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Doğa Koruma Merkezi
Nature Conservation Centre
Melike Kuş
Land and Water Programme
Officer
23-25.11.2016
Agroecology Sysmposium, Budapest
Sectors we collaborate
with:
• Forestry
• Agriculture
• Water Management
• Tourism
• Aims at delivering scientifically sound products,
• Works in a multidisciplinary way,
• Adopts tools to current conditions and develops
practical and applicable new tools,
• Our stronghold: involving spatial, temporal and
numeric modelling and analysis in our work.
Nature Conservation Centre; established in 2004
Team:
Ecologists,
Environmental Engineers,
Forestry Engineers,
Urban Planners and
Landscape Architects
Identifying and promoting measures which will decrease the
impact of agricultural practices on natural resources, ecosystems
and the species they hold, without compromising the agricultural
yield and while increasing the climate change adaptation
capacity in agricultural sector.
Agriculture and Ecosystem Services
Agriculture of the Future in Konya: Benefits of
Conservation Agriculture in Terms of Mitigation and
Adaptation
Purpose of the project:
To promote the use of ecosystem services approach and improve
climate change adaptation in agriculture.
Central Anatolian Region:
Konya Closed Basin
High vulnerability to desertification with heavy wind erosion and intensive agricultural
production (esp. cereals)
WHAT WE DO (2013-…)
DIRECT
SEEDING
WINDBREAKS
IMPLEMENTATION
MONITOR
BIOLOGICAL
DIVERSITY
ECOSYSTEM
SERVICES
MAPPING
• Protect soil from wind and
water erosion
• Reduce irrigation
requirement
• Increase organic carbon
• Reduce pesticide, herbicide
and fertilizer use in the long
term
“Direct seeding is almost free of charge.
Farmers are making a 70% profit from
expenses. That’s why the prefer direct
seeding.”
Mehmet Karlı - Sarayönü District
Director of Agriculture
WINDBREAKS
• Windbreaks planted taking into account the wind
direction and the impact area of trees (upto 15-20
times height)
• Elaeagnus spp. (silverberry) and Robinia spp.
(acacia) used
• We aim at monitoring the impact of windbreaks on
soil organic content in the long term.
3.445
Individuals
246
Individuals
1.818
Individuals
217
Individuals
BIOLOGICAL DIVERSITY
To assess the impact of our activities on biodiversity.
Within the project, 43 bird species, 18 plant species,
15 butterfly species, and 10 small mammal species
has been observed.
Comparisons between pilot sites and other sites to be
carried out.
CLIMATE CHANGE ANALYSIS
Mean Annual
Temp. (Bio1)
Mean Annual
Prec. (Bio12)
May Mean
Temp. (Bio82)
TODAY TODAY TODAY
Change
2070
(RCP45) –
Today
Change
2070
(RCP45) –
Today
Change
2070
(RCP45) –
Today
Change
2070
(RCP60) –
Today
Change
2070
(RCP60) –
Today
Change
2070
(RCP60) –
Today
Booklets for farmers
ECOSYSTEM
SERVICES
Meetings in different districts- ecosystem services maps prepared with regional and local
managers and direct users.
Services benefited by agriculture:
• Wind erosion control
• Flood control
• Pest control
• Pollination
• Climate regulation
• Genetic resources
• ...
Cooperations Among Governmental Institutions,
Universities
Detailed ES Mapping
in Cihanbeyli District
• The biggest district in Turkey (>390.000 ha)
• Main economical income: Agriculture
• Very big agricultural fields
Water Erosion Risk
Water Erosion Risk
High
Medium
Low
Wind Erosion Risk
Wind Erosion Risk
High
Medium
Low
Natural Areas – Water Erosion Control Service
Trees – Shield Bug (Eurygaster spp) Control
Water Provision Service
The Aim:
Integration of ecosystem services into planning
process
Future: Climate Change Projections
TODAY 2070
Impact of
Climate
Change
Increase in
Drought
Risk
Suggestions Towards Implementation
District Scale Generic Suggestions
Conserving, restoring sites providing ecosystem services:
– Conservation of big lakes, implementing restoration measures
following ecological principles;
– Wise use of water resources in agriculture, planning water
harvest and conserving the vegetation cover;
– Enhancing the grazeland quality;
– Conserving steppes and other habitats providing high intensity
of services;
– New afforestation implementations following ecological
practices;
New Plantation Sites
Integrated Approach to Management of
Forests in Turkey, with Demonstration in High
Conservation Value Forests in the
Mediterranean Region
NEXT STEP
Forests and agriculture:
- fresh water
- pest control
- pollination
- erosion control/ soil protection
- flood prevention etc.
