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Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
(` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % yoy Angel Est % Diff
Revenue 778.8 692.2 12.5 805.1 (3.3)
EBITDA 99.3 95.0 4.5 105.9 (6.3)
OPM (%) 12.7 13.7 (98) 13.2 (41)
PAT 71.6 62.4 14.8 73.2 (2.3)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Marico posted mix set of numbers for 2QFY2011. While overall volume growth
stood at a strong 15%, price cuts in core brands continued to drag overall
top-line growth (unfavourable base). In terms of profitability, while earnings grew
by a modest 15% yoy boosted by higher other income and lower tax rate,
operating profit grew only 4.5% yoy impacted by the 270bp contraction in gross
margin due to rising input costs. We recommend Neutral view on the stock.
Strong volume growth, low tax boost earnings: Marico posted a steady top-line
growth of ~12.5% yoy to `779cr led by strong 15% volume growth. Its core
brands Parachute and Saffola posted volume growth of 10% and 18%
respectively. Management guided for a further ~6-7% price hike in Parachute
(~5% already implemented in August). Kaya grew 28% yoy (including Derma Rx)
and 2% yoy (excluding Derma Rx) with declining sequential losses in standalone
Kaya. International business continued its steady momentum with 23% growth in
constant currency terms (18% adjusted for rupee appreciation). In terms of
earnings, Marico posted a growth of 15% yoy to `71.6cr driven by higher other
income and lower tax rate. EBITDA grew at a muted 4.5% yoy due to the sharp
270bp contraction in margins on account of timing mismatch between rising input
costs and price hikes.
Outlook and Valuation: We expect 2HFY2011 to be significantly better than
1HFY2011 owing to the recent price hikes in Parachute, improving profitability in
international business, and 3) lower tax rate. However, due to the recent run up
in the stock price, at the CMP of `133, the stock is trading at 23.5x FY2012E
earnings, (in line with historical valuations) leaving little room for upside. Hence,
we recommend Neutral view on the stock.
Key Financials (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 2,388 2,661 3,133 3,598
% chg 25.4 11.4 17.7 14.8
Net Profit (Adj) 203.8 241.5 299.5 347.5
% chg 28.6 18.5 24.0 16.0
EBITDA (%) 12.7 14.1 13.5 13.8
EPS (`) 3.3 3.9 4.9 5.7
P/E (x) 40.1 33.8 27.3 23.5
P/BV (x) 17.9 12.4 9.1 6.9
RoE (%) 53.0 43.6 38.5 33.4
RoCE (%) 35.7 32.5 30.4 30.7
EV/Sales (x) 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.3
EV/EBITDA (x) 27.6 22.5 19.5 16.3
Source: Company, Angel Research
NEUTRAL
CMP `133
Target Price -
Investment Period -
Stock Info
Sector FMCG
Market Cap (` cr) 8,104
Beta 0.5
52 Week High / Low 153/94
Avg. Daily Volume 1,69,715
Face Value (`) 1
BSE Sensex 20,221
Nifty 6,082
Reuters Code MRCO.BO
Bloomberg Code MRCOIN
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Promoters 63.0
MF / Banks / Indian Fls 6.3
FII / NRIs / OCBs 24.5
Indian Public / Others 6.2
Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
Sensex 12.2 20.8 5.1
Marico 6.5 33.7 111.7
Anand Shah
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334
anand.shah@angelbroking.com
Chitrangda Kapur
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323
chitrangdar.kapur@angebroking.com
Sreekanth P.V.S
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 331
sreekanth.s@angelbroking.com
Marico
Performance Highlights
2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG
October 26, 2010
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 2
Exhibit 1: Quarterly Performance (Consolidated)
 
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % yoy 1HFY11 1HFY10 % chg
Net Sales 778.8 692.2 12.5 1,568.9 1,388.9 13.0
Consumption of RM 388.0 326.2 18.9 791.3 676.3 17.0
(% of Sales) 49.8 47.1 50.4 48.7
Staff Costs 58.2 50.3 15.7 112.2 99.1 13.3
(% of Sales) 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.1
Advertising 94.9 91.4 3.9 188.7 176.3 7.0
(% of Sales) 12.2 13.2 12.0 12.7
Other Expenses 138.5 129.4 7.0 272.0 245.8 10.7
(% of Sales) 17.8 18.7 17.3 17.7
Total Expenditure 679.5 597.2 13.8 1,364.2 1,197.5 13.9
Operating Profit 99.3 95.0 4.5 204.7 191.4 6.9
OPM (%) 12.7 13.7 13.0 13.8
Interest 6.5 5.6 15.2 13.5 14.2 (5.4)
Depreciation 14.0 17.9 (21.9) 26.0 27.8 (6.5)
Other Income 7.1 4.2 70.4 11.6 7.3 57.9
PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 86.0 75.7 13.6 176.8 156.7 12.8
Extr. Income/(Expense) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (4.1)
PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 86.0 75.7 13.6 176.8 152.7 15.8
(% of Sales) 11.0 10.9 11.3 11.0
Provision for Taxation 12.6 13.3 0.0 28.8 34.3 (16.0)
(% of PBT) 14.7 17.5 16.3 22.5
Minority Interest 1.8 0.1 2.7 0.1
Reported PAT 71.6 62.4 14.8 145.3 118.3 22.8
PATM 9.2 9.0 9.3 8.5
Equity shares (cr) 60.9 60.9 60.9 60.9
Reported EPS (`) 1.2 1.0 14.7 2.4 1.9 22.8
Adjusted PAT 71.6 62.4 14.8 145.3 122.4 18.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
Volume growth strong at 15% led by core brands
Marico posted top-line growth of 12.5% yoy to `779cr (`692cr), marginally below
our estimates, led by strong 15% volume growth. However, price cuts taken in core
brands in 2HFY2010 (to pass on deflation in key inputs) led to negative value growth
curtailing overall top-line growth. The full impact of the recent price hikes in
Parachute is likely to be felt in 2HFY2011. Its core brands Parachute (rigids) and
Saffola posted volume growth of 10% (6% overall) and 18% respectively, for the
quarter. Marico’s International business continued to post steady growth of 23% yoy
in constant currency terms (18% yoy reported growth adjusted for rupee
appreciation). Kaya solutions business posted strong growth of 28% yoy, boosted by
Derma Rx acquisition in May 2010, to `62.4cr. On a comparable basis, Kaya
(without Derma Rx) posted a 2% yoy growth.
