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MACQUARIE NEUROSURGERY JOURNAL CLUB
27/10/16
Dr Michael Mulcahy
MACQUARIE NEUROSURGERY
JOURNAL CLUB
P.J. Hutchinson, A.G. Kolias, I.S. Timofeev, E.A. Corteen, M. Czosnyka, J. Timothy, I. Anderson, D.O. Bulters, A. Belli,
C.A. Eynon, J. Wadley, A.D. Mendelow, P.M. Mitchell, M.H. Wilson, G. Critchley, J. Sahuquillo, A. Unterberg, F. Servadei,
G.M. Teasdale, J.D. Pickard, D.K. Menon, G.D. Murray, and P.J. Kirkpatrick, for the RESCUEicp Trial Collaborators*
Trial of Decompressive Craniectomy for Traumatic
Intracranial Hypertension
The New England Journal of Medicine, Sept 2016, volume 375, issue 12, pp1119-30.
Authors
• Chief investigator: Professor Peter Hutchinson, University of Cambridge and
Addenbrooke’s hospital
• 22 co-authors and 211 trial collaborators
• 52 centres in 20 countries
Disclosures
• Grant from MRC-NIHR partnership
• Evelyn trust
• Dr. Hutchinson reports grants from NIHR Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation Programme, during the conduct of the study; grants from NIHR Health Technology Assessment
(HTA) Programme, outside the submitted work; and being a Director of Technicam (manufacturer of a cranial access device). Dr. Hutchinson reports having participated in a
consensus conference on intracranial pressure that was held in Milan on October 5, 2013. The conference was financially supported by Codman (a division of Ethicon Ltd.), with
an unconditional grant, though he reports having received no support.
• Dr. Bulters reports grants from Innovate UK, grants from EU FP7, grants from EPSRC, grants from NIHR, grants from Royal College of Surgeons of Edinburgh, grants from
Wessex Medical Research, grants from Smile for Wessex, grants and personal fees from ReNeuron, personal fees from Portola, personal fees from Johnson and Johnson,
grants from Evgen Pharma, grants from Vasopharm, outside the submitted work.
• Dr. Czosnyka reports personal fees from Cambridge Enterprise Ltd., outside the submitted work.
• Dr. Kolias reports grants from NIHR Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation Programme, during the conduct of the study; grants from NIHR Health Technology Assessment (HTA)
Programme, grants from NIHR Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Programme, outside the submitted work; and The British Neurosurgical Trainee Research Collaborative,
which he chaired from 2012-15, has been supported with an educational grant from Codman, UK. Dr. Kolias reports having participated in a consensus conference on
intracranial pressure that was held in Milan on October 5, 2013. The conference was financially supported by Codman (a division of Ethicon Ltd.), with an unconditional grant.
• Dr. Mendelow reports non-financial support and other from Newcastle Neurosurgery Foundation Ltd., personal fees from Stryker, personal fees from Draeger, outside the
submitted work; and Director of Newcastle Neurosurgery Foundation Ltd.
• Dr. Menon reports grants and non-financial support from GlaxoSmithKline Ltd, personal fees from Pressura Ltd, personal fees from Calico Ltd, personal fees from Glide Pharma
Ltd, personal fees from Pfizer Ltd, personal fees from Medicxi Ventures (UK) LLP , personal fees from Lantmännen AB , grants from Brainscope Ltd, personal fees from Ornim
Medical, personal fees from Shire Medical, other from IMEC Ltd, grants from National Institute for Health Research UK, outside the submitted work; and help with development
of a protocol for a clinical trial of ciclosporin in TBI sponsored by Neurovive. The project did not come to fruition.
• Dr. Pickard reports grants from NIHR Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation Programme, during the conduct of the study; grants from NIHR Senior Investigator Award, grants from
NIHR Brain Injury Healthcare Technology Co-operative, grants from NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (Brain injury theme), personal fees and non-financial support
from Medtronic , personal fees and non-financial support from Codman (Johnson and Johnson), outside the submitted work; and Director, Medicam and Technicam (no
financial remuneration) .
