This document discusses the development and future of autonomous vehicles, outlining the differences between semi-autonomous and fully autonomous cars, the benefits they offer, and current legal status across various states. It highlights that while technology is advancing, the rollout of fully self-driving cars will occur gradually, with significant challenges ahead, particularly regarding infrastructure and public adaptation. The document concludes with a historical analogy about the unpredictability of technological progress.

1. Autonomous Vehicles
By
Drew Campbell
Senior Partner Capitol-Insights

2. Tesla

3. Google

4. BMW

5. Mercedes Benz

6. Intersection

7. What are Autonomous Cars?
• An autonomous – or self-driving – car is one
that can accelerate, brake and steer itself.
Such cars have long been part of a utopian
vision of the future, because they will free
people from the boring aspects of driving and
open up exciting new ways to travel. The many
attempts at realizing this vision over the years
have been limited by the technology available.
Now we are able to make autonomous cars a
reality.

8. Semi Autonomous or Completely
Autonomous
• Autonomous driving has the power to change the world as
we know it forever. This change will take place step by step,
however, to ensure that the technology fits around how
and where people use it.
• Today, most manufacturers use some of this technology to
create semi-autonomous cars that make your journey
easier and safer, while leaving you fully in control.
• Collision avoidance systems detects other vehicles, cyclists,
pedestrians and, in some cases, even large animals on the
road ahead. It warns the driver of hazards and will brake
the car if necessary to avoid or mitigate a collision.

9. • The fully autonomous car goes further. It is able
to perform all driving functions without
supervision of the driver.
• In between these two is the highly autonomous
car. This technology will give you the option of
handing over control – and responsibility – to the
car on specific roads. You will be able to use your
time as you choose, taking back control to enjoy
driving whenever you like.

10. Responsibility
• The driver will not be responsible for driving
the vehicle when in autonomous mode
(“driver out of the loop”).

11. The Benefits to You
• The customer benefit will be the freedom to
engage in other activities (relax, create,
entertainment, etc) in autonomous mode.

12. Legal Status
• There is currently no legal framework (except
for testing, in certain jurisdictions).

13. Roll Out
• This may launch in increments (certain speeds,
scenarios, conditions, applications, markets).

14. Semi Autonomous Vehicles
• The car can drive itself (accelerate, brake &
steer) to a limited extent, i.e., supports the
driver with keeping the distance to the vehicle
in front and keeping the car in the lane in
speeds up to 30 mph. However the driver
remains responsible for monitoring,
supervision, and over all operation of the
vehicle and is expected to actively participate
in the driving.

15. Responsibility
• The driver is always legally responsible for
driving the vehicle (“driver in the loop”,
“hands on the wheel, eyes on the road, mind
on driving”).

16. Benefits to the Driver
• The customer benefits a convenience, peace
of mind and feeling of control with the
assistance of the vehicle. Like cruise control,
automotic safety featuers, and collision
avoidance.

17. Legal Status
• This is currently legal, since it does not change
the basic assumption of a licensed driver
always being responsible.

18. Roll Out
• These features have launched and will
continue to launch in increments (certain
speeds, certain scenarios, etc).

19. Intersection

20. Autos in the Hunt

21. Deaths by Automobile Accident
• 1996 42,065 2,4861.69 265,228,572 15.8599 -0.33%
• 1997 42,013 2,5621.64 267,783,607 15.6892 -1.08%
• 1998 41,501 2,6321.58 270,248,003 15.3566 -2.12%
• 1999 41,717 2,6911.55 272,690,813 15.2983 -0.38%
• 2000 41,945 2,7471.53 282,216,952 14.8627 -2.85%
• 2001[2] 42,196 2,7971.51 285,226,284 14.794 -0.46%
• 2002 43,005 2,8561.51 288,125,973 14.926 0.89%
• 2003 42,884 2,8901.48 290,796,023 14.747 -1.75%
• 2004 42,836 2,9651.44 293,638,158 14.588 -0.52%
• 2005 43,510 2,9891.46 296,507,061 14.674 0.44%
• 2006 42,708 3,0141.42 299,398,484 14.265 -2.79%
• 2007 41,259 3,0311.36 301,139,947 13.701 -3.85%
• 2008 37,423 2,9771.26 303,824,640 12.317 -11.0%
• 2009 33,883 2,9571.15 306,700,000 11.048 -9.7%
• 2010[2] 32,999 2,9671.11 309,326,000 10.668 -3.5%
• 2011[4] 32,479 2,9501.10 311,588,000 10.424 -2.3%
• 2012[1] 33,561 2,9691.13 313,914,000 10.691 2.6%
• 2013[5] 32,719 2,9461.11 316,129,000 10.345 -3.3%
• 2014[6] 32,675 2,9461.07

22. States With Enacted Legislation

23. When will we see Autonomous Cars?
• In 2012 Google founder Sergey Brin stated
that Google Self-Driving car will be available
for the general public in 2017, and in 2014 this
schedule was updated by project director
Chris Urmson to indicate a possible release
from 2017 to 2020.

24. Volvo
• It’s arriving sooner than you might think. Self-
driving Volvos are already on Swedish roads,
and by 2017, real-world customers will be
using 100 self-driving Volvos on public roads—
the world’s first large-scale autonomous drive
project. It’s a partnership between Volvo Car
Group, the Swedish Transport Administration,
the Swedish Transport Agency, Lindholmen
Science Park and the City of Gothenburg, and
is endorsed by the Swedish Government.

25. When Will I be able to buy One?
• Annual sales of self-driving cars worldwide —
including those that require some driver input
— will balloon from 230,000 in 2025 to 11.8
million by 2035, a new study predicts. That
would result in a cumulative total of 54 million
self-driving cars in use around the world by
that year.

26. What State have Legalized it so Far?
• Self-driving cars are now allowed in Nevada,
Florida, Michigan, California, and the District,
at least for testing purposes. States like Texas,
Arizona, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin have
rejected autonomous car laws, and many
states are considering their options right now.

27. Headlines
• Googles Driverless Cars Will Be Legally Treated
Like Human Drivers
• Autonomous vehicles could shrink US personal
auto insurance by 60%
• About a dozen mayors pile into Google
driverless cars at SXSW
• GM buys self-driving car software company
• Toyota unveils new self-driving safety tech,
targets 2020 autonomous drive

28. Headlines
• 10 million self-driving cars will be on the road
by 2020
• Volvo promises ‘DEATHPROOF’ cars by 2020:
Company says it's confident technology will
eradicate fatal crashes
• Carmakers Agree to Make Automatic Braking
Standard Without a Rule By 2020
• Toyota announces Automatic Braking in 2017

29. Conclusion
• Getting to connected and autonomous car and smarter city utopia
will not be easy. We will still be driving our own cars for years, and
may have to share the road with autonomous ones. There will be
significant challenges with the aging American infrastructure, and
congestion will get worse before it gets better. But we should
remember that we can’t always predict the future, and that
technology has a way of driving progress in ways we don’t
anticipate.
• Along that line, let’s humorously recall that at the turn of the
century the horse manure problem was a significant issue in major
urban cities like New York and London. Horse manure was that era’s
pollution problem from ever increasing horse and buggy traffic. The
London Times predicted in 1894 that by 1950 London would be
nine feet deep in horse manure. It’s always dangerous to
extrapolate what we know today too far out into the future.