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IBS Statistics Year 1 Dr. Ning DING  n.ding@pl.hanze.nl I.007
What we are going to learn? ,[object Object]
Chapter12: Simple Regression and Correlation
dependent / independent variables
scatterdiagrams
regressionanalysis
Least-squares estimatingequation
the coefficient of determination
the coefficient of correlation,[object Object]
Chapter12: Simple Regression and Correlation
ExercisesFind the interquartile range:   1460 1471 1637 1721 1758 1787			 1940 2038 2047 2054			 2097 2205 2287 2311 2406 Interquartile Range =Q3-Q1 =2205-1721 =484
Review EXCEL Lesson ,[object Object]
Chapter12: Simple Regression and Correlation
ExercisesL=(8+1)*25%=2.25 Q1=133.5 Interquartile Range =274.5-133.5 =141 L=(8+1)*75%=6.75 Q3=274.5
Review Median Quartile Decile Percentile 1 2 2 4 1 2 2 4 5 7 8 9 12 1st D Q1=2 Interquartile Range 5 7 8 9 12 Q3=8.5 9th D Boxplot How to interpret? http://cnx.org/content/m11192/latest/
Review ,[object Object]
Chapter12: Simple Regression and Correlation
ExercisesMean= € 450 a b € 20 € 2000 Q1= € 250 Q3= € 850 Median= € 350 The distribution is skewed to __________ because the mean is __________the median.  the right  larger than  http://cnx.org/content/m11192/latest/
0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 4.0 Review Mean > Median 2.0 3.2 3.6 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.0 Mean < Median Positively skewed http://qudata.com/online/statcalc/ Negatively skewed
Review This means that the data is symmetrically distributed.  Zero skewness mode=median=mean
Chapter 12 ,[object Object]
Chapter12:
scatterdiagrams
dependent / independent variables
regressionanalysis
Least-squares estimatingequation
the coefficient of determination
the coefficient of correlation
scatterdiagrams
dependent / independent variables
regressionanalysis
Least-squares estimatingequation
the coefficient of determination
the coefficient of correlation,[object Object]
Chapter12:

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Lesson04

Editor's Notes

  1. Correlation and CauseJust because two variables are correlated, does not mean that one of the variables is the cause of the other. It could be the case, but it does not necessarily follow: There is a strong positive correlation between the number of cigarettes that one smokes a day and one&apos;s chances of contracting lung cancer (measured as the number of cases of lung cancer per hundred people who smoke a given number of cigarettes). The percentage of heavy smokers who contract lung cancer is higher than the percentage of light smokers who develop the disease, and both figures are higher than the percentage of non-smokers who get lung cancer. In this case, the cigarettes are definitely causing the cancer. There is a strong negative correlation between the total number of skiing holidays that people book for any month of the year and the total amount of ice cream that supermarkets sell for that month. This means that the more skiing holidays that are booked, the less ice cream is sold. Is there a cause here? Are people spending so much money on ice cream that they can&apos;t afford skiing holidays? Is the fact that the ice cream is so cold putting people off skiing? Clearly not! The simple fact is that most people tend to book their skiing holidays in the winter, and they tend to buy ice cream in the summer. Although a correlation between two variables doesn&apos;t mean that one of them causes the other, it can suggest a way of finding out what the true cause might be. There may be some underlying variable that is causing both of them. For instance, if a survey found that there is a correlation between the time that people spend watching television and the amount of crime that people commit, it could be because unemployed people tend to sit around watching the television, and that unemployed people are more likely to commit crime. If that were the case, then unemployment would be the true cause!