for Summer Monsoon
(August-Sep), 2018
(For South Punjab)
26/09/2019 25
Stations
Name
Months
Normal Max.
Temp Co
Expected
Temperature
Normal Rainfall
(M.M)
Expected Rainfall
Bahwalapur
Aug-18 37.8
1 – 2 °C
above normal
39.1 Below Normal in
August & further
decline in
September, 2018
Sep-18 36.6 16.5
Multan
Aug-18 37.5 1 – 2 °C
above normal
41.8
-do-
Sep-18 36.6 24.6
D.G.Khan
Aug-18 37.3 1 – 2 °C
above normal
59.9
-do-
Sep-18 36.3 22.1
Sahiwal
Jul-18 37.9
1 – 2 °C
above normal
78.8
-do-
Aug-18 36.6 89.7
Sep-18 35.4 61.5
Thank you!
UNDERSTAND the Climate Risk
COMMUNICATE the Climate Risk

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seasonal forecast multan Pakistan

  • 1. MUHAMMAD AJMAL SHAD DIRECTOR,RMC,LAHORE http://www.pmd.gov.pk Pakistan Meteorological Department 46-Jail Road, Lahore.
  • 2. Climate of South Punjab (Normal 1981-2010) Bahawalpur Division 26/09/2019 2 Month Bahawal nagar Bahawal pur Rahim Yar Khan Khanpur Jan 20.0 21.0 21.7 21.5 Feb 23.3 23.8 25.1 24.5 Mar 28.9 29.2 31.7 30.0 Apr 36.3 36.4 38.8 37.3 May 41.3 41.3 43.3 42.0 Jun 41.9 42.2 43.2 42.5 Jul 38.7 39.5 40.9 39.5 Aug 37.8 37.8 39.0 37.7 Sep 36.9 36.6 37.9 36.7 Oct 34.5 34.2 36.1 34.7 Nov 29.6 29.5 30.5 29.8 Dec 23.2 23.8 24.4 23.9 Month Bahawal nagar Bahawal pur Rahim Yar Khan Khanpur Jan 6.6 6.0 5.2 5.2 Feb 9.5 8.8 8.5 7.9 Mar 14.7 14.0 14.2 13.3 Apr 20.7 19.4 19.7 18.8 May 25.6 25.0 24.4 24.3 Jun 28.2 27.9 26.9 27.2 Jul 28.3 28.3 27.2 27.4 Aug 27.7 27.3 26.7 26.2 Sep 25.1 24.6 24.0 23.4 Oct 19.5 18.5 19.0 17.1 Nov 13.4 12.2 12.1 11.0 Dec 8.1 7.2 6.9 6.2 Month Bahawal nagar Bahawal pur Rahim Yar Khan Khanpur Jan 11.4 7.4 2.6 5.0 Feb 17.3 10.0 10.8 7.9 Mar 15.4 10.0 10.8 5.4 Apr 10.8 10.5 5.4 4.3 May 13.2 7.1 1.9 4.5 Jun 39.2 16.2 9.4 6.5 Jul 70.8 40.4 24.5 33.3 Aug 34.2 39.1 37.4 33.2 Sep 14.9 16.5 20.1 12.0 Oct 7.9 4.7 5.8 2.7 Nov 2.5 1.4 1.4 0.4 Dec 3.6 4.7 5.9 4.8 Max Temp (C) Min Temp (C) Rainfall (mm)
  • 3. Climate of South Punjab (Normal 1981-2010 of Multan) 26/09/2019 3 Month Multan Jan 20.5 Feb 23.5 Mar 28.8 Apr 35.9 May 41.0 Jun 42.1 Jul 39.1 Aug 37.5 Sep 36.6 Oct 34.1 Nov 28.6 Dec 22.9 Month Multan Jan 5.4 Feb 8.4 Mar 14.1 Apr 19.9 May 25.3 Jun 28.7 Jul 28.9 Aug 28.0 Sep 25.1 Oct 18.6 Nov 11.8 Dec 6.7 Month Multan Jan 7.6 Feb 15.5 Mar 18.4 Apr 14.2 May 11.9 Jun 13.1 Jul 49.6 Aug 41.8 Sep 24.6 Oct 5.6 Nov 1.2 Dec 5.7 Max Temp (C) Min Temp (C) Rainfall (mm)
  • 4. Climate of South Punjab (Normal 1981-2010) Sahiwal Division 26/09/2019 4 Month Sahiwal Okara Jan 18.3 18.8 Feb 21.9 22.8 Mar 28.0 29.0 Apr 35.2 35.6 May 40.0 40.6 Jun 40.3 41.1 Jul 37.9 38.3 Aug 36.5 36.9 Sep 35.3 35.6 Oct 33.4 34.1 Nov 27.8 28.3 Dec 21.8 22.4 Month Sahiwal Okara Jan 4.9 5.2 Feb 8.3 8.5 Mar 13.7 14.2 Apr 19.0 19.7 May 24.0 24.4 Jun 26.3 26.9 Jul 27.0 27.2 Aug 26.2 26.7 Sep 23.4 24.0 Oct 18.1 19.0 Nov 11.8 12.1 Dec 6.4 6.9 Month Sahiwal Okara Jan 7.5 8.0 Feb 28.8 37.2 Mar 22.4 22.8 Apr 15.4 13.7 May 16.8 17.3 Jun 49.7 45.8 Jul 72.0 92.1 Aug 95.4 107.6 Sep 62.9 98.9 Oct 2.6 2.4 Nov 2.1 0.7 Dec 4.9 7.3 Max Temp (C) Min Temp (C) Rainfall (mm)
