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 Malignant    ascites (abnormal accumulation of fluid in the
  peritoneal cavity ) is a manifestation of end stage
  events in a variety of cancers and associated with
  significant morbidity.



 Itsonset and progression is associated with
  deterioration in quality of life (QoL) and a poor
  prognosis.
The malignancies most
commonly associated
with malignant ascites
include
   1. gynecologic
     malignancies,
  2. gastrointestinal
     malignancies,
  3. breast cancer and
  4. carcinoma of
     unknown primary.
 Among the
  gynecologic
  malignancies, ovarian
  carcinoma
  predominates.
 It  has been considered pathognomonic for the
    diffuse implantation throughout the peritoneal
    cavity.

    But the actual tumor burden and location of
    the disease can vary quite dramatically.
 In   patients with malignancy-related ascites

      only 2/3 - have peritoneal carcinomatosis.

      remaining 1/3 - nonmalignant causes e.g
       secondary to portal hypertension or lymphatic
       obstruction.
         as in cases of massive liver metastases or
          lymphoma, respectively.
 Differentiation
                between neoplastic and
 nonneoplastic causes of ascites can be challenging.
      indistinguishable by physical examination and
       radiographic appearance


 Unlessassociated with overt evidence of peritoneal
 carcinomatosis
 Not   completely understood

 Mechanical:obstruction of lymphatic
 drainage due to tumor growth

 Cytokines: protein production causing
 increased vascular permeability leading to
 excess fluid accumulation (i.e. VEGF)

 Hormonal: decreased removal of fluids due
 to lymphatic obstruction –reduced circulating
 blood volume –activation of renin-angiotensin
 system –sodium & fluid retention
Proposed pathophysiology involved in malignant ascites development
 Abdominal   distension, pressure, fullness
 SOB, dyspnea, orthopnea
 Early satiety, nausea, vomiting
 Heartburn
 Peripheral edema
 Reduced mobility (i.e. bending, sitting
  upright)
 Ultrasoundor CT likely required to demonstrate
 small volumes of free peritoneal fluid

 Diagnostic
           paracentesis to determine type of ascites
 with newly diagnosed cases

 Identifyingetiology is essential to determining
 interventions required
 Visual   inspection
    Grossly bloody fluid –malignancy.
    Cloudy fluid suggests infection.

    Milky fluid suggests chylous ascites – often

     associated with malignancy, especially
     lymphoma.
 Chemical    analysis of ascitic fluid
    transudate and exudate - Division has not
     proven to be beneficial for malignant ascites.
    test useful for distinguishing malignant from

     cirrhotic causes of ascites is the serum-to-
     ascites albumin gradient.
 Serum    to ascites albumin gradient
      ≥1.1 g/dL - portal hypertension with 97% accuracy,
       whereas a lower gradient indicates a lack of PHT and
       possibly the presence of a malignancy
 Cytology
    presence of malignant cells - specificity 100%.
    gold standard for the diagnosis.

    The sensitivity of cytology is only 60%, as not all tumors
     shed cells into the peritoneum.
    Patients with ascites due to advanced hepatocellular
     cancer, massive liver metastases, and lymphoma have
     uniformly negative cytology.
 Immunohistochemistry
    can help distinguish cancer cells from nonmalignant
     cells such as mesenchymal cells.
    have not replaced cytology as the gold standard for the
     diagnosis of malignant ascites.
 Other    tests which can be done
    To differentiate between malignant versus
     nonmalignant ascites,
      sialic acid levels,
                               improvement in the sensitivity and
      HCG-β levels,
                               specificity for the diagnosis of
      VEGF levels,            malignant ascites, but not
                               recommended for routine clinical
      telomerase activity,    use.
      fibronectin, and

      cholesterol levels.



    To link the presence of ascites with an underlying
     primary malignancy
      CA 125,

      CEA and              Added benefit is unclear
      CA 19-9
 Inspite of investigations, among patients diagnosed
    with malignant ascites, 20% will have tumors of
    unknown primary origin

 Advances     in imaging and immunocytochemical
    analysis, will continue to influence a decline in the
    number of cases of malignant ascites associated with
    carcinoma of unknown primary.

