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Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers Limited (hereinafter “ARSSBL”) is a full-service brokerage and equities-research firm and the views expressed therein are solely of
ARSSBL and not of the companies which have been covered in the Research Report. This report is intended for the sole use of the Recipient. Disclosures and analyst
certifications are present in the Appendix.
Anand Rathi Research India Equities
Technology
Company Update
India I Equities
Key financials (YE Mar) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Sales (` m) - 7,571 8,275 8,300 9,391
Net profit (` m) - 69 143 325 392
EPS (`) - 2.8 5.8 13.2 15.9
Growth (%) - NM 106.4 127.7 20.5
PE (x) - 129.6 62.8 27.6 22.9
PBV (x) - 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.5
RoE (%) - 5.0 5.1 10.7 11.5
RoCE (%) - -1.7 6.3 12.9 16.7
Dividend yield (%) - - - - -
Net debt / equity (x) - -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Mohit Jain
Research Analyst
+9122 6626 6531
mohitjain@rathi.com
Shobit Singhal
Research Associate
+9122 6626 6511
shobitsinghal@rathi.com
`
Rating: Buy
Target Price: `540
Share Price: `363
Key data MJCO IN / MAJC.BO
52-week high / low `569 / `300
Sensex / Nifty 32383 / 10021
3-m average volume $1.1m
Market cap `9bn / $132.9m
Shares outstanding 23m
Shareholding pattern (%) June'17 Mar'17 Dec'16
Promoters 48.0 48.3 48.4
- of which, Pledged - - -
Free float 52.0 51.7 51.6
- Foreign institutions 2.6 2.4 2.7
- Domestic institutions 10.3 10.6 10.8
- Public 39.1 38.7 38.1
27 July 2017
Majesco
Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy
Majesco India’s underlying asset, Majesco US’ weak Q1 showed up in
revenue dropping 0.8% q/q, 14% y/y to $27.9m, a fourth consecutive
quarter of revenue falling. Deal wins, though, were strong with the order
book at $77m, up 22% y/y. EBITDA proved a negative surprise at -3.8%
margins on a ramp-up in costs for growth. We believe performance has
bottomed out and the IBM deal should add to growth in the rest of
FY18. We retain a Buy, with a revised target of `540 (from `575 earlier).
Order book to reverse revenue decline trend. Majesco had a weak
quarter. Revenue faltered again and costs rose (surprising, as costs did not
shrink with revenue sliding last quarter). Net hiring of 87 employees led to a
drop in the gross margin to 42.6% (down 500bps q/q, 270bps y/y).
Consequently, the EBITDA margin came at -3.8% (+3.5% in Q4, +2.1% in
Q1 FY17), against our +2.2% estimate. In Q1 FY18, the company reported a
$1.1m EBITDA loss and a $1.7m net loss.
Deal wins, strong order book offer good assurance for the rest of FY18.
The positive surprise was the strong order-book growth to $77m (up 20.6%
q/q, 21.8% y/y). This included revenue from a 10-year cloud subscription
deal through the IBM sales channel (potential subscription value of $35m
cumulatively over 10 years vs. this quarter’s annualized cloud recurring
revenue of $10m). This, we believe, would help reverse the revenue decline
for Majesco from Q2. The order book now represents 58% of our next 12
months’ revenue estimate.
Retaining a Buy. To factor in the weak Q1 FY18 and a stronger rupee (64.5
to the dollar), we cut our FY19e: sales by ~3% and EBITDA by ~12%. The
stock trades at 1.1x FY19e EV:sales (adj. for the 70% stake), which we find
attractive. Our target is based on EV:sales of 1.9x, in line with other
medium-sized product companies in the US. Risks: Frequent execution
misses, rupee appreciation.
