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Early Diagnosis of
Multiple Sclerosis
Made Possible
- March 2014-
2
MS Genetics
Proven technologies
based on long terms
clinical results.
Investor backed by
Goldman Hirsh Partners
Patented: 2 approved
,7 pending and 1
provisional
Dr. Julia Rothman
(CEO)
Prof. Anat Achiron
(CSO)
Prof. Itzhak Haviv
(CTO)
Dr. Michael
Gurevich
(Clinical Director)
LeadershipStatus
1
2
3
 Inflammatory disease
 Destruction
of myelin sheaths around
the axons(=demyelination)
 brain and spinal cord
 broad spectrum of signs and
symptoms
MULTIPLE
SCLEROSIS
PRMS Progressive Relapsing MS
SPMS Secondary Progressive MS
PPMS Primary Progressive MS
RRMS Relapsing/ Remitting MS (85%)
CLASSIFICATION OF MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS
Gradual progression of the disease from its
onset with no relapses or remissions
Unpredictable attacks which may or may not leave
permanent deficits followed by periods of remission
Initial RRMS that suddenly begins to decline without
periods of remission and relapses.
Steady decline since onset with super-imposed
attacks.
5
2.5M people
are affected
by MS
The leading cause of non-
traumatic neurological
disability among
young adults.
MS
Young. Women. Families.
~3% of first
degree relatives
pre-disposed to
develop disease
20-40 years
of age at
onset
67%
of affected
are women
Clinical Tools for MS Diagnosis :
McDonald Criteria
85% of Patients with CIS Develop MS
Reprinted from Trapp BD, et al. Neuroscientist. 1999;5:48-57, with permission from Sage Publications.
Attempts to identify disease activity earlier than clinically definite relapsing-remitting MS (CDMS/RRMS)
has resulted in the identification of “McDonald Criteria” MS,
clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), and radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS) based around MRI.
Timing of Therapy vs level of Disability
First Clinical Attack
Time (years)
Clinical threshold
Axonal loss
Demyelination
Time
window for
early
treatment
Relapsing-Remitting Transitional
Secondary
Progressive
First
Demyelinating
Event
Pre-
clinical
Inflammation
2 Long Years From Onset to Diagnosis
Patients treated
early showed less
attacks and lower
levels of disability
No available
laboratory test can
prove or rule out MS
Pharmacy and Therapeutics (P&T) committees Formulary
used by health plans, institutions, and hospital systems
Managed care aspects of managing multiple sclerosis.
Am J Manag Care. 2013 Nov;19(16 Suppl):s307-12.
Late Diagnosis:
A Huge Economic Burden
Annual cost of treating a single MS patient
Diagnosed
at severe stage:
€ 36,500
Diagnosed
at mild stage:
€3,600
Comprehensive Diagnostic Kit
for Early Diagnosis of MS
 Simple blood test
 Combining genetic &
immunological tests
 High PPV
GENE
expression
GWAS
Genotyping
OtherAnti-Glycan
antibodies
The power of
Conditional Probability
Combining a series of diagnostic tools,
each based on different measurements,
should outperform each tool, by itself.
Conditional probability measures the probability of
an event given another event has occurred
Gene Expression
Classifiers translating altered
gene expression signatures into
diagnostic prediction enable:
• Early CIS diagnosis (78%)
• Highly Accurate MS
differentiation (83%)
GENE
expression
WP1-Affymetrix into PCR
Early diagnosis
Economic meaning- example
14% false positive 7% false negative
1,000,000,000 western Europe
Proprietary classifier differentiates MS
from Non – MS .
234 patients study
Training set= 86 patients
(63MS,23NONMS)
Test set validation =148 patients
(115MS,33NONMS)
Test cohort -61 patients CIS
MS to non MS :
86%±3% sensitivity;
76% ±7% specificity.
CIS: ~79% diagnosis accuracy.
GWAS MS
susceptibility
Genes (88) Data analysis =Partek
genomics solution software
GWAS Genotyping
Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS):
297 alleles associated with elevated risk of MS.
The International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) Evidence for polygenic susceptibility to multiple sclerosis--the shape of things to come. Am J Hum Genet. 2010;86:621–625.
H2020measure those alleles for all
individuals, using PCR microfluidics (Life
Technologies™), and integrate the results
Individual Prediction of phenotype.
GWAS
GenotypingAllele-specific expression (ASE) analysis
major advantage:
assessing expression within an individual rather than
across subjects avoiding major sources of error and variation
Abraham, G., Kowalczyk, A., Zobel, J. & Inouye, M. SparSNP: fast and memory-efficient analysis of all SNPs for phenotype prediction. BMC Bioinformatics 13, 88 (2012).