  • 5. Climate of South Punjab (Normal 1981-2010) D.G.Khan Division 26/09/2019 5 Month D.G.Khan LAYYAH Kot Addu Jan 19.5 18.2 18.2 Feb 23.1 23.7 23.7 Mar 29.0 26.8 26.8 Apr 36.5 35.4 35.4 May 41.4 40.7 40.7 Jun 41.7 40.3 40.3 Jul 39.1 38.4 38.4 Aug 37.3 37.5 37.5 Sep 36.2 36.5 36.5 Oct 34.1 34.5 34.5 Nov 28.3 25.9 25.9 Dec 22.8 22.9 22.9 Month D.G.Khan LAYYAH Kot Addu Jan 6.8 6.6 Feb 10.3 7.9 Mar 15.3 14.6 Apr 20.6 19.8 May 26.1 25.5 Jun 28.4 27.8 Jul 28.6 27.8 Aug 27.5 26.8 Sep 25.1 24.4 Oct 20.0 18.2 Nov 13.5 11.5 Dec 8.2 6.8 Month D.G.Khan LAYYAH Kot Addu Jan 6.8 23.4 3.1 Feb 16.8 1.5 6.2 Mar 29.6 69.9 45.7 Apr 14.8 10.4 19.4 May 11.4 5.1 1.5 Jun 18.5 27.0 18.9 Jul 44.9 43.6 64.8 Aug 59.2 60.6 33.9 Sep 22.9 43.2 13.7 Oct 3.1 0.0 2.3 Nov 0.6 7.8 5.3 Dec 11.4 0.3 1.7 Max Temp (C) Min Temp (C) Rainfall (mm)
  • 6. • Keeping in view the global, regional and local meteorological indicators, the seasonal outlook for Pakistan summer monsoon 2018 has been prepared. It is evident from the model output that monsoon is expected to be more active during the first half than the second one. However, the most likely salient features are stated below: • In northern Pakistan, rainfall is expected to remain “normal to slightly above normal of long term average” during first half of the season, and below normal during second half. • In southern Pakistan, rainfall is expected to remain “near normal of long term average” during first half of the season, and largely below normal during the second half. • The prevailing temperatures trend in Pakistan indicates high probability of few “Extreme rainfall events” in Punjab, and “GLOF events” in Gilgit-Baltistan/Chitral regions during monsoon season. • In the light of “Outlook of Summer Monsoon 2018” and already prevailing water shortage in the country, the water managers should take measures for water storages accordingly. 26/09/2019 Outlook for Summer Monsoon (July – Sep) 2018 (For South Punjab)
  • 7. • The El-Nino conditions and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) continue to persist in neutral phase while the Tibetan High is weaker than normal. Weather outlook for the month of August 2018 is processed incorporating the global and regional climatic forcings as well as statistical downscaling of GCM’s. The salient features are given below: • Monsoon systems are likely to weaken gradually during August, producing less than average rainfall. It will exaggerate the prevailing drought conditions in parts of Sindh and Balochistan. • Less than average rainfall is expected to occur in the catchment areas of the major rivers which may be a matter of great concern especially in Mangla Dam filling. • Monsoon is most likely to decline further in September. 26/09/2019 7 Weather Outlook for Pakistan, August 2018
