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Biofortified Maize and
   Relevance of Innovative Maize-
        Poultry Value Chains

Prakash Sadashivappa, Modinsab Attar* and Vijesh V Krishna

         CIMMYT – India & *UAS, Bangalore
Structure of the presentation
Introduction : Maize in Indian agriculture
Background: Maize poultry linkage
Research objectives
Data & Study area
Results
Conclusion
Maize in India
• Sixth largest producer
  of maize in the world.
• Third major food grain
  next to wheat and rice.
• Contribution of 8% to
  national food basket,
  Rs.100      billion    to
  agricultural GDP.
• “Mini maize revolution”            FAOSTAT, 2011
  in last decade.
• Most preferred cereal.
Maize market growth in India
• Rapid economic growth.
• Large population with growing middle-class
  population - 45% of population under age 25,
  representing demand center for meat and eggs.
• Changing life styles, changing consumption
  patterns, specialty maize products.
• Govt’s “egg-a-day” policy for school children.
• 15% annual inflation for food driving food and
  feed commodity prices above the world market.
Maize consumption pattern
20
18
16
                                      Total           Non-feed                  Feed
14
12
10
 8
 6
 4
 2
 0
     1969-71           1979-81           1989-91          1994-96         1999-2000             2002-03     2007-08

                      Growth rate of maize in India (percent per annum)
                                            Total                    Non-feed                        Feed
      1970-80                                0.2                         -0.5                        14.3
      1980-90                                3.2                         1.5                         13.4
      1990-1995                              2.7                         -0.1                         8.8
      1995-2000                              4.2                         -0.6                         14

               Source: Directorate of Economics and Statistics., 2010; Narayanan et al., 2008
Poultry sector in India
• Transformation from age-
  old backyard farming into
  a dynamic industry (15 %
  growth)
• Third       largest     egg
  producer, fifth largest
  broiler producer in the
  world.
• Rs. 350 billion to GNP.
• 50%     of     total  meat
  production.
• Huge potential for egg
  and broiler industry.
Feed compsition of poultry
   Feed is the single largest cost item in poultry.
• Energy : 60-65%
   – cereals (mainly maize)
   – cereal by-products, animal fats and vegetable oils
• Protein: 30-35%
   – soybean meal
   – animal protein sources: fishmeal, meat and bone meal
   – crystalline amino acids: methionine, lysine, threonine
• Mineral supplements: 3%
   – calcium supplements, phosphorus supplements, trace minerals,
     sodium sources
• Miscellaneous: (2%) vitamin supplements & premixes, non-
  nutritive feed additives: enzymes, antibiotics.
Role of amino acids in poultry feed
 • The dietary requirement for proteins actually reflects the
   requirement of amino acids contained in the protein.
 • Optimum growth, feed conversion, egg size, etc.
 • Essential and non-essential amino acids
                                                                                   Ideal nutrient level range in poultry
                               Normal                                % change over
                                                    QPM                                           feed for
                               maize                                 normal maize
                                                                                       Broilers              Layers
 Protein (%)                     8.00 -             8.00 –                           19.50 – 22.50        15.00 – 18.00
                                 11.00              11.00
 Lysine                           0.26               0.42                  30           1.14 – 1.40       0.45 – 0.70
 (% or unit/kg)
 Tryptophan                       0.04               0.09                  41           0.18 – 0.22       0.12 – 0.17
 (% or unit/kg)
 Methionine                       0.18               0.19                  4            0.50 – 0.58       0.20 – 0.30
 (% or unit/kg)
Sources: FAO, 1992; Gupta et al, 2009; Hellin and Erenstein, 2009;
Prasanna et al, 2001; Vivek et al., 2008; Panda et al, 2009.
QPM impact on animal feed
• Improved growth in pigs and poultry with QPM (Asche et al.,
  1985; Lauderdale, 2000; Sullivan et al., 1989)
• In Brazil and El Salvador, soybean meal usage reduced by about
  50% (Lopez-Pereira, 1992).
• In Ghana, the QPM is being used both in human nutrition as
  well as animal feed.
• In USA, 2.8 percent of cost of production for broilers and 2.6
  percent was the cost reduction for layers (Lopez-Pereira, 1993).
• In Kenya found a 5 percent cost reduction (Nyanamba et al.,
  2003; De Groote et al., 2010)
• In China, the effect of replacing normal maize with QPM was
  prominent for pigs as better weight gained than for poultry
  animals at various growth stages (Sofi et al., 2009).
Need for high methionine maize
• First limiting amino acid in maize-soy based poultry
  diet.
• Increased body and breast meat weight of broiler
  chicks with increasing dietary methionine content in
  feed (Mack, et al., 2010; Panda et al., 2010).
• High levels of egg output or feather growth is found to
  be associated with high levels of methionine (FAO,
  2011).
• Positive influence of methionine on the poultry bird
  immune system (Rubin et al., 2007).
• High cost of synthetic methionine.
Study objectives
1. What is the role of biofortified high
   methionine maize in the Indian
   poultry industry ?