Abraham, G., Kowalczyk, A., Zobel, J. & Inouye, M. Performance and robustness of penalized and unpenalized methods for genetic prediction of complex human disease. Genet Epidemiol 37, 184-95 (2013).
Potentiality - Actuality
Anti Glycan Antibodies (Glicominds)
Measures (ELISA) the plasma level of specific
glycosylation products naturally restricted to the
cerebrospinal fluid, and only circulate in the blood,
following severe damage to the brain blood barrier, a
process that occurs in MS.
Glicominds tests:
• gMSPROEDSS
identifying the risk level for disability
progression in CIS/newly Dx MS
• gMSDx
Differentiating MS from NONMS
Clinical Data :
Specificity of 91%;
Sensitivity of 33%.
Anti-Glycan
antibodies
CLIA compliant
Test each patient
with CIS for early
diagnosis.
Screening test
for families
and relatives
3 Years:
CIS Patients
Future:
Families
Go to Market Strategy
Development
Roadmap & Requirements
Patented
technology
Device: manufacturing
production,
marketing
Patients networks
and feedback
Reinforcement of
clinical evidence
Now 3 Years
Preliminary
clinical Data Diagnosis
guidelines
2014 2015 2016 2017
Innovation Horizon 2020 project
Assessment of added value of
combining multiple technologies to
make an integrated classification, with
maximal positive predictive value
one stop solution:
early and differential
diagnosis
Validation and
Dissemination
MS PATIENTS
Horizon 2020 :
plan for Louphius and MS Genetics
Common collection and sample processing for all methods
PTx= MS non MS
Gene
expression
Louphius
Precision recall curve and classifier
performance
Bootstrapping,
LOO, multiple
classifiers
Training set
Test set
Glicominds
GWAS-
derived
genotyping
Each of the methods needs :
Phase one -
• Optimizing: sample storage, freeze/thaw protocols
(every company has different material, such as live
PBMC, plasma protein, DNA, or RNA).
• Evaluating current pool of antigens (for Louphius) or
genes (MS genetics)
• Reevaluating new target structures (antigens for
Louphius or genes for MS genetics)
• New/additional/combination markers (initially on only
within each company and method, and later in an
integrated manner)
• Improving the assay sensitivity, reproducibility, and
robustness (customer friendly read out systems)
- for MS genetics changing platform from Affymetrix
arrays, where the observations were made, to RT-
PCR. The platform transition is planned on the basis
of RNA-Seq on Ilumina HiSeq2500 platform.
- Louphius  to perform whole RNA-Seq on the T-cell
culture stimulation??
On phase II:
• Validation of assays on additional
independent samples
• Optimizing parameters to maximize
positive predictive value.
• Creating a large dataset with all
measurements and repeating the
classifier screen with support vector
machine learning using all method-
measurements.
• Or, alternatively, generating a decision
tree that starts with the classifier with
the best performance (lowest false
positive or false negative), then adding
the classifier results from another
method, to properly classify the
problematic samples.
The best way to
predict the future
is to create it.
THANK YOU!

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MS Genetics Presentation_Julia_Feb 2014Invesot

  • 1. 1 Early Diagnosis of Multiple Sclerosis Made Possible - March 2014-
  • 2. 2 MS Genetics Proven technologies based on long terms clinical results. Investor backed by Goldman Hirsh Partners Patented: 2 approved ,7 pending and 1 provisional Dr. Julia Rothman (CEO) Prof. Anat Achiron (CSO) Prof. Itzhak Haviv (CTO) Dr. Michael Gurevich (Clinical Director) LeadershipStatus 1 2 3
  • 3.  Inflammatory disease  Destruction of myelin sheaths around the axons(=demyelination)  brain and spinal cord  broad spectrum of signs and symptoms MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS
  • 4. PRMS Progressive Relapsing MS SPMS Secondary Progressive MS PPMS Primary Progressive MS RRMS Relapsing/ Remitting MS (85%) CLASSIFICATION OF MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS Gradual progression of the disease from its onset with no relapses or remissions Unpredictable attacks which may or may not leave permanent deficits followed by periods of remission Initial RRMS that suddenly begins to decline without periods of remission and relapses. Steady decline since onset with super-imposed attacks.
  • 5. 5 2.5M people are affected by MS The leading cause of non- traumatic neurological disability among young adults.
