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Network and spatial analysis
for forest governance
Network analysis:
A set of approaches for understanding interactions
Network analysis:
A set of approaches for understanding interactions
???
What is the structure
of those interactions?
Network analysis:
A set of approaches for understanding interactions
???
What explains the
structure of those
interactions?
???
What is the structure
of those interactions?
Network analysis:
A set of approaches for understanding interactions
??? ???
What are the
implications of
those interactions?
What explains the
structure of those
interactions?
???
What is the structure
of those interactions?
Components of a network: nodes and links
Representation
LinksNodes
people, organizations,
institutions, concepts/factors,
places, habitat patches…
collaboration, exchange of
information, co-occurrence,
biophysical connectivity...
capacity, economic sector,
preferences, location,
size, type…
direction (or lack thereof),
frequency, magnitude, sign,
type…
Measurement
Different levels of network analysis /
Examples of research questions
Node-level: Do local conservation groups have more influence (e.g., more
incoming links) than local authorities?
Substructure-level: Which types of organizations broker the exchange of
information about PES between communes and provincial-level
organizations?
Network-level: How well connected are forest governance networks?
• People connect with visualizations of networks – opportunities for
engagement with stakeholders and decision-makers.
• Highly appropriate methodology for studying collaborative resource
management, coupled human-natural systems, and other environmental
social science fields that emphasize relationships.
• Increasingly accessible and powerful tools for data collection, analysis,
and visualization.
• Network perspectives are increasingly common (and expected) in many
environmental social science fields.
Strengths
& Opportunities
This is my
reality!
• Respondent fatigue
• Network analysis is more
sensitive to missing data
(because observations
are interdependent).
Weaknesses
& Challenges
• Can be difficult to identify the boundary of a network.
• Conceptualizing a complex system as a network requires
simplification and abstraction.
How networks help us understand forest
governance
Collaboration between two
organizations
Organization Organization
Organizations collaborate for
many different reasons.
What predicts collaboration
among organizations involved in
PFES/REDD+?
How networks help us understand forest
governance
Collaboration between two
organizations after participating in
the same PFES or REDD+ workshop
Organization Organization
If organizations participate in the
same workshops, are they more
likely to collaborate in the future?
If so, workshops may be playing
an important role in sparking
cooperationWorkshop
How networks help us understand forest
governance
Collaboration between two
organizations that work in the same
place
Organization Organization
If organizations work in the same
place, are they more likely to
collaborate?
If so, those partnerships can help
organizations avoid inefficiencies
Place
Exploring these questions by bringing
together multiple network datasets
Organization Organization
Longitudinal collaboration
network from REDD+ Policy
Network Study
Longitudinal network of
organizations participating in
REDD+ and PFES workshops
Network of where organizations
work
WorkshopOrganization
Organization Place
Preliminary results from network model
(stochastic actor oriented model)
Model 1
Rate parameter period 1 7.39 (0.49)***
Rate parameter period 2 5.58 (0.45)***
Outdegree (density) -1.61 (0.18)***
Reciprocity -0.00 (0.20)
Organizations co-attended workshops in prior time period 0.53 (0.22)*
Organizations work in the same place -0.31 (0.15)*
Governmental organization 0.51 (0.33)
Collaboration between governmental organizations 0.56 (0.20)**
Iterations 2669
***p < 0.001, **p < 0.01, *p < 0.05
Yes, organizations that attended the same workshops
are more likely to collaborate in the future!
Model 1
Rate parameter period 1 7.39 (0.49)***
Rate parameter period 2 5.58 (0.45)***
Outdegree (density) -1.61 (0.18)***
Reciprocity -0.00 (0.20)
Organizations co-attended workshops in prior time period 0.53 (0.22)*
Organizations work in the same place -0.31 (0.15)*
Governmental organization 0.51 (0.33)
Collaboration between governmental organizations 0.56 (0.20)**
Iterations 2669
***p < 0.001, **p < 0.01, *p < 0.05
But organizations that work in the same places are
more less likely to collaborate!
Model 1
Rate parameter period 1 7.39 (0.49)***
Rate parameter period 2 5.58 (0.45)***
Outdegree (density) -1.61 (0.18)***
Reciprocity -0.00 (0.20)
Organizations co-attended workshops in prior time period 0.53 (0.22)*
Organizations work in the same place -0.31 (0.15)*
Governmental organization 0.51 (0.33)
Collaboration between governmental organizations 0.56 (0.20)**
Iterations 2669
***p < 0.001, **p < 0.01, *p < 0.05
Taking stock of (preliminary!) results
In addition to disseminating information and training participants,
workshops may also catalyze collaboration, which can contribute to
more cohesive forest governance
Organizations seem to avoid one another when working in the same
areas. This may present challenges for coordination of forest
management activities
Combining Network Analysis and
Geographic Information Science
(GIS)
Imagine a forest patch . . .
