3rd Quarter
Statistics and
Probability
Module 1:
Random Variables and
Probability
Distributions
OBJECTIVES:
At the end of the lesson, the students are
expected to:
a. illustrate a random variable (discrete and
continuous);
b. distinguish between a discrete and a
continuous random;
c. find the possible values of a random
variable.
Let Us Try
Direction:
Classify each random variable
as discrete or continuous.
1. The number of arrivals at an
emergency room between midnight
and 6:00a.m.
2. The weight of a sack of rice
labeled “50 kilograms.”
3. The duration of the next
outgoing telephone call from a
business office.
4. The number of kernels of
popcorn in a five-kilo container.
5. The number of applicants for a
job.
• variable is a placeholder for real number values
that can be assigned to it
LESSON 1: RANDOM
VARIABES
• Some examples of variables include X = number of
heads or Y = number of cell phones or Z = running
time to movies.
LESSON 1: RANDOM
VARIABES
• Engrossed in some numerals associated with the
outcomes.
• For example, if a coin is tossed twice, the set of all
possible outcomes (S) of the experiment is:
• S = {TT, TH, HT, HH}
LESSON 1: RANDOM
VARIABES
• S = {TT, TH, HT, HH}
• Sample space (S) = is a collection or a set of
possible outcomes of a random experiment.
• The subset of possible outcomes of an
experiment is called events.
LESSON 1: RANDOM
VARIABES
• A sample space may contain several
outcomes which depends on the experiment.
If it contains a finite number of outcomes,
then it is known as discrete or finite sample
spaces.
LESSON 1: RANDOM
VARIABES
• X = {0, 1, 2}.
• Then X is called a random variable.
RANDOM
VARIABES
01.
RANDOM VARIABES
• A random variable is a variable whose value
is determined by the outcome of a random
experiment.
(upper case) X for the random variable and lower case
x1, x2, x3,... for the values
RANDOM VARIABES
• Upper case letter for the random variable
and lower case letter x1, x2, x3,... for the
values
Types of Random
Variables
Discrete random
variable
said to be a random variable X and it has
a finite number of elements or infinite
but can be represented by whole
numbers.
These values usually arise from
counts
Finite sets or countable sets : sets having a
finite/countable number of members.
Examples of finite sets:
• P = {0, 3, 6, 9, …, 99}
• Q = {a: a is an integer, 1 < a < 10}
• A set of all English Alphabets (because it is
countable).
Infinite sets or uncountable sets: the number of
elements in that set is not countable and it cannot be
represented in a Roster form.
Examples of infinite sets:
• A set of all whole numbers,
• W= {0, 1, 2, 3, 4,…}
• A set of all points on a line
• The set of all integers
Continuous
random variable
said to be a random variable Y and it has
an infinite (unaccountable) number of
elements and cannot be represented by
whole numbers.
These values usually come from
measurements.
PRACTICE
A teacher’s record has the following:
(a) scores of students in a 50-item test,
(b) gender,
(c) height of the students.
Classify each whether discrete or continuous variable.
ANSWERS
• Scores of students in a 50-item test are a
discrete random variable .
• Gender is also a discrete random variable.
• Height of the students is regarded as a
continuous random variable.
PRACTICE MORE
DIRECTION: Give the set of possible values for each random variable.
1. The number of coins that match when three coins are tossed at
once.
2. The number of games in the next World Cup Series (best of four up
to seven games).
3. The amount of liquid in a 12-ounce can of soft drink.
4. The average weight of newborn babies born in the Philippines in a
month.
5. The number of heads in two tosses of coin.
ASSIGNMENT
Write the possible values of each random variable. Use a ¼
sheet of paper (YELLOW PAPER).
a. X = number of heads in tossing a coin thrice
b. Y = dropout rate (%) in a certain high school
Let Us Practice More
DIRECTION: Match the following with each letter on the
probability line.
Let Us Practice More
1. A male student is chosen in a group of 4
where 1 is female.
Let Us Practice More
____ 2. If you flip a coin, it will come down
heads.
Let Us Practice More
____ 2. If you flip a coin, it will come down
heads.
Let Us Practice More
____ 3. It will be daylight in Davao City at
midnight.
Let Us Practice More
____ 4. Of the 40 seedlings, only 10 survived.
Let Us Practice More
____ 5. The third person to knock on the door
will be a female.
• Discrete Probability Distribution is a table
listing all possible values that a discrete
variable can take on, together with the
associated probabilities.
LESSON 2:
PROBABILITYDISTRIBUTIONS
• The function f(x) is called a Probability
Density Function for the continuous
random variable X where the total area
under the curve bounded by the x-axis is
equal 1.
LESSON 2: PROBABILITY
DISTRIBUTIONS
• Relative frequency of an event is the number of
times the event occurs divided by the total number
of trials. For instance, if you observed 100 passing
cars and found that 23 of them were red, the
relative frequency would be 23/100.
