Solving Africa’s food crisis: The urgency of an Africa-driven agenda for the Green Revolution

Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa (AGRA) Solving Africa’s food crisis: The urgency of an Africa-driven agenda for the Green Revolution Akin Adesina Vice President AGRA

Asia Achieved a Green Revolution But Africa Has Not and Cannot Meet CAADP 6% Growth and MDG-1 Targets Source: FAOSTAT (2001) 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 China S.Asia SS Africa Cereal Yields t/ha

The Urgency of Now: Africa Must End Perennial Food Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The Sahelian Dry lands Area: 1.2 million km 2 Population: 38 million Millet & sorghum belt: 23 million ha Africa is very different from Asia: Need a Uniquely African Green Revolution that Respects Diversity Humid Forest Zone Area: 5.8 million km 2 Population: 168 million Cassava belt: 18 million ha NERICA potential: 2 million ha Moist Savanna and Woodland Zones Area: 4.4 million km 2 Population: 157 million Maize belt: 32 million ha CA potential: 7 million ha S N E W 0 1000 2000 kilometers

Advances in crop improvement could trigger the Africa Green Revolution….BUT

SOIL NUTRIENT MINING IS KILLING AFRICA 1995-97 2002-04 Source: IFDC

Netherlands Vietnam Japan UK China France Brazil USA India South Africa Cuba Benin Malawi Ethiopia Mali Burkina Faso Nigeria Tanzania Mozambique Guinea Ghana Uganda Kg/ha Source: FAOSTAT, July 2003; Norman Borlaug, 2004 0 100 200 300 400 Fertilizer use per ha in Sub-Sahara Africa is the lowest in the world 500 600

Poorly developed markets constrain income growth from agricultural technical change

AGRA Intervenes to Solve Problems Along the Value Chain l l l l l l l l 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Program for Africa’s Seed Systems [---------------$150 million- ----------][---------------- Soil Health Initiative ($ 180 million) Market Access Programs ($150-200 mil) Water Resources Management Policy and Advocacy, Monitoring and Evaluation Investments for the Green Revolution Agricultural Extension

Technical change in Asia and Africa: Why the divergence? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Changing the Policy Environment: AGRA’s Vision for Pro-Poor Growth ,[object Object]

Africa must learn from “Washington Consensus”: structural adjustment policies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Africa must learn from prior experiences to achieve productivity growth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Turning Point on Hunger in Africa: Malawi “Smart subsidies” Feed a Hungry Nation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Economic Mobility Pathway Poverty Trap Surplus Accumulation Commercialized Growth Enhancement Credits 5-10 years 10-15 years 15-20 years Enabling Environment to Nurture Growth Time Income Accelerated Growth and Competitiveness “ Growth Enhancement Credits” are needed to accelerate economic mobility for millions

Lessons for African countries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Potential policies for enabling the Green Revolution: Senior Policy Makers’ Convening by AGRA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Tilting the policy development agenda in favor of Africa ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

AGRA’s Partnership Strategy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

AGRA is rapidly building strong action-driven partnerships ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Solving Africa’s food crisis: The urgency of an Africa-driven agenda for the Green Revolution

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Solving Africa’s food crisis: The urgency of an Africa-driven agenda for the Green Revolution