2. What are the innovative institutional
   innovations required to channelize
   the biofortified maize in India ?
Data & study area
• Interview based survey of       poultry
  growers.
• Consultation with maize scientists, feed
  industry consultants, animal nutrition
  and poultry specialists, agricultural
  economists.
• Maize farmers survey.
Study area and sampling




Ownership    Output    Number of firms
                        (% in sample)
Owned        Broiler          75
                             (41)
                                         Source of map: Neelam Chowdhury,
             Layer            72         CIMMYT/AWhere
                             (39)
Integrated   Broiler          38
                             (21)
Total                        185
                            (100)
Results:
   Feed sources of poultry firms
                   Broiler

                         11%


                   89%


                   Layers
Only feed-mixing

                      4% 4%
Only ready-made
feed


Ready-made feed
                             92%
& feed-mixing
Sources of limiting amino acids
  i. Lysine

                      Broiler firms (n =75 )        Layer firms (n = 72)
Sources                       quantity obtained % firms quantity obtained
                   % firms
                                (kg/'000 birds)             (kg/'000 birds)
Mineral mixture       81               9           3             0.02
Synthetic source       1             0.10         49               13
Maize                 88               8          94               56
Soy                   63              27          93              279
Fish                   1               1          46               54
Sunflower              1             0.02         64               24
Sorghum                0                          21             4.18
Total lysine          88              46          94              426
Recommendation                      50                          340
Sources of limiting amino acids
 ii. Tryptophan

                     Broiler firms (n =75 )      Layer firms (n = 72)
Sources                    quantity obtained   % firms   quantity obtained
                   % firms
                            (kg/'000 birds)               (kg/'000 birds)
Mineral mixture      84              2            0
Synthetic source      0              0            1            0.01
Maize                88             12           94             9
Soy                  63             6            93             61
Fish                  1             0.11         46             8
Sunflower             1            0.01          64             8
Sorghum               0                          21            6.75
Total tryptophan     88             20           94             86
Recommendation                      20                          60
Sources of limiting amino acids
iii. Methionine

                     broiler firms (n =75 )         layer firms (n = 72)
Sources                     quantity obtained   % firms quantity obtained
                 % firms
                             (kg/'000 birds)                 (kg/'000 birds)
Mineral mixture     84               5             6              0.11
Synthetic source     1             0.19           78               30
Maize               88               6            94               38
Soy                 63               6            93               56
Fish                 1             0.29           46                21
Sunflower            1             0.01           64                16
Sorghum              0                            21              3.19
Total methionine    88              17            94               162
Recommendation                      20                             170
Factors influencing application of
             amino acids
• Multivariate regression analysis – single
  regression model with more than one
  outcome variable.
• Broiler – maize price significant negative
  influence.
• Layers – soy price, de-oiled rice bran, liver
  powder, toxin binder, agricultural ownership
  influence significantly.
• Regional differences.
Amino acid consumption by poultry firms
(Rs./bird) Total feed cost of firms      %      Total revenue of firms % difference in
                using amino acid    difference    using amino acid        revenue
               below       above     in feed     below        above
             recommen recommen         cost    recommen recommen
               dation      dation                dation       dation
 Lysine
 (i) Broiler     58.44    116.56    99.45***      95.09        95.09        0.005
 (ii) Layer     543.63    694.31    27.72***     713.49       731.81         2.57