    Laparoscopy and biopsy - a safe and minimally
    invasive techniques to help establish primary tumor
    diagnosis ,
       esp. in women with good performance status who have no
        apparent cause for ascites.
 Thepresence of malignant ascites has a strong
 negative prognostic import,
        different for different malignancies.
 Oneretrospective study reviewed experience
 with malignant ascites over 10 years.
    The gastrointestinal malignancies associated with the
     poorest prognosis
        gastric carcinoma (median survival of 1.4 months),
        pancreatic cancer (median survival of 1.4 months) and
        colon cancer (median survival of 3.7 months).
    Ascites of ovarian origin has a better median survival
     than all other cancer groups.
                 Ayantunde AA, Parsons SL. Ann Oncol.2007;18(5):945–949.
 otherprognostic factors especially
 in the nonovarian cancer groups
  low serum albumin,
  liver metastases, and
  elevated serum bilirubin.



           Parsons SL, Lang MW, Steele RJC. Eur J Surg Oncol.
            1996;22(3):237–239.
           Mackey JR, Venner PM. Can J Oncol. 1996;6(2):474–480.
Dietary

 Dietary   salt restriction (2 g salt or 88 mmol Na+/d)
    should be initiated

   Routine water restriction is not necessary.
     Ifdilutional hyponatremia (serum Na+ <120 mmol/L)
      occurs, fluid restriction to 1,000-1,500 mL/d usual
DIURETICS

 There is a lack of randomized trials to assess the
 efficacy of diuretics in malignant ascites.

 Uncontrolledtrials show an average response
 rate of 44% when diuretics are used.
 Spironolactone100-400mg/day
 Furosemide 40-120mg/day


 Responses have been identified in         those with
   increased renin values,
   massive liver metastases as well as
   elevated SAAG.




 The  goal of diuretic therapy should be a daily weight
  loss of
     ≤1.0 kg in patients with edema
     ~0.5 kg in those without edema until ascites is adequately
      controlled.
 Paracentesis can result in rapid symptom control
  in 90% of patients.
 no agreement on the optimal rate of fluid
  removal
 large volume paracentesis (up to 5 L ) can be
  performed without complication like renal
  impairment and hypotension which are well
  documented in the nonmalignant liver disease
  population.
        McNamara P. Palliat Med. 2000;14(1):62–64.
        Stephenson J, Gilbert J. Palliat Med.2002;16(3):213.
 Paracentesiscan be done safely in the
 presence of coagulopathy.
           • Runyon BA. Hepatology. 1998;27(1):264–272.


 There is no evidence for benefit with the use
 of albumin infusions for patients with
 malignant ascites after large volume
 paracentesis.
           • Salerno F, et al. J Hepatol. 1987;5(1):102.
 Hypovolemia   after large volume paracentesis,
 hypotension
 electrolyte  imbalance,
 visceral or vascular injury
 Infection and rarely,
 Pulmonary embolization.
 Hypoalbuminemia with repeated paracentesis.
 In an effort to minimize these complications
  and to provide greater patient comfort,
  indwelling percutaneous catheters, such as the
  Pleurx catheter (Denver Biomedical, Denver,
  Colorado), were developed to provide long-
  term access for repeated external drainage.

 These catheters can be managed at home
  with drainage performed as needed for
  comfort.
 TheLaveen shunt ,The Denver
 Shunt
     Both shunts direct ascitic fluid into
      the vena cava through a one-way
      valve.
 Palliatesymptoms in 70% of
  patients.
 Complications include
     shunt occlusion,
     bleeding,
     fever -   True fever associated with
                 shunting is transient
     infection,
     cardiopulmonary compromise,
     hepatic encephalopathy and
     DIC.
Contraindications to peritoneovenous shunt
  fulminant   hepatic failure
  DIC
  Ascites with +ve cytology
  haemorrhagic ascites           increased risk for shunt block
  chylous ascites,
  loculated ascites ,
  cardiac, pulmonary, or renal insufficiency,
  life expectancy less than a month.


 Shunt  block occurs more often in the patients with
  positive cytology
 The shunt tends to function longer in the patient
  with cytologically negative fluid
 Parsons and associates demonstrated no
 survival or quality-of-life advantage when
 peritoneovenous shunting was compared with
 repeated paracentesis.
               Parsons SL et al. Eur J Surg Oncol. 1996;22(3):237–239.




