Building a world that’s easier and
safer for everyone to get around.
THE TIPPING POINT OF
SELF-DRIVING CARS
A QUICK TANGENT...
TECHNOLOGY TURNS SCARCITY INTO
ABUNDANCE
Tesla Model X 90D
● 4 door SUV
● Seats 7
● 250 mi range
● $96,700
Ferrari F430
● 2 door “supercar”
● Seats 2+
● 325 mi range
● $186,925
youtube.com/watch?v=vk2cdwpg0jI
ENJOY THE RIDE
Your own personal roller
coaster.
youtube.com/watch?v=1qFV5i8tBhs
BACK TO SELF DRIVING CARS...
WHY IT’S IMPORTANT
Putting artificial intelligence behind the wheel will
transform how we get from point A to point B —
dramatically reshaping our lives, our cities and society.
Opening up an endless array of new startup
opportunities and new ways to connect with your
existing customers.
slideshare.net/10xnation/entering-a-world-where-we-dont-drive
TODAY’S GOAL
Spark your imagination to find ways for your business
to capitalize on our self-driving future.
OUR JOURNEY
● How we got here
● What self-driving cars can do for you
● What self-driving cars can do for your business
WHERE DID SELF-DRIVING CARS
COME FROM?
HISTORY
● 1930s — Self-driving cars predicted (for 1960s)
● 2005 — Stanford wins DARPA Grand Challenge (#2)
● 2011 — Nevada becomes the first state to legalize
autonomous cars
● 2015 — Autonomous cars capable of racing?
computerhistory.org/atchm/where-to-a-history-of-autonomous-vehicles
INTRODUCTION
Recorded in early 2015.
We’ve come a long way
in 18 months.
youtube.com/watch?v=ftouPdU1-Bo
DON’T FORGET...EXPONENTIAL
Today?
Uber?
Google?
Tesla?
The same amount of progress made
over the past ten years will happen in
just a few years moving forward.
Chrysler?
GM?
Geico?
Linear thinking
Disruption… or
poor
planning?
Level 0 Level 1
Level 3
Level 2
Level 4
Level 5
Ferrari?
sae.org/misc/pdfs/automated_driving.pdf
GOOGLE’S APPROACH
Build an AI, wrap a car around it.
● High precision
● Google uses a 64-beam LIDAR system to place itself within 10cm on
a detailed pre-existing map
● Builds a 360 degree view that tracks and predicts movements for all
nearby vehicles, pedestrians, and other obstacles
● Uses all of this data to plan an intelligent path through complex
highway or urban environments
● Self-driven more than 1.5 million miles
citylab.com/tech/2014/05/the-trick-that-makes-googles-self-driving-cars-work/371060
google.com/selfdrivingcar/reports
HOW GOOGLE
DRIVERLESS
WORKS
Primarily based on
LiDAR.
dallasnews.com/business/headlines/20150709-2-visions
-emerge-for-getting-self-driving-cars-on-road.ece
google.com/selfdrivingcar
TESLA’S APPROACH
Build a car, plug an AI into it.
● “Good enough” precision
● Tesla has been slowly implementing autonomous
features into its cars
● More than 100 million miles on Autopilot
youtube.com/watch?v=dtQPVpQgXSw
HOW TESLA DRIVERLESS WORKS
Primarily
based on
visual
cameras.
youtube.com/watch?v=1DV0N_YWd0k
WHICH IS BETTER?
Each approach works well in its (presumed) intent.
● Startup intent — Tesla’s approach is low-cost and will likely yield
Elon Musk’s goal of automating 90% of driving within a few years.
But that last 10% is always the most difficult.
● Research intent — Google already automated that 90% and is now
focusing on solving that difficult 10%, which may prove to be the
stronger long-term play.
EXPONENTIAL LEARNING
Self-driving cars have a hive mind.
In the human driver world…
● If one person learns how to avoid a particular type
of accident, only that person knows it
In the driverless world...