PROBABILITIES AS
RELATIVE FREQUENCY
EXAMPLE:
Flip 3 coins at same time.
Let random variable x be the number of
heads showing.
PROBABILITIES AS
RELATIVE FREQUENCY
EXAMPLE:
Make a probability distribution for X, sum
of 2 rolled dice.
PROBABILITIES AS
RELATIVE FREQUENCY
Example 1
The weight of a jar of coffee selected is a continuous
random variable. The following table gives the weights in
kg of 100 jars of coffee recently filled by the machine. It
lists the observed values of the continuous random
variable and their corresponding frequencies.
Find the probabilities for
each weight category?
• Let X represent a discrete random variable with the
probability distribution function P(X). Then the
expected value of X denoted by E(X), or μ, is defined
as:
• E(X) = μ = Σ (xi × P(xi))
EXPECTED VALUE OF A RANDOM
VARIABLE
• To calculate this, we multiply each possible value of
the variable by its probability, then add the results.
• Σ (xi × P(xi)) = {x1 × P(x1)} + {x2 × P(x2)} + {x3 × P(x3)}
+ ...
• E(X) is also called the mean of the probability
distribution.
EXPECTED VALUE OF A RANDOM
VARIABLE
• To calculate this, we multiply each possible value of
the variable by its probability, then add the results.
• Σ (xi × P(xi)) = {x1 × P(x1)} + {x2 × P(x2)} + {x3 × P(x3)}
+ ...
• E(X) is also called the mean of the probability
distribution.
EXPECTED VALUE OF A RANDOM
VARIABLE
Complete the table
and find the
expected value of x ?
Complete the table
and find the
expected value of x ?
• Let X represent a discrete random variable with probability
distribution P(X).
• The variance of X denoted by V(X) or σ^2 is defined as:
• V(X) = Σ[{X − E(X)}^2 × P(X) ]
VARIANCE OF A RANDON
VARIABLE
• Let X represent a discrete random variable with probability
distribution P(X).
• The variance of X denoted by V(X) or σ^2 is defined as:
• V(X) = Σ[{X − E(X)}^2 × P(X) ]
VARIANCE OF A RANDON
VARIABLE
Complete the table
and find variance?

MODULE 1: Random Variables and Probability Distributions Quarter 3 Statistics and Probability .pptx

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Module 1: Random Variablesand Probability Distributions
  • 3.
    OBJECTIVES: At the endof the lesson, the students are expected to: a. illustrate a random variable (discrete and continuous); b. distinguish between a discrete and a continuous random; c. find the possible values of a random variable.
  • 5.
    Let Us Try Direction: Classifyeach random variable as discrete or continuous.
  • 6.
    1. The numberof arrivals at an emergency room between midnight and 6:00a.m. 2. The weight of a sack of rice labeled “50 kilograms.”
  • 7.
    3. The durationof the next outgoing telephone call from a business office. 4. The number of kernels of popcorn in a five-kilo container.
  • 8.
    5. The numberof applicants for a job.
  • 9.
    • variable isa placeholder for real number values that can be assigned to it LESSON 1: RANDOM VARIABES • Some examples of variables include X = number of heads or Y = number of cell phones or Z = running time to movies.
  • 10.
    LESSON 1: RANDOM VARIABES •Engrossed in some numerals associated with the outcomes. • For example, if a coin is tossed twice, the set of all possible outcomes (S) of the experiment is: • S = {TT, TH, HT, HH}
  • 11.
    LESSON 1: RANDOM VARIABES •S = {TT, TH, HT, HH} • Sample space (S) = is a collection or a set of possible outcomes of a random experiment. • The subset of possible outcomes of an experiment is called events.
  • 12.
    LESSON 1: RANDOM VARIABES •A sample space may contain several outcomes which depends on the experiment. If it contains a finite number of outcomes, then it is known as discrete or finite sample spaces.
  • 13.
    LESSON 1: RANDOM VARIABES •X = {0, 1, 2}. • Then X is called a random variable.
  • 14.
  • 15.
    RANDOM VARIABES • Arandom variable is a variable whose value is determined by the outcome of a random experiment. (upper case) X for the random variable and lower case x1, x2, x3,... for the values
  • 16.
    RANDOM VARIABES • Uppercase letter for the random variable and lower case letter x1, x2, x3,... for the values
  • 17.
  • 18.
    Discrete random variable said tobe a random variable X and it has a finite number of elements or infinite but can be represented by whole numbers. These values usually arise from counts
  • 19.
    Finite sets orcountable sets : sets having a finite/countable number of members. Examples of finite sets: • P = {0, 3, 6, 9, …, 99} • Q = {a: a is an integer, 1 < a < 10} • A set of all English Alphabets (because it is countable).
  • 20.