 Shunts may not be an optimal option in
 patients with gastrointestinal malignancies,
 as the response rates for symptom control
 are inferior to those with ovarian and breast
 cancer
                • Adam RA, J Am Coll Surg. 2004;198(6):999–1011
 high cytotoxic concentrations of active agents will
  reach the abdominal cavity with minimum systemic
  absorption and systemic toxicity

 clinical
         trials involving patients of ovarian
  carcinoma have shown that intraperitoneal
  chemotherapy can be superior to systemic
  chemotherapy with regard to PFS and median OS.

 Studies showed that the combination of a systemic
  and an intraperitoneal chemotherapy was more
  effective than an exclusively intravenous
  treatment.
                      Deborah K. et al. N Engl J Med 2006; 354:34-43
 Better
       tolerated intraperitoneal drugs include cisplatin,
 carboplatin, mitomycin C, 5fluorouracil, and
 bleomycin.

 With the exception of ovarian cancer, the
 effectiveness of intraperitoneal administration of these
 drugs is unclear due to lack of large randomized
 clinical studies

 Studieshave demonstrated benefits with cytoreductive
 surgeries of intraperitoneal tumours followed by
 intraperitoneal administration of chemotherapies
   Yan et al. have reported favorable survival in
    selected patients with colon cancer, appendiceal
    cancer, and mesothelioma undergoing radical
    tumor debulking and peritonectomy followed by
    intraperitoneal chemotherapy.
                      Yan TD, Stuart OA, Yoo D, et al. J Transl Med 2006;4:17.

 Others have reported the intraoperative use of
  hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy
  delivered via continuous infusion using a roller
  pump and a heating element immediately after
  cytoreductive surgery.
 Experimental data have demonstrated that
  hyperthermia can enhance the cytotoxicity of
  intraperitoneal chemotherapy.
 Although encouraging, this aggressive combined
  approach should be reserved for selected patients
  with malignant ascites.
 OK-432   : A preparation from the Su-strain of
    Streptococcus pyogenes.

 Intraperitoneal  OK-432 reported ascites
    reduction in approximately 60% of patients.

   Mechanism of action is not clear.

 Mean   survival for patients receiving this therapy
    was 10.2 months compared to 3.1 months for a
    control group.
Metalloproteinase inhibitors- Batimastat

 hasbeen studied in early phase clinical trials of
 patients with malignant ascites.

 Ascites
        prevention and reduction have been
 reported, but larger trials are needed to define
 the actual clinical benefit of these inhibitors.

 Themajor adverse effect in the first 24 hours was
 nausea and vomiting.
Anti-VEGF therapy

 The    use of inhibitors of the tyrosine kinase
    activity of VEGF has been shown to inhibit
    formation of ascites in cell lines and animal
    models.

    Unfortunately there have been are no human
    studies at this time with this modality
 Direct intraperitoneal administration of
 cytokines including interferon-α,interleukin-
 2, and tumor necrosis factor has been
 reported with variable effectiveness in small
 pilot studies.

              Stuart GC, Nation JG, Snider DD, et al. Cancer 1993;71:2027.
               Lissoni P, Barni S, Tancini G, et al. Support Care Cancer 1995;3:78.
               Rath U, Kaufmann M, Schmid H, et al. Eur J Cancer 1991;27:121.
 cellular
        adhesion molecules are
 overexpressed in several malignancies

 One cellular adhesion protein called
 epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM)

 EpCAM  is a significant tumor antigen because
 its overexpression has been observed in a
 majority of carcinomas including ovarian
 cancer, breast cancer, prostate cancer, and
 nonsmall cell lung cancer
   The inhibition of this antigen has been
    associated with a decrease in the
    proliferation, migration, and invasion
    of cancer cells

   Catumaxomab is a trifunctional
    antibody with one binding arm to the
    epithelial cell adhesion molecule
    (EpCAM) of carcinoma cells, with the
    second binding arm to CD3-receptors
    of T cells and with its Fc portion to the
    Fc receptor of accessory cells such as
    macrophages and natural killer cells.

   Trifunctional antibodies have a much
    higher capacity for tumor kill than
    previous monoclonal antibody lines.
   When compared with paracentesis alone,
    paracentesis followed by catumaxomab therapy was
    associated with significant prolongation of
    paracentesis-free survival, improvement in the
    quality of life, there are also signs of a prolongation
    of overall survival.

