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RESEARCH CYCLE
FACTORS AFFECTING THE ACCURACY OF COST ESTIMATE:
CASE OF JORDAN
Muhammad T. Hatamleh, Mohammed Hiyassat, Ghaleb Jalil Sweis and Rateb Jalil Sweis
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
Group Members:
Navodi Gimhani 120457
Tharindu Dodanwala 120339
Roman Man Shrestha 120294
Kaung Wunna Kyaw 120332
Nischaya Sedai 120459
RESEARCH CYCLE
1. Formulate
2. Generation of
Hypothesis
3. Data Collection
4. Data Exploration
5. Model and Monitor
2
FORMULATE
• Problem Statement
• There is no consensus in most important and influential
factors on the accuracy of cost estimate.
• Research Questions
• What is cost estimation?
• What are the factors affecting cost estimation?
• How the factors affect the accuracy of the cost estimation?
3
FORMULATE (CONTIUNED)
• Objectives
1. To identify and rate the factors affecting the estimation
process
2. To test the degree of consensus among the contractors
and the consultants regarding the ranking of the factors
affecting the accuracy of cost estimation
3. To discuss the top ten factors within the Jordanian
construction companies, justify their high rank and
compare them with other studies
4
FORMULATE (CONTIUNED)
• Literature Review
• Estimation - Process of predicting and forecasting the
time, cost and other resources needed to accomplish the
objective (Larson and Gray, 2011)
• Cost estimating - Predictive process of quantifying the
financial resources dependent upon the scope of
investment to establish the project budget (Dysert, 2003)
5
FORMULATE (CONTIUNED)
• Literature Review
• Azman et al. (2013) identified that availability of sufficient
design information and cost data as most important factors
in preparing accurate estimates
• Alumbugu et al. (2014) concluded that the most
influencing factor affecting the accuracy of pre-tender cost
estimation is the experience and skill level of the estimator
6
GENERATION OF HYPOTHESIS
Independent Variable
Respondent category
(Contractor & consultant)
Dependent Variables
• Contractors, consultants, design
parameters & information
• Market conditions
• Project characteristics
7
GENERATION OF HYPOTHESIS (CONTIUNED)
H0: There is no significant difference between contractors and
consultants toward the ranking of factors related to contractors,
consultants, design parameters, and information.
H1: There is a significant difference between contractors and
consultants toward the ranking of factors related to contractors,
consultants, design parameters, and information.
8
DATA COLLECTION
Respondents’ information Frequency Percentage
Type of participation in the project implementation
Contractor 170 64.2
Consultant 95 35.8
Working experience in the construction industry
< 3 years 35 13.2
3-5 years 90 34.0
5-10 years 80 30.2
10-15 years 37 14.0
>15 years 23 8.7
Table 1: Demographic Description
9
DATA EXPLORATION
• To evaluate reliability and validity a pilot study
(30 respondent) was carried out
• Cornbach’s α coefficient test is used for appraisal
of the reliability (0.783 ≤ α ≤ 0.967)
• Spearman test was used to ensure the criterion
and construct validity of the questionnaire (p-
value < 0.05)
10
MODEL AND MONITOR
• 𝑅𝐼𝐼 =
Σ𝑤
𝐴𝑁
𝑥100% =
5𝑛5+4𝑛4+3𝑛3+2𝑛2+1𝑛1
5𝑛5
𝑥100%
RII- Relative Important Index
w- Weight given to each factor by respondent
(1- not important to 5- very important)
A- Highest weight (5)
N- Total number of samples
11
MODEL AND MONITOR (CONTIUNED)
Factor
Contractor Consultant
RII (%) Rank RII (%) Rank
Experience of pricing construction projects 81.4 2 82.4 2
Clear and detail drawings and specification 82.4 1 84 1
Availability of database of bids on similar
project
71.4 9 81.6 4
Accuracy and reliability of cost information 75.4 5 77 5
Projects team experience of the construction
type
76 4 74 8
Completeness of cost information 72.2 8 74.6 7
The estimating method used 69.6 11 71.2 9
Level of involvement of the project manager 69.4 12 71.2 9
Quality of information and flow requirements 69.4 12 69.8 12
The quality of the assumptions used in
preparing the estimate
73 7 76.8 6
Time allowed for preparing cost estimates 75 6 74.4 8
Perception of estimation importance 80 3 82.2 3
The padding estimates 68.2 13 70.9 10
Contractor bidding strategy 69.4 12 63.2 13
Table 2: Factors Related to Contractors, Consultants, Design Parameters & Information
Mann-Whitney = 103.5
p-value = 0.708 (p-value >
0.05);
The null hypothesis is therefore
accepted at 95% confidence
interval.
No significant difference
12
MODEL AND MONITOR (CONTIUNED)
• Conclusions
• There are slight differences between the contractors’ and consultants’
response over the importance factors affecting the accuracy of cost
estimation. This result indicates that each of them looks at the process of
cost estimation almost the same way.
• The ranking of “clear drawing and specification” as the most important
factor indicates that construction project costs were more influenced by
architects and consultants than by contractors. This means that the
project costs are more determined by decisions at the initial, feasibility,
and early design stages rather than by later construction stages.