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 3
Exhibit 2: Top-line growth driven by 15% volume growth
Source: Company, Angel Research
Earnings up 15%, marginally below estimates
In terms of earnings, Marico posted a growth of 15% yoy to `71.6cr (`62.4),
marginally below our estimates, boosted largely by a 283bp decline in tax rate due
to production from manufacturing facilities in tax free zones, higher contribution
from international business, and higher other income which rose 70% yoy.
Management has guided for an effective tax rate of ~16% in FY2011 and ~20% in
FY2012.
OPM down 98bp as gross margins contract 270bp
Marico witnessed contraction in gross margin by 270bp yoy as copra, rice bran oil
and HDPE prices were higher 26%, 23% and 5%, respectively. Prices of safflower oil
however, trended lower by 6% yoy during the quarter. The price cuts undertaken in
recruiter packs of Parachute and promotional offers on core brands undertaken
during the quarter exerted further pressure on gross margins. Hence, OPM
contracted by 98bp yoy to 12.7% despite 100bp yoy and 90bp yoy reduction in
advertising spend and other expenses, resulting in muted 4.5% yoy growth in EBITDA
to Rs99cr. We highlight that other expenses include provisioning of `8.2cr (`12.4cr)
for excise duty on CNO packs up to 200ml and Rs4.4cr sales tax refund adjusted for
which EBITDA grew 15.6% and OPM expanded 33bp to 12.3%.
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11
(yoy%)
`cr)
Top-line (LHS) YoY growth (RHS)
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 4
Exhibit 3: Earnings growth moderate at ~15% levels
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 4: Input costs on uptrend, OPM contracts
Source: Company, Angel Research
Steady growth in core brands
Parachute coconut oil in rigid packs recorded volume growth of 10% yoy during the
quarter aided by price cuts in recruiter packs. The company undertook ~5%
weighted average price hike in Parachute in August and is contemplating another
~6-7% hike to compensate for the ~15-20% inflation in copra prices.
The Saffola franchise registered a growth of 18% yoy during the quarter aided
partially by consumer offer on select SKUs. In terms of input costs, while rice bran oil
witnessed a spike of ~23%, safflower oil prices trended lower by ~6% during the
quarter. The company took ~5% price hike in select packs to cover this cost push.
During 4QFY2010, Saffola Arise (packaged rice) was launched and has been
accepted well (`400cr market, growing at over 20% in modern trade). Further, in
June 2010, Marico launched Saffola Oats (Oats is `120-140cr market, growing at
40%) in modern retail. Marico is targeting `30-35cr revenues between these two
brands in FY2011.
Exhibit 5: Steady volume growth in Parachute
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 6: Saffola sustains high double-digit growth
Source: Company, Angel Research
(20.0)
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2QFY09 4QFY09 2QFY10 4QFY10 2QFY11
(yoy%)
(`cr)
PAT (LHS) YoY growth (RHS)
12.2 12.7 13.3 13.8 13.7 14.8 14.1 13.3 13
45.9 44.9
49.6 49.7
52.9 52.7 56.1
49.0 50.2
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2QFY09 4QFY09 2QFY10 4QFY10 2QFY11
(%)
OPM Gross Margin
8
12
9 9 9
10
8
10
14
10
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1QFY09
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
(%)
28
9
(3)
11
13
22
18
13
18 18
(5)
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
1QFY09
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
(%)
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 5
Hair oils grow 14%, plans to enter cooling oils on track
During the quarter, all Marico’s hair oils brands recorded healthy growth with the
hair oils portfolio in rigid packs registering ~14% yoy growth led by market share
gains (up 140bp yoy to 22% in volume terms). We highlight that part of pre-festive
sales have shifted to 3QFY2011 (included in 2QFY2010 base). Price cut in Shanti
Badam Amla has helped it gain market share in the Amla hair oil category and
currently stands at ~15%. The prototyping of Parachute hair oil in Andhra Pradesh
has been received well, and having achieved ~8% market share in the state, Marico
has extended the brand to Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. The quarter also witnessed
the launch of Parachute Advanced Ayurvedic hair oil (`235cr market size growing at
~19%) for hair fall control in Tamil Nadu. The product is priced at `35 for 100ml
and `66 for 200ml packs.
International business registers strong 23% growth
Marico’s International FMCG business grew a strong 23% yoy (18% yoy adjusted for
currency movement) during the quarter led by 18% volume growth and 5% price-led
growth. It now constitutes around 23% of the group turnover.
In Bangladesh, Parachute commanded a volume share of about 76% with shares in
recent months going up to ~79%. Hair dye code established itself as the second
largest hair dye brand in Bangladesh with a market share of 20%. The launch of
Saffola in 1QFY2011 has met with positive response and is expected to grow at a
healthy pace. In the Middle East, both Parachute Cream and Parachute Gold hair oil
experienced healthy growth. Marico’s business in Egypt continued to post steady
growth and maintained its market share at ~57%. The new plant in Egypt set up to
cater to the MENA region has now stabilised and is fully operational. South Africa
registered robust growth of 31% yoy driven by strong growth across brands.
Integration of the recently acquired OTC healthcare brand, Ingwe, in South Africa is
on track.
Exhibit 7: 23% growth in international business led by 18% vol growth
Source: Company, Angel Research
37
59
44 45
63
49
24
16
29
23
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1QFY09
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
(%)
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 6
Kaya showing signs of revival, cuts down losses
Kaya posted a growth of 28% during the quarter led by the acquisition of Derma Rx.