● If one car learns how to avoid a particular type of
accident, all cars know it
NEW FEDERAL GUIDELINES
The Vehicle Performance Guidance for Automated
Vehicles.
“When the software is operating the vehicle, that is an
area that we intend to regulate.”
autoweek.com/article/technology/us-government-sets-safety-guidelines-autonomous-autos
WHAT SELF-DRIVING CARS
CAN DO FOR YOU
NO MORE PARKING TICKETS
jk
forums.tesla.com/forum/forums/parking-ticket-avoidancedid-you-get-over-air-update-yet
SUMMON IT
Teaching a new dog
old tricks.
SELF PARKING
Ready for the new
world?
LANE HANDLING
Stay in your lane and
change between.
ADAPTIVE CRUISE CONTROL
Finally.
UBER SELF-DRIVING
Goes live this
month.
newsroom.uber.com/pittsburgh-self-driving-uber
WHAT SELF-DRIVING CARS
CAN DO FOR YOUR BUSINESS
NOT JUST CARS
We will also have autonomous...
● Commercial aircraft
● Farming equipment
● Construction vehicles
● Semi trucks
● Freightliners
IT’S ALL ABOUT THE SOFTWARE
The car becomes another app platform.
As people spend less and less time driving, more and more they
look for entertainment or productivity during their drive.
What do you do on a airline flight? Watch movies, work on your
laptop. Imagine a plane, personalized just for you.
What entertainment or productivity can you provide your
customers with during their drive time?
COMPLETELY NEW DESIGN
Without the need to drive
and focus the design around
safety, the design of a car’s
interior is completely up in
the air.
LOTS OF NEW LAND
On average, human drivers
use 3 parking spaces per car
(60% of land in Los Angeles).
What can you do with all
that new land?
WRAPPING IT UP
WHAT DO YOU THINK?
Seeing opportunities open up in our driverless future?
UNLEASH YOUR BUSINESS
EMBRACE EXPONENTIAL
10xnation.com

Machine Learning & Self-Driving Cars

  • 1.
    Building a worldthat’s easier and safer for everyone to get around. THE TIPPING POINT OF SELF-DRIVING CARS
  • 2.
  • 3.
    TECHNOLOGY TURNS SCARCITYINTO ABUNDANCE Tesla Model X 90D ● 4 door SUV ● Seats 7 ● 250 mi range ● $96,700 Ferrari F430 ● 2 door “supercar” ● Seats 2+ ● 325 mi range ● $186,925 youtube.com/watch?v=vk2cdwpg0jI
  • 4.
    ENJOY THE RIDE Yourown personal roller coaster. youtube.com/watch?v=1qFV5i8tBhs
  • 5.
    BACK TO SELFDRIVING CARS...
  • 6.
    WHY IT’S IMPORTANT Puttingartificial intelligence behind the wheel will transform how we get from point A to point B — dramatically reshaping our lives, our cities and society. Opening up an endless array of new startup opportunities and new ways to connect with your existing customers. slideshare.net/10xnation/entering-a-world-where-we-dont-drive
  • 7.
    TODAY’S GOAL Spark yourimagination to find ways for your business to capitalize on our self-driving future.
  • 8.
    OUR JOURNEY ● Howwe got here ● What self-driving cars can do for you ● What self-driving cars can do for your business
  • 9.
    WHERE DID SELF-DRIVINGCARS COME FROM?
  • 10.
    HISTORY ● 1930s —Self-driving cars predicted (for 1960s) ● 2005 — Stanford wins DARPA Grand Challenge (#2) ● 2011 — Nevada becomes the first state to legalize autonomous cars ● 2015 — Autonomous cars capable of racing? computerhistory.org/atchm/where-to-a-history-of-autonomous-vehicles
  • 11.
    INTRODUCTION Recorded in early2015. We’ve come a long way in 18 months. youtube.com/watch?v=ftouPdU1-Bo
  • 12.
