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Index Number

Hasnain baber©
INTRODUCTION
• An index number measures the
relative change in price, quantity,
value, or some other item of interest
from one time period to another.
• A simple index number measures the
relative change in one or more than
one variable.
Definitions
•

According to the Spiegel :

•

"An index number is a statistical measure, designed to measure changes in a variable, or a
group of related variables with respect to time, geographical location or other
characteristics such as income, profession, etc.“

•

According to Patternson :

•

" In its simplest form, an index number is the ratio of two index numbers expressed as a
percent . An index is a statistical measure, a measure designed to show changes in one
variable or a group of related variables over time, with respect to geographical location or
other characteristics".

•

According to Tuttle :

•

"Index number is a single ratio (or a percentage) which measures the combined change of
several variables between two different times, places or situations".
• We can thus say that index numbers are
economic barometers to judge the inflation
( increase in prices) or deflationary
(decrease in prices ) tendencies of the
economy. They help the government in
adjusting its policies in case of inflationary
situations.
CHARACTERISTICS
 Index numbers are expressed in terms of percentages to
show the extent of relative change


Index numbers measure relative changes. They measure
the relative change in the value of a variable or a group of
related variables over a period of time or between places.



Index numbers measures changes which are not directly
measurable.

• The cost of living, the price level or the business activity in a
country are not directly measurable but it is possible to study
relative changes in these activities by measuring the
changes in the values of variables/factors which effect these
activities.
USES

Help in framing suitable policies
Reveal trends and tendencies
Very useful in deflating
TYPES OF INDEX NUMBERS
• Index numbers are names after the activity they
measure. Their types are as under :
• Price Index : Measure changes in price over a
specified period of time. It is basically the ratio of the
price of a certain number of commodities at the
present year as against base year.
• Quantity Index : As the name suggest, these indices
pertain to measuring changes in volumes of
commodities like goods produced or goods
consumed, etc.
• Value Index : These pertain to compare changes in the
monetary value of imports, exports, production or
consumption of commodities.
• Note 1: price index is 125 means price level in the current
year is 125% of price level in the base year.

• Note 2: Average price level in 1990 is double the average
price level in 1980 means index numbers of price for 1990
with base 1980 is 200.
• Note 3: index number for 1995 with base 1970 is 325 means
average price level has increased by 225% from 1970 to
1995.
METHODS OF CONSTRUCTING INDEX NUMBERS

Unweighted

Simple
Aggregative
Simple Average
of Price
Relative

Index
Numbers

Weighted
Aggregated
Weighted

Weighted
Average of
Price Relatives
SIMPLE AGGREGATIVE METHOD
It consists in expressing the aggregate price of all
commodities in the current year as a percentage of
the aggregate price in the base year.
P01

p1

100

p0

P01= Index number of the current year.
p 1 = Total of the current year’s price of all
p 0 commodities.
= Total of the base year’s price of all
commodities.
EXAMPLE:From the data given below construct the index
number for the year 2007 on the base year 2008 in
rajasthan state.
COMMODITIES

UNITS

PRICE (Rs)
2007

Sugar

Quintal

2200

3200

Milk

Quintal

18

20

Oil

Litre

68

71

Wheat

Quintal

900

1000

Clothing

Meter

50

60

PRICE (Rs)
2008
Solution:COMMODITIES

UNITS

PRICE (Rs)
2007

Sugar

Quintal

2200

3200

Milk

Quintal

18

20

Oil

Litre

68

71

Wheat

Quintal

900

1000

Clothing

Meter

50

60

p0

3236

100

PRICE (Rs)
2008

134 . 45

p1

4351

Index Number for 2008P01

p1
p0

100

4351
3236

It means the prize in 2008 were 34.45% higher than the previous year.
SIMPLE AVERAGE OF RELATIVES METHOD.
• The current year price is expressed as a price relative
of the base year price. These price relatives are then
averaged to get the index number. The average used
could be arithmetic mean, geometric mean or even
median.
p1

100

p0

P01

N

Where N is Numbers Of items.
When geometric mean is used-

log
log P01

p1
p0
N

100
ExampleFrom the data given below construct the index
number for the year 2008 taking 2007 as by using
arithmetic mean.
Commodities

Price (2007)

Price (2008)

P

6

10

Q

2

2

R

4

6

S

10

12

T

8

12
SolutionIndex number using arithmetic meanCommodities

Price (2007)

Price (2008)

Price Relative

p0

p1

P

6

10

166.7

Q

12

2

16.67

R

4

6

150.0

S

10

12

120.0

T

8

12

150.0

p1

p1

100

p0

p1
P01

p0
N

100
603 . 37
5

100

p0

120 . 63

=603.37
Weighted index numbers
These are those index numbers in which rational weights
are assigned to various chains in an explicit fashion.