Kaya posted a turnover of `62.4cr (including Derma Rx) and a growth of 2% yoy
before Derma Rx. Despite the closure of 6 clinics in the last quarter, there was a
sequential growth of ~9%. However, the same clinic revenue saw of a decline of
~3%. During the quarter, Kaya cut down losses to `3.5cr (`6.25cr) and including
Derma Rx, PBT stood at a positive `0.9cr.
Exhibit 8: Kaya revives with 28% yoy, 9% qoq growth
Source: Company, Angel Research
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2QFY09 4QFY09 2QFY10 4QFY10 2QFY11
(yoy%)
(`cr)
Top-line (LHS) YoY growth (RHS)
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 7
Investment Rationale
Steady volumes in core brands, new prototypes promising: We expect Marico’s
core brands, Parachute and Saffola, to deliver sustainable volume growth of
6-8% and 14-15% respectively, during FY2010-12. Moreover, Marico’s entry
into cooling oils (~18% of hair oils market in volume terms) via Nihar Natural
Coconut Cooling Oil/Parachute Advansed Coconut Cooling Oil coupled with
initial success of Saffola Arise and introduction of Soffola oats (management
expects Rs35cr revenues in FY2011 from rice and oats) looks promising.
Robust growth in international business: Strong presence in emerging markets
coupled with series of acquisitions (Egypt, South Africa, Malaysia) have helped
Marico post strong growth in international business revenues, which now
contribute ~23% to consolidated revenues. We have modeled in a robust 22%
CAGR in international revenues over FY2010-12E and expect high incremental
contribution to overall profitability (better margins and lower tax rates).
Kaya’s long-term potential intact, near term consolidation: Over the last several
quarters, Marico has consolidated its Kaya operations in India post the dip in
same store sales growth due to service tax imposition and economic downturn.
However, post consolidation (6 clinics closed in India), we believe profitability is
likely to improve in Kaya and revenue traction is expected to pick up on a low
base. Moreover, acquisition of Derma Rx (Rs50cr revenue) is likely to be EPS
accretive and holds synergistic benefits for Kaya in India (management expects
the same to help product revenues increase from ~13% to 20% in Kaya).
Over FY2010-12E, we have modeled in 13% CAGR in standalone Kaya
revenues and 25% CAGR including Derma Rx revenues.
Outlook and Valuation
We maintain our positive stance on Marico driven by steady growth in its core
brands, growing contribution and profitability in international business and potential
recovery in the Kaya business. In terms of profitability, we believe 2HFY2011 would
be significantly better than 1HFY2011 aided by the recent price hikes in Parachute,
improving profitability in the international business, and 3) lower tax rate. However,
due to the recent run up in the stock price, at the CMP of `133, the stock is trading at
23.5x FY2012E earnings (in line with its historical valuations) leaving little room for
upside. Hence, we recommend Neutral view on the stock.
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 8
Exhibit 9: Key Assumptions
Sales (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Focus Brands 1,926 2,128 2,531 2,924
Parachute (Rigids) 572 564 620 673
Nihar (CNO) 86 91 100 109
Hair Oils (Incl Nihar) 336 363 443 531
Saffola 334 351 410 472
International FMCG 427 578 712 852
Kaya (Incl Derma Rx from FY11) 157 182 246 287
Non Focus Brands 462 533 602 674
Total Revenue 2,388 2,661 3,133 3,598
YoY % Growth
Focus Brands 24.1 10.5 18.9 15.5
Parachute (Rigids) 7.3 (1.6) 10.0 8.5
Nihar (CNO) 16.0 6.0 10.0 9.0
Hair Oils (Incl Nihar) 33.0 8.0 22.0 20.0
Saffola 23.0 5.0 17.0 15.0
International FMCG 38.2 35.5 23.1 19.8
Kaya (Incl Derma Rx from FY11) 57.6 15.7 35.3 16.6
Non Focus Brands 30.4 15.2 13.1 11.8
Total Revenue 25.3 11.4 17.7 14.8
Source: Company, Angel Research
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 9
Exhibit 10: Peer Valuation
Company Reco Mcap CMP TP* Upside P/E (x) EV/Sales (x) RoE (%) CAGR#
(` cr) (`) (`) (%) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Sales PAT
Asian Paints Accumulate 25,573 2,666 2,974 11.6 27.8 23.3 3.3 2.7 40.6 37.3 19.8 22.6
Colgate Neutral 11,497 845 838 (0.8) 26.1 22.2 4.9 4.2 116.2 104.2 15.6 22.3
Dabur Neutral 17,848 103 105 2.1 30.2 25.5 4.3 3.6 53.8 48.9 22.7 33.9
GSKCHL Neutral 8,872 2,109 2,118 0.4 31.3 25.9 3.6 3.0 28.6 28.9 19.5 22.3
GCPL Neutral 12,758 394 410 4.1 26.5 21.1 4.0 3.3 37.6 30.1 29.4 23.7
HUL Reduce 64,317 295 276 (8.1) 29.8 26.3 3.1 2.8 73.0 72.8 10.8 7.9
ITC Neutral 131,422 172 177 2.6 26.9 23.4 6.0 5.1 31.8 31.1 18.9 13.1
Marico Neutral 8,104 133 135 1.5 27.3 23.5 2.6 2.3 38.5 33.4 16.3 20.0
Nestle Neutral 30,785 3,193 3,395 6.3 38.3 31.5 5.0 4.3 114.4 106.7 21.2 26.3
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: # denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E, * In case of Neutral recommendation, TP = Fair value
Exhibit 11: Angel v/s Consensus estimates
Top-line (` cr) FY2011E FY2012E EPS (`) FY2011E FY2012E
Angel estimates 3,133 3,598 Angel estimates 4.9 5.7
Consensus 3,081 3,561 Consensus 4.8 5.9
Diff (%) 1.7 1.0 Diff (%) 0.8 (3.3)
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 12: Marico v/s Sensex - Absolute returns
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 13: One-yr forward P/E band
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 14: One-yr forward P/E chart