  • 6. MS Young. Women. Families. ~3% of first degree relatives pre-disposed to develop disease 20-40 years of age at onset 67% of affected are women
  • 7. Clinical Tools for MS Diagnosis : McDonald Criteria
  • 8. 85% of Patients with CIS Develop MS Reprinted from Trapp BD, et al. Neuroscientist. 1999;5:48-57, with permission from Sage Publications. Attempts to identify disease activity earlier than clinically definite relapsing-remitting MS (CDMS/RRMS) has resulted in the identification of “McDonald Criteria” MS, clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), and radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS) based around MRI.
  • 9. Timing of Therapy vs level of Disability First Clinical Attack Time (years) Clinical threshold Axonal loss Demyelination Time window for early treatment Relapsing-Remitting Transitional Secondary Progressive First Demyelinating Event Pre- clinical Inflammation
  • 10. 2 Long Years From Onset to Diagnosis Patients treated early showed less attacks and lower levels of disability No available laboratory test can prove or rule out MS
  • 11. Pharmacy and Therapeutics (P&T) committees Formulary used by health plans, institutions, and hospital systems Managed care aspects of managing multiple sclerosis. Am J Manag Care. 2013 Nov;19(16 Suppl):s307-12.
  • 12. Late Diagnosis: A Huge Economic Burden Annual cost of treating a single MS patient Diagnosed at severe stage: € 36,500 Diagnosed at mild stage: €3,600
  • 13. Comprehensive Diagnostic Kit for Early Diagnosis of MS  Simple blood test  Combining genetic & immunological tests  High PPV GENE expression GWAS Genotyping OtherAnti-Glycan antibodies
  • 14. The power of Conditional Probability Combining a series of diagnostic tools, each based on different measurements, should outperform each tool, by itself. Conditional probability measures the probability of an event given another event has occurred
  • 15. Gene Expression Classifiers translating altered gene expression signatures into diagnostic prediction enable: • Early CIS diagnosis (78%) • Highly Accurate MS differentiation (83%) GENE expression WP1-Affymetrix into PCR
  • 16. Early diagnosis Economic meaning- example 14% false positive 7% false negative 1,000,000,000 western Europe
  • 17. Proprietary classifier differentiates MS from Non – MS . 234 patients study Training set= 86 patients (63MS,23NONMS) Test set validation =148 patients (115MS,33NONMS) Test cohort -61 patients CIS MS to non MS : 86%±3% sensitivity; 76% ±7% specificity. CIS: ~79% diagnosis accuracy. GWAS MS susceptibility Genes (88) Data analysis =Partek genomics solution software
  • 18. GWAS Genotyping Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS): 297 alleles associated with elevated risk of MS. The International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) Evidence for polygenic susceptibility to multiple sclerosis--the shape of things to come. Am J Hum Genet. 2010;86:621–625. H2020measure those alleles for all individuals, using PCR microfluidics (Life Technologies™), and integrate the results Individual Prediction of phenotype. GWAS GenotypingAllele-specific expression (ASE) analysis major advantage: assessing expression within an individual rather than across subjects avoiding major sources of error and variation Abraham, G., Kowalczyk, A., Zobel, J. & Inouye, M. SparSNP: fast and memory-efficient analysis of all SNPs for phenotype prediction. BMC Bioinformatics 13, 88 (2012). Abraham, G., Kowalczyk, A., Zobel, J. & Inouye, M. Performance and robustness of penalized and unpenalized methods for genetic prediction of complex human disease. Genet Epidemiol 37, 184-95 (2013). Potentiality - Actuality
  • 19. Anti Glycan Antibodies (Glicominds) Measures (ELISA) the plasma level of specific glycosylation products naturally restricted to the cerebrospinal fluid, and only circulate in the blood, following severe damage to the brain blood barrier, a process that occurs in MS. Glicominds tests: • gMSPROEDSS identifying the risk level for disability progression in CIS/newly Dx MS • gMSDx Differentiating MS from NONMS Clinical Data : Specificity of 91%; Sensitivity of 33%. Anti-Glycan antibodies CLIA compliant
  • 20. Test each patient with CIS for early diagnosis. Screening test for families and relatives 3 Years: CIS Patients Future: Families Go to Market Strategy
  • 21. Development Roadmap & Requirements Patented technology Device: manufacturing production, marketing Patients networks and feedback Reinforcement of clinical evidence Now 3 Years Preliminary clinical Data Diagnosis guidelines 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 22. Innovation Horizon 2020 project Assessment of added value of combining multiple technologies to make an integrated classification, with maximal positive predictive value one stop solution: early and differential diagnosis Validation and Dissemination MS PATIENTS
  • 23. Horizon 2020 : plan for Louphius and MS Genetics Common collection and sample processing for all methods PTx= MS non MS Gene expression Louphius Precision recall curve and classifier performance Bootstrapping, LOO, multiple classifiers Training set Test set Glicominds GWAS- derived genotyping
  • 24. Each of the methods needs : Phase one - • Optimizing: sample storage, freeze/thaw protocols (every company has different material, such as live PBMC, plasma protein, DNA, or RNA). • Evaluating current pool of antigens (for Louphius) or genes (MS genetics) • Reevaluating new target structures (antigens for Louphius or genes for MS genetics) • New/additional/combination markers (initially on only within each company and method, and later in an integrated manner) • Improving the assay sensitivity, reproducibility, and robustness (customer friendly read out systems) - for MS genetics changing platform from Affymetrix arrays, where the observations were made, to RT- PCR. The platform transition is planned on the basis of RNA-Seq on Ilumina HiSeq2500 platform. - Louphius  to perform whole RNA-Seq on the T-cell culture stimulation?? On phase II: • Validation of assays on additional independent samples • Optimizing parameters to maximize positive predictive value. • Creating a large dataset with all measurements and repeating the classifier screen with support vector machine learning using all method- measurements. • Or, alternatively, generating a decision tree that starts with the classifier with the best performance (lowest false positive or false negative), then adding the classifier results from another method, to properly classify the problematic samples.
