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Tamer Hifnawy MD. Dr.PH
Associate Professor
Public Health & Community Medicine
Faculty of Medicine – BSU- Egypt
College of Dentistry Taibah University- KSA
Vice Dean For Quality, Development & International Affairs
CertifiedTrainer for International Research Ethics
Study designs can be split into:
1. Observational: collect information on conditions the
investigator has no control.
2. Interventional (experimental): intervene to reduce
exposure or to allocate alternative treatments.
Did the investigator assign exposures?
Yes No
Experimental study Observational study
Interventional Studies Comparison group?
Descriptive
study
Analytical
study
Direction?
Cross-sectional
study
Case-Control
study
Cohort
study
Yes No
Clinical Trials
Cross sectional
Time
ProspectiveRetrospective
 case report
 case series
 case-control
 cohort studies
 clinical trial
 randomized clinical trial
 blinded randomized clinical trial
Best Evidence
The strongest evidence for
therapeutic interventions is
provided by systematic
review of Randomized,
Triple-blind,
Controlled trials
You will need to examine
the study’s
methodology and results
Cross Sectional Study
A point in time picture of disease, health
event, medical or psychosocial phenomenon.
Most often utilizing a survey mechanism
Cross Sectional Study
 They collect information to measure prevalence
at one point in time.
 The prevalence of the outcome can be
measured without reference to exposure or the
reverse (descriptive).
 The prevalence of disease can be measured in
relation to the exposure of interest (analytical).
Population
Representative
sample
(if not using
the whole pop)
Number with
Disease or
Condition
Number
without
Disease or
Condition
Calculate
prevalence
of
disease, co
ndition
TIME
No of cases of a disease diagnosed
during a cross-section study
------------------------------------ X 100
All examined individuals studied
Population
Representative
sample
(if not using
the whole pop)
Number with
Disease and
with
Exposure
Calculate
prevalence
of
disease, in
exposed.
Number with
Disease but
without
Exposure
Number without
Disease but
with
Exposure
Number without
Disease and
without
Exposure
Calculate
prevalence
of
disease, in
unexposed
TIME
Assume we are interested in the possible relationship
between serum cholesterol level (Exposure) and ECG
evidence of CHD (Outcome)
 Information about exposure and disease is collected
simultaneously
Analysis of Cross-Sectional Studies
dc
Not
Exposed
baExposed
No DiseaseDisease
a / (a + b)
Prevalence Ratio (PR) = ------------
c / (c + d)
Cross-Sectional Studies
45050
Normal/
Low
400100High
No CHDCHD
Cholesterol
100 / (100 + 400) 0.2
Prevalence Ratio = --------------------- = ---- = 2.0
50 / (50 + 450) 0.1
Cross-Sectional Studies
100 / (100 + 400) 0.2
Prevalence Ratio = --------------------- = ---- = 2.0
50 / (50 + 450) 0.1
Interpretation: In this study population, the
prevalence of CHD is 2 times higher among those
with high cholesterol, compared to the prevalence in
those with normal or low cholesterol.
Cross Sectional Study
Advantages
 Less time
Less expensive
Ease
Provides vast information
Can study
interrelatedness of
variables
Not based on illness or
medical treatment
Disadvantages
Rarely able to establish
cause and effect
Bias to individuals who
complete the survey
Recurrent conditions not
picked up
 In language this means
“ A group united in some struggle”
 Word Cohort is used in statistics to indicate
studying a group of different individuals with
some common features.
“ WHAT Will HAPPEN ? ”
Looking Forward in Time
 Marching towards outcomes
Unexposed
Exposed
Unexposed
Exposed
Incidence among
exposed
Incidence among
unexposed
Ate Meat
Did not
eat Meat
ill not ill
49 49 98
2 8 10
A B
C D
Exposed
A+B
Not exposed
C+D
Cancer Cancer free
Relative Risk =
divided by
risk of cancer among
exposed group (A/A+B)
Risk of cancer among
unexposed (C/C+D)
 Relative risks (RR) is a direct estimator of the exposure risk
 When RR value is one then the risk of disease is the same in the
exposed and unexposed. This means that the studied exposure
factor is not a risk factor.