Relative price performance
Source: Bloomberg
MJCO
Sensex
250
350
450
550
650
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Estimates revision (%) FY18e FY19e
Sales ($) -3 -3
EBITDA -14 -12
PAT -18 -18
Change in Estimates  Target  Reco 
27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy
Anand Rathi Research 2
Quick Glance – Financials and Valuations
Fig 1 – Income statement (` m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Net revenues - 7,571 8,275 8,300 9,391
Revenue growth (%) - - 9.3 0.3 13.1
- Oper. expenses - 7,472 7,826 7,621 8,464
EBIDTA - 99 449 679 926
EBITDA margins (%) - 1.3 5.4 8.2 9.9
- Interest - 43 56 47 49
- Depreciation - 179 261 252 274
+ Other income - 45 63 111 52
- Tax - -150 2 68 148
Effective tax rate (%) - 184.5 1.4 17.3 27.4
+ Associates / (minorities) - -4 -51 -97 -117
Adjusted PAT - 69 143 325 392
+ Extraordinary items - - - - -
Reported PAT - 69 143 325 392
Adj. FDEPS (` / sh) - 2.8 5.8 13.2 15.9
Adj. FDEPS growth (%) - NM 106.4 127.7 20.5
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 3 – Cash-flow statement (` m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Adjusted PAT - 69 143 325 392
+ Non-cash items - 179 261 252 274
Cash profit - 247 404 577 666
- Incr. / (decr.) in WC - 132 -485 -148 48
Operating cash-flow - 116 888 725 618
- Capex - 2,772 189 344 377
Free cash-flow - -2,656 700 381 241
- Dividend - - - - -
+ Equity raised - 3,413 6 97 117
+ Debt raised - 539 -222 - -800
- Investments - 144 56 11 12
- Misc. items - - - - -
Net cash-flow - 1,152 429 467 -454
+ Op. cash & bank bal. - - 1,152 1,581 2,048
Cl. Cash & bank bal. - 1,152 1,581 2,048 1,593
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 5 – Price movement
Source: Bloomberg
Fig 2 – Balance sheet (` m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Share capital - 115 117 117 117
Reserves & surplus - 2,644 2,763 3,088 3,480
Net worth - 2,759 2,879 3,205 3,596
Total debt - 919 722 722 -78
Minority interest - 723 752 849 966
Def. tax liab. (net) - -380 -404 -404 -404
Capital employed - 4,021 3,948 4,371 4,079
Net fixed assets - 331 366 361 367
Intangible assets - 2,262 2,155 2,252 2,349
Investments - 144 199 211 223
- of which, Liquid - 120 171 180 189
Working capital - 132 -353 -501 -453
Cash - 1,152 1,581 2,048 1,593
Capital deployed - 4,021 3,948 4,371 4,079
Working capital (days) - 6.3 -15.6 -22.0 -17.6
Book value (` / sh) - 112.3 116.5 129.7 145.5
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 4 – Ratio analysis @ `363
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
P/E (x) - 129.6 62.8 27.6 22.9
Cash P/E (x) - 36.1 22.2 15.5 13.5
EV / EBITDA (x) - 81.4 16.5 10.2 7.1
EV / sales (x) - 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7
P/B (x) - 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.5
RoE (%) - 5.0 5.1 10.7 11.5
RoCE (%) - -1.7 6.3 12.9 16.7
Dividend yield (%) - - - - -
Dividend payout (%) - - - - -
Net debt / equity (x) - -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4
Debtor (days) - 99 60 59 59
Inventory (days) - - - - -
Payables (days) - 9 7 7 7
CFO:PAT % - -205.2 451.9 167.7 133.5
CFO:sales % - -2.0 10.6 8.5 7.2
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 6 – Revenue performance
Source: Company
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Aug-15
Oct-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jul-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
May-17
Jul-17
(`)
32.6
31.0
30.0
28.2
27.9
25.0
26.0
27.0
28.0
29.0
30.0
31.0
32.0
33.0
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
($m)
27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy
Anand Rathi Research 3
Majesco US: Result highlights
Q1 FY18 Results at a glance
Fig 8 – Quarterly result (Majesco US)