Weighted aggregative index numbersThese index numbers are the simple aggregative type
with the fundamental difference that weights are
assigned to the various items included in the index.







Dorbish and bowley’s method.
Fisher’s ideal method.
Marshall-Edgeworth method.
Laspeyres method.
Paasche method.
Kelly’s method.
Laspeyres MethodThis method was devised by Laspeyres in 1871. In
this method the weights are determined by
quantities in the base.
p1 q 0
p 01
100
p0q0
Paasche’s Method.
This method was devised by a German statistician Paasche
in 1874. The weights of current year are used as base year
in constructing the Paasche’s Index number.

p 01

p1 q1
p 0 q1

100
Dorbish & Bowleys Method.
This method is a combination of Laspeyre’s and
Paasche’s methods. If we find out the arithmetic
average of Laspeyre’s and Paasche’s index we get
the index suggested by Dorbish & Bowley.
p1 q 0
p 01

p1 q1

p0q0

p 0 q1

100

2

Fisher’s Ideal Index.

Fisher’s deal index number is the geometric mean of
the Laspeyre’s and Paasche’s index numbers.
P01

p1q 0

p1 q1

p0q0

p 0 q1

100
Marshall-Edgeworth Method.
In this index the numerator consists of an aggregate of the
current years price multiplied by the weights of both the
base year as well as the current year.
p 01

p1 q 0

p1 q1

p0q0

p 0 q1

100

Kelly’s Method.

Kelly thinks that a ratio of aggregates with selected weights
(not necessarily of base year or current year) gives the base
index number.
p1 q
p 01
100
p0q
q refers to the quantities of the year which is selected as the base.
It may be any year, either base year or current year.
ExampleGiven below are the price quantity
data,with price quoted in Rs. per kg
and production in qtls.
Find- (1) Laspeyers Index (2)
Paasche’s Index (3)Fisher Ideal Index.
2002

2007

ITEMS

PRICE

PRODUCTION

PRICE

PRODUCTION

BEEF

15

500

20

600

MUTTON

18

590

23

640

CHICKEN

22

450

24

500
SolutionITEMS

PRICE

PRODUCT
ION

PRICE

PRODU
CTION

p1 q 0

p0q0

p1 q1

p 0 q1

p0

q0

p1

q1

BEEF

15

500

20

600

10000

7500

12000

9000

MUTTON

18

590

23

640

13570

10620

14720

11520

CHICKEN

22

450

24

500

10800

9900

12000

11000

34370

28020

38720

31520

TOTAL
Solution1.Laspeyres index:
p 01

p1 q 0

34370

100

p0q0

100

122 . 66

100

122 . 84

28020

2. Paasche’s Index :
p 01

p1 q1

100

p 0 q1

38720
31520

3. Fisher Ideal Index
P01

p1q 0

p1 q1

p0q0

p 0 q1

100

34370

38720

28020

31520

100

122 . 69
Weighted average of price relative
In weighted Average of relative, the price relatives for
the current year are calculated on the basis of the
base year price. These price relatives are multiplied
by the respective weight of items. These products are
added up and divided by the sum of weights.
Weighted arithmetic mean of price relative-

P01

Where-

P

P1

PV
V

100

P0
P=Price relative
V=Value weights=

p0q0
Value index numbers
Value is the product of price and quantity. A
simple ratio is equal to the value of the
current year divided by the value of base
year. If the ratio is multiplied by 100 we get
the value index number.

V

p1 q1
p0q0

100
Chain index numbers
When this method is used the comparisons are not
made with a fixed base, rather the base changes from
year to year. For example, for 2007,2006 will be the
base; for 2006, 2005 will be the same and so on.
Chain index for current yearAverage link relative of current year
100

Chain index of previous

year
Example• From the data given below construct an index
number by chain base method.
Price of a commodity from 2006 to 2008.