 Tryptophan
(i)Broiler     52.85     103.25    95.36***      93.93       95.62          1.79
 (ii) Layer    411.62    688.31    67.22***      724.50      726.75         0.31
 Methionine
 (i) Broiler   57.21     121.23     183***       95.53       94.77          -0.79
 (ii) Layer    629.81    714.04      13.37       721.68      741.41         2.73
Feed cost share of poultry firms
             below the recommended           above the recommended
                     dosage                          dosage
            Maize   Soy     Mineral       Maize     Soy      Mineral
                            Mixture                          Mixture
Lysine
Broiler   44.74**   17.56***   36.44***   37.14   37.37       21.18
Layer      38.31    17.15***    2.78*     34.25   29.78       0.04
Tryptophan
Broiler    43.92    9.98***    44.29***   39.59   35.42       21.78
Layer     47.35**   15.20***   5.42***    33.53   27.82       0.12
Methionine
Broiler    41.42    20.90**    35.17**    40.59   32.26       24.18
Layer      36.11     24.45*      1.12     33.19   31.20        0
Potential of high methionine maize
                          1.00
                          0.90                                        Probability of Yes

                          0.80                                        Probability of Can't say
                          0.70
Probability of adoption




                          0.60
                          0.50
                          0.40
                          0.30
                          0.20
                          0.10
                          0.00
                                 0   10   20   30   40    50     60   70     80      90      100
                                                         Price
Maize poultry value chains
• Contract farming – vertical integration.
• Local trader playing a major role.
• Feed industry have a positive response
  towards contract farming with maize
  farmers.
Maize poultry value chains
The grain output of biofortified maize being credence in nature can only be
channelized in two ways.
  Maize farmer                                    Producer




  Intermediary      Feed company        Labeling &
                                        Certification             Market
                                                              Monitoring &
                                                             implementation
                                                                  cost
  Poultry farmer
                                                  Consumer


  Scenario 1                                     Scenario 2
Conclusions
• Significant inter-firm
  variation with respect to use
  of essential amino-acids.
• Farmers tend to overuse the
  amino acids.
• Farmers demand for
  biofortified maize is high.
• Scope for improvement in
  the methionine levels in
  poultry diet.
• Direct contract farming with
  poultry firms would generate
  maximum profits.
THANK YOU
Maize-poultry growth predictions
Poultry population in India (million no.)




                                                                                                                          Maize demand by poultry sector (million tonnes)
                                            1000                                                                     14
                                            900
                                                                                                                     12
                                            800
                                            700                                                                      10
                                            600                                                                      8
                                            500
                                            400                                                                      6

                                            300                                                                      4
                                            200
                                                                                                                     2
                                             100
                                              0                                                                      0
                                               1965          1975           1985              1995     2005   2015
                                                   Poultry poulation in India (million no.)
                                                   Maize demand (million tonnes)
                                                   Maize demand predicted (million tonnes)
                                                   Expon. (Poultry poulation in India (million no.))
Factors influencing application of essential amino acids for broiler firms