• Dr. Servadei reports grants and personal fees from Codman Company , grants and personal fees from Finceramica , personal fees from Baxter Company , outside the
submitted work
Study Relevance
• At the time of trial design (>10yrs ago)
there were many studies on the role of
decompressive craniectomy in TBI,
with a wide range of outcomes
• Concerns that DC simply increases
the amount of patients in a vegetative
state
• Important to resolve the role of this
treatment for a condition with profound
social and economic consequences
Relevance/Originality
• ICP >20mmHg for more than 15min within a 1 hr period, despite optimised first tier therapy.
• Significant decrease in ICP in Sx group; mortality was similar (Sx 19% v. non-Sx 18%);
GOS-E scores at 6 months were worse (p=0.03). Contradictory to the literature at the time.
• Concluded that the findings were unlikely to be due to a shift from survival to vegetative
state (due to similar mortality), but rather that DC changes outcome from favourable to
unfavourable.
Relevance/Originality
Criticism
• protocol was not reflective of clinical practice
• high number of exclusions (only 4.5% of screened patients were enrolled)
• significant imbalances in baseline characteristics, esp. fixed pupils
Trial Design
• International, multi-centre randomised controlled trial
• Two arm, parallel group study
• Pragmatic
• All hospitals provided acute neuroscience care for severe TBI and had 24
hour neurosurgical service
Study Protocol
Acta Neurochirurgica Supplement 2006
Trial Design
Hypotheses
1. Decompressive craniectomy results in an improvement in the Extended Glasgow
Outcome Score compared to optimal medical treatment
2. Decompressive craniectomy results in an improvement in surrogate endpoint
measures (including specific outcome measures [SF-36 questionnaire], control of
ICP, time in intensive care, and time to discharge from the neurosurgical unit)
compared to optimal medical treatment
Trial Design
Outcomes
• Primary outcome is GOS-E score at 6 months
• Secondary outcomes:
- GOS-E at 12 and 24 months (after randomisation)
- Mortality at 6, 12, and 24 months (after randomisation)
- QOL at 6, 12, and 24 months (after randomisation)
- GCS at discharge from hospital
- assessment of ICP control
- time in ICU
- time to discharge from hospital
- health-economic evaluation
• Adverse events will be recorded
Trial Design
How to assess ICP control?
- mean ICP (after randomisation)
- number of hours with ICP>25mmHg (after randomisation)
- the intracranial hypertension index 20
- the intracranial hypertension index 25
- cerebral hypoperfusion index
Trial Design
Original protocol flowchart:
Trial Design
Statistical Analysis Plan
• power calculation: 400 patients required for a 15% difference in outcome
(favourable outcome from 45% to 60%) (power 80%, p=0.05)
• modified intention to treat analysis (excluded patients lost to follow up or who
withdrew consent)
• pre-specified that they would pool ‘upper-good recovery’ and ‘lower good
recovery’
• sensitivity analysis- the proportion of patients achieving a ‘favourable’ outcome
(i.e. upper severe disability or better)
• covariate adjustment (age; GCS motor score; pupils; last pre-randomised
Marshall CT class)
Trial Design
Primary-outcome measure: GOS-E
Trial Design
Results
CONSORT diagram:
Results
Results
Interventions:
Results
Primary outcome:
• ordinal analysis based on proportional odds model
• the goodness of fit of this model was tested with a likelihood-ratio test; this was
rejected, indicating a difference in the distribution of the GOS-E scores in the two
groups (at 5% significance level)
• then, as pre-specified, the groups were compared with a chi-squared test
Results
Primary outcome:
• ordinal analysis based on proportional odds model
• the goodness of fit of this model was tested with likelihood-ratio test and was rejected,
indicating a difference in the distribution of the GOS-E scores in the two groups (at 5%
significance level)
• then, as pre-specified, the groups were compared with unordered chi-squared test
Results
Primary outcome (sensitivity analysis):
• increase in favourable outcome (8.2%, p=0.12) and unfavourable outcome (no p-value)
Results
Primary outcome:
For every 100 patients treated with surgery rather than medical therapy, there will be 22
more survivors. Of these:
- 6 will be in a ‘vegetative state’
- 8 will be ‘lower severe disability’
- 8 will be independent at home or better
Results
Secondary outcomes:
For every 100 patients treated with surgery rather than medical therapy, there will be 22
more survivors. Of these:
- 5 will be in a ‘vegetative state’
- 4 will be ‘lower severe disability’
- 13 will be independent at home or better
Results
Secondary outcomes:
Sensitivity analysis at 12 months- increase in favourable outcome 13% (p=0.01)
Results
Secondary outcomes:
• Control of intracranial pressure was better in the surgical group in all 5 pre-
specified measures
Results
Secondary outcomes:
• No difference in time to discharge/death from ICU (median about 12 days for both)
• If death is censored, median time to d/c from ICU is 15 v. 21 days (p=0.01)
• Secondary outcomes pending: 24 month GOS-E; QOL analysis; health-economic analysis
• 37 adverse events were reported in 33 patients (surgical group). 32 complications and
adverse events were reported in 18 patients (medical group).