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average
Exhibit 15: One-yr forward Premium v/s Sensex
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average
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Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 10
Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated)
Y/E Mar (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Gross sales 1,559 1,907 2,390 2,662 3,135 3,600
Less: Excise duty 2 2 2 1 2 2
Net Sales 1,557 1,905 2,388 2,661 3,133 3,598
Total operating income 1,557 1,905 2,388 2,661 3,133 3,598
% chg 36.1 22.4 25.4 11.4 17.7 14.8
Total Expenditure 1,358 1,659 2,084 2,286 2,710 3,103
Cost of Materials 804 981 1,278 1,262 1,551 1,784
Advertising Exp 212 244 243 351 392 450
Personnel 91 127 166 190 224 252
Others 251 307 398 483 544 617
EBITDA 199 246 304 375 423 495
% chg 37.7 24.0 23.4 23.4 12.7 17.0
(% of Net Sales) 12.8 12.9 12.7 14.1 13.5 13.8
Depreciation& Amortisation 52 31 36 60 55 60
EBIT 147 215 268 315 367 435
% chg 47.2 47.1 24.5 17.5 16.6 18.3
(% of Net Sales) 9.4 11.3 11.2 11.8 11.7 12.1
Interest & other Charges 21 31 36 26 24 20
Other Income 10 10 12 18 24 29
(% of PBT) 7.5 4.9 5.0 5.9 6.6 6.4
Share in profit of Associates 0 0 0 0 0 0
Recurring PBT 136 195 245 308 367 443
% chg 38.8 43.0 25.8 25.7 19.4 20.6
Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) (14) (11) 15 10 0 0
PBT (reported) 150 205 230 298 367 443
Tax 37 36 41 64 62 89
(% of PBT) 27.3 18.5 16.7 20.9 17.0 20.0
PAT (reported) 113 169 189 234 305 355
Add: Share of associates 0 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Minority interest (MI) 0 0 (0) 2 6 7
PAT after MI (reported) 113 169 189 232 299 348
ADJ. PAT 99 158 204 241 299 348
% chg 13.8 60.3 28.6 18.5 24.0 16.0
(% of Net Sales) 6.3 8.3 8.5 9.1 9.6 9.7
Basic EPS (`) 1.6 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.9 5.7
Fully Diluted EPS (`) 1.6 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.9 5.7
% chg 13.8 60.3 28.6 18.5 24.0 16.0
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 11
Balance Sheet (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital 61 61 61 61 61 61
Preference Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
Reserves& Surplus 131 254 393 593 839 1,121
Shareholders Funds 192 315 454 654 900 1,183
Minority Interest 0 0 0 13 13 13
Total Loans 251 358 374 446 392 337
Total Liabilities 443 673 828 1,112 1,304 1,532
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Gross Block 250 315 414 468 535 591
Less: Acc. Depreciation 139 163 203 242 303 368
Net Block 111 151 210 226 232 223
Capital Work-in-Progress 23 65 58 113 80 71
Goodwill 76 126 128 146 176 181
Investments 0 0 12 83 83 83
Deferred Tax Asset 115 98 64 62 62 62
Current Assets 400 528 670 897 1,180 1,511
Cash 43 75 90 111 232 380
Loans & Advances 72 106 130 190 219 252
Other 286 347 450 596 729 879
Current liabilities 283 295 314 414 509 598
Net Current Assets 118 233 355 483 672 913
Mis. Exp. not written off 0.12 - - - - -
Total Assets 443 673 828 1,112 1,304 1,532
Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Profit before tax 150 205 230 298 367 443
Depreciation 52 31 36 60 55 60
Change in Working Capital (6) (89) (75) (135) (102) (129)
Interest / Dividend (Net) 21 28 30 15 11 5
Direct taxes paid 37 36 41 64 62 89
Others 10 14 2 39 27 23
Cash Flow from Operations 189 153 182 212 296 314
Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets (300) (155) (95) (149) (64) (51)
Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments 23 0 (12) (71) 0 0
Cash Flow from Investing (277) (155) (107) (219) (64) (51)
Issue of Equity 145 0 0 18 0 0
Inc./(Dec.) in loans 11 107 16 72 (54) (55)
Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 47 45 47 47 47 54
Interest / Dividend (Net) 21 28 30 15 11 5
Cash Flow from Financing 89 35 (60) 28 (111) (114)
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 1 32 15 21 121 148
Opening Cash balances 41 43 75 90 111 232
Closing Cash balances 43 75 90 111 232 380
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 12
Key Ratios
Y/E Mar FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Valuation Ratio (x)
P/E (on FDEPS) 82.6 51.5 40.1 33.8 27.3 23.5
P/CEPS 53.6 42.8 33.8 26.9 23.0 20.1
P/BV 42.1 25.7 17.9 12.4 9.1 6.9
Dividend yield (%) 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7
EV/Sales 5.3 4.3 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.3
EV/EBITDA 41.8 34.0 27.6 22.5 19.5 16.3
EV / Total Assets 18.7 12.5 10.1 7.6 6.3 5.3
Per Share Data (`)
EPS (Basic) 1.6 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.9 5.7
EPS (fully diluted) 1.6 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.9 5.7
Cash EPS 2.5 3.1 3.9 4.9 5.8 6.6
DPS 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9
Book Value 3.2 5.2 7.4 10.7 14.7 19.3
Returns (%)
RoCE 31.0 38.6 35.7 32.5 30.4 30.7
Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 50.7 54.2 49.6 43.0 42.0 46.6
RoE 43.6 62.5 53.0 43.6 38.5 33.4
Turnover ratios (x)
Asset Turnover 3.9 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.7 4.9
Inventory / Sales (days) 52 50 52 61 64 66
Receivables (days) 15 17 17 21 22 23
Payables (days) 63 49 43 46 48 48
Net working capital (days) 18 30 41 51 51 54
Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 13
Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: Research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
Disclaimer
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
the past.
Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the
latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have
investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement Marico
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes
3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)

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Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010

  • 1. Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1 (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % yoy Angel Est % Diff Revenue 778.8 692.2 12.5 805.1 (3.3) EBITDA 99.3 95.0 4.5 105.9 (6.3) OPM (%) 12.7 13.7 (98) 13.2 (41) PAT 71.6 62.4 14.8 73.2 (2.3) Source: Company, Angel Research Marico posted mix set of numbers for 2QFY2011. While overall volume growth stood at a strong 15%, price cuts in core brands continued to drag overall top-line growth (unfavourable base). In terms of profitability, while earnings grew by a modest 15% yoy boosted by higher other income and lower tax rate, operating profit grew only 4.5% yoy impacted by the 270bp contraction in gross margin due to rising input costs. We recommend Neutral view on the stock. Strong volume growth, low tax boost earnings: Marico posted a steady top-line growth of ~12.5% yoy to `779cr led by strong 15% volume growth. Its core brands Parachute and Saffola posted volume growth of 10% and 18% respectively. Management guided for a further ~6-7% price hike in Parachute (~5% already implemented in August). Kaya grew 28% yoy (including Derma Rx) and 2% yoy (excluding Derma Rx) with declining sequential losses in standalone Kaya. International business continued its steady momentum with 23% growth in constant currency terms (18% adjusted for rupee appreciation). In terms of earnings, Marico posted a growth of 15% yoy to `71.6cr driven by higher other income and lower tax rate. EBITDA grew at a muted 4.5% yoy due to the sharp 270bp contraction in margins on account of timing mismatch between rising input costs and price hikes. Outlook and Valuation: We expect 2HFY2011 to be significantly better than 1HFY2011 owing to the recent price hikes in Parachute, improving profitability in international business, and 3) lower tax rate. However, due to the recent run up in the stock price, at the CMP of `133, the stock is trading at 23.5x FY2012E earnings, (in line with historical valuations) leaving little room for upside. Hence, we recommend Neutral view on the stock. Key Financials (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 2,388 2,661 3,133 3,598 % chg 25.4 11.4 17.7 14.8 Net Profit (Adj) 203.8 241.5 299.5 347.5 % chg 28.6 18.5 24.0 16.0 EBITDA (%) 12.7 14.1 13.5 13.8 EPS (`) 3.3 3.9 4.9 5.7 P/E (x) 40.1 33.8 27.3 23.5 P/BV (x) 17.9 12.4 9.1 6.9 RoE (%) 53.0 43.6 38.5 33.4 RoCE (%) 35.7 32.5 30.4 30.7 EV/Sales (x) 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.3 EV/EBITDA (x) 27.6 22.5 19.5 16.3 Source: Company, Angel Research NEUTRAL CMP `133 Target Price - Investment Period - Stock Info Sector FMCG Market Cap (` cr) 8,104 Beta 0.5 52 Week High / Low 153/94 Avg. Daily Volume 1,69,715 Face Value (`) 1 BSE Sensex 20,221 Nifty 6,082 Reuters Code MRCO.BO Bloomberg Code MRCOIN Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters 63.0 MF / Banks / Indian Fls 6.3 FII / NRIs / OCBs 24.5 Indian Public / Others 6.2 Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr Sensex 12.2 20.8 5.1 Marico 6.5 33.7 111.7 Anand Shah 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334 anand.shah@angelbroking.com Chitrangda Kapur 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323 chitrangdar.kapur@angebroking.com Sreekanth P.V.S 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 331 sreekanth.s@angelbroking.com Marico Performance Highlights 2QFY2011 Result Update | FMCG October 26, 2010
  • 2. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 2 Exhibit 1: Quarterly Performance (Consolidated)   Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % yoy 1HFY11 1HFY10 % chg Net Sales 778.8 692.2 12.5 1,568.9 1,388.9 13.0 Consumption of RM 388.0 326.2 18.9 791.3 676.3 17.0 (% of Sales) 49.8 47.1 50.4 48.7 Staff Costs 58.2 50.3 15.7 112.2 99.1 13.3 (% of Sales) 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.1 Advertising 94.9 91.4 3.9 188.7 176.3 7.0 (% of Sales) 12.2 13.2 12.0 12.7 Other Expenses 138.5 129.4 7.0 272.0 245.8 10.7 (% of Sales) 17.8 18.7 17.3 17.7 Total Expenditure 679.5 597.2 13.8 1,364.2 1,197.5 13.9 Operating Profit 99.3 95.0 4.5 204.7 191.4 6.9 OPM (%) 12.7 13.7 13.0 13.8 Interest 6.5 5.6 15.2 13.5 14.2 (5.4) Depreciation 14.0 17.9 (21.9) 26.0 27.8 (6.5) Other Income 7.1 4.2 70.4 11.6 7.3 57.9 PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 86.0 75.7 13.6 176.8 156.7 12.8 Extr. Income/(Expense) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (4.1) PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 86.0 75.7 13.6 176.8 152.7 15.8 (% of Sales) 11.0 10.9 11.3 11.0 Provision for Taxation 12.6 13.3 0.0 28.8 34.3 (16.0) (% of PBT) 14.7 17.5 16.3 22.5 Minority Interest 1.8 0.1 2.7 0.1 Reported PAT 71.6 62.4 14.8 145.3 118.3 22.8 PATM 9.2 9.0 9.3 8.5 Equity shares (cr) 60.9 60.9 60.9 60.9 Reported EPS (`) 1.2 1.0 14.7 2.4 1.9 22.8 Adjusted PAT 71.6 62.4 14.8 145.3 122.4 18.7 Source: Company, Angel Research Volume growth strong at 15% led by core brands Marico posted top-line growth of 12.5% yoy to `779cr (`692cr), marginally below our estimates, led by strong 15% volume growth. However, price cuts taken in core brands in 2HFY2010 (to pass on deflation in key inputs) led to negative value growth curtailing overall top-line growth. The full impact of the recent price hikes in Parachute is likely to be felt in 2HFY2011. Its core brands Parachute (rigids) and Saffola posted volume growth of 10% (6% overall) and 18% respectively, for the quarter. Marico’s International business continued to post steady growth of 23% yoy in constant currency terms (18% yoy reported growth adjusted for rupee appreciation). Kaya solutions business posted strong growth of 28% yoy, boosted by Derma Rx acquisition in May 2010, to `62.4cr. On a comparable basis, Kaya (without Derma Rx) posted a 2% yoy growth.
