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Low emissions development in large-scaled farm in China

  1. LOW EMISSIONS DEVELOPMENT IN LARGE-SCALED FARM IN CHINA Dr. Wei Wang Prof. Shengli Li 王蔚 副教授 李胜利 教授 2020-09-28 CCAFS LED PROJECT PROGRESS REPORT
  2. General Picture of China dairy sector
  3. 2001- backyard dairy farm
  4. 2001- cooperative dairy farming
  5. 2018- Large-scaled dairy farm
  6. 装备水平和饲料条件提高 Equipment and feed quality improving 装备水平大幅提升、产业素质显著提升 Better facilities with improved efficiency 19.5 26.8 30.6 32.9 37.2 41.1 45.2 49 53 58 61 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 % 规模化养殖比例提升40个百分点 40% increase in large-scale farm percentage 36.8% 50% 52% 90% 100% 90% TMR使用率 机械化挤奶 青贮使用率 2008 2018 TMR penetration Mechanized milking Silage penetration
  7. 奶牛产业十年来持续转型升级,单产 提升60%,总产量保持稳定,满足牛 奶的有效供给 In the recent 10 years, the dairy sector is keeping transformation and upgradation. Unit- yield level has increased by 60%, while the general production can fulfill the market demand. 奶业由数量增长向质量、效益转型升级 From numeric increase to quality improvement 4.6 4.8 4.8 5.4 5.5 5.5 6.0 6.0 6.4 7.0 7.4 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 牛奶产量(万吨,左轴) 来源:中国奶业统计资料
  8. Ø 牧业集团的养殖集中度提高 Dairy farming concentration ratio of animal husbandry group increases quickly Ø 2018年前40位养殖集团存栏192万头、日 产量2.66万吨,比2015年增长40%、60% In 2018, the top 40 dairy fam had a total of 1.92 million heads in stock with a daily milk production of 26,600 tons, increase of 40% and 60% over 2015, respectively. 来源:国家奶牛产业技术体系 大型牧场发展迅速,成为乳企奶源主力军 Booming of the large scaled dairy farming and modernized source milk base Diary herd (left axis, 10k heads) Milk production (right axis, 10k MT/day)
  9. 中国奶业与欧洲奶业生产对比 China dairy V.S. EU dairy production EU-15 l Average herd size at 80- 150 heads l Integration system of dairy and crop farming l Relying much on self- plant crops China l Average herd size at 800-1000 heads l Separation of dairy and crop farming l Relying much on imported forage like alfalfa and oat hay
  10. 奶牛养殖对环境的影响持续吸引关注 Growing attention on environmental impact of dairy sector
  11. 奶牛养殖对环境的影响持续吸引关注 Growing attention on environmental impact of dairy sector (Rotz et al., 2017)
  12. Carbon equivalent per milk produced- a new performance parameter p How much the carbon equivalent number will be for Chinese dairy farms? p Is the “ high-input-high-output-high- emission” mode a sustainable development mode for China dairy farming? p Will the evolution towards environmental protection cost too much? Source: DairyCo UK Questions for China Dairy sector Carbon contents are assigned to milk (12 g of C/g of milk N) and animal tissue (0.23 g of C/g of animal mass) based upon their protein, carbohydrate, and lipid contents (USDA, 2005).
  13. The CCFAS LED project Phase I. Survey on different scaled diary farms in China Phase II. Total farm approach design and implement on demo farms, cooperating with giant dairy processor
  14. Phase I Survey 济南 郑州 合肥 南京 上海 台北 福州 南昌 杭州 广州 长沙 南宁 贵阳 昆明 武汉 重庆成都 兰州 银川 呼和浩特 西宁 拉萨 乌鲁木齐 西安 太原 石家庄 北京 沈阳 长春 天津 哈尔滨 香港 澳门 海口 Under the support of the National Dairy Industry and Technology System (NDITS), data were collected from 107 pilot dairy farms in the sysem. Max farm size: 20159 heads Average size: 1884 heads Regions Province Surveyed number Northern China Beijing 11 Hebei 8 Tianjin 6 Shanxi 3 Inner Mongolia 10 Northeast Heilongjiang 17 Liaoning 1 East China Shandong 15 Fujian 2 Central and southern China Guangdong 2 Henan 11 Northwest China Ningxia 7 Shaanxi 3 Xinjiang 5 Southwest China Chongqing 4 Guizhou 1 Total 107
  15. Global emissions from cattle milk and beef supply chains
  16. Provide information according to the questionnaire designed by CAAS Feed input: Detailed TMR information Purchased roughage Transport distance … Energy input: Electricity Gas Petrol Water Diesel … Manure treatment: Lagoon Bedding Back to cropland Biogas Compost …