Results
A priori subgroup analysis (separate binary logistic regression models for mortality and for
favourable outcome):
Internal Validity
Statistics:
• power calculation was appropriate (80% with p=0.05)
• 15% change in outcome is comparable to the literature
• achieved their recruitment target (400 patients)
Protocol published before trial and it was followed faithfully, except:
• original protocol - hyperventilate to CO2 26-34mmHg; changed to 30-34mmHg
• steroid therapy was in the original protocol; but removed as an option during trial
• initially cooling to 35-36oC was recommend; changed to ‘therapeutic hypothermia’ as an
option
Internal Validity
Randomisation:
• 1:1 allocation with permuted blocks of random size
• Stratified by site
• Blocks were not disclosed to ensure concealment
• Central telephone randomisation service
• Randomisation code was not release until patient had reached stage 3 of the protocol
• Baseline characteristics were similar except: history of drug or alcohol abuse
Blinding:
• clinicians were not blinded
• 2 trial team members reviewed the GOS-E questionnaires independently of each other
and were blinded to the group assignment
External Validity
• Representative population
• Relevant inclusion/exclusion criteria
• Modified intention to treat
• The treatment protocol is replicable (keeping in mind pragmatic nature of study)
• Choice of craniectomy technique is replicable
• 12 month follow up and clinically relevant outcomes
• No cranioplasty data
Guidelines for the Management of Severe Traumatic Brain Injury brain trauma foundation
2007: 2016:
External validity- 20 or 25?
Discussion
• Authors’ conclusion:
• At 6 months, DC for severe and refractory intracranial hypertension
after TBI resulted in mortality that was 22 percentage points lower
than that with medical management.
• Surgery also was associated with higher rates of vegetative state,
lower severe disability, and upper severe disability than medical
management.
• The rates of moderate disability and good recovery with surgery were
similar to those with medical management.
Discussion
• Weaknesses:
• dilution of treatment effect given large crossover (37.2%)
• hypothermia used during trial may be harmful (Eurotherm3235)
• steroid use initially an option during the trial
• clinical teams not blinded
• no data on cranioplasty (esp. complications)
• Overall though:
• Clinically relevant and important study
• Well executed a priori protocol
• Robust internal and external validity
Conclusion
• Well-conducted RCT
• DC results in reduced mortality, and can thus be used as a life saving intervention for
refractory raised ICP in TBI. There will be increased number of dependent patients at
6-12 months, as well as increased favourable outcomes
• Trial of DC v. barbiturates.
• In contrast to DECRA: a more generalisable result (less restrictive entry criteria; more
pragmatic approach to intracranial hypertension; more reflective of clinical practice)
• Future studies should look at 1) cranioplasty data and 2) the 37% medical group who
underwent DC

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Trial of Decompressive Craniectomy for Traumatic Intracranial Hypertension

  • 1. MACQUARIE NEUROSURGERY JOURNAL CLUB 27/10/16 Dr Michael Mulcahy
  • 2. MACQUARIE NEUROSURGERY JOURNAL CLUB P.J. Hutchinson, A.G. Kolias, I.S. Timofeev, E.A. Corteen, M. Czosnyka, J. Timothy, I. Anderson, D.O. Bulters, A. Belli, C.A. Eynon, J. Wadley, A.D. Mendelow, P.M. Mitchell, M.H. Wilson, G. Critchley, J. Sahuquillo, A. Unterberg, F. Servadei, G.M. Teasdale, J.D. Pickard, D.K. Menon, G.D. Murray, and P.J. Kirkpatrick, for the RESCUEicp Trial Collaborators* Trial of Decompressive Craniectomy for Traumatic Intracranial Hypertension The New England Journal of Medicine, Sept 2016, volume 375, issue 12, pp1119-30.