Year-end: Mar Q1 FY18 % q/q % y/y FY17 FY16 % y/y
Sales ($ m) 28 (0.8) (14.2) 122 113 7.5
Sales (` m) 1,801 (4.6) (17.3) 8,167 7,443 9.7
EBITDA (` m) (69) NA NA 301 (13) NA
EBITDA margin (%) (3.8) -733 bps -591 bps 3.7 (0.2) 385 bps
EBIT (` m) (151) 739.3 418.0 (16) (265) (94.0)
EBIT margin (%) (8.4) -742 bps -703 bps (0.2) (3.6) 336 bps
PBT (` m) (161) NA NA (55) (314) (82.4)
Tax (` m) 54 NA NA (7) 77 NA
Tax rate (%) (33.8) NA NA 11.8 (24.6) NA
Net Income (` m) (106) NA NA (62) (237) NA
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 7 – Majesco US segment-wise results
Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 Q/Q % Y/Y %
Revenues ($ m) 32.6 31.0 30.0 28.2 27.9 -0.8 -14
Revenues (` m) 2,178 2,077 2,026 1,887 1,801 -4.6 -17
Eff. exchange rate 66.9 66.9 67.5 67.0 64.5 -3.8 -4
Order backlog 63.4 65.1 62.1 64.0 77.2 20.6 22
QoQ growth % -12 3 -5 3 21
Cost of revenues (excl. D&A) (21.4) (19.2) (18.3) (18.0) (18.9) 5.3 -12
As % of revenue -66 -62 -61 -64 -68 -394bps -194bps
Employee cost (18) (16) (15) (15) (16)
Utilization % 45 50 49 48 42.64 -494bps -268bps
-R&D costs (4.5) (4.5) (4.0) (4.2) (3.9) -7.0 -13
As % of revenue -14 -15 -13 -15 -14 93bps -17bps
SG&A(excl D&A) (10) (10) (10) (9) (10) 9.5 -4
As % of revenues -32 -34 -34 -33 -36 -339bps -397bps
EBITDA 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.0 (1.1) NA NA
EBITDA margins % 2.1 4.5 4.7 3.5 -4 -733bps -591bps
D&A (1.1) (1.1) (1.2) (1.3) (1.3) 0.0 14.0
EBIT -0.43 0.27 0.19 -0.27 -2.34 NA NA
EBIT margins % -1.3 0.9 0.6 -1.0 -8.4 -742bps -703bps
Other income (0.2) (0.1) 0.1 (0.4) (0.04) -89.5 -81.7
PBT -0.64 0.16 0.27 -0.62 -2.50 NA NA
PBT margins % -2.0 0.5 0.9 -2.2 -8.9 -674bps -698bps
Taxes 0.1 0.1 (0.1) (0.2) 0.8 NA NA
ETR % -14 33 -21 29 -34 NA NA
Net profit ($ m) (0.5) 0.2 0.2 (0.8) (1.7) NA NA
Net profit (` m) (37) 15 14 (54) (106) NA NA
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy
Anand Rathi Research 4
Factsheet (Majesco US)
Fig 9 – Revenue-split, by LOB
(%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
P&C 80 81 83 85 81
L&A 18 18 15 14 18
Non-insurance 2 1 2 2 2
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 10 – Revenue growth, by LOB (Q/Q)
(%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
P&C 4 -3 0 -4 -6
L&A -10 -9 -18 -15 29
Non-insurance -24 -26 17 -12 24
Total 1 -5 -3 -6 -1
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 11 – Revenue-split, by region
(%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
North America 89 89 90 90 90
UK 7 8 6 6 5
APAC 3 3 4 5 5
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 12 – Region-wise growth (Q/Q)
(%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
North America 0 -5 -3 -6 -1
UK -1 -2 -18 -19 -4
APAC 18 -5 8 14 8
Total 1 -5 -3 -6 -1
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 13 – Client Contribution
(%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
Top 1 11.4 8.4 7.1 6.2 6.1
Top 5 28.5 28.6 28.1 24.2 24
Top 10 42.5 42.5 42.7 38.2 40.4
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 14 – Client Contribution
($ m) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
Top 1 3.7 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.7
Next 2-5 5.6 6.3 6.3 5.1 5.0
Next 6-10 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 4.6
Revenues from Top 10 13.8 13.2 12.8 10.8 11.3
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy
Anand Rathi Research 5
Valuations
We value Majesco at 1.9x FY19e EV:sales (the same as earlier) to reflect
the greater dependence on revenue growth for the company’s financial
success at this stage. Our target multiple for Majesco (adj. for profitability)
is also similar to our target multiple for Intellect Design, given the similarity
in size, cost pools, industry and stage of the two companies.
