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Large scale impacts of grassland management and changes in livestock production systems 
Susanne Rolinski, Isabelle Weindl, Jens Heinke, Benjamin Bodirsky, Anne Biewald and Hermann Lotze-Campen 
15.10.2014
Grassland productivity and livestock production 
MAgPIE 
global agro-economical model 
•feed baskets for livestock production systems 
•livestock products 
•landuse pattern 
LPJmL 
global vegetation and crop model 
•grass growth and yield 
•management of pasture
Grass in LPJmL 
So far 
•frequent mowing 
•dependence on grass productivity 
New 
•mowing and grazing 
•difference in frequency and intensity 
•fate of NPP differs 
 feedback of grazing and mowing on productivity
Grass management options 
Default option 
•harvest when leaf biomass > 100 g C m-2 
•removed biomass is 50% of leaves 
•goes to harvest  removal from paddock
Grass management options 
Extensive grazing 
•during the entire vegetation period grazing of biomass by cattle 
•low density (~ 0.5 LSU ha-1) 
•removed biomass goes to cattle, soil and atmosphere
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
Average 1998 – 2002 
Numbers: xx means x.x LSU ha-1
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Varying LSU ha-1 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(g C m-2)
Distribution per livestock density
Optimal LSU 
maximum harvest under grazing 
livestock density under which maximum harvest is achieved 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(LSU ha-1)
Optimal LSU 
maximum harvest under grazing 
 9.3 GT C 
livestock density under which maximum harvest is achieved 
 13975 Mio LSU 
(g C m-2 a-1) 
(LSU ha-1)
Optimal LSU 
… but the world is not only grassland 
What is the potential compared to current numbers? 
current landuse pattern 
current numbers in land-based systems 
current numbers in all systems 
Livestock numbers (Mio LSU) 
2754 
44.7 
256 
Grass harvest (GT C) 
1.75 
0.07 
0.32 
multiply pasture area and sum 
GLW data in production systems LGA, LGH, LGT and their grazing demand 
same for all livestock production systems
Conclusion and Outlook 
•Integrated assessment of livestock 
•production 
•feed demand 
•impact on land use, water use, emissions, prices 
•requires 
•link of production system to feed baskets 
•description of transitions in production systems and diets 
Next steps: 
 grassland management link to production systems 
 transition between diets into landuse model 
Special tribute to Pete Smith for sponsoring

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Large Scale Impacts of Grassland management and changes in livestock production systems_LiveM_Macsur_Bilbao_2014

  • 1. Large scale impacts of grassland management and changes in livestock production systems Susanne Rolinski, Isabelle Weindl, Jens Heinke, Benjamin Bodirsky, Anne Biewald and Hermann Lotze-Campen 15.10.2014
  • 2. Grassland productivity and livestock production MAgPIE global agro-economical model •feed baskets for livestock production systems •livestock products •landuse pattern LPJmL global vegetation and crop model •grass growth and yield •management of pasture
  • 3. Grass in LPJmL So far •frequent mowing •dependence on grass productivity New •mowing and grazing •difference in frequency and intensity •fate of NPP differs  feedback of grazing and mowing on productivity
  • 4. Grass management options Default option •harvest when leaf biomass > 100 g C m-2 •removed biomass is 50% of leaves •goes to harvest  removal from paddock
  • 5. Grass management options Extensive grazing •during the entire vegetation period grazing of biomass by cattle •low density (~ 0.5 LSU ha-1) •removed biomass goes to cattle, soil and atmosphere
  • 6. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) Average 1998 – 2002 Numbers: xx means x.x LSU ha-1
  • 7. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 8. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 9. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 10. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 11. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 12. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 13. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 14. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 15. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 16. Varying LSU ha-1 (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2 a-1) (g C m-2)
  • 18. Optimal LSU maximum harvest under grazing livestock density under which maximum harvest is achieved (g C m-2 a-1) (LSU ha-1)
  • 19. Optimal LSU maximum harvest under grazing  9.3 GT C livestock density under which maximum harvest is achieved  13975 Mio LSU (g C m-2 a-1) (LSU ha-1)
  • 20. Optimal LSU … but the world is not only grassland What is the potential compared to current numbers? current landuse pattern current numbers in land-based systems current numbers in all systems Livestock numbers (Mio LSU) 2754 44.7 256 Grass harvest (GT C) 1.75 0.07 0.32 multiply pasture area and sum GLW data in production systems LGA, LGH, LGT and their grazing demand same for all livestock production systems
  • 21. Conclusion and Outlook •Integrated assessment of livestock •production •feed demand •impact on land use, water use, emissions, prices •requires •link of production system to feed baskets •description of transitions in production systems and diets Next steps:  grassland management link to production systems  transition between diets into landuse model Special tribute to Pete Smith for sponsoring