  • 3. Authors • Chief investigator: Professor Peter Hutchinson, University of Cambridge and Addenbrooke’s hospital • 22 co-authors and 211 trial collaborators • 52 centres in 20 countries
  • 4. Disclosures • Grant from MRC-NIHR partnership • Evelyn trust • Dr. Hutchinson reports grants from NIHR Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation Programme, during the conduct of the study; grants from NIHR Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Programme, outside the submitted work; and being a Director of Technicam (manufacturer of a cranial access device). Dr. Hutchinson reports having participated in a consensus conference on intracranial pressure that was held in Milan on October 5, 2013. The conference was financially supported by Codman (a division of Ethicon Ltd.), with an unconditional grant, though he reports having received no support. • Dr. Bulters reports grants from Innovate UK, grants from EU FP7, grants from EPSRC, grants from NIHR, grants from Royal College of Surgeons of Edinburgh, grants from Wessex Medical Research, grants from Smile for Wessex, grants and personal fees from ReNeuron, personal fees from Portola, personal fees from Johnson and Johnson, grants from Evgen Pharma, grants from Vasopharm, outside the submitted work. • Dr. Czosnyka reports personal fees from Cambridge Enterprise Ltd., outside the submitted work. • Dr. Kolias reports grants from NIHR Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation Programme, during the conduct of the study; grants from NIHR Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Programme, grants from NIHR Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Programme, outside the submitted work; and The British Neurosurgical Trainee Research Collaborative, which he chaired from 2012-15, has been supported with an educational grant from Codman, UK. Dr. Kolias reports having participated in a consensus conference on intracranial pressure that was held in Milan on October 5, 2013. The conference was financially supported by Codman (a division of Ethicon Ltd.), with an unconditional grant. • Dr. Mendelow reports non-financial support and other from Newcastle Neurosurgery Foundation Ltd., personal fees from Stryker, personal fees from Draeger, outside the submitted work; and Director of Newcastle Neurosurgery Foundation Ltd. • Dr. Menon reports grants and non-financial support from GlaxoSmithKline Ltd, personal fees from Pressura Ltd, personal fees from Calico Ltd, personal fees from Glide Pharma Ltd, personal fees from Pfizer Ltd, personal fees from Medicxi Ventures (UK) LLP , personal fees from Lantmännen AB , grants from Brainscope Ltd, personal fees from Ornim Medical, personal fees from Shire Medical, other from IMEC Ltd, grants from National Institute for Health Research UK, outside the submitted work; and help with development of a protocol for a clinical trial of ciclosporin in TBI sponsored by Neurovive. The project did not come to fruition. • Dr. Pickard reports grants from NIHR Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation Programme, during the conduct of the study; grants from NIHR Senior Investigator Award, grants from NIHR Brain Injury Healthcare Technology Co-operative, grants from NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (Brain injury theme), personal fees and non-financial support from Medtronic , personal fees and non-financial support from Codman (Johnson and Johnson), outside the submitted work; and Director, Medicam and Technicam (no financial remuneration) . • Dr. Servadei reports grants and personal fees from Codman Company , grants and personal fees from Finceramica , personal fees from Baxter Company , outside the submitted work
  • 5. Study Relevance • At the time of trial design (>10yrs ago) there were many studies on the role of decompressive craniectomy in TBI, with a wide range of outcomes • Concerns that DC simply increases the amount of patients in a vegetative state • Important to resolve the role of this treatment for a condition with profound social and economic consequences
  • 6. Relevance/Originality • ICP >20mmHg for more than 15min within a 1 hr period, despite optimised first tier therapy. • Significant decrease in ICP in Sx group; mortality was similar (Sx 19% v. non-Sx 18%); GOS-E scores at 6 months were worse (p=0.03). Contradictory to the literature at the time. • Concluded that the findings were unlikely to be due to a shift from survival to vegetative state (due to similar mortality), but rather that DC changes outcome from favourable to unfavourable.