   The benefits of catumaxomab were seen across a
    broad range of epithelial ovarian and nonovarian
    cancers.

   Catumaxomab was generally well tolerated in the
    pivotal phase II/III trial.
Malignant ascites dr. varun

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Malignant ascites dr. varun

  • 1.
  • 2.  Malignant ascites (abnormal accumulation of fluid in the peritoneal cavity ) is a manifestation of end stage events in a variety of cancers and associated with significant morbidity.  Itsonset and progression is associated with deterioration in quality of life (QoL) and a poor prognosis.
  • 3. The malignancies most commonly associated with malignant ascites include 1. gynecologic malignancies, 2. gastrointestinal malignancies, 3. breast cancer and 4. carcinoma of unknown primary.  Among the gynecologic malignancies, ovarian carcinoma predominates.
  • 4.  It has been considered pathognomonic for the diffuse implantation throughout the peritoneal cavity.  But the actual tumor burden and location of the disease can vary quite dramatically.
  • 5.  In patients with malignancy-related ascites  only 2/3 - have peritoneal carcinomatosis.  remaining 1/3 - nonmalignant causes e.g secondary to portal hypertension or lymphatic obstruction. as in cases of massive liver metastases or lymphoma, respectively.
  • 6.  Differentiation between neoplastic and nonneoplastic causes of ascites can be challenging.  indistinguishable by physical examination and radiographic appearance  Unlessassociated with overt evidence of peritoneal carcinomatosis
  • 7.
  • 8.  Not completely understood  Mechanical:obstruction of lymphatic drainage due to tumor growth  Cytokines: protein production causing increased vascular permeability leading to excess fluid accumulation (i.e. VEGF)  Hormonal: decreased removal of fluids due to lymphatic obstruction –reduced circulating blood volume –activation of renin-angiotensin system –sodium & fluid retention
  • 9. Proposed pathophysiology involved in malignant ascites development
  • 10.  Abdominal distension, pressure, fullness  SOB, dyspnea, orthopnea  Early satiety, nausea, vomiting  Heartburn  Peripheral edema  Reduced mobility (i.e. bending, sitting upright)
  • 11.
  • 12.  Ultrasoundor CT likely required to demonstrate small volumes of free peritoneal fluid  Diagnostic paracentesis to determine type of ascites with newly diagnosed cases  Identifyingetiology is essential to determining interventions required
  • 13.  Visual inspection  Grossly bloody fluid –malignancy.  Cloudy fluid suggests infection.  Milky fluid suggests chylous ascites – often associated with malignancy, especially lymphoma.  Chemical analysis of ascitic fluid  transudate and exudate - Division has not proven to be beneficial for malignant ascites.  test useful for distinguishing malignant from cirrhotic causes of ascites is the serum-to- ascites albumin gradient.
  • 14.  Serum to ascites albumin gradient  ≥1.1 g/dL - portal hypertension with 97% accuracy, whereas a lower gradient indicates a lack of PHT and possibly the presence of a malignancy  Cytology  presence of malignant cells - specificity 100%.  gold standard for the diagnosis.  The sensitivity of cytology is only 60%, as not all tumors shed cells into the peritoneum.  Patients with ascites due to advanced hepatocellular cancer, massive liver metastases, and lymphoma have uniformly negative cytology.  Immunohistochemistry  can help distinguish cancer cells from nonmalignant cells such as mesenchymal cells.  have not replaced cytology as the gold standard for the diagnosis of malignant ascites.
  • 15.  Other tests which can be done  To differentiate between malignant versus nonmalignant ascites,  sialic acid levels, improvement in the sensitivity and  HCG-β levels, specificity for the diagnosis of  VEGF levels, malignant ascites, but not recommended for routine clinical  telomerase activity, use.  fibronectin, and  cholesterol levels.  To link the presence of ascites with an underlying primary malignancy  CA 125,  CEA and Added benefit is unclear  CA 19-9
  • 16.  Inspite of investigations, among patients diagnosed with malignant ascites, 20% will have tumors of unknown primary origin  Advances in imaging and immunocytochemical analysis, will continue to influence a decline in the number of cases of malignant ascites associated with carcinoma of unknown primary.  Laparoscopy and biopsy - a safe and minimally invasive techniques to help establish primary tumor diagnosis ,  esp. in women with good performance status who have no apparent cause for ascites.