Thank you...
www.dkm.org.tr

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Using ecosystem services framework for climate change adaptation in agriculture

  • 1. Doğa Koruma Merkezi Nature Conservation Centre Melike Kuş Land and Water Programme Officer 23-25.11.2016 Agroecology Sysmposium, Budapest
  • 2. Sectors we collaborate with: • Forestry • Agriculture • Water Management • Tourism • Aims at delivering scientifically sound products, • Works in a multidisciplinary way, • Adopts tools to current conditions and develops practical and applicable new tools, • Our stronghold: involving spatial, temporal and numeric modelling and analysis in our work. Nature Conservation Centre; established in 2004
  • 4.
  • 5. Identifying and promoting measures which will decrease the impact of agricultural practices on natural resources, ecosystems and the species they hold, without compromising the agricultural yield and while increasing the climate change adaptation capacity in agricultural sector. Agriculture and Ecosystem Services
  • 6. Agriculture of the Future in Konya: Benefits of Conservation Agriculture in Terms of Mitigation and Adaptation Purpose of the project: To promote the use of ecosystem services approach and improve climate change adaptation in agriculture.
  • 7. Central Anatolian Region: Konya Closed Basin High vulnerability to desertification with heavy wind erosion and intensive agricultural production (esp. cereals)
  • 8. WHAT WE DO (2013-…) DIRECT SEEDING WINDBREAKS IMPLEMENTATION MONITOR BIOLOGICAL DIVERSITY ECOSYSTEM SERVICES MAPPING
  • 9. • Protect soil from wind and water erosion • Reduce irrigation requirement • Increase organic carbon • Reduce pesticide, herbicide and fertilizer use in the long term
  • 10. “Direct seeding is almost free of charge. Farmers are making a 70% profit from expenses. That’s why the prefer direct seeding.” Mehmet Karlı - Sarayönü District Director of Agriculture
  • 11.
  • 12. WINDBREAKS • Windbreaks planted taking into account the wind direction and the impact area of trees (upto 15-20 times height) • Elaeagnus spp. (silverberry) and Robinia spp. (acacia) used • We aim at monitoring the impact of windbreaks on soil organic content in the long term.
  • 13. 3.445 Individuals 246 Individuals 1.818 Individuals 217 Individuals BIOLOGICAL DIVERSITY To assess the impact of our activities on biodiversity. Within the project, 43 bird species, 18 plant species, 15 butterfly species, and 10 small mammal species has been observed. Comparisons between pilot sites and other sites to be carried out.
  • 14. CLIMATE CHANGE ANALYSIS Mean Annual Temp. (Bio1) Mean Annual Prec. (Bio12) May Mean Temp. (Bio82) TODAY TODAY TODAY Change 2070 (RCP45) – Today Change 2070 (RCP45) – Today Change 2070 (RCP45) – Today Change 2070 (RCP60) – Today Change 2070 (RCP60) – Today Change 2070 (RCP60) – Today
  • 16. ECOSYSTEM SERVICES Meetings in different districts- ecosystem services maps prepared with regional and local managers and direct users. Services benefited by agriculture: • Wind erosion control • Flood control • Pest control • Pollination • Climate regulation • Genetic resources • ...
  • 17. Cooperations Among Governmental Institutions, Universities
  • 18. Detailed ES Mapping in Cihanbeyli District • The biggest district in Turkey (>390.000 ha) • Main economical income: Agriculture • Very big agricultural fields
  • 19. Water Erosion Risk Water Erosion Risk High Medium Low
  • 20. Wind Erosion Risk Wind Erosion Risk High Medium Low
  • 21. Natural Areas – Water Erosion Control Service
  • 22. Trees – Shield Bug (Eurygaster spp) Control
  • 24. The Aim: Integration of ecosystem services into planning process
  • 25. Future: Climate Change Projections TODAY 2070
  • 28. District Scale Generic Suggestions Conserving, restoring sites providing ecosystem services: – Conservation of big lakes, implementing restoration measures following ecological principles; – Wise use of water resources in agriculture, planning water harvest and conserving the vegetation cover; – Enhancing the grazeland quality; – Conserving steppes and other habitats providing high intensity of services; – New afforestation implementations following ecological practices;
  • 30.
  • 31. Integrated Approach to Management of Forests in Turkey, with Demonstration in High Conservation Value Forests in the Mediterranean Region
  • 32.
  • 33. NEXT STEP Forests and agriculture: - fresh water - pest control - pollination - erosion control/ soil protection - flood prevention etc.