  • 7. Relevance/Originality Criticism • protocol was not reflective of clinical practice • high number of exclusions (only 4.5% of screened patients were enrolled) • significant imbalances in baseline characteristics, esp. fixed pupils
  • 8. Trial Design • International, multi-centre randomised controlled trial • Two arm, parallel group study • Pragmatic • All hospitals provided acute neuroscience care for severe TBI and had 24 hour neurosurgical service
  • 10. Trial Design Hypotheses 1. Decompressive craniectomy results in an improvement in the Extended Glasgow Outcome Score compared to optimal medical treatment 2. Decompressive craniectomy results in an improvement in surrogate endpoint measures (including specific outcome measures [SF-36 questionnaire], control of ICP, time in intensive care, and time to discharge from the neurosurgical unit) compared to optimal medical treatment
  • 11. Trial Design Outcomes • Primary outcome is GOS-E score at 6 months • Secondary outcomes: - GOS-E at 12 and 24 months (after randomisation) - Mortality at 6, 12, and 24 months (after randomisation) - QOL at 6, 12, and 24 months (after randomisation) - GCS at discharge from hospital - assessment of ICP control - time in ICU - time to discharge from hospital - health-economic evaluation • Adverse events will be recorded
  • 12. Trial Design How to assess ICP control? - mean ICP (after randomisation) - number of hours with ICP>25mmHg (after randomisation) - the intracranial hypertension index 20 - the intracranial hypertension index 25 - cerebral hypoperfusion index
  • 14. Trial Design Statistical Analysis Plan • power calculation: 400 patients required for a 15% difference in outcome (favourable outcome from 45% to 60%) (power 80%, p=0.05) • modified intention to treat analysis (excluded patients lost to follow up or who withdrew consent) • pre-specified that they would pool ‘upper-good recovery’ and ‘lower good recovery’ • sensitivity analysis- the proportion of patients achieving a ‘favourable’ outcome (i.e. upper severe disability or better) • covariate adjustment (age; GCS motor score; pupils; last pre-randomised Marshall CT class)
  • 20. Results Primary outcome: • ordinal analysis based on proportional odds model • the goodness of fit of this model was tested with a likelihood-ratio test; this was rejected, indicating a difference in the distribution of the GOS-E scores in the two groups (at 5% significance level) • then, as pre-specified, the groups were compared with a chi-squared test
  • 21. Results Primary outcome: • ordinal analysis based on proportional odds model • the goodness of fit of this model was tested with likelihood-ratio test and was rejected, indicating a difference in the distribution of the GOS-E scores in the two groups (at 5% significance level) • then, as pre-specified, the groups were compared with unordered chi-squared test
  • 22. Results Primary outcome (sensitivity analysis): • increase in favourable outcome (8.2%, p=0.12) and unfavourable outcome (no p-value)
  • 23. Results Primary outcome: For every 100 patients treated with surgery rather than medical therapy, there will be 22 more survivors. Of these: - 6 will be in a ‘vegetative state’ - 8 will be ‘lower severe disability’ - 8 will be independent at home or better
  • 24. Results Secondary outcomes: For every 100 patients treated with surgery rather than medical therapy, there will be 22 more survivors. Of these: - 5 will be in a ‘vegetative state’ - 4 will be ‘lower severe disability’ - 13 will be independent at home or better
  • 25. Results Secondary outcomes: Sensitivity analysis at 12 months- increase in favourable outcome 13% (p=0.01)
  • 26. Results Secondary outcomes: • Control of intracranial pressure was better in the surgical group in all 5 pre- specified measures
  • 27. Results Secondary outcomes: • No difference in time to discharge/death from ICU (median about 12 days for both) • If death is censored, median time to d/c from ICU is 15 v. 21 days (p=0.01) • Secondary outcomes pending: 24 month GOS-E; QOL analysis; health-economic analysis • 37 adverse events were reported in 33 patients (surgical group). 32 complications and adverse events were reported in 18 patients (medical group).