YEAR

PRICE

2006

50

2007

60

2008

65
solutionYEAR

PRICE

LINK RELATIVE

CHAIN INDEX
(BASE 2006)

2006

50

100

100

60

2007

60

65

120

120

50

65

2008

100

60

100

120

100

100

108

108

120

100

129 . 60

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Index number

  • 2. INTRODUCTION • An index number measures the relative change in price, quantity, value, or some other item of interest from one time period to another. • A simple index number measures the relative change in one or more than one variable.
  • 3. Definitions • According to the Spiegel : • "An index number is a statistical measure, designed to measure changes in a variable, or a group of related variables with respect to time, geographical location or other characteristics such as income, profession, etc.“ • According to Patternson : • " In its simplest form, an index number is the ratio of two index numbers expressed as a percent . An index is a statistical measure, a measure designed to show changes in one variable or a group of related variables over time, with respect to geographical location or other characteristics". • According to Tuttle : • "Index number is a single ratio (or a percentage) which measures the combined change of several variables between two different times, places or situations".
  • 4. • We can thus say that index numbers are economic barometers to judge the inflation ( increase in prices) or deflationary (decrease in prices ) tendencies of the economy. They help the government in adjusting its policies in case of inflationary situations.
  • 5. CHARACTERISTICS  Index numbers are expressed in terms of percentages to show the extent of relative change  Index numbers measure relative changes. They measure the relative change in the value of a variable or a group of related variables over a period of time or between places.  Index numbers measures changes which are not directly measurable. • The cost of living, the price level or the business activity in a country are not directly measurable but it is possible to study relative changes in these activities by measuring the changes in the values of variables/factors which effect these activities.
  • 6. USES Help in framing suitable policies Reveal trends and tendencies Very useful in deflating
  • 7. TYPES OF INDEX NUMBERS • Index numbers are names after the activity they measure. Their types are as under : • Price Index : Measure changes in price over a specified period of time. It is basically the ratio of the price of a certain number of commodities at the present year as against base year. • Quantity Index : As the name suggest, these indices pertain to measuring changes in volumes of commodities like goods produced or goods consumed, etc.
  • 8. • Value Index : These pertain to compare changes in the monetary value of imports, exports, production or consumption of commodities. • Note 1: price index is 125 means price level in the current year is 125% of price level in the base year. • Note 2: Average price level in 1990 is double the average price level in 1980 means index numbers of price for 1990 with base 1980 is 200. • Note 3: index number for 1995 with base 1970 is 325 means average price level has increased by 225% from 1970 to 1995.
  • 9. METHODS OF CONSTRUCTING INDEX NUMBERS Unweighted Simple Aggregative Simple Average of Price Relative Index Numbers Weighted Aggregated Weighted Weighted Average of Price Relatives
  • 10. SIMPLE AGGREGATIVE METHOD It consists in expressing the aggregate price of all commodities in the current year as a percentage of the aggregate price in the base year. P01 p1 100 p0 P01= Index number of the current year. p 1 = Total of the current year’s price of all p 0 commodities. = Total of the base year’s price of all commodities.
  • 11. EXAMPLE:From the data given below construct the index number for the year 2007 on the base year 2008 in rajasthan state. COMMODITIES UNITS PRICE (Rs) 2007 Sugar Quintal 2200 3200 Milk Quintal 18 20 Oil Litre 68 71 Wheat Quintal 900 1000 Clothing Meter 50 60 PRICE (Rs) 2008
  • 12. Solution:COMMODITIES UNITS PRICE (Rs) 2007 Sugar Quintal 2200 3200 Milk Quintal 18 20 Oil Litre 68 71 Wheat Quintal 900 1000 Clothing Meter 50 60 p0 3236 100 PRICE (Rs) 2008 134 . 45 p1 4351 Index Number for 2008P01 p1 p0 100 4351 3236 It means the prize in 2008 were 34.45% higher than the previous year.