  • 10. Monsoon Trend Highlights: * Below normal (-24 %) rainfall during 1st July to 8th August (at 0800 PST) 2018. * In July, country rainfall was below normal (-12%) * In July, rainfall was above normal over Punjab, KPK & GB, below normal over Sindh & Balochistan and close to normal over AJK. 26/09/2019 10
  • 12. Pakistan Monsoon Rainfall (area weighted) ( 1st July - 8th August* 2018) 26/09/2019 12
  • 13. Punjab Monsoon Rainfall (area weighted) ( 1st July - 8th August* 2018) 26/09/2019 13
  • 14. July 2018 Rainfall (actual & departure) 26/09/2019 14
  • 15. July 2018 Rainfall (departure) 26/09/2019 15
  • 16. Weather Outlook for Precipitation 09th August to 16th August, 2018 26/09/2019 16
  • 17. 26/09/2019 17 09-08-2018 06 UTC (24 h) 12-08-2018 06 UTC (96) 10-08-2018 06 UTC (48) 11-08-2018 06 UTC (72)
  • 18. 26/09/2019 18 13-08-2018 06 UTC (120) 16-08-2018 06 UTC (192) 14-08-2018 06 UTC (144) 15-08-2018 06 UTC (168)
  • 19. TOTAL RAINFALL (millimeters) COMPARISON WITH NORMAL FOR THE MONTH OF JULY Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Normal 1 BAHAWALNAGAR 57.0 31.0 154.0 14.0 29.0 90.0 70.8 2 BAHAWALPUR B-PUR A/P 3.4 25.0 18.3 19.0 133.7 104.7 34.0 16.0 23.6 18.3 57.0 77.0 40.4 - 3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 16.2 0.01 121.0 0.01 15.6 14.1 24.5 4 KHANPUR 61.0 0.01 302.2 3.2 46.1 22.6 33.3 5 MULTAN 57.3 71.0 138.9 52.4 29.8 1.4 49.6 6 SAHIWAL 5.0 76.0 163.0 61.0 55.0 133.2 78.8 7 OKARA 14.5 66.8 118.2 160.2 35.0 225.0 92.1 8 D.G.KHAN 23.8 39.4 109.9 45.0 34.0 43.6 44.4 9 LAYYAH - - - 85.5 1.6 17.8 43.4 10 KOT ADDU - - - 39.0 90.6 8.4 64.8
  • 20. TOTAL RAINFALL (millimeters) COMPARISON WITH NORMAL FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 up to 9-08-18 Normal 1 BAHAWALNAGAR 117.0 5.0 61.0 132.0 25.0 0 34.2 2 BAHAWALPUR 31.0 4.0 86.4 3.7 0.01 0 39.1 3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 23.8 2.2 0.01 22.9 1.0 0 37.4 4 KHANPUR 1.0 1.8 3.0 44.0 5.4 0 33.2 5 MULTAN 37.4 26.0 87.4 69.0 56.2 0 41.8 6 SAHIWAL 156.7 0.01 94.0 122.4 17.0 0 95.4 7 OKARA 217.4 14.0 72.6 130.2 9.1 0 107.6 8 D.G.KHAN 151.2 16.8 0.01 106.2 29.0 1.4 59.2 9 LAYYAH - - - 60.6 60.5 0.01 60.6 10 KOT ADDU - - - 61.8 6.0 0 33.9
  • 21. COMPARISON OF HIGHEST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF LAST SIX YEARS WITH HIGHEST EVER FOR FOR THE MONTH OF JULY Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Highest Max. Temp ever Normal 1 BAHAWALNAGAR 42.5 44.5 42.0 43.5 43.0 45.0 46.4 38.7 2 BAHAWALPUR 42.0 42.5 40.0 42.2 41.8 41.2 48.0 39.5 3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 44.2 44.2 43.4 45.4 43.2 44.2 47.3 40.9 4 KHANPUR 42.5 43.0 41.5 41.8 42.5 42.5 47.2 39.5 5 MULTAN 47.1 46.7 44.3 46.5 46.3 42.0 47.5 39.1 6 SAHIWAL 41.5 42.5 40.0 43.5 41.2 42.0 44.5 37.9 7 OKARA 41.5 43.5 42.0 43.0 41.5 42.5 45.5 38.3 8 D.G.KHAN 44.4 44.0 40.0 44.5 42.0 42.5 47.0 39.1 9 LAYYAH - - - 43.5 41.4 43.5 43.5 38.4 10 KOT ADDU - - - 43.0 41.5 43.3 43.0 40.3
