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 The seed viability equations will influence the
design of seed storage facilities, and this has
culminated in the adoption of international
gene bank standards(Gene bank Standards,
1994).
 More recently, considerations of the molecular
mobility of viscous cytoplasm (Sun and
Leopold, 1994; Sun, 1997; Walters, 1998;
Buitink,2000), have opened up new
opportunities to use different ‘constants’ in
viability equations that reflect the biophysical
basis of longevity rather than an empirical
description of the pattern of population decline.
 The seed viability equations were developed as a
means of predicting the longevity of crop seeds in
store, as a support to seedsmen and seed
producers.
 Much of the ground work was done in the 1960s,
and this culminated by the early 1970s in the
development of the ‘basic viability equation,’
incorporating three constants to explain the
dependence of seed survival on moisture content,
temperature and an inherent property of the
species (see Roberts, 1973).
 Within 10 years, subtle changes had been made
to the equation to take into account:
 1) The added complexity of the temperature
dependence of seed longevity (i.e., a second
temperature term was added);
 2) The importance of the initial quality
(viability) of a seed lot on potential longevity
(Ellis and Roberts,1980a).
 This resulted in four viability constants (two
for temperature, one for moisture content and
one related to moisture that defined the species
response)
 By the late 1980s, it was clear that consideration
of seed relative humidity, in addition to seed
moisture content, would provide further insight to
interspecies variability in longevity by effectively
removing the effect of seed chemical composition
on the moisture content term (Roberts and Ellis,
1989).
 • At about the same time, it was proposed that the
temperature constants were ‘universal’ across
species (Dickie et al., 1990).This development
paved the way for the characterisation of species
seed longevity on the basis of experiments at one
temperature, assumptions then being made about
responses at other temperatures.
 Limits to such extrapolations using the improved
viability equation (Ellis and Roberts, 1980a) were
suggested when longevity was related to the glass
transition temperature of the seeds (Sun and
Leopold, 1994).
 A glass is a fluid that is so viscous that it acquires
the mechanical properties (strength) of a solid,
which in the context of seeds is what happens
when they are dried to low humidity. As the glass
transition temperature is dependent on the
moisture content of the seeds, it was possible to
relate longevity to where seeds were, in terms of
storage environment, above the glass transition
temperature (Sun and Leopold, 1994; Sun, 1997).
 A driving force for viscosity-dependent
longevity in seeds is the molecular mobility of
viscous cytoplasm (Walters, 1998; Buitink,
2000), leading to further opportunities to use
different ‘constants’ in viability equations that
reflect the biophysical basis of longevity rather
than an empirical description of the pattern of
population decline.
 Roberts (1973) noted that the “relationships
between temperature, moisture content and period
of viability percentage of germination after any
given period under any combination of
temperature and moisture content may be defined
by three basic viability equations which contain a
total of four constants, the values of which differ
between species.”
 The first equation (not shown here) described the
normal distribution of viability periods of the
individual seeds in a population
 The second equation, showed that the standard
deviation (a measure of the spread) of the
distribution of deaths in time (σ) is proportional
to the mean viability period (p), thus:
 where K σ is a constant. The third equation then
related temperature, moisture content and mean
viability period, as follows:
 where m is % moisture content (fresh weight
basis), tis temperature (°C) and Kv, C1 and C2
are constants. For broad beans (Vicia fabaL.)
the values of the constants determined were:
Kv= 5.766, C1= 0.139 and C2= 0.056.
Once the value of the constants for a species
have been determined the pattern of loss of
viability can be presented in the form of a
nomograph, showing the relationship between
scales for mean longevity and the required
viability at the end of storage under the chosen
conditions (moisture content and temperature).
This makes predicting seed survival easier than
when using the three equations (Roberts,
1973).
 Nomographs based on these basic viability
equations are only rough guides to seed longevity,
their value being limited by concerns about a
number of impacting features (Roberts, 1973):
 intra-specific genotypic, i.e., seed lot, differences
in longevity under the same storage conditions;
 effects of pre-storage conditions, such as high
temperature post harvest drying and mechanical
damage; these may affect the subsequent loss of
viability;
 changing oxygen partial pressure during hermetic
storage inaccuracies in determining seed moisture
content.
 In addition to accommodating initial differences in
seed quality, Ki, the improved viability equation
included modifications to enable its application
over a far wider range of environmental
conditions (Ellis and Roberts, 1980a; Ellis et al.,
1986). In Equation [1] survival in storage is
quantified as the mean viability period, log p
which is related to the standard distribution of
deaths in time, σ, by the constant Kσ. It is
therefore possible to derive a new equation
describing the relationship between the standard
deviation of the normal distribution of seed deaths
in time with environment, thus:
When seed survival curves are plotted as probit
percentage viability against time, straight lines of negative
slope are produced which can be described by 1/σ
(Finney, 1977). Therefore, survival (viability remaining)
can be predicted, thus:
where v is viability (probit %), pis storage period (d) and
Ki is viability (probit %) before storage
 The relative differences in longevity between
seed lots is maintained in all environments and
thus is not dependent on genotype.