  • 17.  Thepresence of malignant ascites has a strong negative prognostic import,  different for different malignancies.  Oneretrospective study reviewed experience with malignant ascites over 10 years.  The gastrointestinal malignancies associated with the poorest prognosis  gastric carcinoma (median survival of 1.4 months),  pancreatic cancer (median survival of 1.4 months) and  colon cancer (median survival of 3.7 months).  Ascites of ovarian origin has a better median survival than all other cancer groups. Ayantunde AA, Parsons SL. Ann Oncol.2007;18(5):945–949.
  • 18.  otherprognostic factors especially in the nonovarian cancer groups  low serum albumin,  liver metastases, and  elevated serum bilirubin.  Parsons SL, Lang MW, Steele RJC. Eur J Surg Oncol. 1996;22(3):237–239.  Mackey JR, Venner PM. Can J Oncol. 1996;6(2):474–480.
  • 19. Dietary  Dietary salt restriction (2 g salt or 88 mmol Na+/d) should be initiated  Routine water restriction is not necessary.  Ifdilutional hyponatremia (serum Na+ <120 mmol/L) occurs, fluid restriction to 1,000-1,500 mL/d usual
  • 20. DIURETICS  There is a lack of randomized trials to assess the efficacy of diuretics in malignant ascites.  Uncontrolledtrials show an average response rate of 44% when diuretics are used.
  • 21.  Spironolactone100-400mg/day  Furosemide 40-120mg/day  Responses have been identified in those with  increased renin values,  massive liver metastases as well as  elevated SAAG.  The goal of diuretic therapy should be a daily weight loss of  ≤1.0 kg in patients with edema  ~0.5 kg in those without edema until ascites is adequately controlled.
  • 22.  Paracentesis can result in rapid symptom control in 90% of patients.  no agreement on the optimal rate of fluid removal  large volume paracentesis (up to 5 L ) can be performed without complication like renal impairment and hypotension which are well documented in the nonmalignant liver disease population.  McNamara P. Palliat Med. 2000;14(1):62–64.  Stephenson J, Gilbert J. Palliat Med.2002;16(3):213.
  • 23.  Paracentesiscan be done safely in the presence of coagulopathy. • Runyon BA. Hepatology. 1998;27(1):264–272.  There is no evidence for benefit with the use of albumin infusions for patients with malignant ascites after large volume paracentesis. • Salerno F, et al. J Hepatol. 1987;5(1):102.
  • 24.  Hypovolemia after large volume paracentesis,  hypotension  electrolyte imbalance,  visceral or vascular injury  Infection and rarely,  Pulmonary embolization.  Hypoalbuminemia with repeated paracentesis.
  • 25.  In an effort to minimize these complications and to provide greater patient comfort, indwelling percutaneous catheters, such as the Pleurx catheter (Denver Biomedical, Denver, Colorado), were developed to provide long- term access for repeated external drainage.  These catheters can be managed at home with drainage performed as needed for comfort.
  • 26.  TheLaveen shunt ,The Denver Shunt  Both shunts direct ascitic fluid into the vena cava through a one-way valve.  Palliatesymptoms in 70% of patients.  Complications include  shunt occlusion,  bleeding,  fever - True fever associated with shunting is transient  infection,  cardiopulmonary compromise,  hepatic encephalopathy and  DIC.
  • 27. Contraindications to peritoneovenous shunt  fulminant hepatic failure  DIC  Ascites with +ve cytology  haemorrhagic ascites increased risk for shunt block  chylous ascites,  loculated ascites ,  cardiac, pulmonary, or renal insufficiency,  life expectancy less than a month.  Shunt block occurs more often in the patients with positive cytology  The shunt tends to function longer in the patient with cytologically negative fluid
  • 28.  Parsons and associates demonstrated no survival or quality-of-life advantage when peritoneovenous shunting was compared with repeated paracentesis.  Parsons SL et al. Eur J Surg Oncol. 1996;22(3):237–239.  Shunts may not be an optimal option in patients with gastrointestinal malignancies, as the response rates for symptom control are inferior to those with ovarian and breast cancer • Adam RA, J Am Coll Surg. 2004;198(6):999–1011