It doesn’t exist on its own.
It is part of an infinite number of networks.
Ecological networks,
like wildlife corridors . .
Or watersheds . . .
Economic networks,
like global supply chains.
Governance
networks,
like PFES Regions.
Information networks,
like for REDD+.
Our patch exists because of the networks.
And it is important because of networks.
So let’s think about some of these
networks together.
Corridors
Watersheds
Governance
Supply
Chains
Information
New Partnerships for Sustainability (NEPSUS)
Project, Tanzania
• Coordinated by Stefano Ponte at Copenhagen Business School and
Christine Noe at University of Dar es Salaam
• Studies three different natural resource sectors:
Forest
Case, with
Lasse Folke
Henricksen &
Kelvin
Kamnde
Examining how
network patterns
affect performance of
village livelihood forest
reserves with Forest
Stewardship Council
certification
A complex
governance
network
Key independent
variables:
longitudinal
network data
● Number of civil society
● Number of private sector
● Percentage of completed
triangles
Network
structure and
membership
predict forest
loss!
(Very!) Preliminary results for
payments for ecosystem services
(PFES) in Vietnam
Assessing PFES in Vietnam
• Random nation-wide sample of 250,000 pixels that were forested as of
2000 from Global Forest Watch data, combined with random sample of
250,000 pixels that were forested in 2000 but deforested by 2018
• Data on provincial activities carried out by organizations recorded as
active in REDD+ and/or PFES by CIFOR’s GCS-REDD studies carried out
since 2010
• Control variables - elevation, terrain ruggedness, surrounding cropland,
distance from road
• Random effects by region (will move to province with a larger sample)
Deforestation declines
substantially when PFES
becomes active.
Deforestation declines
moderately when
additional organizations are
active in the province.
Summary
• Conservation efforts take place in a complex network of
processes
• Emerging evidence both institutional (policy) and relational
(network) variables affect success in stemming forest loss
• Network building for conservation isn’t just about building
bigger networks, but also about building networks with the
most effective structures
Questions/Discussion?
• Matthew Hamilton, The Ohio State University,
hamilton.1323@osu.edu
• Caleb Gallemore, Lafayette College, gallemoc@lafayette.edu

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Network and spatial analysis for forest governance

  • 1. Network and spatial analysis for forest governance
  • 2. Network analysis: A set of approaches for understanding interactions
  • 3. Network analysis: A set of approaches for understanding interactions ??? What is the structure of those interactions?
  • 4. Network analysis: A set of approaches for understanding interactions ??? What explains the structure of those interactions? ??? What is the structure of those interactions?
  • 5. Network analysis: A set of approaches for understanding interactions ??? ??? What are the implications of those interactions? What explains the structure of those interactions? ??? What is the structure of those interactions?
  • 6. Components of a network: nodes and links Representation LinksNodes people, organizations, institutions, concepts/factors, places, habitat patches… collaboration, exchange of information, co-occurrence, biophysical connectivity... capacity, economic sector, preferences, location, size, type… direction (or lack thereof), frequency, magnitude, sign, type… Measurement
  • 7. Different levels of network analysis / Examples of research questions Node-level: Do local conservation groups have more influence (e.g., more incoming links) than local authorities? Substructure-level: Which types of organizations broker the exchange of information about PES between communes and provincial-level organizations? Network-level: How well connected are forest governance networks?
  • 8. • People connect with visualizations of networks – opportunities for engagement with stakeholders and decision-makers. • Highly appropriate methodology for studying collaborative resource management, coupled human-natural systems, and other environmental social science fields that emphasize relationships. • Increasingly accessible and powerful tools for data collection, analysis, and visualization. • Network perspectives are increasingly common (and expected) in many environmental social science fields. Strengths & Opportunities This is my reality!
  • 9. • Respondent fatigue • Network analysis is more sensitive to missing data (because observations are interdependent). Weaknesses & Challenges • Can be difficult to identify the boundary of a network. • Conceptualizing a complex system as a network requires simplification and abstraction.
  • 10. How networks help us understand forest governance Collaboration between two organizations Organization Organization Organizations collaborate for many different reasons. What predicts collaboration among organizations involved in PFES/REDD+?