          Variables                       Total amino acid                               Methionine    Lysine   Tryptophan
Maize price †
                                                   -1.00*                                -0.35        -1.24**    -0.76
(Rs./kg)
Soy price†
                                                    -0.56                                0.54          -1.13     0.06
(Rs./kg)
Mineral mixture
                                                     0.05                                -0.07         0.10      0.14
price† (Rs./kg)
Capacity utilization                                0.001                                0.002         0.002     0.001
Town distance                                        0.01                               0.0001         0.01      0.004
Duration
                                                  0.17***                               0.19***       0.18***   0.15***
Bangalore rural
                                                  0.58***                               0.52**        0.64***   0.61***
Davanagere                                         0.52**                                0.49*        0.54**    0.64***
East Godavari                                       -0.03                                0.16          0.02      0.09
Intercept                                           -0.30                                -6.31         1.02      -4.29
R-square                                             0.64                                0.43          0.65      0.68
Note: Dependent variable: Log of amino acid; † indicates log of respective variables.
***, ** stands for significance, at 1 % and 5 % respectively.
Factors influencing application of essential amino acids for layer firms
            Variables               Total amino acids Methionine       Lysine              Tryptophan
                                  Coefficients of the multivariate regression analysis (standard error)
Maize price† (Rs./kg)                           0.16             0.19                0.11                   0.28
Soy price† (Rs./kg)                          -0.60*          -0.53**             -0. 62*                  -0.72*
Sunflower price† (Rs./kg)                      -1.03            -0.73               -1.19                  -1.32
Groundnut price† (Rs./kg)                      -0.58            -0.49               -0.60                  -0.80
De-oiled rice bran† (Rs./kg)                -1.46**         -1.55***              -1.41*                  -1.50*
Fish price† (Rs./kg)                           -0.62            -0.70               -0.65                  -0.47
Synthetic lysine price† (Rs./kg)                0.15             0.15                0.15                   0.12
Synthetic methionine price† (Rs./kg)           -0.02            -0.01               -0.03                  -0.01
Phytase enzyme price† (Rs./kg)                  0.02             0.02                0.01                   0.06
Liver powder price† (Rs./kg)                 -0.42*           -0.45*               - 0.40                  -0.38
Toxin binder price† (Rs./kg)               -0.64***         -0.55***           -0.66***                -0.75***
Trace minerals price† (Rs./kg)                  0.24             0.16                0.28                   0.24
Agricultural land ownership                 -0.26**         -0.28***                -0.26                 -0.26*
Duration                                        0.02             0.02                0.02                   0.02
Bangalore rural                                -0.51            -0.48           -0.53**                    -0.38
Davanagere                                 -0.61***         -0.53***           -0.64***                -0.62***
East Godavari                              -0.86***         -0.86***           -0.86***                -0.86***
Intercept                                     12.11           9.99**             12.13*                  11.47*
R-square                                        0.57               0.62              0.52                0.51
Multinomial logit analysis of factors influencing the adoption of QPM
                                              Coefficient (standard error)
              Variables
                                 Yes over no      Can’t say over no Yes over can’t say
  Maize price (Rs./kg)                -0.07                  -0.20            0.13
                                     (0.46)                 (0.48)          (0.32)
  Bid amount (Rs./kg)                 -0.06 ***              -0.04 **        -0.02 **
                                     (0.01)                 (0.01) *        (0.01)
  Knowledge about amino acids          1.71 **                1.23            0.49
                                     (0.84)                 (0.82)          (0.51)
  Town distance                       -0.01                  -0.05            0.03
                                     (0.05)                 (0.05)          (0.04)
  Poultry education & training         1.25                   2.00           -0.75
                                     (1.10)                 (1.06)          (0.62)
  Agricultural land holding           -1.87 **               -2.25 **         0.37
                                     (0.90)                 (0.87)          (0.55)
  Duration                            -0.04 **               -0.03 **      -0.004
                                     (0.01)                 (0.01)          (0.01)
  Capacity utilization                0.004                  0.001          0.003
                                     (0.01)                 (0.01)          (0.01)
  Bangalore                            3.32 **                1.16            2.16 **
                                     (1.37)                 (1.34)          (0.78) *
  Davanagere                           1.75                   0.75            1.00
                                     (1.11)                 (1.06)          (0.70)
  East Godavari                        1.86 *                 0.44            1.43
                                     (1.12)                 (1.07)          (0.79)
  Intercept                            4.40                   6.54           -2.14
                                     (4.75)                 (4.93)          (3.38)
Maize Poultry Value Chains
                                            Seed Production Units




                                           Private Seed Companies




                                            Seed Distributors



Government farmers             Village input                       Taluk input               District input
   service centre                  dealer                            dealer                     dealer
   32%   Rs. 75                22%      Rs. 79                     5% Rs. 114               41%     Rs. 116

                                                 Maize Farmers


    1%    Rs. 900    71%     Rs. 877                                      8%      Rs. 858   20%     Rs. 860

 Regulated Market    Village trader                                      Taluk trader       District trader


                     64%     Rs. 1000                                     6%      Rs. 943   21%      Rs. 1057




                                                 Poultry Farmers                              Neighbouring
                                                                                   9%
                                                                                                  State
                                                                                 Rs. 1118

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S7.5 Biofortified Maize and Relevance of Innovative Maize-Poultry Value Chains