  • 3. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 3 Exhibit 2: Top-line growth driven by 15% volume growth Source: Company, Angel Research Earnings up 15%, marginally below estimates In terms of earnings, Marico posted a growth of 15% yoy to `71.6cr (`62.4), marginally below our estimates, boosted largely by a 283bp decline in tax rate due to production from manufacturing facilities in tax free zones, higher contribution from international business, and higher other income which rose 70% yoy. Management has guided for an effective tax rate of ~16% in FY2011 and ~20% in FY2012. OPM down 98bp as gross margins contract 270bp Marico witnessed contraction in gross margin by 270bp yoy as copra, rice bran oil and HDPE prices were higher 26%, 23% and 5%, respectively. Prices of safflower oil however, trended lower by 6% yoy during the quarter. The price cuts undertaken in recruiter packs of Parachute and promotional offers on core brands undertaken during the quarter exerted further pressure on gross margins. Hence, OPM contracted by 98bp yoy to 12.7% despite 100bp yoy and 90bp yoy reduction in advertising spend and other expenses, resulting in muted 4.5% yoy growth in EBITDA to Rs99cr. We highlight that other expenses include provisioning of `8.2cr (`12.4cr) for excise duty on CNO packs up to 200ml and Rs4.4cr sales tax refund adjusted for which EBITDA grew 15.6% and OPM expanded 33bp to 12.3%. - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 - 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 (yoy%) `cr) Top-line (LHS) YoY growth (RHS)
  • 4. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 4 Exhibit 3: Earnings growth moderate at ~15% levels Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 4: Input costs on uptrend, OPM contracts Source: Company, Angel Research Steady growth in core brands Parachute coconut oil in rigid packs recorded volume growth of 10% yoy during the quarter aided by price cuts in recruiter packs. The company undertook ~5% weighted average price hike in Parachute in August and is contemplating another ~6-7% hike to compensate for the ~15-20% inflation in copra prices. The Saffola franchise registered a growth of 18% yoy during the quarter aided partially by consumer offer on select SKUs. In terms of input costs, while rice bran oil witnessed a spike of ~23%, safflower oil prices trended lower by ~6% during the quarter. The company took ~5% price hike in select packs to cover this cost push. During 4QFY2010, Saffola Arise (packaged rice) was launched and has been accepted well (`400cr market, growing at over 20% in modern trade). Further, in June 2010, Marico launched Saffola Oats (Oats is `120-140cr market, growing at 40%) in modern retail. Marico is targeting `30-35cr revenues between these two brands in FY2011. Exhibit 5: Steady volume growth in Parachute Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 6: Saffola sustains high double-digit growth Source: Company, Angel Research (20.0) - 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2QFY09 4QFY09 2QFY10 4QFY10 2QFY11 (yoy%) (`cr) PAT (LHS) YoY growth (RHS) 12.2 12.7 13.3 13.8 13.7 14.8 14.1 13.3 13 45.9 44.9 49.6 49.7 52.9 52.7 56.1 49.0 50.2 - 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 2QFY09 4QFY09 2QFY10 4QFY10 2QFY11 (%) OPM Gross Margin 8 12 9 9 9 10 8 10 14 10 - 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 (%) 28 9 (3) 11 13 22 18 13 18 18 (5) - 5 10 15 20 25 30 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 (%)
  • 5. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 5 Hair oils grow 14%, plans to enter cooling oils on track During the quarter, all Marico’s hair oils brands recorded healthy growth with the hair oils portfolio in rigid packs registering ~14% yoy growth led by market share gains (up 140bp yoy to 22% in volume terms). We highlight that part of pre-festive sales have shifted to 3QFY2011 (included in 2QFY2010 base). Price cut in Shanti Badam Amla has helped it gain market share in the Amla hair oil category and currently stands at ~15%. The prototyping of Parachute hair oil in Andhra Pradesh has been received well, and having achieved ~8% market share in the state, Marico has extended the brand to Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. The quarter also witnessed the launch of Parachute Advanced Ayurvedic hair oil (`235cr market size growing at ~19%) for hair fall control in Tamil Nadu. The product is priced at `35 for 100ml and `66 for 200ml packs. International business registers strong 23% growth Marico’s International FMCG business grew a strong 23% yoy (18% yoy adjusted for currency movement) during the quarter led by 18% volume growth and 5% price-led growth. It now constitutes around 23% of the group turnover. In Bangladesh, Parachute commanded a volume share of about 76% with shares in recent months going up to ~79%. Hair dye code established itself as the second largest hair dye brand in Bangladesh with a market share of 20%. The launch of Saffola in 1QFY2011 has met with positive response and is expected to grow at a healthy pace. In the Middle East, both Parachute Cream and Parachute Gold hair oil experienced healthy growth. Marico’s business in Egypt continued to post steady growth and maintained its market share at ~57%. The new plant in Egypt set up to cater to the MENA region has now stabilised and is fully operational. South Africa registered robust growth of 31% yoy driven by strong growth across brands. Integration of the recently acquired OTC healthcare brand, Ingwe, in South Africa is on track. Exhibit 7: 23% growth in international business led by 18% vol growth Source: Company, Angel Research 37 59 44 45 63 49 24 16 29 23 - 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 (%)