For Majesco, margins are expected to be volatile given that the company is
still operating close to break-even. Since Majesco India has a 70% stake in
Majesco US, the target multiple of 1.9x translates to 1.4x FY19e EV:sales
(reported basis). This is because the Indian entity fully consolidates
Majesco US’s earnings while owning only 70%; the balance 30% is shown
in the accounts as minority interest.
We reckon good scope exists for Majesco to catch up on valuations if it
delivers on its revenue and margin goals. It is struggling on the revenue
growth side (the most critical factor for its success) but is on a good
trajectory regarding margins (excluding Q1 FY18). If execution progresses
well (or recover on the revenue growth side given the strong order book in
Q1 FY18) without losing market share, the underlying asset could trade at
1.9x FY19e EV/sales by next financial year-end (Mar’18).
We are not applying any holding-company discount or premium to
Majesco India as we do not believe there is a case of either premium or
discount (Majesco India operates in only one segment, insurance
technology). The stock trades on par with the US entity.
Fig 15 – Change in estimates
FY18 FY19
New Old Chg % New Old Chg %
Revenues ($ m) 129 132 -3 146 150 -3
Revenues (` m) 8,300 8,869 -6 9,391 10,036 -6
EBITDA (` m) 679 794 -14 926 1,053 -12
EBITDA margin % 8.2 9.0 -77 bps 9.9 10.5 -62 bps
EBIT (` m) 427 537 -20 652 774 -16
EBIT margin % 5.1 6.1 -91 bps 6.9 7.7 -76 bps
PBT 491 597 -18 656 789 -17
Net profit 325 396 -18 392 477 -18
Source: Anand Rathi Research
Fig 16 – EV/EBITDA (one- year forward)
Source: Bloomberg, Anand Rathi Research
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy
Anand Rathi Research 6
Risks
 Execution miss: The company has, in the past, shown more volatility
than a typical IT-services company as it is on the discretionary side of
the business (software purchases or upgrades). Also, it operates in a
highly competitive arena and competes with larger entities. Therefore,
execution needs to be flawless.
 Vigorous M&A strategy: Majesco has relied on its M&A strategy to
gain scale fast. This inherently gives rise to risks (cultural and technical
integration) as well as to the balance sheet (due to upfront payments).
The balance sheet, at present doesn’t leave any scope for Majesco to go
wrong on this front.
 Sharp rupee appreciation
Appendix
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the
compensation of the research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research
analyst(s) in this report. The research analysts are bound by stringent internal regulations and also legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange
Board of India (hereinafter “SEBI”) and the analysts’ compensation are completely delinked from all the other companies and/or entities of Anand Rathi, and have
no bearing whatsoever on any recommendation that they have given in the Research Report.
Important Disclosures on subject companies
Rating and Target Price History (as of 27 July 2017)
MJCO
5
1
2
3 4
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Date Rating
TP
(`)
Share
Price (`)
1 25-May-16 Buy 750 556
2 12-Oct-16 Buy 710 462
3 06-Jan-17 Buy 670 405
4 25-Jan-17 Buy 620 388
5 04-May-17 Buy 575 360
Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions
Analysts’ ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described
in the Ratings Table below:
Ratings Guide (12 months)
Buy Hold Sell
Large Caps (>US$1bn) >15% 5-15% <5%
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) >25% 5-25% <5%
Research Disclaimer and Disclosure inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014
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ability to assess such risks may also be limited due to significantly lower information quantity and quality. By accepting this document, you agree to be bound by all the
foregoing provisions.
1. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial owners of the securities mentioned in this report.
2. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not managed or co-managed a public offering of the securities mentioned in the report in the past 12 months.
3. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not received compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities in the past 12 months and do not expect
to receive compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities within the next three months.