 In addition, the constants C1 and C2 are not
affected by genotype, seed quality.
 Finally, genotype and seed quality do not affect
the slope of the survival curves.
 Therefore, only the intercept of the survival
curve, Ki, is affected by genotype and pre-
storage treatments (Ellis and Roberts, 1980a).
 It follows from Equation that KL too is
independent of these factors.
 As a consequence, it has been possible to
propose a single viability equation to account for
the performance of seeds in storage by
substituting σ in Equation [4] in Equation [6],
thus:
 where viability, v (probit %), at any time in
storage, p, is related to a combination of
moisture content, m, and temperature, t.
Remember that KL– C1m– C2t are species-
specific
 . For example, the constants KL, C1 and C2 are
estimated to be 4.606, 0.135 and 0.034
respectively for finger millet and 6.713, 0.267
and 0.033 respectively for amaranth (Mutegi et
al., 2001). Note here the similarity of the
temperature term (C2) of the species.
 Ki can be estimated in one of two ways.
 First, via a large (i.e., hundreds of seeds)
initial germination test, just as the storage
experiment is to start.
 Second, by back extrapolation by probit
analysis, based on subsequent germination tests
carried out at regular intervals during a few
accelerated seed ageing experiments.
 For example, seeds can be adjusted to around 5
to 15% moisture content and then stored at
warm temperature (c. 40°C).
 Irrespective of the method used, it is important
to have a reasonably high measure of
confidence in this initial viability value
(determined or deduced) as small differences in
Ki can have a large effect on predictions of
longevity.
 To determine the species constants, seeds
should be aged under several combinations of
temperature and moisture content.
 Then from the survival curves, the constants
can be estimated by fitting Equation [4] using
multiple regression analysis.
 In this context, it is conventional to constrain
the survival curves for a single seed lot to a
common origin, a procedure that often reveals
significant differences in Ki among seed lots
but not among ageing environments,
 Then this deduced Ki for the seed lot is
inserted in the viability equation
 Another important change in the development
of the seed viability equations at this time was
the logarithmic transformation of moisture
content.
 Hutchinson (1944) had suggested such a
transformation when dealing with seed
viability data, and Ellis and Roberts (1980a)
adopted this in an attempt to extend the
viability equations to a wider range of
conditions.

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Seed viability equations and application of nomograohs in storage

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3.  The seed viability equations will influence the design of seed storage facilities, and this has culminated in the adoption of international gene bank standards(Gene bank Standards, 1994).  More recently, considerations of the molecular mobility of viscous cytoplasm (Sun and Leopold, 1994; Sun, 1997; Walters, 1998; Buitink,2000), have opened up new opportunities to use different ‘constants’ in viability equations that reflect the biophysical basis of longevity rather than an empirical description of the pattern of population decline.
  • 4.  The seed viability equations were developed as a means of predicting the longevity of crop seeds in store, as a support to seedsmen and seed producers.  Much of the ground work was done in the 1960s, and this culminated by the early 1970s in the development of the ‘basic viability equation,’ incorporating three constants to explain the dependence of seed survival on moisture content, temperature and an inherent property of the species (see Roberts, 1973).
  • 5.  Within 10 years, subtle changes had been made to the equation to take into account:  1) The added complexity of the temperature dependence of seed longevity (i.e., a second temperature term was added);  2) The importance of the initial quality (viability) of a seed lot on potential longevity (Ellis and Roberts,1980a).  This resulted in four viability constants (two for temperature, one for moisture content and one related to moisture that defined the species response)
  • 6.  By the late 1980s, it was clear that consideration of seed relative humidity, in addition to seed moisture content, would provide further insight to interspecies variability in longevity by effectively removing the effect of seed chemical composition on the moisture content term (Roberts and Ellis, 1989).  • At about the same time, it was proposed that the temperature constants were ‘universal’ across species (Dickie et al., 1990).This development paved the way for the characterisation of species seed longevity on the basis of experiments at one temperature, assumptions then being made about responses at other temperatures.
  • 7.  Limits to such extrapolations using the improved viability equation (Ellis and Roberts, 1980a) were suggested when longevity was related to the glass transition temperature of the seeds (Sun and Leopold, 1994).  A glass is a fluid that is so viscous that it acquires the mechanical properties (strength) of a solid, which in the context of seeds is what happens when they are dried to low humidity. As the glass transition temperature is dependent on the moisture content of the seeds, it was possible to relate longevity to where seeds were, in terms of storage environment, above the glass transition temperature (Sun and Leopold, 1994; Sun, 1997).