  • 6. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 6 Kaya showing signs of revival, cuts down losses Kaya posted a growth of 28% during the quarter led by the acquisition of Derma Rx. Kaya posted a turnover of `62.4cr (including Derma Rx) and a growth of 2% yoy before Derma Rx. Despite the closure of 6 clinics in the last quarter, there was a sequential growth of ~9%. However, the same clinic revenue saw of a decline of ~3%. During the quarter, Kaya cut down losses to `3.5cr (`6.25cr) and including Derma Rx, PBT stood at a positive `0.9cr. Exhibit 8: Kaya revives with 28% yoy, 9% qoq growth Source: Company, Angel Research - 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 - 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2QFY09 4QFY09 2QFY10 4QFY10 2QFY11 (yoy%) (`cr) Top-line (LHS) YoY growth (RHS)
  • 7. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 7 Investment Rationale Steady volumes in core brands, new prototypes promising: We expect Marico’s core brands, Parachute and Saffola, to deliver sustainable volume growth of 6-8% and 14-15% respectively, during FY2010-12. Moreover, Marico’s entry into cooling oils (~18% of hair oils market in volume terms) via Nihar Natural Coconut Cooling Oil/Parachute Advansed Coconut Cooling Oil coupled with initial success of Saffola Arise and introduction of Soffola oats (management expects Rs35cr revenues in FY2011 from rice and oats) looks promising. Robust growth in international business: Strong presence in emerging markets coupled with series of acquisitions (Egypt, South Africa, Malaysia) have helped Marico post strong growth in international business revenues, which now contribute ~23% to consolidated revenues. We have modeled in a robust 22% CAGR in international revenues over FY2010-12E and expect high incremental contribution to overall profitability (better margins and lower tax rates). Kaya’s long-term potential intact, near term consolidation: Over the last several quarters, Marico has consolidated its Kaya operations in India post the dip in same store sales growth due to service tax imposition and economic downturn. However, post consolidation (6 clinics closed in India), we believe profitability is likely to improve in Kaya and revenue traction is expected to pick up on a low base. Moreover, acquisition of Derma Rx (Rs50cr revenue) is likely to be EPS accretive and holds synergistic benefits for Kaya in India (management expects the same to help product revenues increase from ~13% to 20% in Kaya). Over FY2010-12E, we have modeled in 13% CAGR in standalone Kaya revenues and 25% CAGR including Derma Rx revenues. Outlook and Valuation We maintain our positive stance on Marico driven by steady growth in its core brands, growing contribution and profitability in international business and potential recovery in the Kaya business. In terms of profitability, we believe 2HFY2011 would be significantly better than 1HFY2011 aided by the recent price hikes in Parachute, improving profitability in the international business, and 3) lower tax rate. However, due to the recent run up in the stock price, at the CMP of `133, the stock is trading at 23.5x FY2012E earnings (in line with its historical valuations) leaving little room for upside. Hence, we recommend Neutral view on the stock.
  • 8. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 8 Exhibit 9: Key Assumptions Sales (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Focus Brands 1,926 2,128 2,531 2,924 Parachute (Rigids) 572 564 620 673 Nihar (CNO) 86 91 100 109 Hair Oils (Incl Nihar) 336 363 443 531 Saffola 334 351 410 472 International FMCG 427 578 712 852 Kaya (Incl Derma Rx from FY11) 157 182 246 287 Non Focus Brands 462 533 602 674 Total Revenue 2,388 2,661 3,133 3,598 YoY % Growth Focus Brands 24.1 10.5 18.9 15.5 Parachute (Rigids) 7.3 (1.6) 10.0 8.5 Nihar (CNO) 16.0 6.0 10.0 9.0 Hair Oils (Incl Nihar) 33.0 8.0 22.0 20.0 Saffola 23.0 5.0 17.0 15.0 International FMCG 38.2 35.5 23.1 19.8 Kaya (Incl Derma Rx from FY11) 57.6 15.7 35.3 16.6 Non Focus Brands 30.4 15.2 13.1 11.8 Total Revenue 25.3 11.4 17.7 14.8 Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 9. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 9 Exhibit 10: Peer Valuation Company Reco Mcap CMP TP* Upside P/E (x) EV/Sales (x) RoE (%) CAGR# (` cr) (`) (`) (%) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Sales PAT Asian Paints Accumulate 25,573 2,666 2,974 11.6 27.8 23.3 3.3 2.7 40.6 37.3 19.8 22.6 Colgate Neutral 11,497 845 838 (0.8) 26.1 22.2 4.9 4.2 116.2 104.2 15.6 22.3 Dabur Neutral 17,848 103 105 2.1 30.2 25.5 4.3 3.6 53.8 48.9 22.7 33.9 GSKCHL Neutral 8,872 2,109 2,118 0.4 31.3 25.9 3.6 3.0 28.6 28.9 19.5 22.3 GCPL Neutral 12,758 394 410 4.1 26.5 21.1 4.0 3.3 37.6 30.1 29.4 23.7 HUL Reduce 64,317 295 276 (8.1) 29.8 26.3 3.1 2.8 73.0 72.8 10.8 7.9 ITC Neutral 131,422 172 177 2.6 26.9 23.4 6.0 5.1 31.8 31.1 18.9 13.1 Marico Neutral 8,104 133 135 1.5 27.3 23.5 2.6 2.3 38.5 33.4 16.3 20.0 Nestle Neutral 30,785 3,193 3,395 6.3 38.3 31.5 5.0 4.3 114.4 106.7 21.2 26.3 Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: # denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E, * In case of Neutral recommendation, TP = Fair value Exhibit 11: Angel v/s Consensus estimates Top-line (` cr) FY2011E FY2012E EPS (`) FY2011E FY2012E Angel estimates 3,133 3,598 Angel estimates 4.9 5.7 Consensus 3,081 3,561 Consensus 4.8 5.9 Diff (%) 1.7 1.0 Diff (%) 0.8 (3.3) Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research Exhibit 12: Marico v/s Sensex - Absolute returns Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 13: One-yr forward P/E band Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 14: One-yr forward P/E chart Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average Exhibit 15: One-yr forward Premium v/s Sensex Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 130% 140% 150% 160% Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sensex Marico - 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 SharePrice(Rs) 15x 19x 23x 27x - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Apr-02 Nov-02 Jul-03 Mar-04 Nov-04 Jul-05 Mar-06 Nov-06 Jul-07 Feb-08 Oct-08 Jun-09 Feb-10 Oct-10 -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Apr-02 Nov-02 Jul-03 Mar-04 Nov-04 Jul-05 Mar-06 Nov-06 Jul-07 Feb-08 Oct-08 Jun-09 Feb-10 Oct-10