4. However, one or more of ARSSBL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or sell those
securities or options thereon, either on their own account or on behalf of their clients.
5. As of the publication of this report, ARSSBL does not make a market in the subject securities.
6. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the above material or the conclusions stated above, or the research or analysis on
which they are based before the material is published to recipients and from time to time, provide investment banking, investment management or other services for or solicit
to seek to obtain investment banking, or other securities business from, any entity referred to in this report.
Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to effect
transactions in any securities referred to herein or options thereon should do so only by contacting a representative of Enclave Capital LLC.
© 2016. This report is strictly confidential and is being furnished to you solely for your information. All material presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise,
is under copyright to ARSSBL. None of the material, its content, or any copy of such material or content, may be altered in any way, transmitted, copied or reproduced (in
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Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.
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Majesco 1QFY18

  • 1. Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers Limited (hereinafter “ARSSBL”) is a full-service brokerage and equities-research firm and the views expressed therein are solely of ARSSBL and not of the companies which have been covered in the Research Report. This report is intended for the sole use of the Recipient. Disclosures and analyst certifications are present in the Appendix. Anand Rathi Research India Equities Technology Company Update India I Equities Key financials (YE Mar) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e Sales (` m) - 7,571 8,275 8,300 9,391 Net profit (` m) - 69 143 325 392 EPS (`) - 2.8 5.8 13.2 15.9 Growth (%) - NM 106.4 127.7 20.5 PE (x) - 129.6 62.8 27.6 22.9 PBV (x) - 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.5 RoE (%) - 5.0 5.1 10.7 11.5 RoCE (%) - -1.7 6.3 12.9 16.7 Dividend yield (%) - - - - - Net debt / equity (x) - -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Mohit Jain Research Analyst +9122 6626 6531 mohitjain@rathi.com Shobit Singhal Research Associate +9122 6626 6511 shobitsinghal@rathi.com ` Rating: Buy Target Price: `540 Share Price: `363 Key data MJCO IN / MAJC.BO 52-week high / low `569 / `300 Sensex / Nifty 32383 / 10021 3-m average volume $1.1m Market cap `9bn / $132.9m Shares outstanding 23m Shareholding pattern (%) June'17 Mar'17 Dec'16 Promoters 48.0 48.3 48.4 - of which, Pledged - - - Free float 52.0 51.7 51.6 - Foreign institutions 2.6 2.4 2.7 - Domestic institutions 10.3 10.6 10.8 - Public 39.1 38.7 38.1 27 July 2017 Majesco Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy Majesco India’s underlying asset, Majesco US’ weak Q1 showed up in revenue dropping 0.8% q/q, 14% y/y to $27.9m, a fourth consecutive quarter of revenue falling. Deal wins, though, were strong with the order book at $77m, up 22% y/y. EBITDA proved a negative surprise at -3.8% margins on a ramp-up in costs for growth. We believe performance has bottomed out and the IBM deal should add to growth in the rest of FY18. We retain a Buy, with a revised target of `540 (from `575 earlier). Order book to reverse revenue decline trend. Majesco had a weak quarter. Revenue faltered again and costs rose (surprising, as costs did not shrink with revenue sliding last quarter). Net hiring of 87 employees led to a drop in the gross margin to 42.6% (down 500bps q/q, 270bps y/y). Consequently, the EBITDA margin came at -3.8% (+3.5% in Q4, +2.1% in Q1 FY17), against our +2.2% estimate. In Q1 FY18, the company reported a $1.1m EBITDA loss and