  • 25. The best way to predict the future is to create it. THANK YOU!

Editor's Notes

  1. אין לטרשת נפוצה קשר ממשי לטרשת עורקים. שתי המחלות קשורות כביכול לנזק שנגרם בעקבות המחלה לאיבר בו הן פוגעות (טרשת היא מילה נרדפת להתנוונות).
  2. מחלה כרונית של מערכת העצבים, הפוגעת בתפקודם התקין של תאי העצב במערכת העצבים המרכזית על ידי פגיעה והפחתה במיאלין, חומר שומני המבודד את סיבי העצבים (האקסונים). המיאלין עוזר בעיקר להעברת זרמים חשמליים בין תאי עצב. הפגיעה בהעברת הזרמים מקשה על תפקוד תקין של המוח (שמבוסס על העברת זרמים חשמליים), מה שמשפיע על תפקוד הגוף כולו. תהליך זה גורם לפגיעה באיברים שונים, ולרוב בחוט השדרה, המוח ועצב הראיה. למחלה יש מגוון רחב של תסמינים, ביניהם ראייה מטושטשת, קשיים בהליכה, סחרחורות וניוון שרירים. השם טרשת נפוצה מתאר תופעה של תקיפת מערכת העצבים על ידי המערכת החיסונית. התקיפה עצמה נעשית על ידי תאי דם לבנים - תאים שנועדו להילחם במחלות ובזיהומים בגוף, ולכן משתייכת המחלה למשפחת המחלות האוטואימוניות (מחלת חיסון עצמי). הסוג המסוים של התאים הינו תאי T, שהוא תא עזר. בעקבות כשל במערכת החיסונית, תאי T מזהים חלקים בריאים של מערכת העצבים המרכזית כזרים ותוקפים אותם כאילו היו תאים הנגועים בוירוסים. בעת התקיפה על המיאלין, נוצרת נפיחות אשר מגרה תאים לבנים אחרים להצטרף ל"מאבק". הנפיחות גורמת לדליפות במחסום הדם והמוח, אשר נועד להגן על הרקמות הרגישות של המוח מזיהומים ונוגדנים, שהם חלק נוסף של המערכת החיסונית. בנוסף, נזילות אלו גורמות לנפיחות נוספת, ולהפעלה של סוג נוסף של תאים חיסוניים בשם מקרופאג'ים ולשחרור של חלבונים הרסניים. התוצאה הסופית היא הריסה של המיאלין, תופעה הנקראת בשם דימיאלינציה.
