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Livestock & Climate Change Food Climate Research Network FCRN-LIDC workshop  - 12 June 2009
This presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Overall food related GHG emissions
The LCA perspective  Land use change
Overall food-related contribution to  GHG emissions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
UKL Food GHG impacts – around 19% As % of UK consumption related GHG emissions est. at  234 MTCe – source Druckman et al 2008
Former forest, Matto Grosso Brazil
2. Focus on meat and dairy
Livestock and its impacts: some estimates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Livestock: benefits & disbenefits ruminants Limited by legislation Benefits Disbenefits Comment Nutrition Excellent for protein, calcium, iron, vit B12 Excessive fat; protein can be more than needed Animal foods not essential; plants can substitute Non food benefits Leather, wool, manure, rendered products Manure can be a pollutant Quantities needed? Substitution cost Eating will always produce an impact  Generally plant foods have lower GHG profile Carbon storage Pasture land stores carbon Excessive grazing & land use change releases carbon Land use change from pasture to crops will generate CO 2 Resource efficiency Livestock can consume grass & byproducts Supplemented with grains & cereals in intensive systems Byproducts can be  used directly as energy source in AD systems Geography Some land not suitable for cropping Arable land used for livestock  Intensified systems are arable hungry
However.... global trends in demand... Source: FAO 2006 ...are unsustainable 2000 (6 bn people) 2050 (9 bn people) Total demand – meat (tonnes) 228 459 Total demand – milk (tonnes) 475 883
Inequality continues: p.c. meat to 2050 Source: FAO 2006
Per cap. milk to 2050
3. Reducing livestock emissions Technological options Behaviour change
Food’s impacts and the importance of the different gases Livestock approx 80% agricultural stage impacts Livestock’s  role  here? Relationship? Methane   from  livestock Nitrous oxide  from livestock and crops Carbon dioxide  from fossil energy use * Carbon dioxide   from fossil energy use Beyond farm gate Up to farm gate Carbon dioxide   from lost carbon sequest- ration * Note: fossil energy inputs are not huge in themselves but enable scale of production which , for example, turns livestock and its other emissions into a problem
What can we do to reduce livestock emissions?  The technological options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What about switching to pork and poultry? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What level of GHG reductions for livestock are technically possible?  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Even if tech improvements could cut global  livestock impacts by 50% by 2050 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
If yr 2000 consumption levels were maintained ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Livestock and UK CC targets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
4. Conclusions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
For example... ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Internationally - the key priorities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Approach  A : put demand centre stage – max efficiency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Approach  B : Live within ecological constraints ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you Tara Garnett [email_address] www.fcrn.org.uk   Food Climate Research Network

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Livestock and Climate Change - Tara Garnett, Food Climate Research Network, University of Surrey

  • 1. Livestock & Climate Change Food Climate Research Network FCRN-LIDC workshop - 12 June 2009
  • 2.
  • 3. 1. Overall food related GHG emissions
  • 4. The LCA perspective Land use change
  • 5.
  • 6. UKL Food GHG impacts – around 19% As % of UK consumption related GHG emissions est. at 234 MTCe – source Druckman et al 2008
  • 7. Former forest, Matto Grosso Brazil
  • 8. 2. Focus on meat and dairy
  • 9.
  • 10. Livestock: benefits & disbenefits ruminants Limited by legislation Benefits Disbenefits Comment Nutrition Excellent for protein, calcium, iron, vit B12 Excessive fat; protein can be more than needed Animal foods not essential; plants can substitute Non food benefits Leather, wool, manure, rendered products Manure can be a pollutant Quantities needed? Substitution cost Eating will always produce an impact Generally plant foods have lower GHG profile Carbon storage Pasture land stores carbon Excessive grazing & land use change releases carbon Land use change from pasture to crops will generate CO 2 Resource efficiency Livestock can consume grass & byproducts Supplemented with grains & cereals in intensive systems Byproducts can be used directly as energy source in AD systems Geography Some land not suitable for cropping Arable land used for livestock Intensified systems are arable hungry
  • 11. However.... global trends in demand... Source: FAO 2006 ...are unsustainable 2000 (6 bn people) 2050 (9 bn people) Total demand – meat (tonnes) 228 459 Total demand – milk (tonnes) 475 883
  • 12. Inequality continues: p.c. meat to 2050 Source: FAO 2006
  • 13. Per cap. milk to 2050
  • 14. 3. Reducing livestock emissions Technological options Behaviour change
  • 15. Food’s impacts and the importance of the different gases Livestock approx 80% agricultural stage impacts Livestock’s role here? Relationship? Methane from livestock Nitrous oxide from livestock and crops Carbon dioxide from fossil energy use * Carbon dioxide from fossil energy use Beyond farm gate Up to farm gate Carbon dioxide from lost carbon sequest- ration * Note: fossil energy inputs are not huge in themselves but enable scale of production which , for example, turns livestock and its other emissions into a problem
  • 16.
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  • 28. Thank you Tara Garnett [email_address] www.fcrn.org.uk Food Climate Research Network

Editor's Notes

  1. Environmental impact of products (EIPRO): Analysis of the life cycle environmental impacts related to the total final consumption of the EU25 , European Science and Technology Observatory and Institute for Prospective Technological studies, full report, May 2006. http://ec.europa.eu/environment/ipp/identifying.htm
  2. For further reading suggestions see resources pages of the FCRN