Editor's Notes

  1. Kamu-özel sektör-stk işbirliği
  2. Adıyaman Üniversitesi
  3. Mevcut yazılımlar yerine bulanık küme modellemesi Eğim >%8 (Ayten hocadan) + partikül yapısı çok ince olanlar ve ince olanlar yüksek riskli (taşınımları kolay) + yalnızca bunu gözönüne almamak agregatlaşmaya da bakmak gerek ama elimizde verisi yok + partikül yapısı verisini Erhan hocayla doğruladık (tekstür yapısı)+ örtülülük (NDVI) + engebelilik (topografyanın değişim frekansı) Hem rüzgar hem de su erozyon riski analizlerinde, toprak tekstürü ve eğim parametreleri erozyon derecesini belirleyen ana bileşenler olarak ele alınmıştır. Bitki örtüsünün durumu ve arazinin engebeliliği ise, erozyon riskini azaltıcı etkenler olarak değerlendirilmişlerdir. Bitki örtüsü ve/veya engebelilik arttıkça, toprak partiküllerinin gerek su gerek rüzgar tarafından taşınması zorlaşmaktadır. Ayrıca, uzun dönemli etkiler düşünüldüğünde, çok büyük değişimlerin yaşanmadığı bölgelerde bu vejetasyon oranının topraktaki organik madde miktarı ile de korelasyon içinde olması beklenir. Bu ise, toprak geçirgenliğinin artmasına olanak tanıyarak yüzey akışını azaltmak yoluyla, su erozyonu riskini düşüren bir etken olmaktadır.
  4. Eğim <%4 (Ayten hocadan) + partikül yapısı çok ince olanlar ve ince olanlar yüksek riskli (taşınımları kolay) + yalnızca bunu gözönüne almamak agregatlaşmaya da bakmak gerek ama elimizde verisi yok + partikül yapısı verisini Erhan hocayla doğruladık + örtülülük (NDVI) + engebelilik (topografyanın değişim frekansı)
  5. 850 hektardan büyük olan Bolluk, Tersakan ve Tuz Gölleri için etki mesafesi olarak 3km ve bu etkili olma irtifası olarak 900 m yükseklik eşiği tanımlanmıştır
  6. Trissolcus sp. için uçuş mesafesi 3-5 km olarak belirtilmektedir (Bahri Dağdaş Uluslararası Tarımsal Araştırma Enstitüsü Müdürlüğü, Sözlü görüşme: İrfan Gültekin) . Bu mesafe dikkate alınarak ağaçların süne kontrolüne katkısının ilk 3 km içinde en yoğun olacağı düşünülmüş ve ağaçlara bu mesafede bulunan tarım alanları belirlenmiştir. Doğal alanların zararlı mücadelesindeki etkisi: 𝐻𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑡 𝑍𝑒𝑛𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑙𝑖ğ𝑖= 𝑇𝑜𝑝𝑜𝑔𝑟𝑎𝑓𝑦𝑎𝑛ı𝑛 𝑑𝑒ğ𝑖ş𝑘𝑒𝑛𝑙𝑖ğ𝑖 ∗ 2 + 𝐸𝑘𝑜𝑙𝑜𝑗𝑖𝑘 𝑏ö𝑙𝑔𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑟 𝑎𝑟𝑎𝑠ı 𝑔𝑒ç𝑖ş 𝑏ö𝑙𝑔𝑒𝑠𝑖∗2 + 𝐻𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑡 ç𝑒ş𝑖𝑡𝑙𝑖𝑙𝑖ğ𝑖∗2 + 𝐻𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑡 ö𝑛𝑒𝑚 𝑝𝑢𝑎𝑛ı ∗1 500 m mesafesinde
  7. Simoon yüzünden kuruyan ağaçlar
  8. Bugün ve gelecek baktığımız konu Küresel iklim modelleri HadGEM2 modeli RCP 45 senaryosu kullanılarak hazırlandı (2,6 – iyimser senaryo): bölgeye downscaling – ölçek küçülttük. Ortalama sıcaklıkların 2070 yılına kadar 3,5- 3,9°C artış göstereceği, Yıllık toplam yağıştaysa 2070 yılına kadar 27 mm’ye kadar yani yaklaşık %10’a yaklaşan bir azalma bekleniyor. Kuraklık 2070 yılına kadar %5-8 oranında artacağını gösteriyor. Cihanbeyli halihazırda kısıtlı miktarda yağış alan bir bölge olduğu için, kuraklığın artması ilçedeki tarımsal üretimin geleceğini de doğrudan etkiliyor.
  9. Simoon yüzünden kuruyan ağaçlar