  • 1. Biofortified Maize and Relevance of Innovative Maize- Poultry Value Chains Prakash Sadashivappa, Modinsab Attar* and Vijesh V Krishna CIMMYT – India & *UAS, Bangalore
  • 2. Structure of the presentation Introduction : Maize in Indian agriculture Background: Maize poultry linkage Research objectives Data & Study area Results Conclusion
  • 3. Maize in India • Sixth largest producer of maize in the world. • Third major food grain next to wheat and rice. • Contribution of 8% to national food basket, Rs.100 billion to agricultural GDP. • “Mini maize revolution” FAOSTAT, 2011 in last decade. • Most preferred cereal.
  • 4. Maize market growth in India • Rapid economic growth. • Large population with growing middle-class population - 45% of population under age 25, representing demand center for meat and eggs. • Changing life styles, changing consumption patterns, specialty maize products. • Govt’s “egg-a-day” policy for school children. • 15% annual inflation for food driving food and feed commodity prices above the world market.
  • 5. Maize consumption pattern 20 18 16 Total Non-feed Feed 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1969-71 1979-81 1989-91 1994-96 1999-2000 2002-03 2007-08 Growth rate of maize in India (percent per annum) Total Non-feed Feed 1970-80 0.2 -0.5 14.3 1980-90 3.2 1.5 13.4 1990-1995 2.7 -0.1 8.8 1995-2000 4.2 -0.6 14 Source: Directorate of Economics and Statistics., 2010; Narayanan et al., 2008
  • 6. Poultry sector in India • Transformation from age- old backyard farming into a dynamic industry (15 % growth) • Third largest egg producer, fifth largest broiler producer in the world. • Rs. 350 billion to GNP. • 50% of total meat production. • Huge potential for egg and broiler industry.
  • 7. Feed compsition of poultry Feed is the single largest cost item in poultry. • Energy : 60-65% – cereals (mainly maize) – cereal by-products, animal fats and vegetable oils • Protein: 30-35% – soybean meal – animal protein sources: fishmeal, meat and bone meal – crystalline amino acids: methionine, lysine, threonine • Mineral supplements: 3% – calcium supplements, phosphorus supplements, trace minerals, sodium sources • Miscellaneous: (2%) vitamin supplements & premixes, non- nutritive feed additives: enzymes, antibiotics.
  • 8. Role of amino acids in poultry feed • The dietary requirement for proteins actually reflects the requirement of amino acids contained in the protein. • Optimum growth, feed conversion, egg size, etc. • Essential and non-essential amino acids Ideal nutrient level range in poultry Normal % change over QPM feed for maize normal maize Broilers Layers Protein (%) 8.00 - 8.00 – 19.50 – 22.50 15.00 – 18.00 11.00 11.00 Lysine 0.26 0.42 30 1.14 – 1.40 0.45 – 0.70 (% or unit/kg) Tryptophan 0.04 0.09 41 0.18 – 0.22 0.12 – 0.17 (% or unit/kg) Methionine 0.18 0.19 4 0.50 – 0.58 0.20 – 0.30 (% or unit/kg) Sources: FAO, 1992; Gupta et al, 2009; Hellin and Erenstein, 2009; Prasanna et al, 2001; Vivek et al., 2008; Panda et al, 2009.
  • 9. QPM impact on animal feed • Improved growth in pigs and poultry with QPM (Asche et al., 1985; Lauderdale, 2000; Sullivan et al., 1989) • In Brazil and El Salvador, soybean meal usage reduced by about 50% (Lopez-Pereira, 1992). • In Ghana, the QPM is being used both in human nutrition as well as animal feed. • In USA, 2.8 percent of cost of production for broilers and 2.6 percent was the cost reduction for layers (Lopez-Pereira, 1993). • In Kenya found a 5 percent cost reduction (Nyanamba et al., 2003; De Groote et al., 2010) • In China, the effect of replacing normal maize with QPM was prominent for pigs as better weight gained than for poultry animals at various growth stages (Sofi et al., 2009).
  • 10. Need for high methionine maize • First limiting amino acid in maize-soy based poultry diet. • Increased body and breast meat weight of broiler chicks with increasing dietary methionine content in feed (Mack, et al., 2010; Panda et al., 2010). • High levels of egg output or feather growth is found to be associated with high levels of methionine (FAO, 2011). • Positive influence of methionine on the poultry bird immune system (Rubin et al., 2007). • High cost of synthetic methionine.