 When RR value is more than one then the risk of disease in the
exposed group is greater than the risk in the unexposed group.
This means that the factor is a risk factor, or an etiological
factor for disease.
 When RR is less than one then the risk of disease in the
exposed group is less than the risk in the unexposed. This means
that the factor is a protective factor.
 A cohort study was done to determine the
association between vegetarianism and CHD.
 Hypothetical results are presented in the
following table.
Vegetarians
Non
Vegetarians
CHD No-CHD
50 2450 2500
1000 9000 10000
Cancer No Cancer Total
Exposed 10 100 110
Not Exposed 9 456 465
Relative risk = (A/A+B) / (C/C+D) = (10/110) / (9/465) = 4.79
PLUSES
 Causality
 Can cope with rare
exposures
 Multiple outcomes can be
studied
 Disease incidence is
measured
MINUSES
 High costs
 Long time period
 Losses to follow-up
 Residual confounding
 This means collection of data for two different
groups of people.
 The first group would be the group of
concern, that we need to collect data about, this
is known as cases groups.
 The second group are people who are chosen for
comparison with the case group, this is known as
control group.
 It is important to know that the control group
must be comparable to the case group, this is
called matching.
 It is very difficult to match an individual to
another, because if he is of the same age, he may
not be of the same weight or height. Hence one
to one match is difficult, we usually get two or
three control individuals to each case person.
 Another way is matching the whole case group
characteristics by a group of similar controls.
 Accordingly, control group size should be at least
equal to the case group, of course it may be
double or triple the size of cases if two to one or
three to one matching is used.
Which control?
http://www.epiet.org/course/Presentations/Presentations%202003/16-%20Choice%20of%20reference%20group/16-%20Choice%20of%20reference%20group.ppt
Population controls
http://www.epiet.org/course/Presentations/Presentations%202003/16-%20Choice%20of%20reference%20group/16-%20Choice%20of%20reference%20group.ppt
Neighbourhood controls
http://www.epiet.org/course/Presentations/Presentations%202003/16-%20Choice%20of%20reference%20group/16-%20Choice%20of%20reference%20group.ppt
Friend controls
http://www.epiet.org/course/Presentations/Presentations%202003/16-%20Choice%20of%20reference%20group/16-%20Choice%20of%20reference%20group.ppt
Exposed
Unexposed
Source population
Cases
Exposed
Unexposed
Source population
Cases
Exposed
Unexposed
Source population
Sample
Controls
1. Start with finding subjects
cases
controls
2. Look back at risk factors
Back then today
time
Yes or No
A B
C D
Cases
Controls
Exposed Un-exposed
Exposure
Odds ratio =
divided by
odds of exposure
among the cases
(A/B)
odds of exposure
among the controls
(C/D)
Exposed Not exposed
Cases 119 317
Controls 68 319
Study of OC use and ovarian cancer risk
Odds ratio = (A/B) / (C/D) = (119/317) / (68/319) = 1.76
Exposed Not exposed
Cases 119 317
Controls 68 319
Odds ratio = (A*D) / (B*C) = (119*319) / (317*68) = 1.76
 OR = 1.76 means that :
 The odds of exposure to Oral
contraceptive among cases with ovarian
cancer is 1.76 times as large the odds of
exposure of OC among controls.
 OC could be thus a Risk factor for
developingOvarian Cancer
 Cannot compute directly relative risk
 Not suitable for rare exposure
 Relationship exposure-disease difficult to
establish (association not causality)
 Biases +++
 control selection
 recall biases when collecting data
 Rare diseases
 Several exposures
 Long latency
 Rapidity
 Low cost
 Small sample size
 Available data
 No ethical problem
 Research Methodology 1
 Research Methodology 1
 Research Methodology 1

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