  • 29.  high cytotoxic concentrations of active agents will reach the abdominal cavity with minimum systemic absorption and systemic toxicity  clinical trials involving patients of ovarian carcinoma have shown that intraperitoneal chemotherapy can be superior to systemic chemotherapy with regard to PFS and median OS.  Studies showed that the combination of a systemic and an intraperitoneal chemotherapy was more effective than an exclusively intravenous treatment. Deborah K. et al. N Engl J Med 2006; 354:34-43
  • 30.  Better tolerated intraperitoneal drugs include cisplatin, carboplatin, mitomycin C, 5fluorouracil, and bleomycin.  With the exception of ovarian cancer, the effectiveness of intraperitoneal administration of these drugs is unclear due to lack of large randomized clinical studies  Studieshave demonstrated benefits with cytoreductive surgeries of intraperitoneal tumours followed by intraperitoneal administration of chemotherapies
  • 31. Yan et al. have reported favorable survival in selected patients with colon cancer, appendiceal cancer, and mesothelioma undergoing radical tumor debulking and peritonectomy followed by intraperitoneal chemotherapy. Yan TD, Stuart OA, Yoo D, et al. J Transl Med 2006;4:17.  Others have reported the intraoperative use of hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy delivered via continuous infusion using a roller pump and a heating element immediately after cytoreductive surgery.  Experimental data have demonstrated that hyperthermia can enhance the cytotoxicity of intraperitoneal chemotherapy.  Although encouraging, this aggressive combined approach should be reserved for selected patients with malignant ascites.
  • 32.  OK-432 : A preparation from the Su-strain of Streptococcus pyogenes.  Intraperitoneal OK-432 reported ascites reduction in approximately 60% of patients.  Mechanism of action is not clear.  Mean survival for patients receiving this therapy was 10.2 months compared to 3.1 months for a control group.
  • 33. Metalloproteinase inhibitors- Batimastat  hasbeen studied in early phase clinical trials of patients with malignant ascites.  Ascites prevention and reduction have been reported, but larger trials are needed to define the actual clinical benefit of these inhibitors.  Themajor adverse effect in the first 24 hours was nausea and vomiting.
  • 34. Anti-VEGF therapy  The use of inhibitors of the tyrosine kinase activity of VEGF has been shown to inhibit formation of ascites in cell lines and animal models.  Unfortunately there have been are no human studies at this time with this modality
  • 35.  Direct intraperitoneal administration of cytokines including interferon-α,interleukin- 2, and tumor necrosis factor has been reported with variable effectiveness in small pilot studies.  Stuart GC, Nation JG, Snider DD, et al. Cancer 1993;71:2027.  Lissoni P, Barni S, Tancini G, et al. Support Care Cancer 1995;3:78.  Rath U, Kaufmann M, Schmid H, et al. Eur J Cancer 1991;27:121.
  • 36.  cellular adhesion molecules are overexpressed in several malignancies  One cellular adhesion protein called epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM)  EpCAM is a significant tumor antigen because its overexpression has been observed in a majority of carcinomas including ovarian cancer, breast cancer, prostate cancer, and nonsmall cell lung cancer
  • 37. The inhibition of this antigen has been associated with a decrease in the proliferation, migration, and invasion of cancer cells  Catumaxomab is a trifunctional antibody with one binding arm to the epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM) of carcinoma cells, with the second binding arm to CD3-receptors of T cells and with its Fc portion to the Fc receptor of accessory cells such as macrophages and natural killer cells.  Trifunctional antibodies have a much higher capacity for tumor kill than previous monoclonal antibody lines.
  • 38. When compared with paracentesis alone, paracentesis followed by catumaxomab therapy was associated with significant prolongation of paracentesis-free survival, improvement in the quality of life, there are also signs of a prolongation of overall survival.  The benefits of catumaxomab were seen across a broad range of epithelial ovarian and nonovarian cancers.  Catumaxomab was generally well tolerated in the pivotal phase II/III trial.

Editor's Notes

  1. It is known that about 50% of patients with malignant ascites present with ascites at the initial diagnosis of their cancer.
  2. Chylous ascites has atrigylceride content of .200 mg/dL
  3. confirms thediagnosis of malignancy with a specificity of 100%