  • 11. How networks help us understand forest governance Collaboration between two organizations after participating in the same PFES or REDD+ workshop Organization Organization If organizations participate in the same workshops, are they more likely to collaborate in the future? If so, workshops may be playing an important role in sparking cooperationWorkshop
  • 12. How networks help us understand forest governance Collaboration between two organizations that work in the same place Organization Organization If organizations work in the same place, are they more likely to collaborate? If so, those partnerships can help organizations avoid inefficiencies Place
  • 13. Exploring these questions by bringing together multiple network datasets Organization Organization Longitudinal collaboration network from REDD+ Policy Network Study Longitudinal network of organizations participating in REDD+ and PFES workshops Network of where organizations work WorkshopOrganization Organization Place
  • 14. Preliminary results from network model (stochastic actor oriented model) Model 1 Rate parameter period 1 7.39 (0.49)*** Rate parameter period 2 5.58 (0.45)*** Outdegree (density) -1.61 (0.18)*** Reciprocity -0.00 (0.20) Organizations co-attended workshops in prior time period 0.53 (0.22)* Organizations work in the same place -0.31 (0.15)* Governmental organization 0.51 (0.33) Collaboration between governmental organizations 0.56 (0.20)** Iterations 2669 ***p < 0.001, **p < 0.01, *p < 0.05
  • 15. Yes, organizations that attended the same workshops are more likely to collaborate in the future! Model 1 Rate parameter period 1 7.39 (0.49)*** Rate parameter period 2 5.58 (0.45)*** Outdegree (density) -1.61 (0.18)*** Reciprocity -0.00 (0.20) Organizations co-attended workshops in prior time period 0.53 (0.22)* Organizations work in the same place -0.31 (0.15)* Governmental organization 0.51 (0.33) Collaboration between governmental organizations 0.56 (0.20)** Iterations 2669 ***p < 0.001, **p < 0.01, *p < 0.05
  • 16. But organizations that work in the same places are more less likely to collaborate! Model 1 Rate parameter period 1 7.39 (0.49)*** Rate parameter period 2 5.58 (0.45)*** Outdegree (density) -1.61 (0.18)*** Reciprocity -0.00 (0.20) Organizations co-attended workshops in prior time period 0.53 (0.22)* Organizations work in the same place -0.31 (0.15)* Governmental organization 0.51 (0.33) Collaboration between governmental organizations 0.56 (0.20)** Iterations 2669 ***p < 0.001, **p < 0.01, *p < 0.05
  • 17. Taking stock of (preliminary!) results In addition to disseminating information and training participants, workshops may also catalyze collaboration, which can contribute to more cohesive forest governance Organizations seem to avoid one another when working in the same areas. This may present challenges for coordination of forest management activities
  • 18. Combining Network Analysis and Geographic Information Science (GIS)
  • 19. Imagine a forest patch . . .
  • 20. It doesn’t exist on its own.
  • 21. It is part of an infinite number of networks.
  • 27. Our patch exists because of the networks.
  • 28. And it is important because of networks.
  • 29. So let’s think about some of these networks together. Corridors Watersheds Governance Supply Chains Information
  • 30. New Partnerships for Sustainability (NEPSUS) Project, Tanzania • Coordinated by Stefano Ponte at Copenhagen Business School and Christine Noe at University of Dar es Salaam • Studies three different natural resource sectors:
  • 32. Examining how network patterns affect performance of village livelihood forest reserves with Forest Stewardship Council certification
  • 34.
  • 35. Key independent variables: longitudinal network data ● Number of civil society ● Number of private sector ● Percentage of completed triangles
  • 36.
  • 38. (Very!) Preliminary results for payments for ecosystem services (PFES) in Vietnam
  • 39. Assessing PFES in Vietnam • Random nation-wide sample of 250,000 pixels that were forested as of 2000 from Global Forest Watch data, combined with random sample of 250,000 pixels that were forested in 2000 but deforested by 2018 • Data on provincial activities carried out by organizations recorded as active in REDD+ and/or PFES by CIFOR’s GCS-REDD studies carried out since 2010 • Control variables - elevation, terrain ruggedness, surrounding cropland, distance from road • Random effects by region (will move to province with a larger sample)
  • 40.
  • 42. Deforestation declines moderately when additional organizations are active in the province.
  • 43. Summary • Conservation efforts take place in a complex network of processes • Emerging evidence both institutional (policy) and relational (network) variables affect success in stemming forest loss • Network building for conservation isn’t just about building bigger networks, but also about building networks with the most effective structures
  • 44. Questions/Discussion? • Matthew Hamilton, The Ohio State University, hamilton.1323@osu.edu • Caleb Gallemore, Lafayette College, gallemoc@lafayette.edu