  • 10. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 10 Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated) Y/E Mar (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Gross sales 1,559 1,907 2,390 2,662 3,135 3,600 Less: Excise duty 2 2 2 1 2 2 Net Sales 1,557 1,905 2,388 2,661 3,133 3,598 Total operating income 1,557 1,905 2,388 2,661 3,133 3,598 % chg 36.1 22.4 25.4 11.4 17.7 14.8 Total Expenditure 1,358 1,659 2,084 2,286 2,710 3,103 Cost of Materials 804 981 1,278 1,262 1,551 1,784 Advertising Exp 212 244 243 351 392 450 Personnel 91 127 166 190 224 252 Others 251 307 398 483 544 617 EBITDA 199 246 304 375 423 495 % chg 37.7 24.0 23.4 23.4 12.7 17.0 (% of Net Sales) 12.8 12.9 12.7 14.1 13.5 13.8 Depreciation& Amortisation 52 31 36 60 55 60 EBIT 147 215 268 315 367 435 % chg 47.2 47.1 24.5 17.5 16.6 18.3 (% of Net Sales) 9.4 11.3 11.2 11.8 11.7 12.1 Interest & other Charges 21 31 36 26 24 20 Other Income 10 10 12 18 24 29 (% of PBT) 7.5 4.9 5.0 5.9 6.6 6.4 Share in profit of Associates 0 0 0 0 0 0 Recurring PBT 136 195 245 308 367 443 % chg 38.8 43.0 25.8 25.7 19.4 20.6 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) (14) (11) 15 10 0 0 PBT (reported) 150 205 230 298 367 443 Tax 37 36 41 64 62 89 (% of PBT) 27.3 18.5 16.7 20.9 17.0 20.0 PAT (reported) 113 169 189 234 305 355 Add: Share of associates 0 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Minority interest (MI) 0 0 (0) 2 6 7 PAT after MI (reported) 113 169 189 232 299 348 ADJ. PAT 99 158 204 241 299 348 % chg 13.8 60.3 28.6 18.5 24.0 16.0 (% of Net Sales) 6.3 8.3 8.5 9.1 9.6 9.7 Basic EPS (`) 1.6 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.9 5.7 Fully Diluted EPS (`) 1.6 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.9 5.7 % chg 13.8 60.3 28.6 18.5 24.0 16.0
  • 11. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 11 Balance Sheet (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 61 61 61 61 61 61 Preference Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 Reserves& Surplus 131 254 393 593 839 1,121 Shareholders Funds 192 315 454 654 900 1,183 Minority Interest 0 0 0 13 13 13 Total Loans 251 358 374 446 392 337 Total Liabilities 443 673 828 1,112 1,304 1,532 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 250 315 414 468 535 591 Less: Acc. Depreciation 139 163 203 242 303 368 Net Block 111 151 210 226 232 223 Capital Work-in-Progress 23 65 58 113 80 71 Goodwill 76 126 128 146 176 181 Investments 0 0 12 83 83 83 Deferred Tax Asset 115 98 64 62 62 62 Current Assets 400 528 670 897 1,180 1,511 Cash 43 75 90 111 232 380 Loans & Advances 72 106 130 190 219 252 Other 286 347 450 596 729 879 Current liabilities 283 295 314 414 509 598 Net Current Assets 118 233 355 483 672 913 Mis. Exp. not written off 0.12 - - - - - Total Assets 443 673 828 1,112 1,304 1,532 Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 150 205 230 298 367 443 Depreciation 52 31 36 60 55 60 Change in Working Capital (6) (89) (75) (135) (102) (129) Interest / Dividend (Net) 21 28 30 15 11 5 Direct taxes paid 37 36 41 64 62 89 Others 10 14 2 39 27 23 Cash Flow from Operations 189 153 182 212 296 314 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets (300) (155) (95) (149) (64) (51) Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments 23 0 (12) (71) 0 0 Cash Flow from Investing (277) (155) (107) (219) (64) (51) Issue of Equity 145 0 0 18 0 0 Inc./(Dec.) in loans 11 107 16 72 (54) (55) Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 47 45 47 47 47 54 Interest / Dividend (Net) 21 28 30 15 11 5 Cash Flow from Financing 89 35 (60) 28 (111) (114) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 1 32 15 21 121 148 Opening Cash balances 41 43 75 90 111 232 Closing Cash balances 43 75 90 111 232 380
  • 12. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 12 Key Ratios Y/E Mar FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 82.6 51.5 40.1 33.8 27.3 23.5 P/CEPS 53.6 42.8 33.8 26.9 23.0 20.1 P/BV 42.1 25.7 17.9 12.4 9.1 6.9 Dividend yield (%) 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 EV/Sales 5.3 4.3 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.3 EV/EBITDA 41.8 34.0 27.6 22.5 19.5 16.3 EV / Total Assets 18.7 12.5 10.1 7.6 6.3 5.3 Per Share Data (`) EPS (Basic) 1.6 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.9 5.7 EPS (fully diluted) 1.6 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.9 5.7 Cash EPS 2.5 3.1 3.9 4.9 5.8 6.6 DPS 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 Book Value 3.2 5.2 7.4 10.7 14.7 19.3 Returns (%) RoCE 31.0 38.6 35.7 32.5 30.4 30.7 Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 50.7 54.2 49.6 43.0 42.0 46.6 RoE 43.6 62.5 53.0 43.6 38.5 33.4 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover 3.9 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.7 4.9 Inventory / Sales (days) 52 50 52 61 64 66 Receivables (days) 15 17 17 21 22 23 Payables (days) 63 49 43 46 48 48 Net working capital (days) 18 30 41 51 51 54
  • 13. Marico|2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 13 Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: Research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com Disclaimer This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Marico 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)