  • 11. Study objectives 1. What is the role of biofortified high methionine maize in the Indian poultry industry ? 2. What are the innovative institutional innovations required to channelize the biofortified maize in India ?
  • 12. Data & study area • Interview based survey of poultry growers. • Consultation with maize scientists, feed industry consultants, animal nutrition and poultry specialists, agricultural economists. • Maize farmers survey.
  • 13. Study area and sampling Ownership Output Number of firms (% in sample) Owned Broiler 75 (41) Source of map: Neelam Chowdhury, Layer 72 CIMMYT/AWhere (39) Integrated Broiler 38 (21) Total 185 (100)
  • 14. Results: Feed sources of poultry firms Broiler 11% 89% Layers Only feed-mixing 4% 4% Only ready-made feed Ready-made feed 92% & feed-mixing
  • 15. Sources of limiting amino acids i. Lysine Broiler firms (n =75 ) Layer firms (n = 72) Sources quantity obtained % firms quantity obtained % firms (kg/'000 birds) (kg/'000 birds) Mineral mixture 81 9 3 0.02 Synthetic source 1 0.10 49 13 Maize 88 8 94 56 Soy 63 27 93 279 Fish 1 1 46 54 Sunflower 1 0.02 64 24 Sorghum 0 21 4.18 Total lysine 88 46 94 426 Recommendation 50 340
  • 16. Sources of limiting amino acids ii. Tryptophan Broiler firms (n =75 ) Layer firms (n = 72) Sources quantity obtained % firms quantity obtained % firms (kg/'000 birds) (kg/'000 birds) Mineral mixture 84 2 0 Synthetic source 0 0 1 0.01 Maize 88 12 94 9 Soy 63 6 93 61 Fish 1 0.11 46 8 Sunflower 1 0.01 64 8 Sorghum 0 21 6.75 Total tryptophan 88 20 94 86 Recommendation 20 60
  • 17. Sources of limiting amino acids iii. Methionine broiler firms (n =75 ) layer firms (n = 72) Sources quantity obtained % firms quantity obtained % firms (kg/'000 birds) (kg/'000 birds) Mineral mixture 84 5 6 0.11 Synthetic source 1 0.19 78 30 Maize 88 6 94 38 Soy 63 6 93 56 Fish 1 0.29 46 21 Sunflower 1 0.01 64 16 Sorghum 0 21 3.19 Total methionine 88 17 94 162 Recommendation 20 170
  • 18. Factors influencing application of amino acids • Multivariate regression analysis – single regression model with more than one outcome variable. • Broiler – maize price significant negative influence. • Layers – soy price, de-oiled rice bran, liver powder, toxin binder, agricultural ownership influence significantly. • Regional differences.
  • 19. Amino acid consumption by poultry firms (Rs./bird) Total feed cost of firms % Total revenue of firms % difference in using amino acid difference using amino acid revenue below above in feed below above recommen recommen cost recommen recommen dation dation dation dation Lysine (i) Broiler 58.44 116.56 99.45*** 95.09 95.09 0.005 (ii) Layer 543.63 694.31 27.72*** 713.49 731.81 2.57 Tryptophan (i)Broiler 52.85 103.25 95.36*** 93.93 95.62 1.79 (ii) Layer 411.62 688.31 67.22*** 724.50 726.75 0.31 Methionine (i) Broiler 57.21 121.23 183*** 95.53 94.77 -0.79 (ii) Layer 629.81 714.04 13.37 721.68 741.41 2.73
  • 20. Feed cost share of poultry firms below the recommended above the recommended dosage dosage Maize Soy Mineral Maize Soy Mineral Mixture Mixture Lysine Broiler 44.74** 17.56*** 36.44*** 37.14 37.37 21.18 Layer 38.31 17.15*** 2.78* 34.25 29.78 0.04 Tryptophan Broiler 43.92 9.98*** 44.29*** 39.59 35.42 21.78 Layer 47.35** 15.20*** 5.42*** 33.53 27.82 0.12 Methionine Broiler 41.42 20.90** 35.17** 40.59 32.26 24.18 Layer 36.11 24.45* 1.12 33.19 31.20 0
  • 21. Potential of high methionine maize 1.00 0.90 Probability of Yes 0.80 Probability of Can't say 0.70 Probability of adoption 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Price
  • 22. Maize poultry value chains • Contract farming – vertical integration. • Local trader playing a major role. • Feed industry have a positive response towards contract farming with maize farmers.
  • 23. Maize poultry value chains The grain output of biofortified maize being credence in nature can only be channelized in two ways. Maize farmer Producer Intermediary Feed company Labeling & Certification Market Monitoring & implementation cost Poultry farmer Consumer Scenario 1 Scenario 2