  • 28. Results A priori subgroup analysis (separate binary logistic regression models for mortality and for favourable outcome):
  • 29. Internal Validity Statistics: • power calculation was appropriate (80% with p=0.05) • 15% change in outcome is comparable to the literature • achieved their recruitment target (400 patients) Protocol published before trial and it was followed faithfully, except: • original protocol - hyperventilate to CO2 26-34mmHg; changed to 30-34mmHg • steroid therapy was in the original protocol; but removed as an option during trial • initially cooling to 35-36oC was recommend; changed to ‘therapeutic hypothermia’ as an option
  • 30. Internal Validity Randomisation: • 1:1 allocation with permuted blocks of random size • Stratified by site • Blocks were not disclosed to ensure concealment • Central telephone randomisation service • Randomisation code was not release until patient had reached stage 3 of the protocol • Baseline characteristics were similar except: history of drug or alcohol abuse Blinding: • clinicians were not blinded • 2 trial team members reviewed the GOS-E questionnaires independently of each other and were blinded to the group assignment
  • 31. External Validity • Representative population • Relevant inclusion/exclusion criteria • Modified intention to treat • The treatment protocol is replicable (keeping in mind pragmatic nature of study) • Choice of craniectomy technique is replicable • 12 month follow up and clinically relevant outcomes • No cranioplasty data
  • 32. Guidelines for the Management of Severe Traumatic Brain Injury brain trauma foundation 2007: 2016: External validity- 20 or 25?
  • 33. Discussion • Authors’ conclusion: • At 6 months, DC for severe and refractory intracranial hypertension after TBI resulted in mortality that was 22 percentage points lower than that with medical management. • Surgery also was associated with higher rates of vegetative state, lower severe disability, and upper severe disability than medical management. • The rates of moderate disability and good recovery with surgery were similar to those with medical management.
  • 34. Discussion • Weaknesses: • dilution of treatment effect given large crossover (37.2%) • hypothermia used during trial may be harmful (Eurotherm3235) • steroid use initially an option during the trial • clinical teams not blinded • no data on cranioplasty (esp. complications) • Overall though: • Clinically relevant and important study • Well executed a priori protocol • Robust internal and external validity
  • 35. Conclusion • Well-conducted RCT • DC results in reduced mortality, and can thus be used as a life saving intervention for refractory raised ICP in TBI. There will be increased number of dependent patients at 6-12 months, as well as increased favourable outcomes • Trial of DC v. barbiturates. • In contrast to DECRA: a more generalisable result (less restrictive entry criteria; more pragmatic approach to intracranial hypertension; more reflective of clinical practice) • Future studies should look at 1) cranioplasty data and 2) the 37% medical group who underwent DC

Editor's Notes

  1. Didn’t say RCT as per CONSORT transparency reporting of trials
  2. co-authors mostly from the UK, a few from Western Europe
  3. MRC- medical research council. NIHR- national institute for health research
  4. An RCT would also have the benefit of addressing whether surgery shifts the outcome from death to vegetative state An RCT would also establish incidence of complications
  5. Possible reasons for the results are that ICP is not the driving factor, ?axonal stretch ?oxygen brain tension ?cerebral haemodynamics ?increased cerebral oedema Important differences - ICP 25 rather than 20 1-12 hrs of raised ICP required after failure of stage 2 rather than stage 1 (though ventriculostomy was stage 1 in DECRA) mass lesions (evacuated or non-evacuated) were excluded from DECRA, included in RESCUEicp unilateral DC was not allowed in DECRA In summary- RESCUEicp is assessing DC as a last-tier treatment. DECRA was assessing early DC for moderate intracranial hypertension
  6. Just a few of the criticisms In fact, after post-hoc adjustment for pupil reactivity, the harmful effect of DC was eliminated 18% of the non-surgical group underwent DC
  7. Pragmatic, focus on outcomes rather than mechanistic pathways. Tests effectiveness in clinical practice. Good at guidance current practice but not necessarily the best at isolating a single treatment effect. For example, not specifying when patient’s had to have CT scans, or whether or not to use mild hypothermia, or what hyperosmolar agents to use etc.
  8. Published in Acta Neurochirurgica Supplement 2006 Pre-specified inclusion/exclusion, protocol, statistical analysis plan, and outcome measures (fundamental to a randomised trial)
  9. The principal hypothesis for the RESCUEicp study is that the application of decompressive craniectomy to TBI patients with raised ICP refractory to medical treatment results in improved outcome.
  10. QOL measured using the 36-item short form health survey (10-item in children)
  11. (the number of end-hourly measures of intracranial pressure of >20 mm Hg divided by the total number of measurements, multiplied by 100) (the number of end-hourly measures of cerebral perfusion pressure of <60 mm Hg divided by the total number of measurements, multiplied by 100).