  • 22. COMPARISON OF HIGHEST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF LAST SIX YEARS WITH HIGHEST EVER FOR FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 up to 9-08-18 Highest Max. Temp ever Normal 1 BAHAWALNAGAR 39.7 41.7 39.5 40.5 43.0 41.0 44.7 37.8 2 BAHAWALPUR 40.5 40.8 39.5 41.2 40.1 39.1 44.0 37.8 3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 41.4 42.2 41.4 43.0 42.8 42.4 44.0 39.0 4 KHANPUR 40.0 40.5 39.0 40.5 40.7 41.5 42.8 37.7 5 MULTAN 40.2 41.5 39.1 39.3 39.4 37.6 42.7 37.5 6 SAHIWAL 39.5 40.0 38.0 39.5 40.2 37.5 40.8 39.0 7 OKARA 39.8 41.5 39.5 40.5 40.5 39.5 41.5 36.9 8 D.G.KHAN 40.0 43.0 38.3 40.1 39.5 37.3 43.0 37.3 9 LAYYAH - - - 38.7 40.4 41.5 40.4 37.5 10 KOT ADDU - - - 40.2 40.5 40.0 40.5 37.5
  • 23. COMPARISON OF LOWEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF LAST SIX YEARS WITH HIGHEST EVER FOR THE MONTH OF JULY Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Lowest Min. Temp ever Normal 1 BAHAWALNAGAR 24.0 24.0 21.5 25.5 22.0 21.0 16.1 28.3 2 BAHAWALPUR 26.1 23.5 23.0 23.3 23.8 22.3 19.0 28.3 3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 23.4 25.2 23.7 25.2 25.2 22.3 22.3 28.3 4 KHANPUR 24.0 25.8 22.7 25.0 25.2 22.5 17.0 27.4 5 MULTAN 23.8 22.8 23.0 22.8 24.0 24.7 21.1 28.9 6 SAHIWAL 23.5 22.6 21.0 20.5 24.0 21.4 20.5 27.0 7 OKARA 25.2 22.0 21.9 22.5 22.0 21.5 19.5 27.2 8 D.G.KHAN 24.5 24.0 23.5 24.4 24.5 22.8 21.8 28.6 9 LAYYAH - - - 23.5 23.0 21.0 21.0 27.8 10 KOT ADDU - - - 25.7 24.7 25.2 24.7 27.8
  • 24. COMPARISON OF LOWEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF LAST SIX YEARS WITH HIGHEST EVER FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST Sr. No. STATIONS /YEARS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 up to 9-08-18 Lowest Min. Temp ever Normal 1 BAHAWALNAGAR 25.0 23.5 24.5 24.5 24.0 26.5 20.0 27.7 2 BAHAWALPUR 25.4 22.3 24.5 25.3 24.8 26.9 18.6 27.3 3 RAHIM YAR KHAN 25.3 24.4 24.2 24.4 25.0 26.4 22.0 26.9 4 KHANPUR 25.0 24.3 23.5 24.2 24.6 26.5 18.0 26.2 5 MULTAN 40.2 41.5 39.1 39.3 39.4 28.3 21.1 28.0 6 SAHIWAL 21.8 23.0 21.0 20.0 21.0 25.5 20.0 26.2 7 OKARA 23.0 23.8 23.8 23.0 25.0 26.5 21.0 26.7 8 D.G.KHAN 23.6 23.4 24.4 22.6 23.4 27.0 21.3 27.5 9 LAYYAH - - - 19.0 22.0 27.5 19.0 26.8 10 KOT ADDU - - - 24.2 24.3 28.8 24.2 26.8
  • 25. Weather Outlook for Summer Monsoon (August-Sep), 2018 (For South Punjab) 26/09/2019 25 Stations Name Months Normal Max. Temp Co Expected Temperature Normal Rainfall (M.M) Expected Rainfall Bahwalapur Aug-18 37.8 1 – 2 °C above normal 39.1 Below Normal in August & further decline in September, 2018 Sep-18 36.6 16.5 Multan Aug-18 37.5 1 – 2 °C above normal 41.8 -do- Sep-18 36.6 24.6 D.G.Khan Aug-18 37.3 1 – 2 °C above normal 59.9 -do- Sep-18 36.3 22.1 Sahiwal Jul-18 37.9 1 – 2 °C above normal 78.8 -do- Aug-18 36.6 89.7 Sep-18 35.4 61.5
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