a $1.7m net loss. Deal wins, strong order book offer good assurance for the rest of FY18. The positive surprise was the strong order-book growth to $77m (up 20.6% q/q, 21.8% y/y). This included revenue from a 10-year cloud subscription deal through the IBM sales channel (potential subscription value of $35m cumulatively over 10 years vs. this quarter’s annualized cloud recurring revenue of $10m). This, we believe, would help reverse the revenue decline for Majesco from Q2. The order book now represents 58% of our next 12 months’ revenue estimate. Retaining a Buy. To factor in the weak Q1 FY18 and a stronger rupee (64.5 to the dollar), we cut our FY19e: sales by ~3% and EBITDA by ~12%. The stock trades at 1.1x FY19e EV:sales (adj. for the 70% stake), which we find attractive. Our target is based on EV:sales of 1.9x, in line with other medium-sized product companies in the US. Risks: Frequent execution misses, rupee appreciation. Relative price performance Source: Bloomberg MJCO Sensex 250 350 450 550 650 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Estimates revision (%) FY18e FY19e Sales ($) -3 -3 EBITDA -14 -12 PAT -18 -18 Change in Estimates  Target  Reco 
  • 2. 27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy Anand Rathi Research 2 Quick Glance – Financials and Valuations Fig 1 – Income statement (` m) Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e Net revenues - 7,571 8,275 8,300 9,391 Revenue growth (%) - - 9.3 0.3 13.1 - Oper. expenses - 7,472 7,826 7,621 8,464 EBIDTA - 99 449 679 926 EBITDA margins (%) - 1.3 5.4 8.2 9.9 - Interest - 43 56 47 49 - Depreciation - 179 261 252 274 + Other income - 45 63 111 52 - Tax - -150 2 68 148 Effective tax rate (%) - 184.5 1.4 17.3 27.4 + Associates / (minorities) - -4 -51 -97 -117 Adjusted PAT - 69 143 325 392 + Extraordinary items - - - - - Reported PAT - 69 143 325 392 Adj. FDEPS (` / sh) - 2.8 5.8 13.2 15.9 Adj. FDEPS growth (%) - NM 106.4 127.7 20.5 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 3 – Cash-flow statement (` m) Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e Adjusted PAT - 69 143 325 392 + Non-cash items - 179 261 252 274 Cash profit - 247 404 577 666 - Incr. / (decr.) in WC - 132 -485 -148 48 Operating cash-flow - 116 888 725 618 - Capex - 2,772 189 344 377 Free cash-flow - -2,656 700 381 241 - Dividend - - - - - + Equity raised - 3,413 6 97 117 + Debt raised - 539 -222 - -800 - Investments - 144 56 11 12 - Misc. items - - - - - Net cash-flow - 1,152 429 467 -454 + Op. cash & bank bal. - - 1,152 1,581 2,048 Cl. Cash & bank bal. - 1,152 1,581 2,048 1,593 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 5 – Price movement Source: Bloomberg Fig 2 – Balance sheet (` m) Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e Share capital - 115 117 117 117 Reserves & surplus - 2,644 2,763 3,088 3,480 Net worth - 2,759 2,879 3,205 3,596 Total debt - 919 722 722 -78 Minority interest - 723 752 849 966 Def. tax liab. (net) - -380 -404 -404 -404 Capital employed - 4,021 3,948 4,371 4,079 Net fixed assets - 331 366 361 367 Intangible assets - 2,262 2,155 2,252 2,349 Investments - 144 199 211 223 - of which, Liquid - 120 171 180 189 Working capital - 132 -353 -501 -453 Cash - 1,152 1,581 2,048 1,593 Capital deployed - 4,021 3,948 4,371 4,079 Working capital (days) - 6.3 -15.6 -22.0 -17.6 Book value (` / sh) - 112.3 116.5 129.7 145.5 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 4 – Ratio analysis @ `363 Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e P/E (x) - 129.6 62.8 27.6 22.9 Cash P/E (x) - 36.1 22.2 15.5 13.5 EV / EBITDA (x) - 81.4 16.5 10.2 7.1 EV / sales (x) - 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 P/B (x) - 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.5 RoE (%) - 5.0 5.1 10.7 11.5 RoCE (%) - -1.7 6.3 12.9 16.7 Dividend yield (%) - - - - - Dividend payout (%) - - - - - Net debt / equity (x) - -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 Debtor (days) - 99 60 59 59 Inventory (days) - - - - - Payables (days) - 9 7 7 7 CFO:PAT % - -205.2 451.9 167.7 133.5 CFO:sales % - -2.0 10.6 8.5 7.2 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 6 – Revenue performance Source: Company 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Aug-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 May-17 Jul-17 (`) 32.6 31.0 30.0 28.2 27.9 25.0 26.0 27.0 28.0 29.0 30.0 31.0 32.0 33.0 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 ($m)