13
THANK YOU!!!

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Research-Cycle-Group

  • 1. RESEARCH CYCLE FACTORS AFFECTING THE ACCURACY OF COST ESTIMATE: CASE OF JORDAN Muhammad T. Hatamleh, Mohammed Hiyassat, Ghaleb Jalil Sweis and Rateb Jalil Sweis Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan Group Members: Navodi Gimhani 120457 Tharindu Dodanwala 120339 Roman Man Shrestha 120294 Kaung Wunna Kyaw 120332 Nischaya Sedai 120459
  • 2. RESEARCH CYCLE 1. Formulate 2. Generation of Hypothesis 3. Data Collection 4. Data Exploration 5. Model and Monitor 2
  • 3. FORMULATE • Problem Statement • There is no consensus in most important and influential factors on the accuracy of cost estimate. • Research Questions • What is cost estimation? • What are the factors affecting cost estimation? • How the factors affect the accuracy of the cost estimation? 3
  • 4. FORMULATE (CONTIUNED) • Objectives 1. To identify and rate the factors affecting the estimation process 2. To test the degree of consensus among the contractors and the consultants regarding the ranking of the factors affecting the accuracy of cost estimation 3. To discuss the top ten factors within the Jordanian construction companies, justify their high rank and compare them with other studies 4
  • 5. FORMULATE (CONTIUNED) • Literature Review • Estimation - Process of predicting and forecasting the time, cost and other resources needed to accomplish the objective (Larson and Gray, 2011) • Cost estimating - Predictive process of quantifying the financial resources dependent upon the scope of investment to establish the project budget (Dysert, 2003) 5
  • 6. FORMULATE (CONTIUNED) • Literature Review • Azman et al. (2013) identified that availability of sufficient design information and cost data as most important factors in preparing accurate estimates • Alumbugu et al. (2014) concluded that the most influencing factor affecting the accuracy of pre-tender cost estimation is the experience and skill level of the estimator 6
  • 7. GENERATION OF HYPOTHESIS Independent Variable Respondent category (Contractor & consultant) Dependent Variables • Contractors, consultants, design parameters & information • Market conditions • Project characteristics 7
  • 8. GENERATION OF HYPOTHESIS (CONTIUNED) H0: There is no significant difference between contractors and consultants toward the ranking of factors related to contractors, consultants, design parameters, and information. H1: There is a significant difference between contractors and consultants toward the ranking of factors related to contractors, consultants, design parameters, and information. 8
  • 9. DATA COLLECTION Respondents’ information Frequency Percentage Type of participation in the project implementation Contractor 170 64.2 Consultant 95 35.8 Working experience in the construction industry < 3 years 35 13.2 3-5 years 90 34.0 5-10 years 80 30.2 10-15 years 37 14.0 >15 years 23 8.7 Table 1: Demographic Description 9
  • 10. DATA EXPLORATION • To evaluate reliability and validity a pilot study (30 respondent) was carried out • Cornbach’s α coefficient test is used for appraisal of the reliability (0.783 ≤ α ≤ 0.967) • Spearman test was used to ensure the criterion and construct validity of the questionnaire (p- value < 0.05) 10
  • 11. MODEL AND MONITOR • 𝑅𝐼𝐼 = Σ𝑤 𝐴𝑁 𝑥100% = 5𝑛5+4𝑛4+3𝑛3+2𝑛2+1𝑛1 5𝑛5 𝑥100% RII- Relative Important Index w- Weight given to each factor by respondent (1- not important to 5- very important) A- Highest weight (5) N- Total number of samples 11
  • 12. MODEL AND MONITOR (CONTIUNED) Factor Contractor Consultant RII (%) Rank RII (%) Rank Experience of pricing construction projects 81.4 2 82.4 2 Clear and detail drawings and specification 82.4 1 84 1 Availability of database of bids on similar project 71.4 9 81.6 4 Accuracy and reliability of cost information 75.4 5 77 5 Projects team experience of the construction type 76 4 74 8 Completeness of cost information 72.2 8 74.6 7 The estimating method used 69.6 11 71.2 9 Level of involvement of the project manager 69.4 12 71.2 9 Quality of information and flow requirements 69.4 12 69.8 12 The quality of the assumptions used in preparing the estimate 73 7 76.8 6 Time allowed for preparing cost estimates 75 6 74.4 8 Perception of estimation importance 80 3 82.2 3 The padding estimates 68.2 13 70.9 10 Contractor bidding strategy 69.4 12 63.2 13 Table 2: Factors Related to Contractors, Consultants, Design Parameters & Information Mann-Whitney = 103.5 p-value = 0.708 (p-value > 0.05); The null hypothesis is therefore accepted at 95% confidence interval. No significant difference 12
  • 13. MODEL AND MONITOR (CONTIUNED) • Conclusions • There are slight differences between the contractors’ and consultants’ response over the importance factors affecting the accuracy of cost estimation. This result indicates that each of them looks at the process of cost estimation almost the same way. • The ranking of “clear drawing and specification” as the most important factor indicates that construction project costs were more influenced by architects and consultants than by contractors. This means that the project costs are more determined by decisions at the initial, feasibility, and early design stages rather than by later construction stages. 13