  • 24. Conclusions • Significant inter-firm variation with respect to use of essential amino-acids. • Farmers tend to overuse the amino acids. • Farmers demand for biofortified maize is high. • Scope for improvement in the methionine levels in poultry diet. • Direct contract farming with poultry firms would generate maximum profits.
  • 26. Maize-poultry growth predictions Poultry population in India (million no.) Maize demand by poultry sector (million tonnes) 1000 14 900 12 800 700 10 600 8 500 400 6 300 4 200 2 100 0 0 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015 Poultry poulation in India (million no.) Maize demand (million tonnes) Maize demand predicted (million tonnes) Expon. (Poultry poulation in India (million no.))
  • 27. Factors influencing application of essential amino acids for broiler firms Variables Total amino acid Methionine Lysine Tryptophan Maize price † -1.00* -0.35 -1.24** -0.76 (Rs./kg) Soy price† -0.56 0.54 -1.13 0.06 (Rs./kg) Mineral mixture 0.05 -0.07 0.10 0.14 price† (Rs./kg) Capacity utilization 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 Town distance 0.01 0.0001 0.01 0.004 Duration 0.17*** 0.19*** 0.18*** 0.15*** Bangalore rural 0.58*** 0.52** 0.64*** 0.61*** Davanagere 0.52** 0.49* 0.54** 0.64*** East Godavari -0.03 0.16 0.02 0.09 Intercept -0.30 -6.31 1.02 -4.29 R-square 0.64 0.43 0.65 0.68 Note: Dependent variable: Log of amino acid; † indicates log of respective variables. ***, ** stands for significance, at 1 % and 5 % respectively.
  • 28. Factors influencing application of essential amino acids for layer firms Variables Total amino acids Methionine Lysine Tryptophan Coefficients of the multivariate regression analysis (standard error) Maize price† (Rs./kg) 0.16 0.19 0.11 0.28 Soy price† (Rs./kg) -0.60* -0.53** -0. 62* -0.72* Sunflower price† (Rs./kg) -1.03 -0.73 -1.19 -1.32 Groundnut price† (Rs./kg) -0.58 -0.49 -0.60 -0.80 De-oiled rice bran† (Rs./kg) -1.46** -1.55*** -1.41* -1.50* Fish price† (Rs./kg) -0.62 -0.70 -0.65 -0.47 Synthetic lysine price† (Rs./kg) 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.12 Synthetic methionine price† (Rs./kg) -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 Phytase enzyme price† (Rs./kg) 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.06 Liver powder price† (Rs./kg) -0.42* -0.45* - 0.40 -0.38 Toxin binder price† (Rs./kg) -0.64*** -0.55*** -0.66*** -0.75*** Trace minerals price† (Rs./kg) 0.24 0.16 0.28 0.24 Agricultural land ownership -0.26** -0.28*** -0.26 -0.26* Duration 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Bangalore rural -0.51 -0.48 -0.53** -0.38 Davanagere -0.61*** -0.53*** -0.64*** -0.62*** East Godavari -0.86*** -0.86*** -0.86*** -0.86*** Intercept 12.11 9.99** 12.13* 11.47* R-square 0.57 0.62 0.52 0.51
  • 29. Multinomial logit analysis of factors influencing the adoption of QPM Coefficient (standard error) Variables Yes over no Can’t say over no Yes over can’t say Maize price (Rs./kg) -0.07 -0.20 0.13 (0.46) (0.48) (0.32) Bid amount (Rs./kg) -0.06 *** -0.04 ** -0.02 ** (0.01) (0.01) * (0.01) Knowledge about amino acids 1.71 ** 1.23 0.49 (0.84) (0.82) (0.51) Town distance -0.01 -0.05 0.03 (0.05) (0.05) (0.04) Poultry education & training 1.25 2.00 -0.75 (1.10) (1.06) (0.62) Agricultural land holding -1.87 ** -2.25 ** 0.37 (0.90) (0.87) (0.55) Duration -0.04 ** -0.03 ** -0.004 (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Capacity utilization 0.004 0.001 0.003 (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Bangalore 3.32 ** 1.16 2.16 ** (1.37) (1.34) (0.78) * Davanagere 1.75 0.75 1.00 (1.11) (1.06) (0.70) East Godavari 1.86 * 0.44 1.43 (1.12) (1.07) (0.79) Intercept 4.40 6.54 -2.14 (4.75) (4.93) (3.38)
  • 30. Maize Poultry Value Chains Seed Production Units Private Seed Companies Seed Distributors Government farmers Village input Taluk input District input service centre dealer dealer dealer 32% Rs. 75 22% Rs. 79 5% Rs. 114 41% Rs. 116 Maize Farmers 1% Rs. 900 71% Rs. 877 8% Rs. 858 20% Rs. 860 Regulated Market Village trader Taluk trader District trader 64% Rs. 1000 6% Rs. 943 21% Rs. 1057 Poultry Farmers Neighbouring 9% State Rs. 1118