    Infinite sets oruncountable sets: the number of elements in that set is not countable and it cannot be represented in a Roster form. Examples of infinite sets: • A set of all whole numbers, • W= {0, 1, 2, 3, 4,…} • A set of all points on a line • The set of all integers
  • 21.
    Continuous random variable said tobe a random variable Y and it has an infinite (unaccountable) number of elements and cannot be represented by whole numbers. These values usually come from measurements.
  • 22.
    PRACTICE A teacher’s recordhas the following: (a) scores of students in a 50-item test, (b) gender, (c) height of the students. Classify each whether discrete or continuous variable.
  • 23.
    ANSWERS • Scores ofstudents in a 50-item test are a discrete random variable . • Gender is also a discrete random variable. • Height of the students is regarded as a continuous random variable.
  • 24.
    PRACTICE MORE DIRECTION: Givethe set of possible values for each random variable. 1. The number of coins that match when three coins are tossed at once. 2. The number of games in the next World Cup Series (best of four up to seven games). 3. The amount of liquid in a 12-ounce can of soft drink. 4. The average weight of newborn babies born in the Philippines in a month. 5. The number of heads in two tosses of coin.
  • 25.
    ASSIGNMENT Write the possiblevalues of each random variable. Use a ¼ sheet of paper (YELLOW PAPER). a. X = number of heads in tossing a coin thrice b. Y = dropout rate (%) in a certain high school
  • 26.
    Let Us PracticeMore DIRECTION: Match the following with each letter on the probability line.
  • 27.
    Let Us PracticeMore 1. A male student is chosen in a group of 4 where 1 is female.
  • 28.
    Let Us PracticeMore ____ 2. If you flip a coin, it will come down heads.
  • 29.
    Let Us PracticeMore ____ 2. If you flip a coin, it will come down heads.
  • 30.
    Let Us PracticeMore ____ 3. It will be daylight in Davao City at midnight.
  • 31.
    Let Us PracticeMore ____ 4. Of the 40 seedlings, only 10 survived.
  • 32.
    Let Us PracticeMore ____ 5. The third person to knock on the door will be a female.
  • 33.
    • Discrete ProbabilityDistribution is a table listing all possible values that a discrete variable can take on, together with the associated probabilities. LESSON 2: PROBABILITYDISTRIBUTIONS
  • 34.
    • The functionf(x) is called a Probability Density Function for the continuous random variable X where the total area under the curve bounded by the x-axis is equal 1. LESSON 2: PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
  • 35.
    • Relative frequencyof an event is the number of times the event occurs divided by the total number of trials. For instance, if you observed 100 passing cars and found that 23 of them were red, the relative frequency would be 23/100. PROBABILITIES AS RELATIVE FREQUENCY
  • 36.
    EXAMPLE: Flip 3 coinsat same time. Let random variable x be the number of heads showing. PROBABILITIES AS RELATIVE FREQUENCY
  • 37.
    EXAMPLE: Make a probabilitydistribution for X, sum of 2 rolled dice. PROBABILITIES AS RELATIVE FREQUENCY
  • 38.
    Example 1 The weightof a jar of coffee selected is a continuous random variable. The following table gives the weights in kg of 100 jars of coffee recently filled by the machine. It lists the observed values of the continuous random variable and their corresponding frequencies.
  • 39.
    Find the probabilitiesfor each weight category?
  • 41.
    • Let Xrepresent a discrete random variable with the probability distribution function P(X). Then the expected value of X denoted by E(X), or μ, is defined as: • E(X) = μ = Σ (xi × P(xi)) EXPECTED VALUE OF A RANDOM VARIABLE
  • 42.
    • To calculatethis, we multiply each possible value of the variable by its probability, then add the results. • Σ (xi × P(xi)) = {x1 × P(x1)} + {x2 × P(x2)} + {x3 × P(x3)} + ... • E(X) is also called the mean of the probability distribution. EXPECTED VALUE OF A RANDOM VARIABLE
  • 43.
    • To calculatethis, we multiply each possible value of the variable by its probability, then add the results. • Σ (xi × P(xi)) = {x1 × P(x1)} + {x2 × P(x2)} + {x3 × P(x3)} + ... • E(X) is also called the mean of the probability distribution. EXPECTED VALUE OF A RANDOM VARIABLE
  • 44.
    Complete the table andfind the expected value of x ?
  • 45.
    Complete the table andfind the expected value of x ?
  • 46.
    • Let Xrepresent a discrete random variable with probability distribution P(X). • The variance of X denoted by V(X) or σ^2 is defined as: • V(X) = Σ[{X − E(X)}^2 × P(X) ] VARIANCE OF A RANDON VARIABLE
  • 47.
    • Let Xrepresent a discrete random variable with probability distribution P(X). • The variance of X denoted by V(X) or σ^2 is defined as: • V(X) = Σ[{X − E(X)}^2 × P(X) ] VARIANCE OF A RANDON VARIABLE
  • 48.
    Complete the table andfind variance?