  • 13. SIMPLE AVERAGE OF RELATIVES METHOD. • The current year price is expressed as a price relative of the base year price. These price relatives are then averaged to get the index number. The average used could be arithmetic mean, geometric mean or even median. p1 100 p0 P01 N Where N is Numbers Of items. When geometric mean is used- log log P01 p1 p0 N 100
  • 14. ExampleFrom the data given below construct the index number for the year 2008 taking 2007 as by using arithmetic mean. Commodities Price (2007) Price (2008) P 6 10 Q 2 2 R 4 6 S 10 12 T 8 12
  • 15. SolutionIndex number using arithmetic meanCommodities Price (2007) Price (2008) Price Relative p0 p1 P 6 10 166.7 Q 12 2 16.67 R 4 6 150.0 S 10 12 120.0 T 8 12 150.0 p1 p1 100 p0 p1 P01 p0 N 100 603 . 37 5 100 p0 120 . 63 =603.37
  • 16. Weighted index numbers These are those index numbers in which rational weights are assigned to various chains in an explicit fashion. Weighted aggregative index numbersThese index numbers are the simple aggregative type with the fundamental difference that weights are assigned to the various items included in the index.       Dorbish and bowley’s method. Fisher’s ideal method. Marshall-Edgeworth method. Laspeyres method. Paasche method. Kelly’s method.
  • 17. Laspeyres MethodThis method was devised by Laspeyres in 1871. In this method the weights are determined by quantities in the base. p1 q 0 p 01 100 p0q0 Paasche’s Method. This method was devised by a German statistician Paasche in 1874. The weights of current year are used as base year in constructing the Paasche’s Index number. p 01 p1 q1 p 0 q1 100
  • 18. Dorbish & Bowleys Method. This method is a combination of Laspeyre’s and Paasche’s methods. If we find out the arithmetic average of Laspeyre’s and Paasche’s index we get the index suggested by Dorbish & Bowley. p1 q 0 p 01 p1 q1 p0q0 p 0 q1 100 2 Fisher’s Ideal Index. Fisher’s deal index number is the geometric mean of the Laspeyre’s and Paasche’s index numbers. P01 p1q 0 p1 q1 p0q0 p 0 q1 100
  • 19. Marshall-Edgeworth Method. In this index the numerator consists of an aggregate of the current years price multiplied by the weights of both the base year as well as the current year. p 01 p1 q 0 p1 q1 p0q0 p 0 q1 100 Kelly’s Method. Kelly thinks that a ratio of aggregates with selected weights (not necessarily of base year or current year) gives the base index number. p1 q p 01 100 p0q q refers to the quantities of the year which is selected as the base. It may be any year, either base year or current year.
  • 20. ExampleGiven below are the price quantity data,with price quoted in Rs. per kg and production in qtls. Find- (1) Laspeyers Index (2) Paasche’s Index (3)Fisher Ideal Index. 2002 2007 ITEMS PRICE PRODUCTION PRICE PRODUCTION BEEF 15 500 20 600 MUTTON 18 590 23 640 CHICKEN 22 450 24 500
  • 21. SolutionITEMS PRICE PRODUCT ION PRICE PRODU CTION p1 q 0 p0q0 p1 q1 p 0 q1 p0 q0 p1 q1 BEEF 15 500 20 600 10000 7500 12000 9000 MUTTON 18 590 23 640 13570 10620 14720 11520 CHICKEN 22 450 24 500 10800 9900 12000 11000 34370 28020 38720 31520 TOTAL
  • 22. Solution1.Laspeyres index: p 01 p1 q 0 34370 100 p0q0 100 122 . 66 100 122 . 84 28020 2. Paasche’s Index : p 01 p1 q1 100 p 0 q1 38720 31520 3. Fisher Ideal Index P01 p1q 0 p1 q1 p0q0 p 0 q1 100 34370 38720 28020 31520 100 122 . 69
  • 23. Weighted average of price relative In weighted Average of relative, the price relatives for the current year are calculated on the basis of the base year price. These price relatives are multiplied by the respective weight of items. These products are added up and divided by the sum of weights. Weighted arithmetic mean of price relative- P01 Where- P P1 PV V 100 P0 P=Price relative V=Value weights= p0q0
  • 24. Value index numbers Value is the product of price and quantity. A simple ratio is equal to the value of the current year divided by the value of base year. If the ratio is multiplied by 100 we get the value index number. V p1 q1 p0q0 100
  • 25. Chain index numbers When this method is used the comparisons are not made with a fixed base, rather the base changes from year to year. For example, for 2007,2006 will be the base; for 2006, 2005 will be the same and so on. Chain index for current yearAverage link relative of current year 100 Chain index of previous year
  • 26. Example• From the data given below construct an index number by chain base method. Price of a commodity from 2006 to 2008. YEAR PRICE 2006 50 2007 60 2008 65
  • 27. solutionYEAR PRICE LINK RELATIVE CHAIN INDEX (BASE 2006) 2006 50 100 100 60 2007 60 65 120 120 50 65 2008 100 60 100 120 100 100 108 108 120 100 129 . 60