    DON’T FORGET...EXPONENTIAL Today? Uber? Google? Tesla? The sameamount of progress made over the past ten years will happen in just a few years moving forward. Chrysler? GM? Geico? Linear thinking Disruption… or poor planning? Level 0 Level 1 Level 3 Level 2 Level 4 Level 5 Ferrari? sae.org/misc/pdfs/automated_driving.pdf
  • 13.
    GOOGLE’S APPROACH Build anAI, wrap a car around it. ● High precision ● Google uses a 64-beam LIDAR system to place itself within 10cm on a detailed pre-existing map ● Builds a 360 degree view that tracks and predicts movements for all nearby vehicles, pedestrians, and other obstacles ● Uses all of this data to plan an intelligent path through complex highway or urban environments ● Self-driven more than 1.5 million miles citylab.com/tech/2014/05/the-trick-that-makes-googles-self-driving-cars-work/371060 google.com/selfdrivingcar/reports
  • 14.
    HOW GOOGLE DRIVERLESS WORKS Primarily basedon LiDAR. dallasnews.com/business/headlines/20150709-2-visions -emerge-for-getting-self-driving-cars-on-road.ece google.com/selfdrivingcar
  • 15.
    TESLA’S APPROACH Build acar, plug an AI into it. ● “Good enough” precision ● Tesla has been slowly implementing autonomous features into its cars ● More than 100 million miles on Autopilot youtube.com/watch?v=dtQPVpQgXSw
  • 16.
    HOW TESLA DRIVERLESSWORKS Primarily based on visual cameras. youtube.com/watch?v=1DV0N_YWd0k
  • 17.
    WHICH IS BETTER? Eachapproach works well in its (presumed) intent. ● Startup intent — Tesla’s approach is low-cost and will likely yield Elon Musk’s goal of automating 90% of driving within a few years. But that last 10% is always the most difficult. ● Research intent — Google already automated that 90% and is now focusing on solving that difficult 10%, which may prove to be the stronger long-term play.
  • 18.
    EXPONENTIAL LEARNING Self-driving carshave a hive mind. In the human driver world… ● If one person learns how to avoid a particular type of accident, only that person knows it In the driverless world... ● If one car learns how to avoid a particular type of accident, all cars know it
  • 19.
    NEW FEDERAL GUIDELINES TheVehicle Performance Guidance for Automated Vehicles. “When the software is operating the vehicle, that is an area that we intend to regulate.” autoweek.com/article/technology/us-government-sets-safety-guidelines-autonomous-autos
  • 20.
  • 21.
    NO MORE PARKINGTICKETS jk forums.tesla.com/forum/forums/parking-ticket-avoidancedid-you-get-over-air-update-yet
  • 22.
    SUMMON IT Teaching anew dog old tricks.
  • 23.
    SELF PARKING Ready forthe new world?
  • 24.
    LANE HANDLING Stay inyour lane and change between.
  • 25.
  • 26.
    UBER SELF-DRIVING Goes livethis month. newsroom.uber.com/pittsburgh-self-driving-uber
  • 27.
    WHAT SELF-DRIVING CARS CANDO FOR YOUR BUSINESS
  • 28.
    NOT JUST CARS Wewill also have autonomous... ● Commercial aircraft ● Farming equipment ● Construction vehicles ● Semi trucks ● Freightliners
  • 29.
    IT’S ALL ABOUTTHE SOFTWARE The car becomes another app platform. As people spend less and less time driving, more and more they look for entertainment or productivity during their drive. What do you do on a airline flight? Watch movies, work on your laptop. Imagine a plane, personalized just for you. What entertainment or productivity can you provide your customers with during their drive time?
  • 30.
    COMPLETELY NEW DESIGN Withoutthe need to drive and focus the design around safety, the design of a car’s interior is completely up in the air.
  • 31.
    LOTS OF NEWLAND On average, human drivers use 3 parking spaces per car (60% of land in Los Angeles). What can you do with all that new land?
  • 32.
  • 33.
    WHAT DO YOUTHINK? Seeing opportunities open up in our driverless future?
  • 34.
    UNLEASH YOUR BUSINESS EMBRACEEXPONENTIAL 10xnation.com