  12. Decompressive craniectomy could be performed later if a patient deteriorates, and barbiturates may be given if the patient deteriorates after craniectomy These were at clinician’s discretion. (the interest of the patient always prevails of the interest of science and society).
  13. powered to account for a loss to follow-up of 15% ITT ‘once randomised, always analysed’ One of the main reasons to use ITT is to account for missing outcomes, (can use last outcome carried forward for example) whilst there is concern over “modified ITT” in the literature, it seems this is due to studies not reporting what they are excluding. ?Less bias than post-randomisation deviations in other trials perhaps they did this to avoid the possible dilution efficacy of a treatment (a criticism of ITT in drug trials) groups pooled as expected to be too few patients to analyse these groups individually
  14. Validated global outcome scale assessing function in multiple domains, common in TBI trials Dichotomisation usually occurs 2-4 as unfavourable, in this paper it is 2-3, due to anticipated high number of poor outcomes (a priori). similar approach in some other trials 4 (upper severe disability) means patient is independent at home but need assistance to travel, shopping etc. whereas 3 need assistance at home or live in a care facility
  15. CT - haematoma, contusion, swelling, herniation or compressed basal cisterns mass lesion evacuation different to DECRA heterogenous population (patients with mass lesion v. patients with diffuse injury)
  16. Recruitment from 2004 to 2014 71% of patients from the UK Largest proportion excluded due to normal ICP (30%) 12% had a primary DC Not unreasonable exclusion overall (though reason not given 153, compare only 3 in eurotherm) 12 month analysis: 6% and 12% lost to follow up
  17. pupil abnormality = unreactive pupils or anisocoria Baseline characteristics were similar for the two groups except for history of drug or alcohol abuse, which was significantly different Note high proportion of male; 50% has poor motor GCS score; 40% had extracranial injury Marshall classification for CT was used - majority had diffuse injury, note that 20% had mass lesion
  18. no significant differences in pre-randomisation treatments very high number of patients in medical group underwent DC, smaller number underwent barbiturate therapy in surgical group information on DC was only collected in the surgical group
  19. in order to describe the way in which the two groups GOS-E scores differed
  20. so 22% decrease in death another way of looking at it: no difference in best outcomes (i.e. lower 3 usually means patients return to work)
  21. Contrast to DECRA in which mortality was essentially the same, it would seem the increase in unfavourable outcome is due to decreased mortality
  22. Outcome of “extra survivors”
  23. how do you present to patients. More likely to live… ?at 12 months less than half will end up in a care facility ?at 6 months more than half will be in a care facility
  24. the number of end-hourly measures of intracranial pressure of >20 mm Hg divided by the total number of measurements, multiplied by 100 the number of end-hourly measures of cerebral perfusion pressure of <60 mm Hg divided by the total number of measurements, multiplied by 100
  25. significantly shorter d/c from ICU in surgical group significantly less medical patients had complications
  26. Separate binary logistic regression models were fitted for mortality and for favourable outcome, with an interaction term included in the model to assess any subgroup effect. 12 interaction terms evaluated no subgroup effect (bordeline for age, p=0.025)
  27. Other TBI studies use 10%, DECRA 20%, eurotherm 7% Steroid stopped due to evidence of harm that emerged during trial, same with hypocarbia hypothermia changed due to lack of evidence and pragmatic nature of trial
  28. The objective of stratified randomization is to ensure balance of the treatment groups with respect to the various combinations of the prognostic variables. if lots of sites with not many patients, doesn’t work well Overall seems rigorous
  29. 3) intention to treat, more reliable as it accounts for real-work drop-out, non-compliance etc. 6) 6 month follow up what GOS-E was designed for; 12 month reasonable for assessing disposition 7) biggest criticism in generalisability is the lack of cranioplasty data
  30. DECRA used this evidence, although remember this evidence is not for ‘DC at 20, it’s a variety of treatment options for different papers’ . New Data says 22 25 probably reasonable choice, not well justified in background of rescueICP though
  31. eurotherm showed worse outcome in hypothermia group, but more stage 3 treatments in non hypothermia group hypothermia and steroid use not criticisms of the trial, but must be remembered
  32. 2) How to explain to a family member decision making 3) Perhaps barbiturates should be stage 3, then DC as stage 4. Do not know without data on the 37% Finally- RescueASDH is underway, weather to replace bone flap or not.