  • 3. 27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy Anand Rathi Research 3 Majesco US: Result highlights Q1 FY18 Results at a glance Fig 8 – Quarterly result (Majesco US) Year-end: Mar Q1 FY18 % q/q % y/y FY17 FY16 % y/y Sales ($ m) 28 (0.8) (14.2) 122 113 7.5 Sales (` m) 1,801 (4.6) (17.3) 8,167 7,443 9.7 EBITDA (` m) (69) NA NA 301 (13) NA EBITDA margin (%) (3.8) -733 bps -591 bps 3.7 (0.2) 385 bps EBIT (` m) (151) 739.3 418.0 (16) (265) (94.0) EBIT margin (%) (8.4) -742 bps -703 bps (0.2) (3.6) 336 bps PBT (` m) (161) NA NA (55) (314) (82.4) Tax (` m) 54 NA NA (7) 77 NA Tax rate (%) (33.8) NA NA 11.8 (24.6) NA Net Income (` m) (106) NA NA (62) (237) NA Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 7 – Majesco US segment-wise results Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 Q/Q % Y/Y % Revenues ($ m) 32.6 31.0 30.0 28.2 27.9 -0.8 -14 Revenues (` m) 2,178 2,077 2,026 1,887 1,801 -4.6 -17 Eff. exchange rate 66.9 66.9 67.5 67.0 64.5 -3.8 -4 Order backlog 63.4 65.1 62.1 64.0 77.2 20.6 22 QoQ growth % -12 3 -5 3 21 Cost of revenues (excl. D&A) (21.4) (19.2) (18.3) (18.0) (18.9) 5.3 -12 As % of revenue -66 -62 -61 -64 -68 -394bps -194bps Employee cost (18) (16) (15) (15) (16) Utilization % 45 50 49 48 42.64 -494bps -268bps -R&D costs (4.5) (4.5) (4.0) (4.2) (3.9) -7.0 -13 As % of revenue -14 -15 -13 -15 -14 93bps -17bps SG&A(excl D&A) (10) (10) (10) (9) (10) 9.5 -4 As % of revenues -32 -34 -34 -33 -36 -339bps -397bps EBITDA 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.0 (1.1) NA NA EBITDA margins % 2.1 4.5 4.7 3.5 -4 -733bps -591bps D&A (1.1) (1.1) (1.2) (1.3) (1.3) 0.0 14.0 EBIT -0.43 0.27 0.19 -0.27 -2.34 NA NA EBIT margins % -1.3 0.9 0.6 -1.0 -8.4 -742bps -703bps Other income (0.2) (0.1) 0.1 (0.4) (0.04) -89.5 -81.7 PBT -0.64 0.16 0.27 -0.62 -2.50 NA NA PBT margins % -2.0 0.5 0.9 -2.2 -8.9 -674bps -698bps Taxes 0.1 0.1 (0.1) (0.2) 0.8 NA NA ETR % -14 33 -21 29 -34 NA NA Net profit ($ m) (0.5) 0.2 0.2 (0.8) (1.7) NA NA Net profit (` m) (37) 15 14 (54) (106) NA NA Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
  • 4. 27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy Anand Rathi Research 4 Factsheet (Majesco US) Fig 9 – Revenue-split, by LOB (%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 P&C 80 81 83 85 81 L&A 18 18 15 14 18 Non-insurance 2 1 2 2 2 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 10 – Revenue growth, by LOB (Q/Q) (%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 P&C 4 -3 0 -4 -6 L&A -10 -9 -18 -15 29 Non-insurance -24 -26 17 -12 24 Total 1 -5 -3 -6 -1 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 11 – Revenue-split, by region (%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 North America 89 89 90 90 90 UK 7 8 6 6 5 APAC 3 3 4 5 5 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 12 – Region-wise growth (Q/Q) (%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 North America 0 -5 -3 -6 -1 UK -1 -2 -18 -19 -4 APAC 18 -5 8 14 8 Total 1 -5 -3 -6 -1 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 13 – Client Contribution (%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 Top 1 11.4 8.4 7.1 6.2 6.1 Top 5 28.5 28.6 28.1 24.2 24 Top 10 42.5 42.5 42.7 38.2 40.4 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research Fig 14 – Client Contribution ($ m) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 Top 1 3.7 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.7 Next 2-5 5.6 6.3 6.3 5.1 5.0 Next 6-10 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 4.6 Revenues from Top 10 13.8 13.2 12.8 10.8 11.3 Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