  17. Mean min max daily intake in kg dry matter(dm) per day 6.12 0.00 12.00 Total alfalfa 2.56 Imported alfalfa 2.16 0.00 17.90 Domestic alfalfa 0.40 0.00 3.55 Hebei alfalfa 0.23 0.00 3.55 Total alfalfa silage 0.05 Domestic alfalfa silage 0.05 0.00 1.50 Hebei alfalfa silage 0.02 0.00 0.90 Total Oat grass 1.03 . Imported Oat grass 0.27 0.00 2.23 Domestic Oat grass 0.76 0.00 3.12 Hebei Oat grass 0.00 0.00 0.62 Total corn silage (all domestic/Hebei) 6.62 1.20 8.70 Total peanut straw (all domestic/Hebei) 0.01 0.00 0.91 Total wheat straw (all domestic/Hebei) 0.05 0.00 4.28 Total Corn (all domestic) 2.06 0.00 5.54 Hebei Corn 1.98 0.00 5.54 Total Soybean meal 1.03 0.00 3.33 Domestic Soybean meal 0.29 0.00 2.70 Hebei Soybean meal 0.24 0.00 2.70 Total cotton seed (all domestic) 1.12 0.00 6.37 Hebei cotton seed 0.06 0.00 1.82 Total molasses (all domestic) 0.11 0.00 1.50 Hebei molasses 0.09 0.00 1.50 Total sugar beet pulp (all domestic) 0.33 0.00 1.81 Hebei beet pulp 0.08 0.00 1.35 Total brewers' grain (all domestic) 0.29 0.00 5.72 Hebei brewers grain 0.20 0.00 5.72 Concentrate composition information (case study-Hebei province)
  18. 10.01 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 50 100 tons/head/year Farms The average milk yield was 10.01 t (head/yr.) which ranged from 3.0 to 19.7 t (hea/ yr.). It is higher than the national level in 2019. Milking performance of different coutries in 2019 country tons/head/year ISRAEL 11.85 Canada 10.68 US 10.61 Netherlands 8.67 German 8.09 China 7.8 Australia 6.17 New Zealand 4.4 Milking performance of the investigated farms
  19. Farm output value Size Milk price (RMB/ kg) Total output value (RMB/head/ yr) Total cost (RMB/hea d/yr) Profit (RMB/head/ yr) profit margins(%) large 3.91 32183 25513 6670 20.7% middl e 3.8 24731 20210 4520 18.3% small 3.69 22561 16716 5845 25.9% Avera ge 3.8 26492 20814 5678.54 21.4% Small-scale farm with the lowest milk price(3.69 RMB/kg) and production value, but it seems to be the best model to make profit because of they have the highest profit margins. Performance of the investigated farms 1.9 2.2 2.3 3.3 4.47 2.3 2.75 2.6 3.85 6.17 新西兰 荷兰 美国 中国 日本 成本 奶价 RMB/kg New Zealand Netherlands U.S.A China Japan
  20. A large proportion of the manure were used as bedding material or were returned to cropland nearby. 0.0% 0 1.2% 3.5% 4.7% 4.7% 9.3% 10.5% 11.6% 16.3% 22.1% 26.7% 29.1% 37.2% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 01grasslands 14cesspitstorage 07 com post( intensive m anagem ent) 08 com post( passivitypiled) 06 com post( staticalpiled) 13outside storage 04palygrounddried 12m ethaneproject 05com postsealcell 10aerobictreatm ent 03solidpilednaturally 11lagoon 02returnedto cropland 09asbeddingm aterial/ferm entation… methodsoutofthewholefarms methods Manure management Manure management of investigated farms
  21. Project Phase Ⅱ JIALIHE Ø Attract giant dairy processor and dairy farms on board - Contract signed with: MENGNIU, YILI, JIALIHE dairy (Tianjin, 34265 heads in total, 40% dairy product market share in Tianjin province)
  22. Total farm approach design
  23. Preliminary analysis of collected data from 25 farms 1 6 11 1 6 <500 500-1000 1001-2000 2001-3000 3000-5000 numberofsacledfarm heads/farm Statistical description of the scale of farms 选项 小计 比例 全株玉米青贮 corn silage 25 100% 黄贮 corn stalk silage 1 4% 牧草青贮 grass silage 2 8% 小麦青贮 wheat silage 0 0% 苜蓿青贮 alfalfa silage 4 16% 进口苜蓿 import alfalfa 18 72% 国产苜蓿 local alfalfa 16 64% 羊草 Chinese wildrye 7 28% 燕麦草 oat hay 23 92% 黑麦草 ryegrass 0 0% 玉米秸秆 corn stalk 2 8% 稻秸 rice straw 4 16% 麦秸 wheat straw 9 36% 花生秧 peanut straw 2 8% 地瓜秧 sweet potato vines 0 0% 甘蔗渣 bagasse 0 0% 全棉籽 whole cotton seed 23 92% 其他粗饲料 others 2 8% 本题有效填写人次 total participants 25 Depending largely on the imported alfalfa and oat hay Little usage of local roughage sources Roughage involvement by category
  24. p We have the best technical experts with strong theoretical basis and proficient practice p We have the perfect standard operation process of farm assessment and enough experience to push the study toward. p We can help the farm make a good plan to reduce the cost and carbon emission. Next steps: Organizing experts to assess the model farm
  25. Planned Farm Assessment 1 2 3 Theoretical study Farm assessment Summary
  26. ACKNOWLEDEGMENTS Dr. Lini Wollenberg Mr. Jelle Zijlstra Mr. Nan Zhang 张楠 Mrs. Caixia Zhang 张彩霞 Mrs. Min Li 李敏 Dr. Na Lu 卢 娜 Dr. Kun Yao 姚 琨 Mr. Jianmin Xia 夏建民 Prof. Dr. Hongmin Dong 董红敏 研究员 Dr. Sha Wei 魏莎
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