  3. טרשת נפוצה התקפית-הפוגתיתRelapsing-remitting -מאובחנת אצל 85% בקירוב של החולים בטרשת נפוצה. -מתבטאת בהתקפים; תסמיני המחלה מופיעים למספר ימים או שבועות ולאחר מכן נעלמים חלקית או נעלמים לגמרי (במקרה של היעלמות מוחלטת זוהי טרשת נפוצה שפירה). בין ההתקפים יש בדרך-כלל פער של מספר חודשים ולעתים אף שנים, פעמים אף של 30 שנה בין התקף להתקף. אין אפשרות לחזות את ההתקפים מראש וכמו כן אי אפשר לחזות את זמן הגעתם. טרשת נפוצה מתקדמת משניתSecondary progressive -מאובחנת אצל כ- 50% מהחולים בטרשת נפוצה מסוג התקפי הפוגתי(RRMS) לאחר כ-10 שנים מההתקף הראשון (כ-42% מכלל החולים). להבדיל מטרשת שפירה והתקפית הפוגתית, התסמינים בין כל התקף אינם חולפים אלא מחמירים, עד שבסופו של דבר נפסקים ההתקפים. צורה זו היא בעלת הסיכויים הגדולים ביותר לפיתוח נכות. טרשת נפוצה מתקדמת ראשוניתPrimary progressive) צורה חמורה של המחלה ומאובחנת אצל 10% מהחולים בקירוב. בצורה זו של המחלה אין התקפים כלשהם אלא רק תסמינים קבועים שמחמירים עם הזמן. בחלק מהמקרים, החמרת התסמינים נעצרת לתקופות מסוימות. צורה זו מאובחנת בדרך-כלל בגילאים יותר מאוחרים. המחלה נוטה להופיע אצל חולים שההתקף הראשון שלהם הוא בסביבות גיל 40. טרשת נפוצה מתקדמת ראשונית- התקפית Progressive relapsing MS הסוג הקשה ביותר של המחלה. שילוב של טרשת נפוצה מתקדמת ראשונית והתקפים. כ-5% מהחולים ב-MS
  4. לטרשת נפוצה אין אבחון ייחודי. בשלביה המוקדמים קשה לאבחן את המחלה, אך ניתן לגלותה על ידי שילוב של בדיקות אחרות, ביניהן: בדיקת דם, הדמיית תהודה מגנטית (MRI), בדיקת נוזל מוחי שדרתי (CSF) ועוד. בנוסף, אין אפשרות לקבוע בוודאות את קיום המחלה לפני שמאובחנים לפחות שני אירועים של איבוד מיאלין (דימיאלינציה) אנטומיים (לא על ידי גורם חיצוני אלא גופי), עם הפסקה של לא יותר מ-30 יום ביניהם. אין אפשרות לחזות מראש את החמרת המחלה וההידרדרות הקלינית (ראה סוגי טרשת נפוצה), אך קיימות מספר בדיקות המאפשרות לקבוע אם המחלה תהיה שפירה או חמורה יותר, ביניהן בדיקת ההדמיה בתהודה מגנטית ובדיקת הנוזל החוט-שדרתי. GD Enhancing : In multiple sclerosis (MS) gadolinium (Gd)-enhanced MRI activity correlates weakly with immunological markers of disease activity Gadolinium enhancement : In multiple sclerosis (MS) gadolinium (Gd)-enhanced MRI activity correlates weakly with immunological markers of disease activity
  5. As first shown by Confavreux et al and based on a concept of a two-stage disease with focal inflammation in the early stage and diffuse inflammation and neurodegeneration in a second-disease stage. Leray et al - time to disability accumulation in MS: first stage from onset of disease until reaching a milestone of Kurtzke Disability Status Scale (DSS) 311 (corresponding to moderate disability) ranged from less than 3 years to more than 15 years, duration of Phase II (Kurtzke DSS 3 to DSS 6, the latter is defined by requiring unilateral assistance to walk 100 meters) remained nearly identical in all patients with 6–9 years, irrespective of the duration of Phase I. This observation suggests that, once a clinical threshold of irreversible disability is reached, further progression of disability becomes inevitable.
  6. which is defined as the acute or subacute onset of clinical dysfunction that usually reaches its peak from days to several weeks
  7. A formulary is a continuously updated list of medications and related information that represents the clinical judgment of physicians, pharmacists, and other experts in the diagnosis, prophylaxis, and/or treatment of disease and promotion of health. A formulary system is an ongoing process through which healthcare organizations establish policies regarding the prudent use of drugs, therapies, and drug-related products, and identify the agents that are most clinically appropriate and cost effective to best serve the health interests of a given patient population. The P&T committee is responsible for managing the formulary system, and typically comprises plan medical directors, pharmacy directors, pharmacy staff, actively practicing physicians, and other healthcare professionals and staff who participate in the medication use process. Further, the P&T committee bases its decisions on 3 core principles: (1) safety; (2) efficacy; and (3) cost/value. Tyler LS, Cole SW, May JR, et al. ASHP guidelines on the pharmacy and therapeutics committee and the formulary system. Am J Health Syst Pharm. 2008;65(13):1272-1283. -
  8. This milestone achievement bears the potential to perform as early detection tool on at risk populations, and precedes and compliments the MRI, in blocking the degradation of the MS patient before irreversible damage had already occurred.