  • 5. 27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy Anand Rathi Research 5 Valuations We value Majesco at 1.9x FY19e EV:sales (the same as earlier) to reflect the greater dependence on revenue growth for the company’s financial success at this stage. Our target multiple for Majesco (adj. for profitability) is also similar to our target multiple for Intellect Design, given the similarity in size, cost pools, industry and stage of the two companies. For Majesco, margins are expected to be volatile given that the company is still operating close to break-even. Since Majesco India has a 70% stake in Majesco US, the target multiple of 1.9x translates to 1.4x FY19e EV:sales (reported basis). This is because the Indian entity fully consolidates Majesco US’s earnings while owning only 70%; the balance 30% is shown in the accounts as minority interest. We reckon good scope exists for Majesco to catch up on valuations if it delivers on its revenue and margin goals. It is struggling on the revenue growth side (the most critical factor for its success) but is on a good trajectory regarding margins (excluding Q1 FY18). If execution progresses well (or recover on the revenue growth side given the strong order book in Q1 FY18) without losing market share, the underlying asset could trade at 1.9x FY19e EV/sales by next financial year-end (Mar’18). We are not applying any holding-company discount or premium to Majesco India as we do not believe there is a case of either premium or discount (Majesco India operates in only one segment, insurance technology). The stock trades on par with the US entity. Fig 15 – Change in estimates FY18 FY19 New Old Chg % New Old Chg % Revenues ($ m) 129 132 -3 146 150 -3 Revenues (` m) 8,300 8,869 -6 9,391 10,036 -6 EBITDA (` m) 679 794 -14 926 1,053 -12 EBITDA margin % 8.2 9.0 -77 bps 9.9 10.5 -62 bps EBIT (` m) 427 537 -20 652 774 -16 EBIT margin % 5.1 6.1 -91 bps 6.9 7.7 -76 bps PBT 491 597 -18 656 789 -17 Net profit 325 396 -18 392 477 -18 Source: Anand Rathi Research Fig 16 – EV/EBITDA (one- year forward) Source: Bloomberg, Anand Rathi Research 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Aug-15 Oct-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17
  • 6. 27 July 2017 Majesco – Revenue drops but deal wins to reverse trend; retaining our Buy Anand Rathi Research 6 Risks  Execution miss: The company has, in the past, shown more volatility than a typical IT-services company as it is on the discretionary side of the business (software purchases or upgrades). Also, it operates in a highly competitive arena and competes with larger entities. Therefore, execution needs to be flawless.  Vigorous M&A strategy: Majesco has relied on its M&A strategy to gain scale fast. This inherently gives rise to risks (cultural and technical integration) as well as to the balance sheet (due to upfront payments). The balance sheet, at present doesn’t leave any scope for Majesco to go wrong on this front.  Sharp rupee appreciation
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Important Disclosures on subject companies Rating and Target Price History (as of 27 July 2017) MJCO 5 1 2 3 4 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Date Rating TP (`) Share Price (`) 1 25-May-16 Buy 750 556 2 12-Oct-16 Buy 710 462 3 06-Jan-17 Buy 670 405 4 25-Jan-17 Buy 620 388 5 04-May-17 Buy 575 360 Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions Analysts’ ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described in the Ratings Table below: Ratings Guide (12 months) Buy Hold Sell Large Caps (>US$1bn) >15% 5-15% <5% Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) >25% 5-25% <5% Research Disclaimer and Disclosure inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers Ltd. 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