  • 8.  A driving force for viscosity-dependent longevity in seeds is the molecular mobility of viscous cytoplasm (Walters, 1998; Buitink, 2000), leading to further opportunities to use different ‘constants’ in viability equations that reflect the biophysical basis of longevity rather than an empirical description of the pattern of population decline.
  • 9.  Roberts (1973) noted that the “relationships between temperature, moisture content and period of viability percentage of germination after any given period under any combination of temperature and moisture content may be defined by three basic viability equations which contain a total of four constants, the values of which differ between species.”  The first equation (not shown here) described the normal distribution of viability periods of the individual seeds in a population
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.  The second equation, showed that the standard deviation (a measure of the spread) of the distribution of deaths in time (σ) is proportional to the mean viability period (p), thus:  where K σ is a constant. The third equation then related temperature, moisture content and mean viability period, as follows:
  • 13.  where m is % moisture content (fresh weight basis), tis temperature (°C) and Kv, C1 and C2 are constants. For broad beans (Vicia fabaL.) the values of the constants determined were: Kv= 5.766, C1= 0.139 and C2= 0.056.
  • 14. Once the value of the constants for a species have been determined the pattern of loss of viability can be presented in the form of a nomograph, showing the relationship between scales for mean longevity and the required viability at the end of storage under the chosen conditions (moisture content and temperature). This makes predicting seed survival easier than when using the three equations (Roberts, 1973).
  • 15.  Nomographs based on these basic viability equations are only rough guides to seed longevity, their value being limited by concerns about a number of impacting features (Roberts, 1973):  intra-specific genotypic, i.e., seed lot, differences in longevity under the same storage conditions;  effects of pre-storage conditions, such as high temperature post harvest drying and mechanical damage; these may affect the subsequent loss of viability;  changing oxygen partial pressure during hermetic storage inaccuracies in determining seed moisture content.
  • 16.  In addition to accommodating initial differences in seed quality, Ki, the improved viability equation included modifications to enable its application over a far wider range of environmental conditions (Ellis and Roberts, 1980a; Ellis et al., 1986). In Equation [1] survival in storage is quantified as the mean viability period, log p which is related to the standard distribution of deaths in time, σ, by the constant Kσ. It is therefore possible to derive a new equation describing the relationship between the standard deviation of the normal distribution of seed deaths in time with environment, thus:
  • 17. When seed survival curves are plotted as probit percentage viability against time, straight lines of negative slope are produced which can be described by 1/σ (Finney, 1977). Therefore, survival (viability remaining) can be predicted, thus: where v is viability (probit %), pis storage period (d) and Ki is viability (probit %) before storage
  • 18.
  • 19.  The relative differences in longevity between seed lots is maintained in all environments and thus is not dependent on genotype.  In addition, the constants C1 and C2 are not affected by genotype, seed quality.  Finally, genotype and seed quality do not affect the slope of the survival curves.  Therefore, only the intercept of the survival curve, Ki, is affected by genotype and pre- storage treatments (Ellis and Roberts, 1980a).
  • 20.  It follows from Equation that KL too is independent of these factors.  As a consequence, it has been possible to propose a single viability equation to account for the performance of seeds in storage by substituting σ in Equation [4] in Equation [6], thus:  where viability, v (probit %), at any time in storage, p, is related to a combination of moisture content, m, and temperature, t. Remember that KL– C1m– C2t are species- specific
  • 21.  . For example, the constants KL, C1 and C2 are estimated to be 4.606, 0.135 and 0.034 respectively for finger millet and 6.713, 0.267 and 0.033 respectively for amaranth (Mutegi et al., 2001). Note here the similarity of the temperature term (C2) of the species.  Ki can be estimated in one of two ways.  First, via a large (i.e., hundreds of seeds) initial germination test, just as the storage experiment is to start.  Second, by back extrapolation by probit analysis, based on subsequent germination tests carried out at regular intervals during a few accelerated seed ageing experiments.
  • 22.  For example, seeds can be adjusted to around 5 to 15% moisture content and then stored at warm temperature (c. 40°C).  Irrespective of the method used, it is important to have a reasonably high measure of confidence in this initial viability value (determined or deduced) as small differences in Ki can have a large effect on predictions of longevity.
  • 23.  To determine the species constants, seeds should be aged under several combinations of temperature and moisture content.  Then from the survival curves, the constants can be estimated by fitting Equation [4] using multiple regression analysis.  In this context, it is conventional to constrain the survival curves for a single seed lot to a common origin, a procedure that often reveals significant differences in Ki among seed lots but not among ageing environments,  Then this deduced Ki for the seed lot is inserted in the viability equation
  • 24.  Another important change in the development of the seed viability equations at this time was the logarithmic transformation of moisture content.  Hutchinson (1944) had suggested such a transformation when dealing with seed viability data, and Ellis and Roberts (1980a) adopted this in an attempt to extend the viability equations to a wider range of conditions.